Saturday March 15 2025 Forecast (8:26AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 15-19)

Early this morning, a layer of marine stratus clouds and some patchy fog made for a grey start to the day across much of the region. Exception: Merrimack Valley / southern NH, where this layer didn’t reach, and once the sun rose above it in the sky to the east, it’s filtered by high clouds above. But some advancement of the stratus deck into that region can occur early on, before we see a thinning / breaking trend with some partial sun in other areas today. I don’t have faith in complete clearing, but we’ll see how much sun can manage to make its way through the clouds as we go through the day. An increasing southerly air flow as a warm front goes by starts to pull more low level moisture into our region with time, and this will start to initiate lower clouds again coming off the ocean to the south. This will become more pronounced tonight and Sunday with a stronger southerly wind. We should be dry (as in rain-free) over most areas through the daylight hours of Sunday, with the exception of a few sprinkles and drizzle as a result of that increasing low level moisture as we head through tonight and Sunday. The trade-off will be unseasonably warm air, with many areas exceeding 60 for high temps on Sunday. However, the air coming off the chilly water closer to the South Coast will have a modifying effect in those areas, which don’t make it to 60. The large storm system that has been impacting the middle of the US (Texas, Plains, Midwest) with everything from tornadoes and thunderstorms to dust storms to a snowstorm, depending on location, will track through the Great Lakes into Canada as we head through the weekend. While additional severe thunderstorms occur from the Midwest to Southeast today, we’ll not have to worry about that, only waiting for the cold front’s rain band to move into and through the region Sunday evening into Monday. This will be a slow process, and a wave of low pressure forming on the front as it starts to push off the East Coast may even prolong the rain a bit longer here into Monday, before some drying arrives from the west. The timing of this will determine whether or not we see any breaks / sun before sunset on St. Patrick’s Day. High pressure builds Tuesday and Wednesday with fair weather. Tuesday will feature a cool northwesterly breeze. Wednesday will have less wind overall, but a cooling coastal sea breeze. While Tuesday’s temperatures are more uniform for highs, Wednesday we can see a larger contrast from coastal to inland areas.

TODAY: Early to mid morning overcast with areas of fog except partial sun far northern MA and southern NH. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny thereafter. Highs 49-56, coolest coastal areas. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A patch of drizzle and areas of fog possible. Lows 44-51. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing light rain shower possible. Highs 51-58 South Coast, 59-66 elsewhere. Wind S increasing to 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Widespread rain showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 48-55. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely through mid afternoon, diminishing west to east, then late-day breaking clouds, especially west of I-95. Highs 55-62. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW to N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55 coast, 55-62 inland. Wind N up to 10 MPH becoming variable inland with coastal sea breezes developing.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 20-24)

The vernal equinox (astronomical start of spring) occurs at 5:01 a.m. EDT March 20. Our weather pattern during this period turns more unsettled, starting mild with one frontal system bringing some wet weather between late March 20 and early March 21. Additional rain/mix/snow showers possible with cooler weather after that.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 25-29)

Cooler and unsettled pattern indicated for late month.

74 thoughts on “Saturday March 15 2025 Forecast (8:26AM)”

    1. The real warm air is in no hurry. We need a stronger southerly wind, which finally arrives tonight and especially tomorrow.
      Still alot of sub-40 temps in the region right now.

  7. A note of interest: Some of the rain that falls here Sunday night / early Monday may be notably brown or even a dark red color in some areas. You won’t see it falling that color, but the evidence may be on surfaces that provide the correct contrast. This will be dust from the Plains dust storms. Not the first time this happens, if it does. It’s happened at various times throughout history. Some of these are found in David Ludlum’s weather books (New England and USA), and other sources of course.

  9. Thanks Tk . Full sun here & currently it’s 36 in Poland Maine with some snow still on the ground

  15. Thanks, TK!

    A bit of noticable humidity in the air. DP = 42.

    I have been powering my home and car lately with static electricity! 🙂

  19. An X/tweet sent to Ole Miss student body:

    REBALERT: A TORNADO WARNING has been issued for Oxford!

    Seek Shelter Immediately!
    – lowest floor of building
    – interior room
    – no windows

    Visit http://emergency.olemiss.edu for updates.
    #RebAware

  23. Guidance is trending toward low pressure developing on the front once it gets offshore early next week, but turning into quite a cyclone south of the main steering flow. This may have implications in the medium range forecast later next week, and beyond.

    Stay tuned…

  24. Since it had already been mentioned here, just letting you know that I was in touch with WxWatcher and all is well, just very busy! He’ll be checking in with us soon! 🙂

  27. Seems like wind tomorrow will be less of an issue than the past few storms. Does it still look like most of the rain falls in southeast mass? Snow almost gone in Natick though I have expedited the process by moving snow to sunny areas. Thanks.

    1. No big wind issue tomorrow. Might be a few isolated power issues with already weakened branches coming down in rain and wind gusts around 30 MPH, mostly at night.

  28. It’s 62 F here. I just got back from a hike that I haven’t done since before we started getting snow. Everything I saw is much drier than it usually is at this time of year – streams, wetlands, ponds, the trail, and so on.

    As has been discussed here, we could be heading for drought problems this year.

  29. Catatstrophic tornado(es) in south central Mississippi. Two supercells following each other. West of Hattiesburg.

  31. Felt like it was warmer here yesterday in Hingham, oddly. 52 out. Hoping for 60s tomorrow.

  32. CPC outlooks have been touting a longer period of above normal temperatures, but in the next few days we’ll see them scaling that back to near normal and then probably below normal not long from now on their 8-14 (I’d say by Monday’s update).

    There are some indications of a pattern that lovers of warm springtime weather will not appreciate very much as we get to the final week of March and into early April.

      1. Probably not that… 😉

        …but, you never know.

        The thing that amazes me about that event was just how freaking cold it was during the day, when the snow fell and accumulated like it was mid January, not early April.

        12 to 16 inches of POWDER during daylight one week into April. And then in the teens to lower 20s the entirety of the following day. That was a Tuesday / Wednesday. But of course once we cleared out and the April sun went to work, the snow was GONE by the following Sunday, which was Easter (except orthodox, which was the following week).

            1. Thanks Joshua. I got a kick out of “snow tires”. I remember when some folks (mostly police and fire) used chains on their tires as well. You could hear them coming almost a mile away. ❄️ 🙂

              1. And studs. Now most use all weather tires….advice from an individual who knew tires in and out.

              2. This has me remembering the ceremonial tire changes twice a year. Timing was everything. You didn’t want to get stuck in a storm without snow tires, yet you didn’t want to subject them to unnecessary wear.

                I also remember that snow tires were very loud even without chains or studs. At least in NY, there was a date range when studded tires were allowed. Outside of that range, you could be ticketed. The reason was that they damaged the roads.

  34. And while we are on the subject of “potential”snow in the foreseeable future: ❄️

    Total Snowfalls to date: Updated

    ORH = 33.8” (received +0.5” recently)
    BOS = 28.1”
    NYC = 12.9”

    1. Only 11.9 inches to go for Boston to hit 40″. 😉

      #StrangerThingsHaveHappened

      (The anti-snow ppl don’t have to reply to this. I’m aware of climatology and chances etc. I’ve been doing this a long time. I understand weather and climate quite well. In fact, my comment is neither pro-snow, nor anti-snow. It’s just a comment about weather and climate.). 😉

  36. Thanks for all the interesting comments on NE and the south. My wife and I flew into Tampa last night for a short 4 day vacation with family. It appears we are sitting just south of the swath of rough weather although thunderstorms and wind are predicted late afternoon and tomorrow night. Will enjoy the day outside before that.

  39. With regard to that 4/6/1982 snowstorm, what I remember most was the day before (4/5/1982) as the skies were deep blue and very, very windy and cold for the season. I don’t recall though, if I was anticipating a biggie for the next day or if that event was a total surprise.

    The only March/spring snow event that I recall was forecasted in advance was the 1993 “Superstorm”. I remember stocking up for that one. 🙂 ❄️

    1. Iirc Boston received 13.3” for that 4/6/1982 snowfall. Have yet to receive even half of that total in a storm so far THIS season.

    2. Most of your spring snowstorms are forecast up to a couple / few days in advance, but many of them don’t really get “seen” properly by guidance until about 72 hours out. There are exceptions.

      The March 29 1984 storm was forecast poorly by some guidance, and a little better by other guidance (none of those models exist now in the same form, but some are descendants of them).

      The April 1982 storm was indicated by NWS and local mets starting on Sunday (storm was on Tuesday). As far back as Saturday, some meteorologists hinted at an interesting set-up that could result in some snow.

      Superstorm 1993 was well-forecast pretty far in advance.

      April Fools 1997 was also pretty well forecast, but I don’t think anybody really had a full idea of the dumping of snow we were about to get until we got into the rain portion of the storm on March 31 (just hours before the flip to snow). Note: It had been in the lower 60s the day before (March 30).

      1. I thought that the April Fool’s storm was pretty well forecast.
        Thank you for that. Although I could not be certain, I felt quite confident of a Dump of snow before the event started. I knew that any rain to start would flip quite quickly.

        I had to drive home from Framingham and It was already changing to snow during my drive home. It was all snow when I got home around 6 to 630 PM.

  40. NOTES…

    NOAA / NWS page is updated for today, but starting tomorrow will only be updated once per week with comments left open.

    Regular blog forecast page is updated as well.

    (Personal note: Episode #3 of a-fib in the last 17 days, occurred this morning from 1:30 to 3:30. Medication acted well, but that one was rough because it robbed me of needed rest, so if I am absent a bit more than usual today, I’ll be balancing food shopping, kitty-sitting, an easy walk, and some resting.)

  41. Last night was movie night and we finally watched
    A Complete Unknown.

    I liked the movie very much.

    Timothée Chalamet as Bob Dylan put on an outstanding performance and his singing and guitar playing was quite good.

    Edward Norton was outstanding as Pete Seeger and his singing was superb and his banjo playing wasn’t bad at all.

    Monica barbaro was quite good as Joan Baez, but her singing was not quite up to par, in my opinion.

    And Elle Fanning was excellent as Sylvie Russo.

    I would definitely recommend this film.

    WARNING, it is still EXPENSIVE. It cost us $24.95
    to watch it. Price will come down for those who can wait.
    We couldn’t wait. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    btw it is 2 hours and 20 minutes long and it flew by….

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