Sunday March 16 2025 Forecast (8:32AM)

73 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 16-20)

This 5-day forecast portion takes us through the final 4 days of winter and to the day we change seasons from winter to spring, but the most “spring-like” feeling weather is going to come today as a strengthening southerly wind overtakes the region. It starts out rather foggy in a good portion of the region however, as low level moisture has increased with a marine air mass driven into southern New England by the south wind behind a warm front. While the fog dissipates, the clouds will dominate, although it will stay mainly rain-free through the day with the exception of a few patches of light drizzle with the fog this morning and a possible passing sprinkle of rain in a few locations midday and afternoon. The mild air will push high temps to 60+ for most areas, but a modifying influence of the chilly ocean water will keep coastal areas, especially Cape Cod / South Coast, cooler. A slow-moving cold front will push into the region tonight and take most of the day Monday (St. Patrick’s Day) to pass by, slowed by an additional wave of low pressure. This results in widespread rain showers much of this time. Monday night, we dry out / clear out from west to east behind the front. Tuesday’s weather will be dry and breezy as high pressure builds eastward through the Great Lakes. Continued dry weather Wednesday will result from high pressure overhead extending into southeastern Canada, but also allow for a bigger temperature contrast from cool eastern coastal areas with an onshore breeze to much milder conditions further inland. Thursday’s weather will feature an increase in clouds as the next trough starts to approach from the west, but the early thought is that we’ll stay dry during the day and see a chance of some rainfall arriving at night. The vernal equinox occurs at 5:01 a.m. EDT Thursday March 20.

TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog and patchy light drizzle this morning. A passing sprinkle of rain possible midday on. Highs 51-58 South Coast, 59-66 elsewhere. Wind S increasing to 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Widespread rain showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 48-55. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely through mid afternoon, diminishing west to east, then late-day breaking clouds, especially west of I-95. Highs 55-62. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW to N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55 coast, 55-62 inland. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to E.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind E under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain at night. Highs 46-53. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 21-25)

The first full day of spring on March 21 might remind you more of winter with a chill northerly wind as a cold front moves offshore, rain that may end as mix/snow and some lingering rain/mix/snow showers behind that. The March 22-23 weekend will feature an upper level low crossing the region and while it will be precipitation-free most of the time, there can be some scattered rain/mix/snow showers with fairly cool weather dominant. Additional unsettled weather is a potential for later in the period as well.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 26-30)

Cooler and unsettled pattern indicated for late month.

73 thoughts on “Sunday March 16 2025 Forecast (8:32AM)”

  4. 66 is the very preliminary tornado count from the ongoing outbreak.

    29 Mississippi
    13 Missouri
    8 Alabama
    8 Arkansas
    4 Illinois
    2 Indiana
    2 Louisiana

    These #’s will likely be adjusted after all surveys are done, and it may take several days or longer to complete them all. Given many of these were long-tracked, well-observed, there won’t be much question on what was / wasn’t. But they will need to determine details like path length, width, intensity, etc.

    Additional tornadoes can occur today in southern NC, central and eastern SC, southeastern GA, and northern FL (except the Panhandle).

  5. I know some of you don’t catch my “new post” declarations on the previous blog, but see the new one posted and come to it. This is a re-post of part of a comment I made at the end of the last blog, one thing blog related, one personal.

    ______________________________________________________

    NOTES…

    NOAA / NWS page is updated for today, but starting tomorrow will only be updated once per week with comments left open.

    (Personal note: Episode #3 of a-fib in the last 17 days, occurred this morning from 1:30 to 3:30. Medication acted well, but that one was rough because it robbed me of needed rest, so if I am absent a bit more than usual today, I’ll be balancing food shopping, kitty-sitting, an easy walk, and some resting.)

    3. With it kicking up more than usual lately, is it something that is expected or a concern you’d need to speak to your doc about?

      1. I just had a visit with him and everything was fine. This is just an active period. I’ve had several of these throughout the history of this condition.

  14. Last night was movie night and we finally watched
    A Complete Unknown.

    I liked the movie very much.

    Timothée Chalamet as Bob Dylan put on an outstanding performance and his singing and guitar playing was quite good.

    Edward Norton was outstanding as Pete Seeger and his singing was superb and his banjo playing wasn’t bad at all.

    Monica barbaro was quite good as Joan Baez, but her singing was not quite up to par, in my opinion.

    And Elle Fanning was excellent as Sylvie Russo.

    I would definitely recommend this film.

    WARNING, it is still EXPENSIVE. It cost us $24.95
    to watch it. Price will come down for those who can wait.
    We couldn’t wait.

    btw it is 2 hours and 20 minutes long and it flew by….

  15. Thanks all. 🙂 Seems like I’ve had to say that a lot lately regarding the a-fib episodes, but so goes the condition. It can go to sleep for long periods, then be very cranky for a while. The latter is true now, hopefully not for long. 🙂

  17. It’s really spring feelinh out with dps in the 50s.

    I do not like the look of the long range models, they look chilly, below normal temps after spring has officially arrived.

    Not surprised, typical arctic up here in New England. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. If the GFS isn’t careful it’s going to predict a snowstorm for March 21 or something. 😉

      1. Yup! We’re about 3 or 4 weeks away, based on climatology and pattern expectations, from sounding the “all clear” bell.

    3. Grass looks just as dull as it has been in the various yards in my neighborhood of Quincy. Nothing to see here as far as “spring” is concerned. Not a single tree bud either. I suppose the closest sign of spring are the pothole fillings, a nice job by the DPW or whoever does that sort of thing here. 🙂

  21. We have yet to reach “ice out” at Horn Pond.

    2 significant areas remain. One is about 75 yards square. The other is about 200 yards by 50 yards.

    I’d give these 3 to 5 days.

    1. I have a feeling we have reached “Ice Out” at Jamaica pond. Haven’t been down there in a week.

  22. Partly sunny and 66.

    Breeze starting to pick up.

    The 17z HRRR forecasting a 51-mph gust here at 8 pm (0z) tonight and again at 4 am (8z) tomorrow, if I have my Zs right with the time change. 🙂 Could be an interesting Monday morning commute!

  23. Made 70 here a bit ago but has now dropped back to 69.7

    btw, dew point is 58. Feels sticky today. I just finished some work and am sweating bullets!!!!!

    BUT I am NOT complaining.

      1. Are you located in a part of town that kind of sticks out in the water or is exposed to a Southerly wind?

  27. While we still can’t rule out one last big snow event, it’s probably safe to say that we are done with “ice” on the pond/lake/river season. We’ll only get “just cold enough” to produce snow from the clouds any given day from now on. ❄️

    We are done with “sustained cold” for the season!

    Is it ok to say that much TK? 🙂

    1. Depends upon your definition of sustained cold.
      What about a 7-10 period of Below average temperature?
      Would that qualify as sustained cold? Lets says upper 30s to low to mid 40s vs low 50s???

      1. Let’s just say cold enough for ice to form on top of any body of water? I would think daytime highs 30s/lows 20s consistently.

    2. The ponds will never freeze back over by March. Not here.

      As for “sustained cold”. What JP Dave said.

  28. Is it me or has it been unusually windy much of this winter season? The winds here have suddenly been ferocious!

    If there is such a “record” we must close to #1.

    Wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiindy! :mrgreen:

    1. Agree it appears to have been extra windy. I believe TK mentioned before and attributed some of it to BIG storms
      that REALLY intensified just after passing us.

  30. Thanks, TK.

    Take good care of yourself.

    Spring tends to be windy around here, at least that’s been my impression for many years. Volatility (or at least frequent changeability) is also a thing in spring in New England.

  31. Hello from Malta. It’s been spectacular here. Well above average, yesterday and Friday were 77/78 and sunny with low DP. Back down to the upper 60’s for the rest of the week. Hiking has been wonderful.

    Head home on Saturday hopefully no bad weather. Long flight home from Istanbul

    1. Sounds like a great trip! I’m sure it’s a long flight home. The only part of travel i do not like.

  34. Thanks TK. Feel better!

    Just popping in to say hello 🙂 hope all is well at WHW. After a very warm stretch (80s and 90s) in early-mid February, winter has been full steam ahead here in SoCal. Lowest snow levels and deepest snowpack of the season leading to some beautiful mountain views. I’ve had multiple very cold thunderstorms with hail and graupel the past couple weeks. Looks like more seasonable pattern setting up now. Progressive, ups and downs, and minor storms as we start to approach the dry season.

    1. Great to hear from you! Thanks for checking in!

      We’re definitely in a dynamic pattern in much of the country as we make the transition from winter to spring!

    2. Awesome to see you here, WxWatcher. I was worrying…..something I seem to excel at

      I’m really happy all is well and can just picture those views.

  35. Hit 69 at Logan (Boston). *Almost* made 70 which would have been the first of the year.

    1st Average 70F = April 3rd

    I bet won’t come close for the rest of March.

    1. I’d tend to agree. This was the warmest for a while, unless we can manage to crank another strong low northwest of our area before March ends.

  37. Thanks, TK. You have always given so much to this blog and I know you will continue to. Take it easy and hoping you feel better soon.

    Last night we really could hear some gusts of wind and then the rain came. Seems calm now but it is pouring out.

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