Tuesday March 25 2025 Forecast (6:54AM)

29 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 25-29)

Monday’s rain (and brief snow for some areas) is gone, and today we see some partial clearing with dry weather and seasonably March air. A fast-moving disturbance can bring a rain or snow shower to our area Wednesday before high pressure provides fair weather Thursday. A cold front moves through early Friday with a rain / mix shower possible. We’re looking at potential unsettled weather by the start of the weekend with a warm front moving into the region Saturday with a rain and snow threat. Details are fuzzy on this, including timing. If clouds move in too quickly, our chance at seeing a partial solar eclipse at sunrise Saturday will be thwarted.

TODAY: Patchy fog early to mid morning. Clouds thin for some sun through midday then a sun/cloud mix with a slight chance of a passing sprinkle of rain. Highs 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Brief rain possible Martha’s Vineyard / Nantucket / Outer Cape Cod. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. A shower of rain or mixed precipitation possible. Highs 41-48. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming W 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing shower of rain and higher elevation mix possible. Highs 45-52. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix/snow. Highs 38-45. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)

Unsettled weather March 30-31 with details determined by the position of a frontal boundary associated with low pressure passing through the region. Brief break, then additional unsettled weather probable after that.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 4-8)

An unsettled pattern with near to below normal temperatures for early April.

29 thoughts on “Tuesday March 25 2025 Forecast (6:54AM)”

  2. Hopefully these “boundaries” stay near the South Coast so cold air can drain in. Near the Pike will only bring cold, miserable rains.

    Fingers crossed! ❄️ 🙂

    1. These boundaries are not going to be rain/snow line.

      We’re well beyond that set-up. If you’re going to snow now, it’s a different overall set of dynamics that has to do it for you.

      One of the only rare exceptions to this is 4/6/1982.

  6. Thanks, TK!

    35 degrees when I left with 0.70″ of rain in the bucket from yesterday and last night.

    A little bog fog on the way in.

  7. If Dallas hits 90F today, it would be the earliest on record. I believe their first average 90 doesn’t occur until April.

    1. No, it wouldn’t be, not even remotely close. They were 94 on February 26 last year, and 90 on February 21 in 2023, which is the earliest on record. The average date is April 24.

      1. Thanks SAK. I believe you of course but how can the national morning tv newscasts get the info so wrong? I’m fairly certain I had heard it correctly. It’s the headline weather story on those outlets today.

    2. Looks like it might be good to take a road trip to rhode island or connecticut on that day lol

  12. Thanks TK.

    We hit 90 here yesterday, set a few records around the area. Will be short lived warmth though as the West goes back to a more unsettled pattern. Been a weak year for snow here in SoCal though. The Sierra region is faring ok but we have had really few days with snow down below 5000 feet on the local mountains, much different than the past two years I’ve been here.

    Definitely a fair amount of uncertainty in the pattern heading into early April. But I agree with TK’s take on it, don’t expect any big early season warmth across SNE at least for another couple weeks. Drought improvement continues. But with ridging across the southern tier, I don’t see a whole lot of potential for any big late season snow in most of SNE. Not the type of pattern that looks conducive to the sort of “dynamic” coastal lows TK alluded to…

    1. My forecast was actually for a sun/cloud mix this afternoon, so as far as that goes, it was not bonus, but expected. 🙂

      The high of 53 fits in the 47-54 forecast range. Yay!

      1. ok and we did make 54 here
        Fwiw, i emwas thinking of mets forecasts from last night, not actually yours Fantastic day!!!!

  14. FWIW, the 12Z EURO wants NOTHING to do with the GFS and the Canadian regarding SNOW for SNE. NNE is different. 🙂

    1. NNE is actually going to get quite a bit and have a long ending to the ski season I do believe.

      We need the right “spring” combo to get it down here in SNE. Models won’t see any specific event (that might occur) that far in advance, with any details resembling real accuracy.

      1. What exactly is the right “spring” combo for snow? That southern ridge WxW mentioned is a snow killer in January, let alone in late March/April. 🙁

        1. One of the big keys is cold air aloft.

          At this time of year we’re naturally warmer than mid winter, obviously, so you need a period of several hours where the combination of upper cold and air cold enough lower is there. Even though March and April can be chilly / cold and miserable at times, you don’t really get the “classic” winter setup you get during actual winter. There’s a distinctive difference, in general, between those and “spring snows”.

          You can get into patterns where the right combo repeats a few times (April 1996 is an example). More often you have a one-off set-up, like March 29 1984, a grand example such as April 1 1997, or even May 10 1977. When you get snowstorms in these set-ups, they are usually preceded by and followed by relatively “mild” weather. This is another reason we don’t tend to “see” these systems on guidance that far out. It comes down to perfect timing when you have marginal conditions, and something the models are not going to forecast well enough to be confident in. I mean, we can see how many of these simulated snowstorms on the GFS have actually come to fruition here in SNE. Zero out of who knows how many. That model currently has a really cold bias and is performing very poorly, and I generally don’t trust it for anything beyond Day 4.

    1. Surprised at the 3 year/69 million for a guy coming off an ACL tear and towards the end of his career. Nonetheless I think he’s a stud and undoubtedly should help May.

      1. Adam S , who I think is pretty solid with his stuff is saying he’s ahead of schedule & will be ready for week 1

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