August Weather In August? Stop The Presses!

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10:21PM

Typical August pattern.

The players during the next several days: High pressure off the Atlantic Coast, a cold front that slides down from the NW Friday and early Saturday then returns northward as a warm front late Saturday into Sunday, another cold front that moves in from the west Sunday night into Monday.

The play (a.k.a. the forecast) for eastern MA, southern NH, and RI…

OVERNIGHT: Mostly clear, bright moon. Patchy fog late. Humid. Lows 65-70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Any fog dissipating early. Sunshine then developing clouds. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon may become more widespread along and south of the Mass Pike in the evening. Humid. Highs from near 80 South Coast to near 90 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Any showers and storms to the south ending, clouds may linger there. Partly cloudy elsewhere. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 65-70. Wind variable 5-10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, mainly RI and southern MA. Slight chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms elsewhere. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s, coolest South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. A few isolated showers. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 65-70. Wind S-SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers. A band of heavier showers/storms may approach from the west later in the day or at night. Highs in the 80s. Very humid. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers/thunderstorms. Low 67. High 82.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers/thunderstorms. Low 66.  High 85.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Low 68. High 84.

62 thoughts on “August Weather In August? Stop The Presses!”

    1. Main concerns (early) about severe weather being tough to get: 1. Persistent cloud cover for much of Sunday that keeps atmosphere more stable. 2. Earlier arrival of cold front Monday, before max heating. These are certainly not definite but are both possible.

  3. I walk everyday and I am feeling the humidity. Doesn’t look like that will change soon either.

    Looks like Ernesto could “thread the needle” between Cuba and Central America, giving itself a chance to stay over water and become an H. New low off the coast of Africa.

  4. Good morning and thanks TK – hope you are feeling better this morning.

    I feel as if this has been a very typical (and quite lovely) summer although – as is the case with all seasons this year – dry. We have run our AC more than I remember in the past couple of summers but there has been a nice break between the really hot and humid days. Someone said a while ago we had seen all of the HHH we would and I wondered about that then. I won’t mind if we see cooler weather soon but it seems our patterns for each season this year are holding throughout the season.

    1. Thank you, Vicki. I, too, am enjoying the summer this year (w/the exception of the loss of our cat – we may look into one soon). I was just out for a little walk and it’s not too bad out – yet. Warm, a little humid w/lots of sunshine. We have our A/C on and I s’pose we will keep it on for the nxt. few days. But, as it is now August, I am looking forward to the cool, crisp days of fall. Wish every season kept to what it it s’posed to be – but I guess it can’t. Hoping for a cold, snowy winter. If the coming winter is like last winter – a) something is wrong. b) we’re moving to Alaska – if they even have snow! 🙂

      1. hahahaha – I always wanted to see Alaska. I’d say I’ll volunteer to spend the winter at the summit house on Mt. Washington but it didn’t really have a typical winter either.

  8. 87F at Logan at 11am. If a seabreeze doesnt develop, Logan should hit its (11th) 90F day of the summer.

    1. A small shot of fairly cool air is passing north of New England today. With the jet stream as it is, it just ran out of its southward momentum about 100 miles north of the US/Canadian border. Go not too far north of Montreal Canada and the current temps are in the low to mid 50s and this morning, there were mid 30s just south of James Bay.

  9. Ernesto a minimal Tropical Storm heading into a more favorable environment for development. Does it become a hurricane and make it through into the Gulf of Mexico and threaten southern TX? Some models say yes.

  10. Henry Margusity says that there is something off the SE coast that needs to be watched over the weekend. As for Ernesto, Brownsville TX is the likely target at this time. We will see.

  11. Actually, a typical August pattern would also feature some nice, brief cool downs here and there as well during the month. Is it October yet? 😉

    I believe the avg. temp ranges from 83 now to 77 at months’ end. 🙂

    1. I agree and am hoping we get those cool downs – But as each season started it seemed to also end – and summer started with periods of HHH with slightly cooler and nice between but not cool 🙁

      1. i have been loving this summer besides for this past week. I have not been able to enjoy this heat 🙁

  12. The thunderstorm threat is just about gone. Too stable. Too warm aloft. And drying out at the surface. Dewpoint is down 10 ticks at Boston.

  13. Here is my rant about the format the NWS uses on its web page: They carry in their forecast for Boston today a 20% chance of thunderstorms (not a bad forecast overall even though the threat is about over). The wording of the forecast states that some storms may produce heavy rain (also not a bad idea since pretty much most storms can do that). The problem, the key phrase used for the graphic for today’s forecast is “heavy rain” because it uses the most hard-hitting part of the written forecast to summarize it. Deceiving. And it just makes people think the forecast was completely wrong. Ugh.

  14. Very, very humid on the Cape ! Sometimes I wonder about the dewpoints on the Cape Cod obs, but after a daytrip down there, I believe those low to mid 70F readings.

    1. Just checked the Boston Harbor buoy, about 16 miles out in the harbor, and the water temp is reporting 73.6 F !!!

        1. It is pretty warm…..I cant say if its out of the ordinary because I dont check it all the time. The ob on the hourly report caught my eye, which made me check the buoy’s ob………one good day of a westerly component to the breeze and the water temp will probably fall several degrees.

      1. When it in the 80s with a dP in the 70s it is a nice thought. Sort of like AC for the mind

        …..”and since we’ve no place to go….”.

        Come on Santa join us 🙂

          1. I love everything about all seasons. By August I just start to anticipate winter but am still enjoying summer. As I said just cooling my thoughts and having fun

  17. That disturbance off the coast of Africa looks pretty healthy to me. TK, why do you think they have not classified it yet. It looks good on satellite.

  22. have not been able to do anything this last week. Went to the docs today and says that he still wants me to keep pressure off my ankle.So my parents will make sure that i do not do anything that involves me standing on it. He wants me to keep the brace on it . he says if it looks good by tuesday aka my next doc appointement i will be able to go and swim again in my pool but he does not want me to bike for at least 3 weeks.and if i am not in the pool to have the brace on. 🙁

  23. TK, agree with your comment above about the NWS. Many times I cannot decide whether it’s purposeful overstatement/understatement, sloppy writing or people who have little understanding of the English languague. I can remember during a winter cold spell when the temperature was forecast to barely get out of single digits and the NWS stated it would be “cooler today.” All I remember it was #@$% bitter cold.

    1. The point forecasts are largely automated, showing nicely how technology is not always beneficial, especially when you looking to add value to your product. In my opinion, this diminishes the value of the product. More than 1 person text me the other day and said things like: The weather people messed up the forecast! They said heavy rain and it’s sunny out!

  24. Interested to see where the temps along the coast end up today……

    Logan at 8am already at 80F !! At the surface, both Beverly and Logan have a light north-northeasterly wind flow…….but……Mt. Washington’s temp is up to 57.7F, rising slowly but steadily since midnight and there’s full sunshine this morning.

  25. Spending the weekend out on the Cape. Noticed the discussion about dew points, current dew point in Hyannis is 75! And it’s feels nasty. Heavy fog just burned off thank god.

  26. With respect to the long range EURO……

    Maybe for the last 5 days or so, its long range outlook (maybe days 8 thru 10) have been hinting at some sustained cooler air coming into the northeast. But then, as the days go by and the 8th thru 10th day on the outlook become days 4 thru 6 on the more updated outlook, the cooler air doesnt really make inroads into New England.

    Take todays 0z EURO for example. By Wednesday into Thursday of next week, the region is still awash in 850mb temps that are around 16C and then next weekend, it now has a surface low traveling up the St Lawrence River Valley continuing the warm, humid air surge into the northeast. It almost reminds me a little of watching the models project early season cold surges coming in about a week to 10 days in the November to early Dec time period and then, a lot of them never really end up happening.

  27. We now have t.s. Florence and yes, the tropics are definitely getting active, but my thinking is that most systems will be tracking well south of the U.S. and only the western Gulf of Mexico areas (Texas) will be mostly under the gun for now. Unless these tropical systems develop much further north off of Africa, we on the east coast for now have nothing to be concerned about so any repeats of Irene are extremely unlikely. As for the disturbance off the SE coast near Florida, no further development is expected.

    However, the Carribean especially southern sections of those islands are still vulnerable.

  28. Its so windy in London today at the teenis court ,when the flags were razed (USA GOLD)american flag flew right off the wire.

  32. Humdity getting up there today and then the unsettled stretch starts tomorrow through Saturday. I don’t see all day rains. Far western areas of SNE could see strong to locally severe thunderstorms. Biggest threat with these showers and storms that develop is heavy rainfall and the lightning.

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