Quiet Pattern

46 Comments

8:44PM

A trough of low pressure centered in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley will weaken during the next few days and high pressure will be centered off the East Coast. Weak surface low pressure will pass well southeast of New England tonight with another one to do the same thing by Wednesday. Other than some clouds in southeastern areas, these are not going to have a significant impact. By later this week, high pressure at the surface will become dominant and pretty much guarantee dry weather through the coming weekend.

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Wind light variable.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 80-85. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly clear. Lows 60-65. Wind SW 5-10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 70s coast, lower 80s inland Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Low 61. High 83.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 63. High 86.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 65. High 84.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 64. High 83.

46 thoughts on “Quiet Pattern”

    1. So far, the last week of August looks very good overall. Probably near to above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. Will still have to watch a few low pressure areas offshore and a slight risk of tropical development. But I’d put the chance of problems from either of those a very low probability at this point.

  2. looks really good for band camp this week and then vacation next week to the cape and islands. 😀

    1. Hope it holds nice! Might have to eye a tropical low sometime next week but probably nothing major.

  3. Thanks tk, we have lost nearly 2hrs of daylight in last 7 weeks, sunrise is after 6am and sunset is at 7:30, if I’m not mistaken the declination is latitude 11/49 which is like mid April, also we are losing 3 min’s of daylight per day for the next 8 weeks, have a good day everyone 🙂

    1. This is the time you really start to notice it!

      It doesn’t bother me. I don’t get upset about it, etc. It’s just part of the natural cycle. In fact if it didn’t happen I’d be quite alarmed. 🙂

      Have a great day!

  4. I’ve noticed the low temperatures in my area the last several mornings have been in the upper 50’s. Average temps for this time of year is highs in the upper 70’s and lows in the upper 50’s. I usually start looking for the subtle changes in the season in mid August. I look for the stressed tree’s start to change well ahead of schedule. The first two consecutive days when high temps are on the 70’s and that slight cool feeling in the mornings that do not include a lot of humidity. Its hard to believe that in 8 weeks I will be up at the Pumpkin Festival in Keene, NH. Usually most of the leaves are off the tree’s and we had seen snow in some years on the top of Monadnock. We camp there and the lows have reached the upper 20’s some years.

  5. Tropical Depression NINE has formed. Expected to become a tropical storm later today, and watches and warnings have been issued for most of the island nations.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#NINE

    Around here, it’s a storybook forecast for this week!

    1. Its interesting….the GFS predicted path changes run by run….but, if you take yesterday’s 12z EURO and compare it to today’s 0z EURO, it has the cyclone in just about the exact same place….west of Tampa. Its the intensity on the 0Z run that changed….more intense.

        1. Just a guess…but, I think this feature is going to rapidly intensify. Its had a well defined swirl and a very good upper level environment. Maybe the sahara dust or a very dry surrounding atmosphere was holding thunderstorm development in check….but if these thunderstorms are indicative that those 2 factors are disapating, then the lesser Antilles could be in for quite a storm.

          1. It does look more impressive this morning then it has been. It also looks like it has a decent outflow getting established too. Time will tell.

            1. I think the Sahara dry air is dissapating some from whatI have read and upper levels are becoming more conducive for hurricane development.

  7. Thanks TK. Saw last night that Boston has had 11 days at 90 or above this summer and the average is 14. There has only been one so far this month and that was on August 3rd.

    1. July’s temp was above normal but overall it has really not been that hot a summer compared to some we’ve seen.

  8. If the foliage is anything like the last few falls most of the trees will have leaves on them almost until Thanksgiving, it seems like for my area the week before Halloween the trees peak with color 🙂

    1. I’ve seen foliage seasons spread up to about 2 weeks apart from an overall “normal”. Last year was late. I remember seasons when the leaves were all down by Halloween then ones where the leaves were barely turning around Boston (last year) at the same time.

      Time will tell where this one “falls” (bad pun, sorry). 🙂

        2. Agree coastal. 2010 was as late as 2011. We were filling last of our leaf bags weekend before thanksgiving

  9. Thanks, TK!

    Vicki – glad you are enjoying your vacation. Totally jealous – we were up in the Gloucester/Rockport area again. Really nice. But it would be nicer if we could stay a few days by the ocean. We haven’t done that in many years – thinking we may do that next year.

    1. Thanks Rainshine. I actually left the house/deck for the first time today since we arrived. I hope you get your wish next summer 🙂

  10. The thing to watch with tropical depression 9 is once it gets passed the Lesser Antilles does the center stay over the water or come over land in Hispanola. If it does go over land that will weaken that system. It looks like Flordia and the eastern Gulf of Mexico need to really keep a close eye on this. Another wave out in the Atlantic with a 60 % chance of developing into a depression.
    Up here the weather is great and we don’t have to worry about severe storms or tropical downpours this week.

  11. Looking at the latest track with TD 9 if it follows the center path that would take it over the mountainous area of Cuba which would weaken this. This system currently does not look that healthy at the moment.

  12. Thanks TK 🙂 Do you think this warm ending to August will carry over to the beginning of September?

  13. And the 12z EURO trends west…with a pretty vigorous system south of say somewhere btwn eastern Louisiana and the western panhandle of FL on 8/31.

    1. It projects the system to remain weak throughout most of the Caribbean and then as it enters and moves northward thru the gulf, the projected pressure DROPS.

  15. TK how warm are you thinking for next week and do you think the coast will stay cooler with a breeze. Lovely sea breeze today. Had to go into marshfield as we discovered a slit in one of my front tires and was surprised it is quite warm away from the coast

    1. Lots of 80s, coastal 70s over the weekend (this coming weekend). Not sure which days sea breeze next week. South Coast probably stands a higher chance of onshore wind than does East Coast, but this may vary day to day depending on high pressure center location among other factors.

        1. See the difference a few miles makes. We had total sun Sunday and clouds yesterday am for a bit and more clouds this morning. Was a bit hotter on west facing deck than other days and cool on east facing. Right now we have a steady cool S/SE wind that is lovely. Daughter is wearing a sweatshirt.

        2. Tom we picked up a to go meal from corner cafe marshfield yesterday. Owners wife and I were chatting she’s an 8th grade math teacher at marshfield. I didn’t mention you. This is a sort of private blog so thought it wouldn’t be proper but figured its fine to tell you Small world !

          1. Yes, my colleague and her family own that. Very good food, on a couple occasions a year, we will get to a math department mtg and have some sandwiches and chips, etc. from Corner Cafe.

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