68 thoughts on “August Calm”

1. Thanks TK! Here is to hoping for anything tropical to stay south late next week!

2. Thanks TK and I’ll echo Norths comment!

3. It better stay to the south!!! We have lots of day trips planned with our boys next week and I don’t need any interference with tropical systems.

4. The action is in the tropics with Issac and that wave out in the Atlantic looks very close to becoming a depression. If that gets a name it would be Joyce. That system looks to stay over the fish. The key with Issac how much land interaction is it going to have with Hispanola and Cuba. The more land interaction the weaker Issac will be as it approcahes the U.S. It looks unlikely that Issac will be paying us a visit here in SNE.

5. Yeah not really paying any attention towards issac or any tropical systems, there going into gulf or out to sea like they do 99.9999% of the time 🙂

6. I thought yesterday that the tropical depression was going to rapidly intensify and clearly, that was wrong.

   I still think Isaac will be a strong to major hurricane before all is said and done. Looking at the 12 UTC spaghetti plots, the high impact scenario would be right through the central Florida Keys and then staying just offshore while paralleling Florida’s west coast, affecting them with the strong eastern quadrant. Then, the potential for it to bog down over the interior southeast and we’ve seen what stalled decaying tropical systems can produce for inland flooding.

   1. That would be a nasty track. Hope it doesn’t verify. Ugh

7. According to Brett Anderson’s morning blog, much of northern and eastern Canada will have temps above normal for the upcoming fall. This scenario IMO is not very encouraging for snow lovers down the road for winter. 🙁

8. Best day so far since here. Humidity way down. That’s according to best indicator I have…….my hair. No early clouds. Perfect temp.

   1. Love it Vicki!!! Definitely the best humidity indicator. 🙂

      1. :). We were going to oliverias for dinner but they have a party with 80 people 🙁

         1. Darn…that is too bad. Maybe another night.

9. Henry Margusity thinks it stays east of Florida and goes into the Carolina’s. I think the western part of Florida needs to pay close attention. I would not be surprised if the remanent rains affect us later next week.

10. “High pressure will rule the roost for days on end. ” I’m not good with weather terms 😛
    What is “the roost”? 🙂

    1. “Nobody’s home but all us chickens!” … My mom used to say that all the time.

       1. 🙂

11. There is a tropical depression TEN with a different projected path than Isaac.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?5-daynl#contents

    1. Hmm. Well that is an interesting path

    2. That one is taking a right turn about 500 miles east of the carolinas and then move northeast

12. If I’m reading the current recon plane’s data correctly, the max flight wind they’ve found is only 40 knots and the pressure is 1005 mb. Strange system this Isaac….decent outflow on the west and south sides. On the visible satelite, its easy to see a general, large circulation thats now developing a lot of thunderstorms, but hard to see a more centralized surface circulation. On the lesser antilles radar, its very difficult to see a center.

13. Vicki…there is a free concert at the Plymouth waterfront tonight in case you were interested. The band is The Reminisants and they are very good. Beautiful night for it and you can count on me and my boys being there!

    1. Oh no. We are just about to meet kids for dinner. We’ve had reminiscents at common in Framingham. I love their music. Thank you for letting me know. Wish we could go 🙁

14. Within the bigger circulation, there is currently a fairly small circulation going just south of the island of Guadeloupe, very easily seen on its radar.

15. The only hurricane that actually I remember causing damage and electricity out for a couple days was Gloria, Bob was suppose to be bad but wasn’t anything in north Attleboro, I’ve had 1 hurricane that I’ve actually witnessed damage etc in my 40 yrs of being a New Englander, all the other remnant storms I don’t remember 🙂

    1. Bob was not as bad in Framingham as Gloria but was far worse in other places as I recall. I remember hurricanes back to the 1950s and they were bad. My mom told me horror stories about the 1938 hurricane. We are overdue. Long overdue

       1. I should add that Irene caused horrendous damage in VT and NH last year

    2. I think Hurricane Bob was pretty substantial for storm surge with damage in Buzzards Bay and Naraganset Bay and for tree damage/power issues, especially on the Cape.

       1. I remember that too tom

16. I agree were long overdue for a hurricane up here in New England and I also believe were overdue for a crippling snowstorm like the blizzard of 78. We have had our share of blizzards since 78 but nothing crippling and to that magnitude.

    1. Was there one that crippling before 78? I agree we are overdue for all JJ

17. Would that storm be that “crippling” now? As I recall from that time the folks who had 4wd were few and far between? I remember pulling an old style metal runner sled to the grocery store when it finally opened. I was in Jr. High in 1978…..

    1. ML I think it would be. It didn’t seem to be cars stuck slipping as much as it was plows inability to keep up with the snow. And rush hour timing and people’s inability to listen to the forecast and take it seriously.

       1. We pulled a sled to the store too. It was a blast wasn’t it?

18. We will never have a crippling snow storm again. In this age of technology and advancement our society would never shut down like it did in 78.

    1. Cant agree more 🙂

19. The 18z GFS was interesting showing huge amounts of rain from Issac next Friday and then a very wound up storm just off the coast the following week. I know it is the 18z run…….

20. Will see what happens North but clearly its all about the tropics with our weather here on the boring side. That might change next Tuesday with a front coming through that could spark showers and storms.

    1. Yes it is nice to watch right now while our weather is quiet. I wish our summer had featured more longer periods of the weather we have had the past few days.

       1. The flare up of storms closer to the center tonight looks very impressive.

21. Bermuda, say hello to TD TEN.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?5-daynl#contents

    1. Do you think they take a hit.

       1. Right nowtheywould get something, but it may swing further east.

22. If this panned out, what would we be looking at for rain and wind?

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=08%2F23%2F2012+06UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=177&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

    1. A serious weather day.

       1. What is that? I only have my phone and can see a huge amount of something over us. Is it tropical?

    2. this will be three years now in a row that we are storm watching around labor day.

       1. Tell me about it. Just as long as its not three that we have to leave here because of an earl irene

          My daughter and I took a ride through pembroke the other day John. she’s the one who wants to settle there. It’s a lovely town. Lots of land and antique homes as well as lovely capes.

          1. Hey Vicki. Yes great town, great schools. As I said before your daughter would be more than happy in Pembroke. If at all possible though she should decide. The rates will not stay this way for ever, it would be ashame if she lost the good rates. I have been crazy, welcome to the south shore. Let me know if you need anything.

             1. Thank John. Her husband just graduated college and will need to find a job before they know where they can settle. Rates will stay the same for another year anyway. Well alls up in air if Romney gets in but I don’t believe they will go up yet. Fingers crossed.

23. If this run of the GFS pans out we would get the remanent rains. If the EURO I think we see less of an impact since the EURO is the further west. Now of note the GFS was right all along with Debby going into Florida while the EURO had it going west into Texas. Now does the EURO jump on board with the GFS or does the GFS jump on board with the EURO.

    1. I’d recommend they both jump on board a ship and go out into the ocean 😉

24. Issac still trying to get is act together. Its a weak tropical storm right now and I am still trying to pick out where the center is. Yesterday afternoon there looked like three possible centers. If it remains weak and goes over that mountainous terrain of Hispanola and Cuba that could really tear it apart and when it goes back over the water it might not get to hurricane strength as it is forecasted to due by the National Hurricane Center.

25. Didn’t update last night. Zero changes. Will update later for time periods again with no changes.

    1. No problem TK. Thanks for checking in! 🙂

26. Yesterday, after I got on the Orange Line I noticed a man sitting across from me and was wearing a uniform that had “AA” on one side and a name tag with “Isaac” on the other (no joke). 🙂 With the wings in the “AA” logo it was obvious that he works for American Airlines and is perhaps a mechanic, bagger handler, etc.

    I naturally immediately made the connection with hurricane Isaac and if I were the type to make conversation with strangers I suppose I could have made a humorous pun but I didn’t. 😉

    1. Now that could have been funny. I wouldn’t have said anything either but I would have wanted to as well

       1. He looked to be no more than his early 30’s. I would have expected a much older man to have that name.

27. I would think what is going on with Isaac is an emergency management group’s nightmare……. The public probably keeps checking in and seeing a 40 mph storm, whose winds have not gone up at all in two days. So, I’m thinking that the public in FL may not be too concerned, understandably….and yet, whatever strength this thing will be in is only about 4 or so days away.

28. I agree Tom and its not going to be one were going to be talking about for years like Andrew and Katrina. With that said you should take the threat seriously especially if you are in a flood prone area. We saw what happened with Debby only being a tropical storm and the mark it left in parts of Florida.

    1. At least up to now, it could be a candidate for a study on a storm having a decent overall circulation, a pretty good upper level environment, over warm water and not strengthen. Also, I have found the multiple mini swirls in and near its “center” to be interesting. Overall though, I’m extremely surprised how little this thing has strengthened. Its almost like its circulation is too big and its struggling to tighten to a smaller, more vigorous core.

       1. The government is secretly spraying cold air into the center,, shhhh

          1. LOL ! That explains it.

29. Here is an interesting link showing Isaac from Aug. 20 to today.

    http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hurricanes/archives/2012/h2012_Isaac.html

    Storm kind of looks weird – builds up, breaks up into 2 or 3 different circulations, breaks up. So hard to tell what this storm will do.

    1. Very awesome ! Thanks rainshine !

    2. Great video Rainshine. Thank you

30. A couple more days and the EURO will have Isaac hitting Mexico. 🙂

31. And now there is a Joyce.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

32. Updating…

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