87 thoughts on “Text Book Weather”

1. Thanks TK and nice title ! 🙂

2. Thanks!! Can’t wait for Sunday for two reasons, the weather and football!! Go Skins!! And of course go Pats!

3. Thanks TK.
   At least the daytime hours will be precipitation free for Saturday. Thankfully the front is at night when we don’t have the daytime heating since this looks to be a potent front. . With that said I would not be surprised to see some areas in SNE have strong thunderstorms tomorrow night. I see the SPC has all of SNE in the slight risk. I am thinking the severe weather should remain west of us and the line that comes through should be weakening.

4. Early next week alot of upper 40’s for lows and highs only around 70 for highs, can anybody say Fall? 🙂

5. Go Patriots!! Finally football season, best league, best sport, Patriots are the 5th most expensive sports franchise in the world at 1.7B 🙂

   1. And the 2nd most expensive seats 🙂

      1. unlike fenway which is at 2 bucks
         for front row seats

         1. Hahahaha

   2. I can’t wait until Sunday. I don’t even know game time. I figure it’ll be an al
      Day – weekend – celebration

6. What a nice morning. Enjoying breakfast in Marshfield.

7. Thanks TK. Looks like my son can wear shorts in his first flag football game tomorrow. Never know what you are going to get this time of year so I always have shorts and sweats ready to go! Are you ready for some football?!?!?! Bring it on!!!

8. Hi Sue…. I am defenitley ready for football. To me when were talking football those cool crisp day of autumn are not that far away.

   1. I hear ya loud and clear JJ! Thinking of taking my boys to a local high school game tonight just to get into the spirit of fall.

9. It seems for every “taste” of fall we still get “bouts” of summer. I guess astronomical fall (Sept. 22nd) still has the final say. I would have no problem with an early fall…as long as it doesn’t snow of course.

   1. Yes…seems like next Wed and Thursday’s temp rebound projections keep going up a couple of degrees and at least on today’s 0z EURO run, there wasnt a cool shot following it within the 10 day period.

   2. We will continue to see bouts of summer countering tastes of fall even after September 22, probably well into October.

      1. UGH! 🙁

10. Did BZ go to a log-in format?

    1. They have not. But some comments get mysteriously “eaten” lately.

11. COULD be a good size severe weather event for parts of the Northeast tomorrow.
    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

    1. Wow !

       1. oh great – one more thing for this mother to worry about with kids camping in what appears to be that area.

12. Seeing the obs showing upper 50 to low 60 dewpoints west and north of Boston…..its miserably humid south and east of Boston. Trust me, crank your A/C up now ! 🙂 🙂 🙂

13. That humidity is going to feed those storms tomorrow which is why parts of SNE are in the moderate risk for severe weather tomorrow. My gut tells me that the worst of the activity will be to the west of SNE and as the line comes through it will weaken. It reminds me of the setup at the end of July when we had a squall line form in parts of Upstate NY and Pennsylvanina and as soon as the line got past the Hudson River Valley the severe threat really diminished.
    Thunderstorm Index 2 CT River Valley West and a 1 everywhere else.

    1. I think they have the moderate risk too fast E and should probably keep the slight risk area trimmed back by the coastline. I’d keep the moderate just west of New England and the slight from about the CT Valley westward.

       Timing of front is not favorable for several weather in eastern New England.

       1. Thanks JJ and TK – sounds better to me and I’m off the ceiling now 🙂

14. Hehe ^.^ “young weather enthusiast (a.k.a. weather nut)” Aren’t you allergic to nuts? Does that mean you’re allergic to yourself? 😉 Okay, okay bad joke….

    I’m looking forward to the warm day tomorrow! I was SWEATING today so bad….but at least tomorrow I won’t be at school haha

    1. Har-har-har! That joke is almost as bad as one of mine. 😛

       Enjoy the summer weather! After all, it still IS summer. 🙂

15. Very picturesque sky – actually hearing a little thunder. Looks like shower just developing to the north and west of here.

    Actually – more thunder here in Sudbury. Most mets. are going for a possibility of severe weather tomorrow night – mainly to west of here. I still enjoy tracking thunderstorms but I really am looking forward to Autumn.

    Ok – very loud thunder in Sudbury right now.

16. Very weird – partly cloudy, some sun, no rain or wind – just lots of loud thunder.

17. Storm has moved east of here – doppler radar shows it really has increased.

18. Same here Rainshine. Definitely odd

19. Huge claps of thunder here but storm east as rainshine said. What gives?

20. Severe Thunderstorm warning for south central essex and parts of norfolk county ’til around 6:45. Another storm between Worcester and Framingham, at this point not so strong. All storms moving very slow. Really beautiful sky. Dark here now with some thunder, wonder if it will rain. Must be lots of instability around.

    1. I see the new storm and am loving the sky. I don’t get how we just had several strong claps of thunder and there was nothing on the radar near here

       1. I know. I am looking at the doppler and the storm that headed east wasn’t near Framingham. I think that first storm developed right over or just to the north of Sudbury.

          Storms are pulsing now. Seemed to get stronger then weaker. Would be nice if these storms use up the energy so we don’t get any bad weather tomorrow! Don’t think that can happen, ‘though. Hoping your son and friend(hope that’s right) can avoid any storms tomorrow.

          1. Your description of pulse storm is perfect. That’s exactly the type of thunderstorm that is heading into the city.

          2. Rainshine and TK was it the pulsing that gave us the very loud and rolling thunder ? I could not see anything over Framingham as you said rainshine but the thunder and lightning was not in the distance. It was overhead

             1. The thunder was caused by the fact there were some bolts that originated near or in the anvil of the storm. Positive lightning is often longer as it covers a greater distance of charge separation and the resulting thunder can go on for a very long time.

                At 7:18PM there was such a discharge that was quite remarkable in that it had multiple branches shooting into the clear sky to the north of the storm.

                1. Amazing. Thanks TK. I believe it isn’t the first time this summer we’ve seen that here.

          3. Rainshine thanks for your positive wishes about tomorrow. I hope the storms fizzle too

21. Yeah, glad I put “slight chance of isolated showers” in the forecast. BAH!

    Showers & thunderstorms.
    Showers & thunderstorms.

    I SHOULD have stuck with the gut feeling on this one.

    Oh well. 🙂

    1. Don’t feel bad. The weather, as you know, is still very unpredictable. And with summer storms, very very unpredictable. TK – you still are one of the best and I still rely on what you predict. I always check your postings before the other mets.!

       1. It’s fine. I got the isolated part right. I just didn’t give them the chance they deserved. Perfect convergence right along the Mass Pike. That is still a potent cell heading right into Boston now.

          1. That….and the return of the Red Sox. Even the weather Gods aren’t happy with them. Pouring at Fenway.

             1. Ironically I had just made a FB status about that storm over the ballpark. 😛

                1. 11 more home games…..hmmmm….that would be a lot of rain !

                   Downtown Boston must be interesting. I wonder if water is an issue on Storrow Drive…..

                   1. Son was headed hear but storm took D line out of service with a power failure

             2. :)))))) cant blame them

    2. I will be sticking with my gut feeling on my winter call. Gut feeling in situations, can and do become reality.

       1. Good to go with your gut John. I don’t have a feeling yet but hopefully will soon

          1. Just be ready and prepared for what you want winter to do, to become a reality in the very near future. If you heat with oil, better start saving now. The cold will keep those high numbers rising.

22. Even from Marshfield, I can see some of these storms towards the north. The cirrus blowoff is beautiful and the sunset is adding to the colorful look to the backside of the clouds.

    1. Sighhhh. I feel as if it’s a month since we’ve been there and not just a week.

23. Band practice was cut short do to rain. it was suppose t obe from 5-9 we only got 2 hours in. then he said go and do what ever its going to start to rain and it did when we went in. I guess it was a partically good thing… I finished my first bio assignment 1 week early and had time to hang with someone that i guess likes me i was told by several people and she was staring at me basically all of band camp 😉 So i guess rain can be positive 🙂

    1. Many great romances involve rain. Just watch old movies. 🙂

24. A meteorological first as Leslie and Michael collide on Weds morning!!

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?5-daynl#contents
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents

    🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. Merging of tropical systems has occurred before. Usually the weaker one is just absorbed by the stronger one. Though not common in any given tropical season, it’s also not exceedingly rare to see. 🙂

25. Still see the SPC has a good chunk of New England in the moderate risk for severe weather. I don’t agree with that and will see if it changes with the 9AM update. I think a slight risk is more warranted away from the coast. The biggest threat for severe weather to me looks to be to the west but can’t rule out some strong to severe storms getting into the western parts of SNE then weaken as they off to the east with that maritime influence.

    1. I passed through a local cemetary this morning with many trees in it and a large amount of leaves are on the ground. Trees are dropping them early not really due to major stress but due to the fact the leaves were out earlier than usual this year and the trees are healthy and getting ready to store up energy for the winter and next season.

       Seeing all the leaves blowing around made it look like later Fall while the air felt like Summer.

       1. TK I just came in from sweeping our deck and tons of green leaves are falling on it and blowing around as well. Wonder how this will affect the foliage.

26. So I may be missing something here that the rest of my colleagues will laugh at me about, but I think the severe weather will be confined to a squall line that moves across PA/NY and parts of NJ & the Delmarva this afternoon & early tonight. A few isolated showers/storms may pop ahead of that in eastern New England but our main “action” will be from this dying squall line later tonight. I don’t see a reason to change that timing unless the squall line forms much further east and sooner on a pre-frontal trough that is not being seen well by even the short range guidance.

27. Even though it is going to be warm out today i do not suggest going to wave beaches. There is a high to moderate risk of rip currents on all coastlhttp://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/srfDisplay.php?nwsid=boxines but cape cod bay.

28. Per Taunton climo data…

    Today, at Logan, the avg high low is ( 75F / 59F )……

    By next Friday, its ( 73F / 58F )

    So, though the feeling of fall early in the week will feel extremely noticeable, the temps wont be far from where they should be and by Thursday/Friday, the high temps will be way above normal.

    1. Let the upward trend begin. Does everyone think we will have as good a fall as we did last year.also keep an eye out for acorns. Lots of them can be a sign for a bad winter, and. Less not as bad. Old tale but since we have been watching for this at work it seems to work.

       1. well then thats good my street is loaded 🙂 not to mention the large oak tree in my back yard has many clumps of them that i can see and they have started to fall.

       2. Was it last year or the year before we had an overabundance of acorns. I’m trying to remember how long I’ve been on this blog. And that made me thing about how much I enjoy being here. And then that made me think how much I have enjoyed getting to know everyone. And then that made me think of how much I appreciate TK taking so much time to make this all possible.

          Can you tell I’ve been reading “If You Give a Mouse a Cookie” with my grandson!!!

          Well, every word is true……it’s very nice to be here!!

          1. It was the year before Vicki.

29. Tornado watch now out for central and western CT as well as the CT River Valley of MA. Also Long Island and Westchester county NY. Also a Tornado warning for eastern Westchester county and Fairfield County

    1. Oh dear. I haven’t looked at the radar. Thank you for posting there are warnings. It’s quite windy in framingham with sun and then lots of clouds.

30. Some pretty crazy weather out there with these storms. Tornados confirmed on video that just went over the coastal areas of Queens/Brooklyn, NY area and now making their way through western CT.

    1. Has there been an unusual Amt of tornado or potential tornado activity around NYC area this summer

    2. Ace. Husband was a happy man thurs night. He shot a 39 and that with 3 boggies. Sadly it was an extra game and didn’t count toward league points

31. All of that initial stuff is moving almost straight north and is associated with a disturbance ahead of the cold front. None of that gets into eastern New England

    1. Although anything that could produce a tornado would make me happy to see fizzle. North as opposed to NE makes me happier

    2. Also looks like that first batch seems to be falling apart a little. 2nd stronger line just went through the Syracuse area now approaching Herkemer, Oneonta and Binghamton

32. It looks like there could be a break with the intial batch of storms in western parts of CT and MA before the main round comes in later. I have noticed some wind damage reports in parts of Upstate NY and areas around NYC.

33. Now severe thunderstorm warnings once again in parts of Fairfield and New Haven Counties in CT. Reading the warning rotation is being detected in that storm so I would not be surprised to see an upgrade to a tornado warning for that cell. The nature of these cells is there isolated but have the potential to spin up.

    1. Goodcall Rainshine

34. At this point, it seems more of the severe weather (tornadic) is with that disturbance ahead of the actual front. There are plenty of severe thunderstorms along the front but the storms aren’t as distinct (I guess that’s what you could call it).

    Is it possible that as the front comes through overnight that a lot of the storms will weaken as they move eastward?

    And I agree with Vicki – I have noticed that New York City has been getting a lot of tornadoes or tornado threats this year.

35. Doppler radar now showing a few showers developing just west of Worcester. Sun is in and out. Wouldn’t be surprised to see at least a few showers around this aft.

36. Another tornado warning in CT. West of Hartford

37. Vicki Litcfield County CT until 2:30pm. This cell was moving northeast it had a severe thunderstorm warning but got upgraded to a tornado warning. A lot of rain with that storm so if there is a tornado it will be rain wrapped.

38. The line of storms associated with the front is one of the most impressive ive ever seen. Stretches from into southern Canada all the way down through Georgia and Alabama. The most impressive thing is not the coverage, but how uniform it is.

    1. Fascinating from an observation standpoint.

39. The tornadic storms are behaving more like the ones associated with tropical cyclones. This reduces the chance of longer-tracking, damaging tornadoes. Note that the rotation is on storms that are relatively low topped, tropical, and moving very rapidly.

    The main line to the west, the actual squall line with the front, is less apt to produce tornadoes, and that is the line that sweeps eastern MA later tonight after any isolated/scattered tropical showers/storms are gone. I still feel that line arrives here in much weakened form, but we cannot rule out a gusty thunderstorm with it. May be a little sooner than I said before, but still feel its arrival will be a significant amount of time after sunset.

40. Blog updated!

    I’ll be at Hampton Beach NH from about 5PM until about 9PM. Will check in mobile if necessary.

    Stay safe everyone!

Comments are closed.