Plain & Simple

56 Comments

7:23AM

A pattern of dry weather and above normal temperatures takes over today and lasts pretty much for a week. Weakening disturbances may produce more clouds as they try to crash into the dominating high pressure ridge once we get to late Friday and beyond, but so far indications are these will be mostly failures.

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

THROUGH THURSDAY: Sunny days & clear nights. Daytime highs 80-85, some 70s coastal areas. Overnight lows 55-63. Winds mainly S to SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s.

56 thoughts on “Plain & Simple”

  2. Hi Everyone-

    I hope summer was good to all here. I spent some of my summer traveling, a lot of family time, and then at our place in the Connecticut River Valley of Massachusetts.

    It was a warm summer out there 19 days from June 1 to Aug 31 over 90 degrees and another 12 where the high was 87-89, so that created the feel of a long hot summer. We received 12″ of rain June-August but it was marked by long periods of no rain. With 8″ of that rain falling in just 5 days over the course of the summer. From June 24-July 22, 4 full weeks, there was 0.3″ of rain. Then only 0.5″ from August 17th through September 3rd. The long stretches of dry weather made for a very low yield corn crop out here this summer.

    I hope to be able to contribute to the fun here this upcoming fall and winter.

  3. Yes, picture perfect! The weather is cooperating for our annual Oktoberfest at work today (no Beer unfortunately 🙁 ). Its usually pretty crisp and breezy for the event making it feel more like fall, but I’ll take today’s weather any day!

  4. Henry Margusity on his morning blog mentions the likelyhood of a rainstorm for the northeast states next week due to the upcoming -NAO.

    If only this could last into let’s say…early April? 😉

    TK, what are your thoughts about rain for next week?

    1. Some model indications of that activity taking place. And I’m not really going to jump in that direction. With this week almost completely if not completely dry, odds are next week will be “less perfect”, but I’ll stop way short of calling for a rainstorm at this point. More info please first. 🙂

  6. With such an ‘easy’ forecast you’d think I’d not have missed today’s high temps by 5 to 10 degrees, but I did. Should have stuck with the 75-80 original and instead lumped it in with tomorrow and Friday, which probably will come closer to verifying. Not worth fixing now, given it’s nearly 4PM. Still a great day!

  12. Happened to be watching NECN last night and Matt Noyes showed some video of a snowstorm in Iceland…..The amount of snow looked significant. I guess this event was very early in the season, even for their location.

    1. I agree with all except raking. If snow covers the leaves I don’t have to make up excuses not to rake. Mother natures done it for me 😀

    1. That is a big wow Tom. I remember hiking up there when I was younger, end of Aug. and remember it being in the 30’s!

  15. Looking at some pics from the changing Aspens out in the mountains of CO. What an amazing sight with the bright yellows. I still think fall here in New England is the best, but that’s a close 2nd.

    1. Everything is pointing in the direction of my call for a verwinter. I really believe believe this winter is a classic with snow and cold.

      1. Hmmmmm. I only read this quickly as I was working. Thought it meant we’d have a warm winter and Charlie had been right Will have to take more time after dinner

        1. Ok I read enough to concentrate. As I said I do not know the credentials of this group. Charlie the good news is they may build a new skyscraper where the old filenes was in downtown crossing. I may not like the idea but thought of you when I heard it

          So maybe I made John and Charlie happy at the same time???

          Meanwhile I just reserved my oil for this year and chose similar to last year because my gut feeling is the winter will not be bad either. Of course I hope I’m wrong

            1. That’s what I originally thought then a quick read made me think they meant exteme as in last winter since extreme can be off in any direction. Last winter was extreme. I think the def of extreme is removed from the ordinary

              I have clearly been working too much. Need to stop that 🙂 🙂

                2. Vicki I have one more piece of information to look at. That should be available next month, and will back my thinking. Have you been watching the acorns.

  17. I hope Charlie is wrong with his prediction as well as my early guess calling for 20-30 inches. I am going to wait till sometime in November to give my final answer for snowfall.

  18. Well, our town along with others are now on high alert for EEE. A man from Marshfield, in his 60s, is in the hospital in serious condition. It cant get cold soon enough !!

      1. Pete Bouchard mentioned EEE in his evening blog recently. He said that the average first frost for the suburbs is Sept. 26th and Boston Oct. 9th.

        I wouldn’t hold my breath on those dates this year or any other for that matter. My bet is that frost dates are going to get later and later from now on with climate change. 🙁

        1. I heard a report yesterday that with increased hot weather it will get worse every year. I just don’t get how they’ve had a EEE vaccine for decades for horses yet nothing for man. And I don’t remember this many cases since I was quite young

  19. About to update…

    Our friend JMA is back. Please see his comment above, near the top.

    Also, a note on the “Farmer’s Almanac”. I may repost this in the next blog comment section.

    Many of you probably heard recently that the Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold/snowy winter for New England. Here’s the issue. There are about 6 “Farmer’s Almanacs” out there now. The one that used to be the main one was “The Old Farmer’s Almanac”, but now several of the other ones are published well before, so they can beat them to the punch. It is one or more of these that has called for the cold/snowy winter.

    The Old Farmer’s Almanac is calling for a cold and DRY winter in New England. I’m not saying I believe any one over the other, but I just get tired of the media talking about the almanac and not letting anyone know that there are several sources of almanac info to choose from.

    In reality, these long range forecasts, made months in advance, are speculative at best. I use them for entertainment purposes only. They sure are fun to read.

  20. The almanac is right sometimes and I think it is by luck when they are right. They did nail the 8th-11th of this month saying thunderstorms would sweep in from the west. They were way off with a hurricane threat for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast coasts between the 12th-15th of this month. There are people I know its their bible and say if it is in the almanac its going to happen. Lets see if their two big storms happen in the middle of December and middle of February.
    The Old Farmers’ Almanac to me is even less accurate.

Comments are closed.