10:08PM
We have had some fantastic weather in southern New England during the last several days, starting the week on the cool and dry side. Warmth has returned, without the humidity to this point. Only a very slight up-tweak in the humidity will occur on Friday, ahead of a cold front, but it won’t be all that noticeable, as a brisk breeze will be blowing. A cold front will cross the region from west to east late Friday night and early Saturday, probably accompanied by a few showers. Whatever happens with this front will probably be exiting the region via Cape Cod and the Islands during Saturday morning, leaving us with a fantastic weekend consisting of fair weather and cooler/drier air. Sunday will be about as nice a September day as you can have.
Looking ahead to next week, Monday looks like another winner, and then we head into an unsettled period. Due to medium range model disagreement, I’m not going to say too much about this period and just put out a low confidence outlook and adjust as needed.
Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…
OVERNIGHT: Clear. Lows 55-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 77-82. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2AM to around dawn from west to east. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W late.
SATURDAY: Clearing west to east. Highs 70-75. Wind W 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 50-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 52. High 71.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Low 58. High 72.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 59. High 70.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Low 58. High 73.
Thanks TK !
Thanks TK
Do you think the showers are numerous tomorrow morning or very scattered? What time will they clear the area. Got a round of golf at Sandy burr at 7:25 and it’s one the few times I get to do something without the kids 🙂
Scattered. Don’t cancel any plans. 🙂
Thanks. I was never cxl 🙂 just wanted to know how much rain.
Yeah, so it was a solid band, but narrow! I hope you were able to wait that out and start after.
A week like this reminds me of how incredibly fortunate we are to live in New England. Very few places on earth (that I’ve been to, at least) can one have an entire week in mid September (!) like this. Spectacular.
Don’t know if anyone has seen this article the BBC put out on winter weather forecaster by the MET office in the UK: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-19584302
Hi Joshua – it sure does make you happy to live here. I feel as if we had a true New England summer and the last part of August until now with a few minor exceptions has been spectacular.
Thank you for the link. A good read!!
Thanks TK. Welcome back JMA! Looking forward to your thoughts on the winter storms again this year!
Thanks as always TK!!!!
Brett Anderson’s morning blog has a nice cool shot for us the last week of the month, but back to warmth for at least the first two weeks of October. Hopefully the cool shot can bring some early a.m. frost for the suburbs to get rid of the EEE.
As for next week, most forecasts so far call for a good slug of 1-3″ of rain for next Tuseday into Wednesday. I really wish that we could keep this great weather going…oh well.
Philip it’s been my experience that it takes at least 2 killing frosts to stop the mosquitoes. I am hoping for that to happen very soon but don’t have a lot of faith that it will.
funny how in bio we were talking about mosquitoes. its actally not the mosquitoes fault!!! its a mosquito that bites an infected animal or human then it bites you and gives it to you. so other mosquitoes that bite you now carry it. this goes for malaria , tripple eee and west nile.
thats not good i have classes on tuesday i will be stuck inside the buildings i will need to bring an unbrella
On a happy note I just saw the first picture (ultrasound) of grandbaby #4 due in April 🙂
That’s awesome….congratulations!!!
Congrats, Vicki!
Thank you Sue and Rainshine 🙂
congrats vicki
Congrats!
Thanks, TK.
We very well may not see 80s temps for the rest of the month assuming that end of the month cool shot materializes. My bet is that 80+ will return in October hopefully very briefly.
I am certain Charlie is right. No 90s. And even 80s at this time of year are lovely
Anyone think that line in NY will hold until it gets here? I figure t storms will be few and far between now so will take all I can get. It feels as if it was no more than a month or so ago that we were talking about the start of t storm season
I have to leave for work first thing tomorrow morning at 7:00 am so I certainly hope those showers in NYS weaken to nothing more than sprinkles. I don’t want to have to take an umbrella. Hopefully we have enough dry air in place over us and doesn’t moisten before the front arrives.
I’ll hope for them to g thru in wee morning hours and be gone !!
Keeping an eye on the Tuesday into Wednesday timeframe for what could be some heavy rain, gusty winds, and even some thunderstorms.
UGH! 🙁
Hmmmm. I feel as if I shouldn’t appreciate that but we do need the rain
What a day!
Billerica has Yankee doodle tomorrow and the parade i beleive starts at 10am . do you think it will be clear by then
I’ll be in Billerica on Saturday night.
fireworks?
Yes. If I can get where I was last year I’ll be right on at the fence closer than most people were. Pyromania. 🙂
I’ll be there with my son and also with one of our blogger friends here.
i was near the baseball feild the one on the left.
now since you said this i am going to be looking around for you 🙂
It occurs to me I never actually answered your question.
By 10AM they will be dry, not sure about clear yet. We gotta get a batch of middle clouds to get out of here that may take a couple hours as the front slides to the east and the clouds truck along in a mid level wind wind that’s still a little more from the southwest.
ok
NWS out of Upton NY very bullish with their language about the Tuesday storm potential. Its way too early to be using wording like this and to me these are the statements you make 24-48 hours in advance.
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE ALWAYS DIFFERENCES IN EXACTLY WHERE THE LOW
LEVEL LOW PRES SYSTEM DEVELOPS ALONG WITH ITS AMPLIFICATION AND
SUBSEQUENT TRACK…THERE ARE GROWING SIGNALS OF AN INTENSIFYING
LOW PRES SYSTEM MOVING TO THE N-NE AND PASSING JUST WEST OF THE
AREA LATE TUESDAY.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WOULD INCLUDE SEVERE
TSTMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES…FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING
RAINFALL…STRONG GRADIENT WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING
Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz?
Which is the dominant factor that triggers fall foliage colors?
A. Temperature
B. Moisture
C. Reduction of daylight
D. Nutrients
Thanks longshot. I chose C below
Feel free to repost this on the next blog. 🙂
I am going to say temperature.
Right now rain front is racing through Newton. Pretty heavy downpour.
One shot of thunder so far.
I’ll say C reduction in light
Rain mostly through here. Was a nice rain. One clap of thunder to our east just a minute ago. Could have been the one in newton. No thunder overhead
I agree with JJ – it’s temperature.
Positive cloud to cloud lightning stroke made that thunder audible for quite some distance, including here in Woburn.
This band is it.
Not impressed with the NWS’s product this morning, for an event ongoing, the point forecast has “isolated showers” with rain chances at 20%, and the zone forecast has “scattered showers” with rain chances at 50% for this morning. Inconsistent, and both incorrect. Wording should be changed to reflect the solid band of showers, though brief, moving through the eastern zones from W to E early to mid morning.
Thanks TK 🙂