Storm Update & Forecast

213 Comments

8:24PM

Hello to all the readers! I appreciate you being here, whether you are a frequent participant, lurker, or new to the blog! Thanks for all the great comments and observations and thoughts! I appreciate them! I hope everybody is safe. I realize that some of you reading this are probably reading from a mobile device as you sit in the dark with no power. I hope you get your power restored as soon as possible.

This entry isn’t going to focus too much on what has already happened. We can read comments here, our FB pages, turn on the news, etc. etc. to see the pictures and comments. Some of us have damage in our yards or neighborhoods. Some of us are lucky to this point with not much more than a yard full of leaves. And the coast… I think we’ve seen the worst there, but not out of the woods yet (one more high tide through midnight to worry about).  I don’t think Tuesday’s noontime high tide will cause too much additional trouble. This entry is going to look at the remainder of the storm’s impact on southern New England and a peek ahead into early November.

The center of Sandy is now over NJ. The NHC forecast track was very good, and Sandy took her sharp left turn late in the afternoon and actually strengthened before landfall. This was taking place while the storm was losing tropical characteristics, but she still retains enough of those characteristics to be pulling a slug of warm, tropical air northwestward into southern New England. We have seen the band of steady rain that came across the region late in the afternoon lift to the north and be replaced by rapidly-moving convective showers. This will continue through Tuesday, with even the chance that some thunder occurs. For the next several hours (into late Monday night) these convective showers will be most numerous and will drag down strong winds from just above, and still produce some powerful and potentially damaging wind gusts across much of southern New England, even though the sustained winds will be dropping off. We’ll be seeing these winds which were northeast to east, shift more to the southeast with time. A gradual subsiding of the wind will begin later tonight and continue through Tuesday. As the center of the low pressure area spins down (weakens) slowly, it will drift northward through eastern PA and NY through Wednesday, then down the St. Lawrence Valley Thursday & Friday, not completely letting go of our area until the weekend, when high pressure will dominate.

Here is an updated forecast for eastern MA, southern NH, and RI, including a look at Halloween Night for those areas trick or treating. Some areas held their trick or treating this past Saturday, and some will likely postpone until this coming weekend due to the cleanup from the storm (I’m sure we’ll see a list of these locations soon)…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to  numerous showers, some heavy, with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Some of the most intense rain should occur 8:30PM-10:00PM in eastern MA and RI, reaching southern NH as well. Temperatures rising into the 60s and turning more humid. Wind E to SE 20-40 MPH gusting 50-60 MPH (higher in a few locations) early, diminishing gradually overnight. Coastal flooding will continue, and will increase and be moderate in vulnerable areas, especially Cape Cod and the South Coast including RI, for high tides that begin around 8PM and run through midnight depending on location.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. Mild & muggy. Highs 65-70. Wind SE 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. A few powerful gusts may still occur in isolated locations where heavier showers are.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 55-60. Wind SE 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs 63-68. Wind S 10-20 MPH gusting up to 30 MPH.

WEDNESDAY EVENING: Variably cloudy. Temperature around 60. Wind S 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 44. High 55.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 43. High 54.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 38. High 52.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 33. High 51.

213 thoughts on “Storm Update & Forecast”

  1. TK-Very solid forecast from early on. Nice Job!!

    I believe SNE weathered the storm quite well. The leaves being off the trees and lack of distressed trees had a significant favorable impact in reducing tree damage and limiting the extent of power problems.

    I don’t consider power outages to be a major long term problem and in the short term at this time of year they do not cause significant hardships for the majority of the population.

    I really thought we would see more terrain enhanced rainfall and pushed that idea and mother nature has seemingly rebuked me!

    1. Nice job TK and way to go to the Euro a week or so out. It redeemed itself from a lackluster summer with this one.

    2. Thanks TK…power back on here in my neck of the woods in Hingham…Rain is coming down like crazy with winds still gusting over 50 at times but not as bad as before.

    3. For the record, the Euro out-forecast me. I didn’t buy it for a while. Maybe I was trying to be optimistic taking the storm out to sea and looping it back as a grazing only. I knew if that Euro verified parts of the NE were in deep trouble. And that has proven true.

  2. The coastal tidal surges and south coast flooding are the most significant impacts which I think most thought would happen, but maybe got lost in all the talk about Hurricane winds. I will be interested to see the erosion damage on east facing beaches as the waters recede.

  4. Thanks, TK! And thanks for your reply to my post in the last blog.

    I think the models did very well w/their predictions. I am going to shut down my computer for the night – hoping we hold on to our electricity. I am hoping that those that lost their lights get them on soon. Have a good night and stay safe!

  5. Thanks TK.

    Yes a very good forecast overall. I thought all the bloggers did really nice job as well.

    I wonder if this is a preview of what is to come this winter?

  6. Thanks tk, I think what I will take from this storm is not the winds or the rain or even that it strengthened right before going into New Jersey but was the unprecedented left hook it took to hit New Jersey, that’s what truly amazed me, another 100 miles further north and it would have been a storm for everyone, as always be safe and have a great night 🙂

  7. TK I watched some of the TV coverage and they were excellent. But my focus was here. Exceptional job! Thank you

  10. Heavy rain here still too Vicki. Looks like the back end is coming north now though and may be tapering a little bit in the next 15 min or so at my house. Hopefully yours soon after that.

      1. Yes can’t believe what has happened in CT and NYand NJ along the coast. That is going to be the story for some time, as well as here. It could have been much worse on our east coast, even more than it has been.

  11. Thanks TK !

    No school again tomorrow, 🙁 , giving back 2 of those 3 days in late August.

    Just finished a band of torrential rain.

      1. My daughter who has been cheering having son home just asked how many days before for they lose April vacation which apparently Framingham has said it will do. All that glitters……..

    1. Yes and if the long range GFS ever tells us any storm, tropical or not, is going to track out to sea during a highly negative NAO, then it should be retired. The EURO reigns supreme.

      Once this winds down, what is there to talk about. A 990mb strong winter low is going to seem comparatively blah. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. Very true, this one is setting the bar high for a while. Having the lowest pressure north of NC being an all time record is amazing.

    1. Not hard to explain why. They may have wires under ground but I am sure they originate above ground (poles). Vicki do you know someone who benefits from the utility company’s ?

  15. Current storm surges

    The Battery, NY : +8.98 ft !!! Bridgeport, CT : 9.61 ft. Providence and Fall River’s anomoly, though +4 ft are slowly falling off thankfully.

  16. It really is amazing but I will still be excited over our winter Nor’easters. Nothing beats a 1-2 foot snow storm.

  17. Thanks for the great forecast as usual, TK!

    Heaviest rain of the day seems to be occurring in Worcester right now, but on the bright side the winds sound like they’re lessening. Power is still on but the lights have been flickering and dimming every now and then.

    1. We’ve had 2 peaks in Woburn. The 2-3PM hours were bad, and this past hour as well.

      Stay safe Christie!

  18. Question….

    Up until almost landfall, the hurricane with its convection was easy to see on the satellite.

    Then, around landfall, I fealt like the ball of convection continued inland……but a huge circulation both on radar and on infrared satellite remained / appeared.

    Anyhow, can anyone explain this idea that I’ve been hearing of a hurricane within a bigger overall noreaster ? Has anyone else heard that description the last day or few days ?

  19. STILL NO POWER, I THINK THE ENTIRE TOWN IS OUT. GETTING READY TO LEAVE FOR MY 16HR SHIFT, AT LEAST AFTER THIS I’LL BE OFF TILL MONDAY. NO SCHOOL AGAIN TOMORROW. I THINK THIS STORM HAD SOME SERIOUS PARTS TO IT, BUT AFTER STRAYING FROM MY ORIGINAL THOUGHTS, I THOUGHT IT WOULD BE WORSE. SO HAPPY IT WAS NOT. I THINK CHARLIE STUCK TO HIS GUNS AND AGAIN DID GOOD.

    4. John, I still don’t have power either. Most of Norton, my side of Easton, and my moms part of Attleboro are all still in the dark.

      1. THY CANT PUT A GUY UP IN THE BUCKET IN THIS WIND. THAT WILL SLOW THE PROCESS DOWN. SORRY ABOUT THESE CAPS.

        1. The director of emergency planning at National Grid said they will put a guy in a bucket unless the wind exceeds 65 MPH. That’s nuts. I think it should be 40 MPH limit.

  20. I don’t try to be insensitive or smug as 1 person said but I just try to be real but sometimes come off kinda brash, the storm came in slightly more than I thought but wasn’t anything I haven’t seen before, now on the immediate coast there are a ton more worries,, but I always tend to focus how it is here not 30 miles away, anyways it’s onto the next storm which I hope is a big snowstorm 🙂

    2. I’m glad you qualified the comments, Charlie. While it is true that some inland areas, including yours, saw nothing much more than some of our most intense northeasters, as you noted, there are areas that have seen far worse. I just saw a picture of a house knocked off foundation by storm surge in RI. I’m seeing photos from NYC & NJ. It’s bad. Streets in NYC are underwater. Coney Island is submerged. It’s bad down there, folks.

      1. Lots of our coastal communities are under water and still have at least one high tide to go. But it wasn’t just the coast. A roof was blown off a condo in Waltham. Amazing really—Waltham and this wasn’t a hurricane. What do you call a storm that isn’t a hurricane but is as destructive as one? Superstorm. Is that top strong ?

        And on a good note – Emily can spend the morning sunbathing in the beach endicott doesn’t open till noon. 😀

        And darn we just lost power but it came back again.

  21. Charlie there is more than just your area when looking at a forecast. Be real for the whole area not just your neighborhood. You do a great job overall.

  22. NY is taking a beating beyond anything they have ever seen. So there is more to it besides your immediate neighborhood.

    1. I saw a report that said that and that it was getting into the subway but not from a legit news source. I hope not

    3. I just heard a reporter fromWNBC deny that report. There are many flooded roads and basements in lower manhattan and some subway stations have as much as 4 feet of water in them but the actual stock exchange floor is elevated and was not affected. TWC is showing some amazing flooding photos from lower manhattan.

  24. For those who have lost power (not me so far) it is going to be one long dark night. Tomorrow’s sunrise isn’t until 7:15 am…UGH! 🙁

    I will be so glad when we go back to Standard Time this Sunday when the sunrises will be an hour earlier…at least for a little while. 🙂

    1. Interestingly, it was getting bright outside thru the window. I got excited cuz I thought it was Nat Grid coming to fix the lines. Looked out and it was the light from the moon thru a break it the clouds

  27. We have taken a beating in CT. 600,000 out of power now exceeds outages during Gloria and approaching outage levels during Irene. Lots of tree carnage and debris strewn about. The flooding in Bridgeport has now exceeded the hurricane of 1938 and broken an all time record. Just heard Long Island sound storm surge levels are equivalent to that of a cat 4 hurricane.

    1. Terrible situation on the long island sound in CT. People trapped in houses with no way out. Fires burning in houses and people did not evacuate. I just don’t get why people don listen.

  28. Terrible situation unfolding in NY and NJ. Subway system is taking on water and yes the NYSE is taking on water.

  30. See my post above. Actual NYSE floor is elevated and not under water according to WNBC. It was a false rumor

  35. Unfortunately 10 deaths now from the storm, 4 in NJ, 5 in NY, and one here in CT that occurred just a few miles away from us in mansfield where a tree fell on a house, killing a man and injuring two others.

  36. Peak wind gusts (mph) by State from NWS. An amazing storm!

    MA: Wellfleet 81
    RI: Westerly 86
    CT: Madison 85
    NY: Eatons Neck 94
    NJ: Surf City 89
    PA: Allentown 81 (well inland!)
    DE: Wilmington 56
    MD: Point Lookout 74
    DC: The Mall 60
    VA: Chester Gap 79
    WV: Ranson 65

  38. The (rain) cell passing through right now is travelling at a high rate of speed — I thought I just heard Melissa (BZ) say it was moving at 50 MPH. Not sure I got that one correctly.

  39. Surprisingly we did not loose our power in Hanover but I know 15% of the town has. I am shocked to see how little damage was caused in my yard. We had maybe three branches of 1″ in diameter. With Irene we were completely covered with branches and trees. I think the winds were a lot stronger with Sandy than Irene in my area but most of the weak branches fell last year.

    Does the GFS look cold to anyone?

    1. Perfect description Coastal and seeing same here…….stronger winds, less damage, but I understand about 2,000 Marshfield residents and 2 schools are without power. The biggest change vs Irene was the storm surge. The salt marsh at the end of our road was a lake yesterday.

  40. The surge’s continue and based on how the winds are changing direction, different locations are now seeing surge……

    Reedy Point, Deleware : + 4.82 ft. Delaware City, DE : + 4.95 ft.

    Unfortunately for NYC….the max surge and lowest pressure aligned exactly at high tide. At least the water level anomoly at the Battery has dropped down to 2 ft.

  41. Nowcasting….looking at the satellite/radar loop……lots of showers/storms coming. TWC saying a severe thunderstorm watch area may be designated for New England.

  42. Good Morning to all and hope everyone made it through Sandy safely. Some debris and branches in my yard this morning, but nothing compared to the magnitude of damage areas to our south are experiencing. My thoughts are with them!

  43. Good Morning. No damage in our yard either and no power outage on our street. NSTAR worked hard to fix the problem that had caused our outages during Irene and Halloween storm – even to our losing power a week or so after Halloween. Whatever they did must have done the trick. Our power went out several times but only because of surges somewhere else because we came back online immediately.

    We had a torrential downpour that literally came from nowhere about 4:00 am and left a half an inch of rain in a matter of maybe 15 minutes. It left as fast as it arrived pulling all of the clouds with it so that the moon was lighting up our room.

    1. Glad to hear you didn’t lose power for any length of time. Same here in Brighton, only once for about 15 minutes. I feel for those who weren’t as fortunate.

  44. Vicki and shotime, glad you didn’t get any long loss of power or any bad damage. Our lights never went out but were flickering and dimming all afternoon into the early evening. We did lose our cable and the internet for a few hrs. in the aft.

    Vicki – I heard that rain around 4:00, too. It really poured hard. Right now it is raining again. And the sky just a few mins. ago looked really strange as it was very bright to the northwest – like it was sunset. But now it is just cloudy all over. The skies will be changeable, I guess today along with occasional heavy showers. I wonder if it will thunder.

    1. Same thing here rainshine and you are right about the odd looking sky – a little pre-halloween creepy I’d say.

  46. I really enjoy all the information here even though I don’t know a lot about weather. It seems that one thing that is or will be different about many people’s experience of Sandy is that this storm lived up to, or even exceeded the forecasts. Frequently it seems that the major media forecasts are like episodes of the old “Scooby Doo” cartoon where the old guy in the sailor’s hat gives dire warnings of danger that never pan out. I have not seen one single blog or complaint this morning that Sandy was “over hyped.” for a New England storm THAT is really different.

  47. Sun is out in Sudbury! On tv awhile ago, I think TWC the sun was out in Narraganset, RI w/ blue sky.

  48. Going to be band of fast moving showers of varying intensity throughout the day. Winds should be much lighter averaging around 20 mph region wide.

    The Tri-State area has really taken the brunt of the destruction from this storm. The tidal flooding did extensive damage. It will be interesting to watch how fast NYC can get its utility and transportation infrastructure back up and running. They have amazing elaborate pre-planned recovery operations in place. I think you will be surprised at how well the city responds to Sandy’s destruction. NJ and CT coast lines have less resources available and they may not get the immediate attention those areas deserve. We will see. West Virginia mountain snow continues to pile up. I would expect 18-24″ in a lot of that region.

    As for us- GFS ENS and ECMWF ENS both hint at cooler and drier patterns in the midterm with a couple of shots some significantly colder air around November 4th and again around November 10th, before the ECMWF ENS hints at a return to rising heights and warmer temps after that. During the colder periods it hints at a low coming out of the Tennessee Valley and ejecting itself off the Carolina Coast but staying well south of the region and out to sea.

        2. Same with mine, we were dealing with flooding during my wedding and it was held next to a river! 🙂

          1. I love the snow but I hope it could hold off until I get the leaves raked and bagged. After that I hope
            we get a lot of snow!

          2. Long ways away, but if I had to offer an opinion cool and dry on the 10th. Perhaps some rain coming on the 11th. By the way i absolutely hate any forecast longer than 5 days! It is not worth the time it takes to produce it.

  50. No power in Andover, went out during the night for the 2nd time. Set up the generator and headed off to framingham. 3 large trees on wires within a quarter mile from home. Will be a while I think.
    Strange ride down 495, rain, sun, both….
    Tj

  51. Wind Advisory still up for SNE. I would not be surprised to see some more branches come down across parts of the region.
    For those who do not have power I hope it returns soon. At least temps won’t be too cold.

      1. There is a general risk for thunderstorms according to the storm prediction center. There is just enough instablity
        but to me there looks to be nothing severe should anything develop.

  53. Got into work this morning and realized I had blue socks on with black pants. Getting ready for work in the dark is not fun. I will never take electricity for granted again 🙁

    1. I think it blew them onto my lawn and now they are so wet they are not going anywhere!!!

      And AceMaster – hahahahaha!!

      1. yeah, you’re done now Vicki. wet leaves this time of year tend to stay put.

        Sounds like AceMaster has a sock situation he has to get through before he gets to the leaves. 🙂

  55. Awful destruction in the New York and New Jersey area. This said, I think the precautions and preparations prior to Sandy were carried out competently for the most part. I’m amazed that we’ve only lost 26 people in a storm of this magnitude.
    I realize that the number will likely go up. But, forgotten in all the reporting on this storm is how well we as a nation did. For all the criticism that our President gets (some deserved, some not), I think he also did a commendable job, and our Governors in states along the Eastern Seaboard did, too. Obama’s lengthy conference call with Governors from at least 8 states this past Saturday was hardly reported on in the media. He could have politicized the event and had camera’s rolling, as I’m sure someone like Clinton or Bush would have, but instead chose a methodological approach. I’m also pleased that Romney did not politicize this crisis.

    1. Very well said, Joshua. I listened to Gov Christie this morning and he could not say enough about President Obama and how he had everything in place needed to start picking up the pieces. I also thought Gov Patrick did an exceptional job in his addresses. If only we could go forward and put the same energy into working together as a country. Clearly we can do it.

      1. You’re right, Vicki. My preference for Obama aside, I’m hopeful that whomever we get as President will be a pragmatist and not an ideologue. Both Obama and Romney strike me as pragmatists. It’s the area where they mutually respect one another most. At least, this is my sense of the two men. Cable news on both the left and right tends to distort our views of politics and politicians. And this is too bad. When America comes together to solve problems – compromises where needed – we all do better.

        TK – I know this is a weather blog, and I will refrain from further political statements.

  57. Hello All,

    Back to the office today with 11AM opening and promptly was summoned to a meeting. (not storm related) Ugh!

    Great forecast by TK. I think we dodged a bullet in our area, but not so South of
    here from CT to DL.

    We never lost power. Top wind gusts “may” have approached
    60mph, but mostly in the 40s with some in the 50s. Top winds were about 2PM
    to 6PM. Last evenings convection did not bring strong winds in my area. All in all,
    we were lucky. I feel for those folks in NYC and NJ.

    Currently watching convection firing SE of us.

    SPC has us in a 2% chance of tornadoes. I seriously doubt any of that would materialize, but watching just the same.

  60. A very impressive storm and one that is going to be talked about for a long time. The pictures on the Jersey shore are unreal.
    The negative NAO making for this storm to take that hard left turn instead of going out to sea. If this negative NAO holds during the winter things could get very interesting around these parts.

  61. Good afternoon all. Hope everybody is having a good day. Continue to send good thoughts to our neighbors to the south for their recovery. It’s nice to see a tremendous amount of help heading into the region already.

    I’ll be catching up on comments and site admin this afternoon. Carving some pumpkins tonight. 🙂

      1. Hi Vicki…. I might have missed this with all the posts but who came closest with landfall with Sandy???

        1. Work was nuts today and I never even had chance to see where she finally made landfall. Was it Atlantic City or someplace more specific??

  62. NWS website problems:

    A cut fiberoptic line belonging to a commercial phone company has disrupted websites serving the Easter Region. As this issue is being resolved, we are now operating our websites in backup mode.

    1. Amazing how one line can cause so much trouble…

      Back in the 1970s my father spent months over many trips installing fiber optic lines under the streets of Los Angeles. Fiber optics were invented in my home town. 🙂

      1. Yes, Fiber is great, until some **** cuts the line.

        In my past job, a careless contractor cut a line servicing
        our office and it took them a long time to repair it.

  64. These were the final guesses – I apologize if I missed any

    Alisonarod Commack NY
    Merlin Long Island and into Bridgeport CT
    Keith-Hingham Jones Beach NY
    Tom Block Island RI
    Hadi Brick NJ
    Rainshine Monmouth, NJ
    Vicki Toms River, NJ
    JimmyJames Belmar, NJ
    Mark Monmouth Beach, NJ
    Old Salty Ocean Pines, MD
    Matt CT/long island/ny
    Coastal Shirley, NY
    Shotime Narragansett, RI
    Sue Somers Point, NJ
    Joshua Ocean City, MD
    Captain Islip, NY
    North Asbury Park, NJ
    TK Asbury Park, NJ
    Charlie Virginia Beach, VA
    Christia Rumson, NJ
    Tjammer Charlestown, RI
    AceMaster Ocean City, MD
    JMA Long Beach Island, NJ
    Scott 77 Brooklyn, NY
    Philip Washington DC
    Retrac Islip, NY

    1. Is JMA closest with Long Beach Island, NJ??

      With of course the runner up being the person who guessed Tom’s River, NJ???

  67. The winner was Sue with Somers Point, NJ! Landfall location from what I saw was just north of Sea Isle City, NJ (or about 10 miles south of Somers Point). JMA was runner up with Long Beach Island.

    1. And the rest of us were LOSERS! i was hoping TK would be correct, then
      we could have nick named the storm “Bruce” or the “Springsteen Storm”! Or the “E Stret Storm” or something along those lines.

      1. To give you an idea where this is, please see this map:

        http://mapq.st/TSx3zx

        86th Street is a station on the BMT Fourth Avenue Line of the New York City Subway, located at 86th Street and Fourth Avenue in Bay Ridge, Brooklyn. It is served by the R train at all times.

        This underground station, opened on April 14, 1916, has two tracks and a single island platform

  70. Everything’s normal here, but my condolences go out to the people in nj and NYC, we got more rain than I anticipated from the storm, also it appears the lake is slightly above normal now 1st time in a while, have a good night everyone, no prolonged cold that I can see for at least the next few weeks that I can see 🙂

        1. My daughter just said there are a lot in MA too. Guess we are not close to being back to normal. I hope everyone gets his power back. And if you want to transfer the lack of power here im receiving.

  71. IVE HAD ENOUGH AND HAVE NOT EVEN BEEN HERE, WHERE IS MY POWER. WELL AT LEAST I CAN LIGHT A FIRE. WELL SOMEONE HEARD ME, BACK ON.

  73. Has anyone’s town postponed trick or treat? Framingham did not last year and will not postpone again this year

    1. Not that I know of Vicki. My town postponed last year but there were still a lot of kids that went out. Its tough to get the word out to everyone esp with something like halloween. Some people either dont get the newspaper and/or dont watch the news, there would be no way to know.

      1. I know Sudbury did last year. My grandson went there for a second Halloween :). We have reverse 911 so it makes it easier here

      2. There’s towns that try to postpone or delay and it never works, what happens is you have 2 3rds of the town goes out on Halloween no matter what and the people that r townys or close to the town don’t get the postponement or delay it’s best to keep Halloween on Halloween 🙂

        2. For one the reverse 911 saying there are still lots of live wires down so watch when trick or treating doesn’t convince me it’s best.

          1. We go to the same 60-70 homes every year, no problems here, a matter of fact I really had to look and search to find a tree down, haven’t seen down wires, north Attleboro feared well during the storm, good luck b safe, and no shaving cream 🙂

    2. Between work and following this storm for a week, I feel like the end of October and Halloween have snuck up on me. Thursday is November 1st !!

  74. Woo Hoo!!! It is very rare that I win. Hmmmmm….maybe I am on a roll and should submit my snowfall guess. How about 106.3 inches? :-). I’d make a lot of the bloggers here happy if I won with that guess.

    1. Yes, looks like the strongest line of the day and has some bright white cloud tops on the infrared satellite.

  76. On the news tonight, I saw a story about the HMS Bounty, a replica tall ship that was evidently used in one of the Pirates of the Carribean Movies.

    It sunk off of the NC coastline. It was evidently sailing from CT to Florida, having taken off late last week.

    The crew of 16, I believe, had to abandon ship. Unfortunately, one of those sailing died and the captain is still missing at sea.

  78. surprise old man winter knocking in later this week. and possibly early next week before warming up again. National weather service has a mix batch of precipitation falling tuesday.

    1. Yes, an impressive line of showers and storms just south of the Vineyard, heading north. Yellows and even red echos on the radar.

    2. Matt Noyes: Broadcast Meteorologist
      Flash Flood WARNINGs up for Bristol, Plymouth Counties MA til 10PM. Use caution, don’t drive thru flood water

  80. I cant quite wrap my head around the images were seeing from NY and NJ…..

    I’m watching TWC and they are showing video that specifically shows a helicopter view of the storm surge. A shot of boats, now on dry land, but moved well inland. Footage of water still trapped in many coastal communities……its footage I’d expect to see on the Gulf Coast, the southeast US Coast, Florida or the Caribbean……..but NJ and NYC….and the fact that there was a 14 ft storm surge in those areas. Testament to that 940 mb pressure.

      1. Old Salty.

        I keep looking at the radar you posted above…….I have no idea if it is, but it almost looks like a bow echo moving onto the southwestern part of Cape Cod.

  81. We just lost power. Heard transformer explode. I have limited cell service in house but will watch here as I don’t like sound of bow echo on cape

  82. Here comes the thunder….

    Severe thunderstorm warning….capable of producing 60 mph wind gusts, headed straight for the south shore.

  87. Just looking at the infrared satellite…..

    Looks like there’s more convective type showers down out over the ocean south of the eastern third of New England….wonder if its going to be a night with waves of showers/storms.

  90. One flash of lightning and .09 of rain in that most recent band. I guess we escaped the worst of it. Hope all of you to the east of me made it through ok with the wind and hail. Total for the storm of 2.6 inches so far.

  92. One of the strikes I got to see the bolt, 1/4 mile NW, blue & white sparkle bolt followed 1 second later by a very loud blast of thunder. The rain was intense but short lived. The wind gusts were in the 35-40 MPH range from the south.

    It’s moving rapidly away to the N now.

  95. I heard on TV that the last time the NYSE closed for two days in a row was during the Great Blizzard of 1888 and the last time NYC was totally flooded out was after Hurricane Donna in 1960.

    1960…the year I was born. 🙂

    If I am not mistaken, Donna was the last hurricane to strike the east coast for quite some time…more than a decade.

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