The Week Ahead

51 Comments

10:52PM

Heading into the new week, it looks much the same as described on the previous post. Indian Summer weather will be the theme of Monday (which is a holiday for some people). Tuesday will be a day of transition as a cold front slides west to east through the region. Showery weather should be occurring mainly during the first half of the day with the front. This front may be a bit slow to clear the coast with clouds lingering there early Wednesday, otherwise the middle and end of the week will feature dry weather with a seasonable chill as high pressure is in general control.

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

MONDAY: Areas of low clouds and patchy fog into mid morning, a sunny interval late morning into mid afternoon, then clouds increasing by late day. Highs 65-70 except 60-65 South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers after midnight. Lows 50-55. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Showers in the morning. Highs 55-60 early then cooling toward 50. Wind S 5-15 MPH in the morning shifting to NW from midday on.

WEDNESDAY: Early clouds Cape Cod & Islands otherwise sunny. Low 33. High 48.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Low 29. High 46.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Low 29. High 45.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 28. High 47.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 29. High 49.

51 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

  3. Thanks TK. Hoping the weather cooperates for our big Thanksgiving parade in Plymouth on Saturday. It is such a great parade.

    1. Looks great so far. Maybe chilly but…. Thanksgiving parades would fit right in to a seasonably chilly day. I’m sure you can handle that as long as it’s not stormy. 🙂

      1. Chilly is fine…..just no rain. We’ve been very lucky the last few years. My coworkers and I will be carrying all of the banners in the parade. I always hope we aren’t right behind the Clydesdales!

        1. Have you ever had Thanksgiving dinner at Plymouth Plantation? It’s one of those things I always thought would be fun but just never have done.

  4. Thanks TK !!

    Foggy down on the south shore…..hoping the sun is able to burn it off reasonable quickly this morning.

    One common thing both the EURO and GFS have over the next few weeks is that the very cold air is held at bay in the northernmost part of Canada. It will be interesting to see what evolves along the east coast in about 7 to 10 days.

  9. from NWS:

    BEYOND SATURDAY…
    HAVE REDUCED CONFIDENCE IN THE FCST WITH THE LACK OF RUN-TO-RUN
    CONSISTENCY. BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF DO SUGGEST A WAVE ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC. ITS EVOLUTION REMAINS IN QUESTION. WILL CONCEDE A BLEND OF THE FCST WITH THE CONTINUED ANTICIPATION OF A DEEPENING SFC LOW IN PROXIMITY OF THE ERN CONUS.

          1. Long range 12z GFS showing a major pattern flip, pretty much back to where we were.
            It should get interesting here after thanksgiving.

    2. There’s a company that does a forecast out to about 3 years, day by day. Yes, it’s true.

      It used to be free to access but I believe it went to a pay site.

      Why would you pay for that? Gee I think I’ll have a bbq on July 14 2015. Let me check the weather!

      1. Idk u heard about the man that wanted to sell water back 50yrs ago and the other guy said hey stupid people aren’t gonna buy water!! Waters free!! Today there’s 3B in selling water, take it easy TC 😉

  12. Clouds moving in rather quickly here – still can see blue between. Temp still 61. As long as it holds long enough to sit by the fire pit and cook dinner on the grill, I’m happy!!

  17. I think today’s 12z Euro is locked into the pattern we’ll see next week.

    And this may also be a hint of the winter to come. Storms that sit offshore, usually just too far south, but close enough that something ocean-related takes place.

  19. How about this in the real long range!! Would be sweet

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fgfs%2F20121112%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_336_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&fcast=336&model=GFS&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&cycle=11%2F12%2F2012+18UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=45&scrolly=0&nextImage=yes

  20. Interestingly enough in spite of -NAO coming back soon, the CPC has above normal temps pretty much coast-to-coast for the next two weeks.

    1. Theres just no cold air to draw from. I havent checked the AO forecast but Im guessing its positive. Forgot where it was but I read an interesting post a couple weeks ago about teleconnections. Lately, when the NAO has been negative, the AO has been positive. Not sure how common this is, but could explain the above normal temps despite the -NAO

      2. The AO went positive last week, and it has shown drastic changes to the pattern. It should go back negative after Thanksgiving.
        If one looks at the PNA, it’s been negative, and will stay negative. We want that positive for a good east coast storm.
        Also the MJO has just gone into the circle of death, which means it has no effect on this pattern. I think that will be a key player going forward, so something to keep a sharp eye on. I will be studying it this winter, should be fun.

  22. Good morning. Nice downpour came through Woburn about 7:20AM. Came in like a wall after a very threatening sky.

    Blog is updated!

Comments are closed.