Ocean Punch

76 Comments

7:25AM

High pressure rebuilds to the north of New England today with a northeasterly wind flow keeping it much cooler and also sending areas of low clouds across eastern and southeastern MA and parts of RI today and possibly over Cape Cod and the Islands into Saturday. High pressure settles a bit more to the south allowing it to warm up somewhat during the course of the weekend, but the dry pattern will continue. There may be an interruption to this dry stretch sometime next week, but that will depend on how much moisture can work in as an upper level cut off low tries to lift northward from the Mid Atlantic. Timing for this appears to be late Tuesday through early Thursday of next week, but timing with such systems is always hard to pin down so watch for adjustments and a continued lower than average confidence forecast beyond the weekend.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Variable amounts of low cloudiness eastern and southeastern MA into RI at times with more sun elsewhere. Highs 50-55 coast to 55-60 inland. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Areas of low clouds crossing southeastern MA especially Cape Cod and the Islands otherwise mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Wind NE to E 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny with additional low clouds Cape Cod / Islands, sunny elsewhere. Highs ranging from middle 50s immediate coast to middle 60s well inland. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH turning more E near the coast.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Wind light variable.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs upper 50s immediate coast to near 70 well inland. Wind variable 5-15 MPH with sea breezes.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 48. High 70.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Watch for risk of rain southern and eastern locations by late. Low 51. High 67.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Risk of rain mainly south and east. Low 53. High 65.

THURSDAY:  Variably cloudy. Risk of rain or showers mainly southeast early. Low 55. High 65.

76 thoughts on “Ocean Punch”

  1. Thanks TK – the map of temps sure told the story this morning with warmer temps in western NE compared to the cooler temps here.

  4. Thanks Tk, that’s what we’re having at the pool party next weekend,, ocean punch

  5. Thanks TK for the snow photo from Minnesota. 🙂 I always felt that had the core of the cold shifted a few hundred miles east that could have easily been us.

    Oh well…maybe next April (or May). 😈

    2. That kind of core cold has visited many a time in May. It is very rare qhen it combines with heavy enough precipitation coinciding with its peak resulting in frozen precipitation, hence very few instances of recorded measurable snow and/or sleet in the month of May. But of course 5-9/5-10 1977 stands out as the big anomaly and 5-18 in 2002 stands out as the abnormally late one.

    1. He’s wonderful, thank you for asking 🙂

      How is Mittens and did your son’s allergies clear up I hope???

      1. So glad to hear it. How’s the big brother doing with the change? I know my older son had a tough time when I brought his little brother home from the hospital. 🙂

        Mittens is one crazy kitty but she is a lot of fun. She is very tolerable of my boys who are always picking her up and engaging her in some type of play. Kev’s allergies are much better which was a huge relief.

        1. Tristan seems to be doing very well….that will not be the rule I am sure. Mom and dad are doing a really good job making sure he gets lots of attention.

          I’m so glad Kevin’s allergies are better. It would have been very difficult for him. Nice that they are enjoying Mittens and she is enjoying them. It’s amazing how tolerant cats can be.

  7. Once again CPC has above normal precipitation in the 6-10 and 8-14 day periods and once again I do not agree with them. They have been wrong with this forecast better than 50% of the time since back in the winter.

    2. Hmmmm we need something fun to watch for. My money is on your forecast TK. Of course if I lose it all at the derby party tomorrow that won’t help. Ill have to check the derby forecast.

    1. I’d be willing to bet nothing except a snowball in the freezer. 😛

    1. Probably not much from a decaying upper with little support. Diurnal activity firing around the old circulation instead of a widespread overrunning style rain.

  11. TK, do you have any early thoughts of the upcoming summer in terms of HHH, thunderstorms, and tropical activity (major hurricanes)?

    I myself would prefer none of the above although we certainly need a good rain producer at some point soon.

    1. Early thoughts:

      Drought develops through July with above normal temps and below normal precip. Not a long-term severe drought, but one that will be significant for the season if it pans out the way I think it may. We’ll have a few fronts with showers/storms during this time but probably a great lack of widespread soaking rain. HHH will probably get going after it starts as a drier heat. August turns tropical and the drought breaks. Not sure about landfalling tropical storms and/or hurricanes just yet. Always possible especially if we get into a Bermuda High setup.

      1. Thanks TK…sounds like this summer will have pretty much everything I don’t like. Based on what you describe, these daily seabreezes will become fewer and fewer with time as we get towards the summer season with quite frequent uncomfortable temps and humdity…UGH! No doubt I will be looking forward to fall to say the least. lol. 😀

        1. If we are hot enough and dry enough we may see less than average t-storm activity at least for a while. Remains to be seen how that will play out.

  12. Lovely night with a very controlled fire, oldies on pandora and testing the mint juleps for tomorrow’s derby party which of course is a must. Goldfinches have gotten quite yellow in the past week.

  13. Not only do I see some light showers and rain for midweek but late next week and into the weekend there is a potential for a good soaker, as I agree Tk that the CPC is wrong 50% of the time as of late but think they r right this time, hope all is well, just finished mowing 🙂

    1. No mowing yet around here but maybe this weekend or early in the week. I was thinking of burning my lawn tonight. Might help 🙂

      1. Wow!! I’ve applied 1 fertilizer w/crabgrass reducer on March 28th, a lime app on 04/01/13, and applied my 2nd fertilizer w/ a crabgrass reducer on 04/25/13, it’s the 5th time I’ve mowed, looks like a golf course 🙂

          1. We do have a couple of neighbors who have immaculate lawns. They have not mowed. We used to but I don’t like chemicals when the kids play on the lawn all of the time. Easy decision for us really so I shouldn’t complain

            1. For sure Vicki ESP with kids, but a high nitrogen fert should really jump start your lawn

              1. Tx Charlie. Its nice and green but has some funky big weeds popping Up and a big bare spot at one corner. We will weed treat the front lawn and just keep the kids off

    2. The Euro would have you believe there may be some soaking rain around the 11th but I’m not sure I buy that solution at this point.

  15. Feels like a mid Oct morning out there, 41.6 degrees sunny, expecting highs today to be in the 60’s at my house,, Tk I think u forgot to insert high temps for sat in your detailed forecast, o well

  16. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    How long could a single bolt of lightning power a 100 watt light bulb?

    A. 3 hours
    B. 3 days
    C. 3 months
    D. 3 years

    I managed to get another one wrong!

  18. What a day again today. This has been and continues to be an amazing stretch of weather! I know it has been dry, but we really can’t beat this stretch of weather of you like comfortable temps and don’t like the triple H.

  20. Good morning all. Still around, but remain insanely busy.

    Here is something interesting from the NWS:

    https://fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash4/262545_441763222584721_959335656_n.png

    Btw, this supports my contention that Boston weather records should NOT ever ever
    be kept at Logan airport. It has never been so evident as with this past and continuing
    stretch of beautiful weather. I’m located 5 or 6 miles from Logan and the difference in temperature is incredible. It could be 54 at Logan and 68 here. Insanity in my opinion. Makes ZERO sense!!!

    The only good thing I can say is that this stretch has rapidly warmed the ocean
    surface temperatures. It will probably take a dive with our first NW wind. 😀

    Hmmm it was 51 the other day….

    BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA
    (44013) 42.346N 70.651W
    Last Updated: May 4 2013, 7:50 am EDT
    Sat, 04 May 2013 07:50:00 -0400
    Temperature: 46.6 °F (8.1 °C)
    Dewpoint: 42.1 °F (5.6 °C)
    Wind: Northeast at 11.2 MPH (9.72 KT)
    Wind Chill: 41 F (5 C)
    MSL Pressure: 1027.8 mb
    Water Temperature: 47.5 °F (8.6 °C)
    Wave Height: 1.5 m (4.92 ft)
    Dominant Period: 10 sec
    Average Period: 6.7 sec
    Mean Wave Direction: East (96 °)

    2. Records have been kept at Logan since 1936. Up until then they were kept at Boston Common. I absolutely agree with you on that OS.

    3. Hi OS. VERY nice to see you and I hope things slow down for you soon. At least work picked a quiet weather time but we miss you still.

  23. Given that lightning bolts are not all the same intensity, I’ll assume they mean “average” and go with C, even though I think it would be closer to 2 months, but that’s getting picky. 🙂

  24. Having records taken at Logan in March,April, and May gives people like Tk and others fake reasons on why Boston stays in the 50’s in spring when in realitity the majority of us are in the 60’s-70’s everyday, my average high temp here for April 15th is 61-62 degrees, but at Logan on the 15th it’s 56-57, it’s funny but we new engkander a know its much milder just inland, a daily occurrence almost everyday during Mar and April, April highs at my house reach 60+ degrees 14 times in April, 70+ 4 times, and in the 50’s 9 times, and the high low temp was 40 degrees, and this was the month we had snow potential after snow potential 🙂 enjoy the day

    2. I live 8 miles straight inland and I don’t have very many 70+ days in April in my records, going back to 1978.

      There are no fake reasons here. I always have noted that Logan is different from the rest of Boston. It’s not representative of where the majority of people live that live within the sections of “Boston”. I have never disputed this. But official records are for Logan. Talk to the government about that one. 🙂

      You are also false in stating (or alluding to) that I or anyone else said this is the month we have snow potential after snow potential. This is indicating that I am calling for snow several times, when in fact, it is a climate-based statement, not a sensible (daily) weather forecast discussion.

    3. Charlie the averages I posted a while ago for the past 30 years were from Bedford MA and they were not in the 60/70 area. The average low was consistently around mid 30s. With all due respect your numbers are not correct. While Logan is different and I don’t think a good representation, its not the huge difference you think

      1. For kicks I checked the avg mean temps in Boston and north Attleboro for April. Boston was 49 and NA was 47. To date in may Boston is 51 and NA is 52.

  25. Ok, I’m gonna throw this out there to see if I’m being an insensitive jerk or if my annoyance is justified.

    Is anyone else sick of seeing “Extreme Weather” as a headline on networks now? I mean, isn’t it all weather. Even an F5 tornado, a blizzard and a hurricane are really just “weather” aren’t they? A sunny calm day is weather. It’s all weather!

    And I’m not talking about not recognizing tragic loss of life and property either. That to me is another story.

    1. You’re not the only one that feels this way, nor do I consider it insensitive. Weather is weather. It has the ability to be very gentle and very violent. Sometimes we are in the way, either by accident or on purpose, or somewhere in between. Tragic weather events happen. It’s the way of it.

      I do not believe weather needs to be the the headline story nearly every day, unless perhaps you are The Weather Channel (leaving out commentary on how I currently feel about that network).

  26. I will never ever diss spring again. Promise. This stretch has been unbelievable. I don’t think I’ve ever experienced such spring delight in terms of weather (my life is stressed otherwise!). Unfortunately all good things must come to an end. It does look like an unsettled period is coming. My ex-wife (mother of my two children) is coming to visit the Boston area to be with my kids. She’s flying in from Holland on Thursday. I had hoped for her sake (yes, I do still like my ex as a friend) that she’d get to enjoy this weather. Oh well, she’s here for a couple of weeks. I’m sure some good weather will come her way.

    By the way, my daughter Lisa has enjoyed her prolonged winter out there in Minnesota. Snow, snow, and more snow this week, last week, the week before. She sent me some great pictures.

  27. These green worms that hang on sunny sides of some of the trees are becoming a problem

    1. Haven’t seen any up here yet, but I’m sure they will appear. Leaves are FINALLY starting to come out in more vigor on most of the trees. They seemed to just hang for about a week without making much progress.

    2. Magnificent. Isn’t it the most beautiful time of year? Of course I think I say that about every new season;)

  30. Awhile ago, 55 at the house. Drove 2.5 miles SW and it was up to 57.
    NE wind is BRUTAL out there!

    Here is something from channel 4:

    WBZ Weather
    Liked · 39 minutes ago

    A cool marine airmass sits in place across Eastern MA this afternoon with a light East wind…temps are only in the 50’s. Cool at the beaches Lwr 50’s. Once outside 495, temps are much warmer…60’s and lwr 70’s. A gorgeous day overall…just a bit cool at the coast

    https://fbcdn-sphotos-c-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash3/947036_466693000073019_2041456410_n.jpg

  31. 12, 20, 8, 3, 15, 16, 9, 5, 2, 14, 17, 19, 18, 10, 11, 4, 7, 13, 6

    Full order of finish prediction for the Kentucky Derby…

    1. 16, 4, 3, 5, 6, 2, 11, 17, 15, 7, 9, 10, 19, 14, 12, 18, 8, 20, 13

      Actual order of finish…

      I’ll stick to weather.

      BTW I had Orb all week until I changed the pick today due to the muddy track. Wrong move.

      1. My daughter – the equestrian – watched every horse run, read all stats studied riders and trainers and once again got the winner. Just returned from her derby party which she has every year. She and my husband cleaned up – we bet dollars. I bet in a very scientific manner. I chose the 6 horse. My birthday is in the 6th month. I always thought my daughter would be a great jockey although I didnt want her to be so a female jockey appealed to me. And they call her Rosie riveter. My mom called me Rosie riveter cause I had an argument or comment for everything

        Ok ill pause here while you all laugh…..my mom was right huh???

        Anyway my scientific method didnt work 🙁

  32. It was quite a muddy track with the rain at the Kentucky Derby today. I am not a horse racing fan but I do watch the Derby, The Preakness, and the Belmont if there is a chance of having a triple crown winner which has not happened since Affirmed in 1978.

    1. I watch those 3 races and the Breeders Cup. Sometimes I’ll catch a few others.

    2. Oddly we are not fans of racing either. Or maybe its not too odd. Very bad for the horses. The last barn where my daughter had her horses and where she taught had a big derby party every year so its more about the food and mint juleps and a lot about recognizing what a tremendous athlete the horse is.

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