Heat Week

83 Comments

10:08AM

It’s time for the heat again, starting today in some areas and in pretty much all areas Monday through Thursday, hanging on in many Friday, before easing slightly next weekend. That’s a capsule of the coming week plus. A full discussion will follow later with The Week Ahead post but for now here is an updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms possible especially late afternoon or early evening but most areas rain-free. Humidity rising. Highs in the 80s, may hold in the 70s some immediate coastal areas and may approach 90 interior valleys. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. A few patches of fog. Muggy. Lows 65-70. Wind light variable.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight chance of isolated thunderstorms late day. Highs around 90, cooler some beaches. Wind variable to NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy each with a risk of a few isolated thunderstorms mainly late afternoons and early evenings. Lows 64-74, warmest urban areas. Highs 84-94, coolest some coastal areas with most areas 90+.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Thunderstorms late. Low 70. High 90.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Showers early. Low 66. High 88.

83 thoughts on “Heat Week”

    1. Thanks TK.
      Longshot I made a comment on that on the previous blog about that severe potential later in the week. When the storm prediction center highlights a region beyond the day 3 outlook there is at least a 30% chance or greater of severe weather. So many things got to line up just right for severe weather but this is an indication that there are some ingredients in play here for the Potential for strong to severe storms. I’m not worried but late week could very well be a time frame of interest.

  3. Repost.

    Today’s Accuweather Trivis Quiz.

    On avaerage, how many 90+ degree days does Boston experience in a year?
    A. 5
    B. 10
    C. 15
    D. 20

    Answer later today.

    2. Hope everyone has a great Sunday 🙂
      I’m going to guess A. Probably too low, but then again Logan usually seems to fall short of 90 when the rest of the state excluding Cape and Islands are well over 90 degrees.

  4. Thanks tk. Hoping for no rain next Saturday pm as my son and I going to first Yankees game, practically sitting on field. Not to start a big discussion here but if nobody heard Zimmerman found not guilty of all charges. Stay cool.

    1. Nothing like a Red Sox Yankee game at Fenway. What a treat. There was a gentleman on jeopardy the other night. I can’t remember what state he was from. Nebraska? Maybe other jeopardy fans remember. He’s a Red Sox fan. He said unabashedly that the first time he walked into Fenway he cried. The feel of Fenway is clearly not just for those with memories. In my opinion it surrounds anyone willing to recognize it.

      And ill step down from my soap box 🙂 ………… Until next time

  5. From NWS at Taunton:

    THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY…THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
    PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC
    COAST. THIS WILL PUT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN A STRONGER WEST TO
    NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SAME TIME…WE WILL REMAIN IN A HOT
    AND HUMID AIRMASS. WHENEVER YOU HAVE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH DECENT INSTABILITY…COMPLEXES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WORKING INTO THE REGION ARE A POSSIBILITY. TIMING OF ANY CONVECTION IS IMPOSSIBLE TO DETERMINE AT THIS POINT…AND CERTAINLY NOT EXPECTING A WASHOUT OVER THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER…THERE IS THE POTENTIAL SOME ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AT SOME POINT. IT PROBABLY WOULD BE TOUGH TO ESCAPE THIS SETUP WITHOUT ANY SEVERE WEATHER…BUT STILL 4+ DAYS OUT SO THERE IS PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY

    1. Sounds like an old joke that the punch line was: “Your Grand Mother is on the roof”. I think they are leaving much out of the discussion because it is too early.

        1. OS – some days before the Springfield tornado, weren’t they talking kind of the same way re: severe weather? I certainly hope it doesn’t turn out the same way.

          2. It is early and as JJ says, everything would have to come together just right, but the early indications are it is a “possible” set up for
            a Very RARE New England Tornado outbreak.

            Let’ just say I am concerned and will be watching
            very carefully.

  6. Hmmm Sure looks like Logan makes 90 today!

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.38N 71.03W

    Last Updated: Jul 14 2013, 10:54 am EDT
    Sun, 14 Jul 2013 10:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Partly Cloudy
    Temperature: 88.0 °F (31.1 °C)
    Dewpoint: 68.0 °F (20.0 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 52 %
    Heat Index: 92 F (33 C)
    Wind: West at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
    Visibility: 10.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1024.7 mb
    Altimeter: 30.26 in Hg

    1. Down to 87 at Noon with Variable wind, which of course means a sea Breeze.

      How did it go from 10 mph to sea breeze? Interesting.

  7. There were 25 “90-degree” days in Boston in 2010 and the record is 29 set in 1983.

    Joe Joyce said on air this morning that we should fall well short of the 25 let alone the 29 due to significant cooling in August…certainly keeping my fingers crossed on that.

    TK – Do you agree with Joe’s assessment at this early stage?

    1. My mom always reminds me of that year. I was born during the summer of 1983. Lets just say labor day couldnt come fast enough that year!

      1. Heheh. I was in first trimester with my son in 1983 and I don’t let him forget either. Us moms have to stick together

    2. I do not agree. 🙂

      Though I’d love to hear what he is basing his August forecast on. 🙂

  8. I dont see this pattern breaking down anytime soon. Something major needs to happen to change it, and hopefully it doesnt come in the form of a tropical system.

  9. Thanks TK !

    Greetings from Cheticamp (a bit further north on the western coast of Cape Breton), at 46.63 degrees north latitude and yet, somehow, under the influence of that huge ridge in the eastern US.

    Not a cloud in the sky today, wsw breeze, about 77F near the water, but 85F in most of the mainland. My oldest daughter and I are seeking shade and internet connection 🙂 in a Tim Horton’s in town.

    Heading into town tonight for fiddle music ….. My wife’s cousin’s husband took his boat 5 miles offshore yesterday and saw two pods of whales, he guessed about 40 in total. I think thats normal fare up here.

    Anyhow, good luck with the heat, its supposed to peak up here tomorrow, then start to back off as the week goes on. Unbeleivable overall pattern, never seen a lack of rain and cool temps in the maritimes.

  11. Ill go with C for the trivia.

    Its def uncomfortable out there but the occasional cloud cover is helping keep everyone sane. The minute the sun comes out full, the temp feels like it goes up another 10 degrees.

  12. Charlie – re: your comments on the last blog about new england states, mainly MA being at the bottom of business friendly states. I think it has a lot to do with the expense of doing business up here. Businesses want to make as much money as possible (heres where excessive greed comes into play IMO). Much like outsourcing jobs overseas to save a buck businesses would rather be in a place where they can hire cheap labor where the cost of living is less and pay little taxes (aka not give back to the communities they do business in) and pad their profits. To me, its all about the benjamins. Cant blame them, but where I do blame them is the rediculous excessive profits. Its why this country is in a boat load of trouble.

    1. I tried to resist temptation to respond to Charlie’s posts but Ace you hit it right on the head. Mass and New England overall have a more educated and expensive labor force and companies seeking bigger profits head south or overseas where labor (and taxes) are cheaper.

      Now I have a question (or a plea if you will). While I agree that sometimes this state and region can do some wacky things and make us all scratch our head but it really does not do us any good on this board to have to deal with Charlie’s “I hate Massachusetts” posts. Charlie…I beg of you to stop…Those posts certainly aren’t what I come here for and make me want to leave. If you really find that much wrong with this state and area then head to Texas where you seem to have a unrequited love affair.

    2. VERY well said and absolutely accurate. I was also resisting responding but I has to say I like the way you think Ace

      And did you see the Scottish Open – JJ too? Was fun to watch

      1. Thanks vicki, I saw some highlights but not much. I LOVE watching golf over there. Its the way God intended. Love playing links style courses too.

        1. Mac laughed when I read him your comment. He’s always said its the way golf is intended. Not many agree.

  13. Just my 2 cents charlie. I rarely like to comment on stuff like that but I couldnt resist. I know there must be other factors like building restrictions and land etc, but when it comes down to it, money is the driving force.

      1. It sure does look like it could shower at any given time here in Hingham. Pretty cool radar loop OS!

        2. Rained in wayland although I saw nothing on the radar. Nothing here. Dark clouds are replaced by blue sky and clouds

  15. I was looking at the archived posts from 2 years ago up to including the day when the
    Springfield tornado occurred.

    A few things of note:

    1. The day before, there weren’t many posts indicating that there would be severe weather.
    2. The day of the event, Dr. Forbes indicated a TorCon rating of 3-4 for the area
    and we had a discussion IF a tornado watch would be issued. It sure was!!
    3. Surface winds that day were SW and 500 mb winds were West. Torcon was at 3-4

    Of interest later this week. Surface winds forecast to be SouthWest. 850 MB winds
    WNW and 500 MB winds WNW to NW. This is MORE turning of the winds than
    the event 2 years ago. There will be Sufficient instability so much so that the SPC
    has us in a 30%+ chance area for SEVERE weather. Capes will be soaring and there
    will be PLENTY of lift with an approaching front. Will be interesting when the SREF
    comes into range with all of it’s Severe parameters. Then we’ll know IF we are in trouble or not.

    I am sufficiently worried, but MUCH can still happen to make sure not much happens.

    As we say in the Winter, we have a WATCHER.

    1. From NWS at Taunton:

      FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY…

      UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER HUDSON BAY WILL PUSH A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE REGION TO BE IN A POSSIBLE PRIME LOCATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. AS THE REGION IS ALREADY IN A MOIST HUMID AIRMASS AND THE INSTABILITY WILL BE HIGH
      AS WELL. A COLD FRONT DROPPING DOWN FROM CANADA WILL BE THE DRIVING OR LIFT FACTOR FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT

        1. Oh great now mac is really worried about his golf being cancelled ;). Actually when everyone is on board it is time to watch carefully.

          1. Just the general severe threat for now. I know we can look at model data and say “hey that looks like the type of set-up that produces rotating storms and possibly tornadoes” but I won’t quite go there yet. 🙂

            1. Thought so and Understand.

              Since this is a blog, we CAN speculate.

              You have always refrained from speculation.

              But you are a great Met, so I KNOW that somewhere inside of you there is real worry about the possibility. Professionally, it is WAY too early for you to say anything. You do the same with the Snow storms.

              1. I love to speculate. I’ve held back doing so on the blog but I often do this via FB chat messages with my fellow mets.

                Perhaps I will do so more often in the comments on the blog and leave the “official” comments for the actual blog posts. 🙂

                1. Love to see it.

                  I know it is still a ways off and things can happen to null and void it, but it is still a concern to me right now.

                2. I’d,like to see that too. I find this discussion more than fascinating. I’m going to try to friend woods hill weather tomorrow. I looked for it but couldn’t find it. I just don’t use FB any more and its changed a lot so I’m rusty

  16. Longshot says:

    July 14, 2013 at 10:48 AM

    Answer to today’s Accuweather Trivia Quiz.

    On avaerage, how many 90+ degree days does Boston experience in a year?
    A. 5
    B. 10
    C. 15
    D. 20

    I managed to get this one wrong. the answer is B, 10.

  17. One more thing regarding any potential severe threat later this week.

    Water temperatures to our South are near or above the warmest they get for the year, meaning, that any threat “could” extend right to the East Coast, including Boston.

    We shall see.

  18. For those of you that see the WHW updates on Facebook, we posted about the sea breeze boundary enhancing showers southwest of Boston. That indeed happened as a cluster of showers moving southeastward in between 95 and 495 were undercut by the southwestward-moving sea breeze boundary, enhancing the development of these into downpours (maybe with some thunder). The final downpour as of 7:20PM is crossing 495 between 95 and 24 now while another shower cluster that formed near Plymouth is now crossing the Mid Cape as it moves southeast.

    All activity should vanish by or shortly after sunset.

    1. You were right on the money tk, we had a shower/sprinkle here right around 7pm, only a trace

      1. A few areas saw a brief downpour but not enough to put down any really significant amounts. Curious to know if any thunder was heard out of that. I took a photo from Woburn and a nice anvil was visible, and by that time the cell was probably east of the MA/RI border.

  19. Went to naragansett beach today, was a little cooler at the coast but water was I thought warm, the board read 70 degrees, not sure if that’s right but it was nice 🙂

  20. One thing ive noticed this summer is when we’ve had these heat waves and heat advisores we havent had the typical poor air quality advisories and ozone alerts, etc. Its great we haven’t but im kinda curious why. Is there a reason for poor air quality during heat waves thats not present now?

    1. I think we are seeing results of more strict emission laws overall.

      It doesn’t get as hazy as it used to as often.

      1. I thought we had 1 day of a air alert warning but I agree a lot less than there used to be

        1. Yea I think we did now that u say that. It was much earlier though, like May timeframe IIRC.

          1. I think it was during the first heatwave ace the week of June 17th, I may also be wrong. The only reason it sounds familiar is because I lost my ac condenser during the first heatwave.

      2. I thought we had one too but also agree we do not have the haze. Who said its a HH summer? Philip? Sorry my memory is on vacation until the heat ends 😉

    3. I agree with tk, when we lived in Tx we would have air quality alerts almost everyday from May-Sept and we were only 6 or 7 miles outside Dallas and couldn’t see the skyline, it was dirty air

  21. See? I don’t totally disbelieve that we have an impact on the climate.. 😉

    1. A miracle has occurred…i for once will have no comment. Other than …. 🙂 Maybe cause I’ve been watching Christmas in July movies all week!!!

      1. This blog MAY light up like a Christmas tree later in the week with the Potential for strong to possibly severe storms
        Going to be interesting to see if storm prediction highlights are our area again tomorrow. As I said earlier in the day
        an area higlighted past day 3 means at least a 30% chance of severe storms. I’m not worried yet.

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