Imperfection Implication

50 Comments

4;33PM

The first weekend of August is upon us, and a couple of disturbances will be traversing the New England region during this time. This implies that the weather will not be perfect, but practical meteorology indicates that the weekend overall will be generally quite nice. Depending on your plans, you may have to watch for a passing shower or thunderstorm a couple times tonight,  Saturday, and again later Sunday. Otherwise, much of this weekend will be rain-free with warm air Saturday, mild air Sunday, and a lack of high humidity.

A cold front sweeping through the region Sunday night (responsible for Sunday’s afternoon shower/storm threat)  will bring a blast of cool and dry air for Monday of next week. But things will be moving along in the atmosphere and though it will remain dry and pleasant, it will already turning a little warmer Tuesday. As we head into the middle and latter portion of the week, timing becomes less discernible with weather systems, but an early call would be to expected clouds and a shower threat with a warm front Wednesday, a sneaky hotter day Thursday, and a cold front bringing a thunderstorm threat Friday. Fine-tuning to come, of course, as these days draw closer.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a risk of passing showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10PM, then partly cloudy. Lows 56-64, coolest inland valleys. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy with a passing shower or thunderstorm possible from time to time through early afternoon then trending sunnier remainder of afternoon to sunset. Highs 75-85, coolest South Coast and Cape Cod. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-65, coolest inland valleys, mildest urban areas. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Variably cloudy with a risk of showers and thunderstorms afternoon. Highs 75-82. Wind WSW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy, breezy, cool, dry. Low 55. High 75.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny, milder, still dry. Low 57. High 79.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy, warmer, more humid, with a chance of a few showers. Low 61. High 81.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy, hot, humid, with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Low 67. High 89.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny, windy, warm, muggy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 69. High 86.

50 thoughts on “Imperfection Implication”

  1. It’s interesting that in the latest couple 6-10 the temperatures for eastern New England are “normal”, no longer “below normal”. Taking into account that heat threat for a day or 2 next week? Probably.

    1. August in a progressive jet pattern with a mean trough in eastern Canada, for sure. 🙂

  4. Great beach day at Rexhame. Sun with cumulus ruled the afternoon, there was a light SE seabreeze til about 4pm and then the NW breeze took over thereafter.

    1. Awwwww. You were only feet from us 🙁

      Perfect night. Enuf wind to keep the no see ins away. Will spend as much of our last night on deck as possible.

        1. Thanks. It is luminary night on the beach. We just got devourered by no see ums setting them up. We do love your corner of the world. There’s still an innocence here its a breath of fresh air. 🙂

  6. I am keeping my fingers crossed that most of the month of August will be pretty much “HHH-free” however, I have this bad feeling that HHH will return in September with a vengence and stick around much like it did in July. 🙁

    TK – Does my “bad feeling” match with any of your long term guidance?

    1. Not sure we’ll see persistent HHH, but I do think we flip back to an above normal temperature pattern mid August into September.

  8. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz?

    Which of the following is NOT a component of a flash of lightning?

    A. Return stroke
    B. Stepped leader
    C. Back stroke
    D. Dart leader

    Answer later today.

  11. Here is something I think is weird yet interesting – btw – this is for the Buffanlo, NY area near the lakes.

    Special Marine Warning
    SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
    LOZ042>045-063>065-031630-
    /O.NEW.KBUF.MA.W.0073.130803T1329Z-130803T1630Z/

    BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
    929 AM EDT SAT AUG 3 2013

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

    * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR…
    LAKE ONTARIO FROM OAK ORCHARD CREEK TO STONY POINT

    * UNTIL 1230 PM EDT

    * AT 919 AM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SATELLITES INDICATED A
    BAND OF CLOUDS FROM NEAR OAK ORCHARD CREEK EAST ALONG THE SOUTH
    SHORE OF THE LAKE TO FAIR HAVEN. ADDITIONAL CLOUD BANDS EXTENDED
    ACROSS THE EASTERN END OF THE LAKE FROM OFFSHORE OF OSWEGO TO
    MEXICO BAY AND STONY POINT. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE
    DEVELOPMENT OF WATERSPOUTS IN AND NEAR THESE CLOUD BANDS THROUGH
    MIDDAY. EARLIER THIS MORNING TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED WATERSPOUTS
    OFFSHORE OF WAYNE COUNTY.

    * POTENTIAL WATERSPOUTS WILL OFFSHORE OF…
    OAK ORCHARD CREEK…
    THIRTY MILE POINT…
    BRADDOCK BAY…
    CHARLOTTE…
    PULTNEYVILLE…
    SODUS BAY…
    PORT BAY…
    FAIR HAVEN…
    OSWEGO…
    MEXICO BAY…
    SELKIRK…
    STONY POINT…

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    ALL MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND SMALL BOATS TAKE SHELTER
    IMMEDIATELY IF A WATERSPOUT IS SIGHTED. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND
    WAVES NEAR WATERSPOUTS CAN QUICKLY CAPSIZE SMALL BOATS.

    &&

    LAT…LON 4357 7618 4351 7629 4352 7640 4341 7662
    4332 7670 4330 7685 4337 7831 4364 7733
    4364 7679 4396 7654 4388 7616 4384 7620
    4388 7626 4385 7629 4383 7623 4368 7619
    4366 7615 4358 7620 4355 7610
    TIME…MOT…LOC 1325Z 270DEG 13KT 4339 7771

    $$

    HITCHCOCK

  14. Wow, no short term forecast or special weather statement on the line of showers/storms in northern CT ?? Guess the folks at Taunton arent impressed ……

    SW winds and low 60 dewpoints in CT, with WNW winds and low 50 dewpoints in western MA. Some converegence there and a dry line.

  15. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz?

    Which of the following is NOT a component of a flash of lightning?

    A. Return stroke
    B. Stepped leader
    C. Back stroke
    D. Dart leader

    The correct answer is C. All others are associated with lightning flashes.

    1. Yay. I knew all but two and thot back stroke reminded me of my swimming days :). Thanks longshot.

    1. It feels so nice to be able to sit outside. We literally were not out on the deck or porch for the last part of June and through July 20. Such a waste of what should be outdoor time. The only problem is I can’t seem to find the ocean 🙁

      1. Indeed……. nice to wake up to cool, fresh air in the house and very pleasant deck sitting weather…..

  19. Just posted a quick update. No really new info there, just updated the last post.

    Self-destructive sunshine about to go to work!

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