1:21AM
Humidity, showers, and thunderstorms will be the story through Friday night as a warm front moves north of the region today and a cold front crosses late Friday and early Saturday. Of the 2 days, Friday will see the most numerous showers and thunderstorms. Right now, I’m optimistic that the front will clear the region Saturday, with some lingering clouds in the morning for southern and eastern areas, but otherwise much nice weather for the remainder of the day and drier, comfortable weather for Sunday and early next week.
Updated forecast for southeastern New England…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. More humid. Highs middle 70s to lower 80s, coolest South Coast. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of showers. Humid. Lows in the 60s. Wind S 10-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic showers and thunderstorms, some possibly heavy. Muggy. Highs in the 70s to near 80. Wind S 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY: Clouds linger southern and eastern areas in the morning, otherwise partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Low 66. High 85.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 81.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 77.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 55. High 76.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 79.
Thanks TK…..
Well today is the day that the sun FLIPS its magnetic fields, a phenomenon that occurs once every 11 years. Possible aurora might happen.
On Sunday, weather permitting, we will see a meteor shower.
The perseids?? And I’m trying to find out how flipping poles will affect our weather……or will it. Do you know, longshot?
Thank you TK
Thanks TK!! Tonight is family fun night at my son’s camp in Plymouth so hopefully the weather will cooperate.
Morning all.
Busy day today at the office.
Monitoring the “broken” (well perhaps very broken) line stretching from upstate
New York, Pennsylvania into West Virginia. Will something develop with this
later on this afternoon? OR will it fade into oblivion?
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php
IF we get some sunshine, then ???????????
IF not, then ??????????????
We shall see. π π
Well, well, well.
The line has gone poof!
My wife and I witnessed something this weekend that we had never ever seen
before.
In our neighbor’s yard next door to us, there was a rabbit and 2 squirrels. One squirrel approached the rabbit and then took off. The other kept it’s distance. Then the rabbit ran towards the remaining squirrel, forcing it up a tree. Then the squirrel decided to strike back and ran down the tree and chased the rabbit across the yard. Wow, could that rabbit move!!, easily escaped the attacking squirrel.
Amazing for residing in the City. π
Wow – I have never seen rabbits and squirrels interact. I wonder if it is the lack of food sources/space in the city?? I would have gotten a kick out of watching.
Thanks Vicki. It was really quite funny. Actually, I think the
rabbit has been feasting on the neighbor’s garden. π π
Boston has white squirrels
Vicki, I think it’s a question for TK about the swithch in magnetic fields and weather
Thanks, Longshot. I’m hoping he’ll discuss it…………TK ???? π
http://pafg.arh.noaa.gov/wmofcst.php?wmo=NOAK49PAFG&type=public
Here’s a place where the warmth has been continuous (at about latitude 65N !!)
Well, its not hot out, but, it sure feels different compared to the last few days.
I had not looked at any long range models in a couple days, but did notice on this morning’s 0z GFS that its day 10 thru 16 looked decidely warmer, with much higher 500 mb heights over the eastern 2/3rds of the US. Even at day 10 of the EURO, it looked like it was started to show rising heights as well. It will be intresting to see if these trends are on the 12z runs later today.
Very interesting. Thanks, Tom. And it is more humid today isn’t it. But not hot and there is a breeze.
Yes ………. a nice, lazy, bit hazy summer’s day.
Also, Barry mentioned it on his blog and I saw it on Accuweather’s blog, parts of China are suffering from a scorching heatwave, with highest recorded temps in the 105F to 108F range and I understand July was hot, as well.
Just noting that doesn’t it seem that instead of just seeing these excessive heatwaves hit different areas in the northern hemisphere over the last 15 years or so, the temps being seen in these particular heatwaves are the highest on record (since records have been kept).
http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=china%20heat%20wave&source=web&cd=4&ved=0CDgQFjAD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.npr.org%2Fblogs%2Fparallels%2F2013%2F08%2F07%2F209856828%2Fits-too-hot-shanghai-wilts-in-record-setting-heat-wave&ei=lL8DUu-pBvez4AOGqoC4CA&usg=AFQjCNFZivSAd6Cxn2JajaQdlzUbLdQMGQ&bvm=bv.50500085,d.dmg
See 1st paragraph.
It sure seems that way….hard to ignore IMHO.
things that are changing:
suns magnetic field (read up on it, seems like there will be an increase amount of clouds closer to our north and south poles and less around the equator, also cooler around the poles
2. artic ice sheet has seen the least amount of ice melt in over 20 years. do to weather patterns and colder temps
3 . a polar bear has been found well inland where they never been seen before.
12z GFS continues the trend of warmer times after mid month.
It now looks like there will Be ZERO activity in Eastern sections this PM. π
Again all this hype for nothing. π
Now we’re cooking, Although this baby probably won’t visit the US:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-natlncep.php?run=2013080812&var=PCPPRSTMP_850mb&hour=384
Maybe it’ll push any remaining dust from that dust storm out of the way π
Yup, I’d be less nervous if it showed it hitting us squarely. After all, we know the GFS’ accuracy with tropical systems tracks. π
LOL
Of course this is 16 days out, but it gives us something
to watch carefully. Early, early, early indications are it will
recurve well South and East of us and be a total miss, but
ANYTHING can happen this far out. π
Hey,
Even the Euro has a substantial low about to hit the coast
off of Africa at 240 hours:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2013080800®ion=NATL&var=PRMSL_msl&hour=240
As does the Canadian. Certainly something to watch.
Definitely !
Fall/Aeration Overseedings begin in 9 days, on that day daylight is 2 hrs less than the longest day on June 21st, perfect for growing grass from Aug 20th-Oct 20th
Thanks, I’ll keep that in mind. Maybe we can actually get it done this year π
If i plan grass in 2 weeks and it dies, im blaming you π
jk Charlie. My lawn needs serious help. Its not really grass, its like that thick light green grass/weed crap.
ugh – is your lawn my lawn’s cousin? That’s all I have too. I’m trying to figure how to kill it without killing the new grass.
Crabgrass and nuts edge and an assortment of broadleaf weeds
Thanks charlie. Sadly I know what it is just not how to get rid of it. On the scale of things, however, I not too worried. With luck it’ll be covered by snow soon enuf
What an odd, odd day. The sky had that gray/yellow look that usually arrives just prior to a storm. The wind was just howling and now I’m seeing some breaks of sun.
Call me a looney, but reading the NWS discussion is a laugh a minute. I don’t believe
a thing they say. They are STILL calling for HEAVY RAIN tonight? Where?
That will be interesting to watch to see if it really verifies. I am skeptical.
re: tonight
DIFFLUENCE INCREASING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET STREAK ROTATING AROUND THE DEEP LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY REGION. CONTINUED TROPICAL SOUTHWEST MOIST FLOW WITHIN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVELS IN RESPONSE…AIDED BY A LOW-LEVEL JET AROUND H85. THE TWO AIRSTEAMS WILL LIKELY COMBINE IN REGIONS LEADING TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF CONVERGENCE…DEEP LAYER ASCENT…AND POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN.
re: tomorrow
Here’s snipets of wording:
MODEL FORECAST HODOGRAPH PROFILES EXHIBIT SOME
INCREDIBLE TURNING WITHIN 0-3 KM…
AM NOT CERTAIN WITH GUSTY TO DAMAGING WIND THREATS…
EVEN THE POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF SPIN UP TORNADO. WORTH MENTIONING AND WATCHING OUT FOR NEVERTHELESS.
We’ll see. π
Here’s a graphic:
https://sphotos-b-ord.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn1/s720x720/933910_484073308353712_601766913_n.png
Was It A Shark Or Not In Weymouth? http://cbsloc.al/19QvMX7
https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash3/1004515_10151759309377010_1016406118_n.jpg
Having watched shark week for several days, Iβm guessing that
was a SHARK!!!
They did mention an ocean sunfish as a possibilty, but they donβt usuall
come into the inlets and bays like this.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/84/Sunfish2.jpg/250px-Sunfish2.jpg
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSf2S_vm-gY2kpvPkr46oCl085wn4Fd9lHtrExpnRAuFFHeYVWk
Many Years ago we saw the same at Humarock and called the authorities. They said it was a sunfish. Several days later a group of sharks were spotted in the area. It was the first time I had ever heard of beaches being shut around here for sharks. Moral of the story….I do not believe them for one second when they say sunfish
I’m certainly with you, 100%.
:). When do we find out who that picture is?
Ok, right now, since you ask.
It is Mike Ness of Social Distortion.
Born in Stoneham, MA 1962 and moved to Orange county, CA as a young boy.
http://www.socialdistortion.com/
π π
Oh dear. I wasn’t going to guess that. I don’t know who that is :(. But thank you. It was fun to guess
I didn’t expect you would. I thought maybe Charlie or John or Ace, maybe even Matt.
Anyhow, I just thought for fun, I’d throw it out there on a boring Summer day.
I thought it was fun. π
4 million bonus points to anyone who can tell me who this is.
(It is a very old picture of this person)
https://fbcdn-sphotos-g-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash3/1001717_10151796475379002_267747980_n.jpg
The mouth is oddly familiar but I can’t place if. I thought Elvis but mac said cooper and my grandson says a zombie. Ill keep thinking
It looks like Billy Joel Armstrong of Green Day, but it isn’t.
BJA imitates this man. π
When you say wayyy back, I think wayyyy back. Like 40s or 50s …hehe
Some interesting hurricanes reading from the Weather Channel.
Hints that some coastal residents should simply LEAVE.
http://www.weather.com/tv/tvshows/hurricane-week/how-intense-will-hurricanes-become-century-now-20130728
Great read thanks. Some thoughts. After Hugo SC said they would not permit rebuilding of the homes on Isle of Palms because they would only be destroyed again. They are since rebuilt. The home next to the one we rent on Humarock was purchased a year ago for $659,000. It has been completely rebuilt for certainly double that. It is not raised. Disposable income maybe??? I thought the comment on the silver lining in the link was interesting. One thing we do not do is learn from our mistakes.
So what should Boston do? In 1900 it was 13.8 ft above sea level, in 1950 Boston was 12.1 ft above sea level, and today 2013 Boston is 11.2 ft above sea level, what do we do? Do we just sit and watch Boston go under in say 2200? I’m all for moving the city inland or being creative, I’m just afraid most would probably be afraid of change and we will just watch π
I say we watch and then say Charlie told us so :))))
Seriously though Boston has already expanded west as far as business and medical and educational
It needs to continue that westward trend
Boston can’t do much, but watch.
If I owned property on the coast and it got destroyed by a storm,
time to take the insurance money and run for the hills. π
Its my understanding that unless your house is raised, there is no insurance any more
I don’t pretend to know those rules, but I would
imagine they are pretty rigid. Kind of forces one
to say, eh?
Agree.
That’s why I said disposable income. I can’t think of a reason to sink over a million into a house that had water wash through it two times last winter.
So will those cells moving into SW CT hold together. We have had sun here for a few hours. Very muggy. I could go for a good tstorm.
They are dying off already. π
Darn I see that. How bout the ones over Syracuse. Darn sun. If it’d just stay out several more hours ……sigh
I’m not convinced we see rain and/or storms tonight.
Tomorrow during the day may be when, IF we were
to get any. But what do I know. “D
If it all works the right way weather wise, we will see a meteor shower on Sunday night.
Do you know time and direction. I try to watch them every August. I hope its a clear night
Another great day down here in Virgina. Vacation going by too fast as I will be returning home Saturday night.
Clouds will be a very good thing tomorrow with the front coming through.
Very happy you are having a good time. What more have you been seeing and how was the golf game?
So OS are you saying boston can’t do much and Boston will not be here in say 200 yrs? Geez that’s sad!! And don’t forget when the 1st major storm hits us, I’m not talking about a glancing blow, the economy will never recover as the ocean ever so slowly we creep up and constantly be on everyones mind, Boston is in for a slow death, for all the preserving we do around here you would think they would want to somehow save the city instead of it disappearing, a lot laugh and joke by saying maybe all the beer people drink there maybe it will float, haha sometimes I wonder if we really do just watch it sink
There will be a mad exitist out of Boston or the economy will die bc of no construction and no confidence hence companies will begin long term decisions and this might be 1 reason they leave, I think it’s really time to change, no ones gonna come up with an idea, it’s gonna be up to our grand kids grand kids that r gonna have to deal with it, not fun.
I told some friends in North Carolina that Boston needs to do something, and he said they won’t do anything, he also said that eventually the rest of fidelity will be in North Carolina and this will just speed up the process many years down the road but nevertheless very sad
Charlie you missed the part that we are already doing something
Sometimes I just get carried away π
We know. But it wouldn’t be the Charlie we love if you didnt π
The shift of the sun’s magnetic field has this impact on Earth: NOTHING.
It’s a marker of an 11 year cycle, a natural occurrence, and nothing more than that. π
It’s been going on about every 11 years for a very, very long time…
Cool. I don’t think anyone expected a whole lot since it does happen every 11 yrs but I just wondered if there were a minimal affect. Thanks TK
Lol
OS seems that he NWS has been overreacting on heavy rain the last several weeks. I think TK mentioned it a few weeks ago too. I dont get it.
TK has been far more accurate π
June sure was wet but it came at a good time. The ground was ready. Flooding was minimal in most areas.
July’s rain was NEAR NORMAL.
August is drier than average 1 week into it.
Flooding is not a major concern in the very vast majority of the region, just in some cases of local downpours.
I can’t speak for the NWS but who knows……………
Tk you thinking rain in am?
Should be waves of showers/storms around but the question is how widespread and how heavy? Potential for another inch of rain, locally heavier, but most places probably come in under that.
The Sudbury river is wayyyyy low but perhaps it is every August
Charles River is NOT way low at all. In fact, I would say it
is still above normal levels for this time of year. Neponset
River is not low either.
In short we don’t need no stinken rain!! π
Hi Vicki… The golf game was alright. I am going golfing tomorrow. I went to Busch Gardens yesterday and Water Country USA tomorrow. The weather has improved greatly since Tuesday with the rain and a real fall like feel and the heat and humidity have not been as bad as in previous years.
Good luck tomorrow and you sure are seeing a lot of great areas while there. Enjoy the day and get a birdie or two tomorrow !!
Such a nice area JJ. Used to live in VA beach and we were in Williamsburg for our honeymoon. Have a great rest of your trip.
Absolutely LOVE Virginia Beach. Was only there once, but we
had a great time.
Did you ride the Big Bad Wolf? OR is it even still there?
Hey Old Salty…. The Big Bad Wolf is not there. There is a new roller coaster called Verboton which is where the Big Bad Wolf used to be.
Looks like there are some ingredients in place up there for strong to possibly severe storms SHOULD the sun come out tomorrow. Root for cloud cover since any sunshine will be what I call self destructing sunshine and destablize the atmosphere.
Oh Too bad…Took the kids on that one in 1988. That was one BAD coaster.
Have fun!
That’s the one that the car hangs down from the rail and you come down towards the water OS right?
Yes, that was the one. That run going down to the water
was awesome!!!
Interesting.
The SPC has us under NO severe threat, yet has us in a 2% chance of tornadoes.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1200_torn.gif
The Weather channel has us in a severe zone:
http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/travel/trvlthun_600x405.jpg
Friday, August 9
Isolated severe thunderstorms in central MA, CT, RI, southeast NY, southeast PA, NJ, DE, central and east MD, DC, north half VA. TOR:CON – 2.
From NWS at Taunton:
POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER. AS MENTIONED ABOVE…HAVE LOW LEVEL JET MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO NOTING SOME TURNING OF THE LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FLOW…WITH LIGHT S WINDS AT THE SURFACE THAT VEER TO SW AT H85 AND W-SW AT 35-40 KT AT H7. ALSO NOTING MLCAPES AT AROUND 1000 J/KG. PRETTY GOOD SHEAR IN PLACE…SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE
GUSTY TO POTENTIAL STRONG WIND GUSTS AND CAN NOT RULE OUT A POSSIBLE BRIEF SPIN UP.
SPC Significant tornado parameter:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/2013080903/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f015.gif
SPC Super Cell parameter:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/2013080903/SREF_SCCP_MEDIAN_MXMN__f018.gif
Given all of that above, it sure looks like there will be ZERO sunshine, therefore
whatever happens it will have to it WITHOUT the benefit of sunshine. I’m not feeling it.
Could something still happen? Sure, but current radar displays indicate a large slug of water, but NOTHING SEVERE so far. We’ll monitor all day, but I have a good feeling
we will escape anything severe.
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=BOX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0
NWS graphic:
https://sphotos-b-ord.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn2/969116_484282394999470_2142378805_n.png
Just went for the walk and it is HUMID!
We’ve had to turn the ACs on a bit just to get the humidity out of the house.
72.2 with a 70 dp again today.
Steady moderate rain here now. Air is very calm.
I secretly like days like today π
I do also – even the day we had at the beach like this I found enjoyable. There is something comforting about it.
Flash Flood Watches expanded southeastward, looks like heavy rains are here to stay for much of the area