Muggies Return

1:21AM

Humidity, showers, and thunderstorms will be the story through Friday night as a warm front moves north of the region today and a cold front crosses late Friday and early Saturday. Of the 2 days, Friday will see the most numerous showers and thunderstorms. Right now, I’m optimistic that the front will clear the region Saturday, with some lingering clouds in the morning for southern and eastern areas, but otherwise much nice weather for the remainder of the day and drier, comfortable weather for Sunday and early next week.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. More humid. Highs middle 70s to lower 80s, coolest South Coast. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of showers. Humid. Lows in the 60s. Wind S 10-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic showers and thunderstorms, some possibly heavy. Muggy. Highs in the 70s to near 80. Wind S 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Clouds linger southern and eastern areas in the morning, otherwise partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Low 66. High 85.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 81.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 77.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 55. High 76.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 79.

103 thoughts on “Muggies Return”

  1. Well today is the day that the sun FLIPS its magnetic fields, a phenomenon that occurs once every 11 years. Possible aurora might happen.

    On Sunday, weather permitting, we will see a meteor shower.

    1. The perseids?? And I’m trying to find out how flipping poles will affect our weather……or will it. Do you know, longshot?

  2. Thanks TK!! Tonight is family fun night at my son’s camp in Plymouth so hopefully the weather will cooperate.

  3. Morning all.

    Busy day today at the office.

    Monitoring the “broken” (well perhaps very broken) line stretching from upstate
    New York, Pennsylvania into West Virginia. Will something develop with this
    later on this afternoon? OR will it fade into oblivion?

    http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php

    IF we get some sunshine, then ???????????

    IF not, then ??????????????

    We shall see. πŸ˜€ πŸ˜€

  4. My wife and I witnessed something this weekend that we had never ever seen
    before.

    In our neighbor’s yard next door to us, there was a rabbit and 2 squirrels. One squirrel approached the rabbit and then took off. The other kept it’s distance. Then the rabbit ran towards the remaining squirrel, forcing it up a tree. Then the squirrel decided to strike back and ran down the tree and chased the rabbit across the yard. Wow, could that rabbit move!!, easily escaped the attacking squirrel.

    Amazing for residing in the City. πŸ˜€

    1. Wow – I have never seen rabbits and squirrels interact. I wonder if it is the lack of food sources/space in the city?? I would have gotten a kick out of watching.

      1. Thanks Vicki. It was really quite funny. Actually, I think the
        rabbit has been feasting on the neighbor’s garden. πŸ˜€ πŸ˜€

  5. http://pafg.arh.noaa.gov/wmofcst.php?wmo=NOAK49PAFG&type=public

    Here’s a place where the warmth has been continuous (at about latitude 65N !!)

    Well, its not hot out, but, it sure feels different compared to the last few days.

    I had not looked at any long range models in a couple days, but did notice on this morning’s 0z GFS that its day 10 thru 16 looked decidely warmer, with much higher 500 mb heights over the eastern 2/3rds of the US. Even at day 10 of the EURO, it looked like it was started to show rising heights as well. It will be intresting to see if these trends are on the 12z runs later today.

    1. Very interesting. Thanks, Tom. And it is more humid today isn’t it. But not hot and there is a breeze.

      1. Yes ………. a nice, lazy, bit hazy summer’s day.

        Also, Barry mentioned it on his blog and I saw it on Accuweather’s blog, parts of China are suffering from a scorching heatwave, with highest recorded temps in the 105F to 108F range and I understand July was hot, as well.

        Just noting that doesn’t it seem that instead of just seeing these excessive heatwaves hit different areas in the northern hemisphere over the last 15 years or so, the temps being seen in these particular heatwaves are the highest on record (since records have been kept).

  6. things that are changing:
    suns magnetic field (read up on it, seems like there will be an increase amount of clouds closer to our north and south poles and less around the equator, also cooler around the poles
    2. artic ice sheet has seen the least amount of ice melt in over 20 years. do to weather patterns and colder temps
    3 . a polar bear has been found well inland where they never been seen before.

  7. It now looks like there will Be ZERO activity in Eastern sections this PM. πŸ˜€

    Again all this hype for nothing. πŸ˜€

    1. Yup, I’d be less nervous if it showed it hitting us squarely. After all, we know the GFS’ accuracy with tropical systems tracks. πŸ™‚

      1. LOL

        Of course this is 16 days out, but it gives us something
        to watch carefully. Early, early, early indications are it will
        recurve well South and East of us and be a total miss, but
        ANYTHING can happen this far out. πŸ˜€

  8. Fall/Aeration Overseedings begin in 9 days, on that day daylight is 2 hrs less than the longest day on June 21st, perfect for growing grass from Aug 20th-Oct 20th

      1. jk Charlie. My lawn needs serious help. Its not really grass, its like that thick light green grass/weed crap.

        1. ugh – is your lawn my lawn’s cousin? That’s all I have too. I’m trying to figure how to kill it without killing the new grass.

            1. Thanks charlie. Sadly I know what it is just not how to get rid of it. On the scale of things, however, I not too worried. With luck it’ll be covered by snow soon enuf

  9. What an odd, odd day. The sky had that gray/yellow look that usually arrives just prior to a storm. The wind was just howling and now I’m seeing some breaks of sun.

  10. Call me a looney, but reading the NWS discussion is a laugh a minute. I don’t believe
    a thing they say. They are STILL calling for HEAVY RAIN tonight? Where?
    That will be interesting to watch to see if it really verifies. I am skeptical.

    re: tonight

    DIFFLUENCE INCREASING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET STREAK ROTATING AROUND THE DEEP LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY REGION. CONTINUED TROPICAL SOUTHWEST MOIST FLOW WITHIN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVELS IN RESPONSE…AIDED BY A LOW-LEVEL JET AROUND H85. THE TWO AIRSTEAMS WILL LIKELY COMBINE IN REGIONS LEADING TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF CONVERGENCE…DEEP LAYER ASCENT…AND POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN.

    re: tomorrow
    Here’s snipets of wording:

    MODEL FORECAST HODOGRAPH PROFILES EXHIBIT SOME
    INCREDIBLE TURNING WITHIN 0-3 KM…

    AM NOT CERTAIN WITH GUSTY TO DAMAGING WIND THREATS…
    EVEN THE POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF SPIN UP TORNADO. WORTH MENTIONING AND WATCHING OUT FOR NEVERTHELESS.

    We’ll see. πŸ˜€

  11. Was It A Shark Or Not In Weymouth? http://cbsloc.al/19QvMX7

    https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash3/1004515_10151759309377010_1016406118_n.jpg

    Having watched shark week for several days, I’m guessing that
    was a SHARK!!!

    They did mention an ocean sunfish as a possibilty, but they don’t usuall
    come into the inlets and bays like this.

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/84/Sunfish2.jpg/250px-Sunfish2.jpg

    https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSf2S_vm-gY2kpvPkr46oCl085wn4Fd9lHtrExpnRAuFFHeYVWk

    1. Many Years ago we saw the same at Humarock and called the authorities. They said it was a sunfish. Several days later a group of sharks were spotted in the area. It was the first time I had ever heard of beaches being shut around here for sharks. Moral of the story….I do not believe them for one second when they say sunfish

            1. Oh dear. I wasn’t going to guess that. I don’t know who that is :(. But thank you. It was fun to guess

              1. I didn’t expect you would. I thought maybe Charlie or John or Ace, maybe even Matt.

                Anyhow, I just thought for fun, I’d throw it out there on a boring Summer day.

    1. The mouth is oddly familiar but I can’t place if. I thought Elvis but mac said cooper and my grandson says a zombie. Ill keep thinking

      1. It looks like Billy Joel Armstrong of Green Day, but it isn’t.
        BJA imitates this man. πŸ˜€

    1. Great read thanks. Some thoughts. After Hugo SC said they would not permit rebuilding of the homes on Isle of Palms because they would only be destroyed again. They are since rebuilt. The home next to the one we rent on Humarock was purchased a year ago for $659,000. It has been completely rebuilt for certainly double that. It is not raised. Disposable income maybe??? I thought the comment on the silver lining in the link was interesting. One thing we do not do is learn from our mistakes.

    2. So what should Boston do? In 1900 it was 13.8 ft above sea level, in 1950 Boston was 12.1 ft above sea level, and today 2013 Boston is 11.2 ft above sea level, what do we do? Do we just sit and watch Boston go under in say 2200? I’m all for moving the city inland or being creative, I’m just afraid most would probably be afraid of change and we will just watch πŸ™‚

      1. I say we watch and then say Charlie told us so :))))

        Seriously though Boston has already expanded west as far as business and medical and educational

      2. Boston can’t do much, but watch.

        If I owned property on the coast and it got destroyed by a storm,
        time to take the insurance money and run for the hills. πŸ˜€

          1. I don’t pretend to know those rules, but I would
            imagine they are pretty rigid. Kind of forces one
            to say, eh?

              1. That’s why I said disposable income. I can’t think of a reason to sink over a million into a house that had water wash through it two times last winter.

  12. So will those cells moving into SW CT hold together. We have had sun here for a few hours. Very muggy. I could go for a good tstorm.

      1. Darn I see that. How bout the ones over Syracuse. Darn sun. If it’d just stay out several more hours ……sigh

        1. I’m not convinced we see rain and/or storms tonight.
          Tomorrow during the day may be when, IF we were
          to get any. But what do I know. “D

  13. Another great day down here in Virgina. Vacation going by too fast as I will be returning home Saturday night.
    Clouds will be a very good thing tomorrow with the front coming through.

  14. So OS are you saying boston can’t do much and Boston will not be here in say 200 yrs? Geez that’s sad!! And don’t forget when the 1st major storm hits us, I’m not talking about a glancing blow, the economy will never recover as the ocean ever so slowly we creep up and constantly be on everyones mind, Boston is in for a slow death, for all the preserving we do around here you would think they would want to somehow save the city instead of it disappearing, a lot laugh and joke by saying maybe all the beer people drink there maybe it will float, haha sometimes I wonder if we really do just watch it sink

    1. There will be a mad exitist out of Boston or the economy will die bc of no construction and no confidence hence companies will begin long term decisions and this might be 1 reason they leave, I think it’s really time to change, no ones gonna come up with an idea, it’s gonna be up to our grand kids grand kids that r gonna have to deal with it, not fun.

      1. I told some friends in North Carolina that Boston needs to do something, and he said they won’t do anything, he also said that eventually the rest of fidelity will be in North Carolina and this will just speed up the process many years down the road but nevertheless very sad

  15. The shift of the sun’s magnetic field has this impact on Earth: NOTHING.

    It’s a marker of an 11 year cycle, a natural occurrence, and nothing more than that. πŸ™‚

    It’s been going on about every 11 years for a very, very long time…

    1. Cool. I don’t think anyone expected a whole lot since it does happen every 11 yrs but I just wondered if there were a minimal affect. Thanks TK

  16. OS seems that he NWS has been overreacting on heavy rain the last several weeks. I think TK mentioned it a few weeks ago too. I dont get it.

    TK has been far more accurate πŸ™‚

    1. June sure was wet but it came at a good time. The ground was ready. Flooding was minimal in most areas.

      July’s rain was NEAR NORMAL.

      August is drier than average 1 week into it.

      Flooding is not a major concern in the very vast majority of the region, just in some cases of local downpours.

      I can’t speak for the NWS but who knows……………

        1. Should be waves of showers/storms around but the question is how widespread and how heavy? Potential for another inch of rain, locally heavier, but most places probably come in under that.

        1. Charles River is NOT way low at all. In fact, I would say it
          is still above normal levels for this time of year. Neponset
          River is not low either.

          In short we don’t need no stinken rain!! πŸ˜€

  17. Hi Vicki… The golf game was alright. I am going golfing tomorrow. I went to Busch Gardens yesterday and Water Country USA tomorrow. The weather has improved greatly since Tuesday with the rain and a real fall like feel and the heat and humidity have not been as bad as in previous years.

    1. Good luck tomorrow and you sure are seeing a lot of great areas while there. Enjoy the day and get a birdie or two tomorrow !!

    2. Such a nice area JJ. Used to live in VA beach and we were in Williamsburg for our honeymoon. Have a great rest of your trip.

  18. Hey Old Salty…. The Big Bad Wolf is not there. There is a new roller coaster called Verboton which is where the Big Bad Wolf used to be.
    Looks like there are some ingredients in place up there for strong to possibly severe storms SHOULD the sun come out tomorrow. Root for cloud cover since any sunshine will be what I call self destructing sunshine and destablize the atmosphere.

      1. That’s the one that the car hangs down from the rail and you come down towards the water OS right?

    1. From NWS at Taunton:

      POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER. AS MENTIONED ABOVE…HAVE LOW LEVEL JET MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO NOTING SOME TURNING OF THE LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FLOW…WITH LIGHT S WINDS AT THE SURFACE THAT VEER TO SW AT H85 AND W-SW AT 35-40 KT AT H7. ALSO NOTING MLCAPES AT AROUND 1000 J/KG. PRETTY GOOD SHEAR IN PLACE…SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE
      GUSTY TO POTENTIAL STRONG WIND GUSTS AND CAN NOT RULE OUT A POSSIBLE BRIEF SPIN UP.

  19. Given all of that above, it sure looks like there will be ZERO sunshine, therefore
    whatever happens it will have to it WITHOUT the benefit of sunshine. I’m not feeling it.
    Could something still happen? Sure, but current radar displays indicate a large slug of water, but NOTHING SEVERE so far. We’ll monitor all day, but I have a good feeling
    we will escape anything severe.

    http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=BOX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000&centerx=400&centery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0

    1. We’ve had to turn the ACs on a bit just to get the humidity out of the house.

      72.2 with a 70 dp again today.

      Steady moderate rain here now. Air is very calm.

        1. I do also – even the day we had at the beach like this I found enjoyable. There is something comforting about it.

  20. Flash Flood Watches expanded southeastward, looks like heavy rains are here to stay for much of the area

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