The Week Ahead

108 Comments

10:53PM

One’s like or dislike of the weather is a matter of personal opinion of course, but the vast majority of you will consider this coming week to be the best of the entire Summer, and possibly the best of the entirety of 2013. High pressure will dominate, with only a dry cold frontal passage Friday morning. Temperatures start out with a warming trend, reaching hot levels (by August standards) by midweek, along with some increase in humidity, then a little cooler and less humid by the end of the week. If you picked this week for vacation, YOU WIN!

Forecast for southeastern New England…

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 75-85, coolest Cape Cod & South Coast, mildest interior MA and southern NH. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 57-64. Wind light W.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-86. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 58-68. Highs 81-91.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-70. Highs 82-92.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 56-66. Highs 75-85.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Lows 55-65. Highs 75-85.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Lows 53-63. Highs 75-85.

108 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

    2. A ton of rain in Lowell and a flooded Merrimack River a few days after. The winds got to 30-35 mph briefly from the NE, but never really became an issue. I’m kind of glad I wasnt a homeowner in Marshfield at that point, because it sounds like they did have wind related issues down here. And then a few months later, the perfect storm.

      1. Tom I seem to remember more flooding than wind here as opposed to Gloria where we had very strong winds. And I came across some photos the other day of Humarock after the perfect storm…..horrible damage throughout the south shore and on up the coast.

        1. I’m sure. I also seem to recall John, in some previous posts, mentioning a lot of damage down this way.

  6. The tropics ….. Ho-hum. Not even an area identified as being watched. Nothing really on the long range models. Very interesting ……..

    1. I can’t help but wonder if that dust/dry area that came off the coast has pretty much ended the tropical storms for the season. I know the season goes for a while yet and we are really only 19 days into when it seems to crank up but….

  7. Eric Fisher? Who in the world is he???

    I saw his promo on channel 4. He seems like a reasonable guy. We’ll see how
    good he is as time passes.

    So what happens to Todd G? and Barry B? If they cut loose Joe Joyce, I certainly
    won’t shed a tear.

    re: Tropics.

    GFS still has something long range:

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-natlncep.php?run=2013081906&var=PCPPRSTMP_850mb&hour=384

    But even that looks to stay off shore, at least with this way early look at it.

    2. Eric Fisher comes to BZ from The Weather Channel. When at the Weather Channel he worked weekend mornings along with
      fill in work during the week as well as work in the field including Hurricane Irene and the Blizzard of 2010 to name a few.
      I thought he was a good meteorlogist.
      Todd Gutner will work weekday mornings. Barry Burbank will work weekend mornings and Joe Joyce will work weekend
      evenings.

        2. When I was going to college up there I was surprised Barry Burbank was not chief meteorologist considering
          he had more years at BZ than Ed Carroll, Melissa Bell, Mish Michaels, and Ken Barlow.

          1. Ed Carroll, Melissa Bell, Mish Michaels, and Ken Barlow. NONE of which could hold a candle to Barry!*@*#&*!&@#*(&!*(@#&*(!&@*#&!

        3. I would agree — more than unfair to Barry who IMHO is very capable and has earned the position. These networks are nasty and I wonder if they have anyone who realizes that people actually stop watching them when they do stuff like this.

          1. Vicki,

            I agree 100%. Sure, perhaps Barry wants a lesser role, but Why wouldn’t he want the Chief
            Meteorologist role? He is FAR SUPERIOR to
            ALL of the other mets at the station. Makes no sense to me at all. NONE!!!

            It’s all about Young Pretty Boy faces and MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!! the Business Blows big time!

  8. Thanks TK. What are the chances of repeating this weather next week while I am on vacation???

    Vicki…please wish Mac a Happy Birthday from me. I hope he gets to spend it golfing!

    1. Nice week for vacation and hope you are doing something fun — and I assume your boys do not start school until after Labor day which is what I always thought it should stay.

      I will tell Mac who asked me to thank North and Tom and Ace — and said that the next hurricane will not be for another 22 years. See how little influence I have on him 😉

  9. Thanks, TK.

    Sunsets are noticeably earlier now. Fall is not that far away. My summer was not that great, but still, the summers seem to be short in New England.

    I still like WBZ – but I have often wondered why Barry is not the chief meteorologist.

  10. There are VERY few on-air TV mets that I trust.

    Here is my current list:

    Barry Burbank
    Harvey Leonard
    Matt Noyes

    That’s it. No one that I have viewed even comes close.

    The jury is out on Eric Fisher. I’m dying to see how he handles the
    first potential snowstorm in this area, most especially I want to see how
    he handles and understands the complicated rain/snow line situation with
    the influence of our nearby Ocean, ocean enhancement, OROGRAPHIC LIFTING,
    Convergence zones and coastal fronts etc etc etc.

    Then we can make a determination of just how good he is. 😀

    1. Eric is from New England. I remember him mentioning it a few times when he was working at The Weather Channel which
      is a good thing to have a meteorologist with local knowledge.

  11. Vicki Happy Birthday to Mac!!!
    Its all about getting ratings and television is a cruel business. We had the same thing happen in CT at our ABC station where a great young Meteorologist Steve McGlaughlin got demoted to the weekend evening shift to bring Erika Martin on to weeknights and she was not even working for the station for the year.

    1. Thank you from Mac JJ – and it is about ratings but so often the stations make a decision for ratings that loses them viewership and that amazes me. BZ lost me a while ago except for the weather. I know many that feel the same but I’m not seeing the flip side of the coin. Maybe they gained more than they lost.

      I just can’t see any fan of BZ not being surprised by this and disappointed for Barry.

  12. To add to the discussion above, I dont think most of the public watches the TV weathercasts like us bloggers on Woodshill Weather.

    I think a majority of viewers out there will hear …… “sunny”, “cloudy”, “hot”, “cold”, “rainy”, “snowy”, “beach day”, “apple picking day”, etc.

    You lose most of that majority, but probably make us bloggers happy with terms such as ……. “unstable”, “convective”, “dynamics”, “overrunning”, “cyclogenisis”, etc ……..

    And so …. As I think we all have seen in some aspect of our lives, sometimes the simple language is preferred over the intelligent, supremely correct language. It is a shame that this is true.

    And yes, I absolutely wish Barry was featured even more than he has been over the years. Superb accuracy, superb……intelligent explanations and discussions…… And usually first (on TV) to figure out that things arent going to turn out as forecast (remember Hurricane Earl ??) Ch 4’s take on this …….. is to yet again, feature their best meteorologist, twice a week. 🙁

    1. ahhhh hemmmm – I agree with all you said except earl…..Pete said on wednesday prior that Earl was a miss. I do not recall when Barry mentioned it might be a miss but Pete was blasted on the BZ weather blog so I can only guess Barry had not said the same and may be incorrect??

      I still have the email from Pete to me somewhere…..we were in the midst of trying to decide whether to leave Hum a day early.

      1. Indeed, lets add Pete too! ………..Yes, as I recall, Barry was bewildered when the warnings went all the way up to the Merrimack River near the Mass/NH border and I seem to recall him downplaying the whole thing.

        1. I found the emails from Pete and even the Monday before he had said to me he thought at the most it would be a glorified nor’easter but he wasn’t convinced of even that.

          hehehe – I added him to the list in my mind 🙂

        2. Tom – I also wanted to ask on the flood topic – is there any way you can be grandfathered out of that? I know it’s like homeowners for a bank holding the mortgage – they need to be sure their investment is protected – but if you buy and then there is reclassification, I would think just maybe there would be an out??

          1. One of my neighbors seems to think we are not included, just the houses whose yards touch the south river and its marshes. There’s a town meeting on it in early September and thats when we’ll know exactly who is in the new flood zone from our neighborhood. I’ve tried all the new maps, they show our neighborhood colored in, so, I dont know, but there does not seem to be an actual list of street names.

  13. Y’all are too kind. 😀

    The “partly” portion of “partly sunny” has arrived with the last batch of high cloudiness crossing the sky the next few hours.

    Sue… Next week looks good!!!

    90+ many areas 2 days, possibly 3 (Tuesday-Thursday). One more heatwave for a few locations? Now I feel it’s ok to say the chance of a heatwave after this week is greatly lower, especially since there are hints of a return to below normal temperatures are September arrives.

    1. Tk,

      You were right on target. The models were consistently forecasting
      lower high temperatures, but you KNEW they were under doing it.

      I received confirmation that you were going to be correct yesterday afternoon while I was driving around. My car thermometer reached 87 (even though that can spike due to heating of the pavement etc), it was CLEARLY HIGHER than forecast and the warmth had not yet arrived. 😀

      Great job!

      1. But that can’t be right cause wasn’t ch 7 looking at voodoo charts when it saw 90 this week? Maybe I made that up 😉

        This is not really Vicki — it’s her evil twin — after all she is a Gemini

        👿

        1. Yes, that is correct.

          They must have gotten lucky and accidentally looked
          at the correct charts. 😀 😀 😀

          OR used their special Ovaltine secret decoder ring and stumbled upon the correct solution. 😀

          Seriously, I just don’t think much of channel 7 at
          all. It is our local version of TABLOID TELEVISION.
          Again, just my opinion.

          The other 2 stations, 4 and 5 are far and away MORE
          professional. Again, just my opinion.

          1. I agree re the tabloid thing……If I hear “first on 7” one more time I think I’ll scream. But it’s station mandate so I do not blame the newscasters or mets. BZ is no better – just a bit more subtle I think. I don’t know about 5 as I watch 4 and 7.

    2. TK what are your thoughts on AccuWeather’s fall forecast calling for above normal temps for September and October with
      below normal temps in November and the possiblity of snowfall for at least parts of New England that month?
      Thanks!

      2. As long as it doesn’t snow in October then above normal temps is OK with me as much as I dislike intense heat.

        1. My grandson – 6 – believes that power outages are part of the Halloween tradition. I’m not kidding. He can’t remember back to 2010 when he was 3. So he is already gearing up for power to be out. I’m hoping Mother Nature doesn’t disappoint. 😉

          1. Vicki – Is your grandson referring about the Halloween snow in 2011? If so, then I am very surprised he would remember at this stage of his life. 🙂

            1. Yep. We didnt have power due to 2011 and again in 2012 due to some weird after thing from sandy. Two years running. Remember the family lives here and it is hard to escape my enthusiasm when we have an outage. Both time as soon as power returned he went Around turning lights off 🙂

      3. Haven’t looked TOO far ahead yet but the early hints are colder early September and possibly a rebound later. So that would lend some credibility to the early part of their forecast. I’ll be looking deeper into the Autumn in the next week or so.

    1. Sue I love day trips. Would love to hear about them of you think of it!!! I hope every day is perfect 😀

  15. As to the shakeup of mets at WBZ, as much as I will miss Barry weekday mornings I am just grateful the station hasn’t dismissed him entirely. I have this constant fear that one day I will read in the gossip section of the Boston Herald about Barry’s or Harvey’s retirement party of a cake shaped like a weather map of highs, lows and fronts or something. I wouldn’t put it past these stations to slip these two mets past the viewing public w/o a proper on-air “goodbye”.

  16. Just the fact that Eric Fisher comes from TWC already worries me that during winter storms it is all going to be about HYPE…as if we need another Ch. 7. UGH!! 😉

    Having said all that these are the TV mets I trust:

    1. Barry
    2. Harvey
    3. Pete (most of the time) 😉

    1. I was not a big Pete Bouchard fan when I was going to school up there.
      I would rank Barry number one followed by Harvey number two. I did like Dick Albert as well.

  17. Mac asked me to be sure say thank you to everyone. It was very unexpected and appreciated. He knows everyone here just listening to me 🙂

  19. For the allergy/asthma sufferers, please take it easy the next couple of days. Pollen count is over 10 on the 1-12 scale. Should improve if we get a little rain maybe Weds-Thurs.

  21. I like Matt Noyes but sometimes i think hes too smart for his own good. He tends to over analyze, especially in winter, but still among the best 🙂

  22. I think we have a pretty decent consensus. The only discrepancy is we seem
    to be divided among who is #3. Pete Bouchard vs Matt Noyes. 😀 😀
    You know where I stand.

    How about the Tropics? Lighting up like a Christmas tree, no?

    Well, the GFS has had a feature in some form or another for a few days now, run after run after run, for what it’s worth.

    Here is the 06Z GFS run of today at 384 hours or 16 DAYS OUT 😀 😀 😀

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-natlncep.php?run=2013082006&var=PCPPRSTMP_850mb&hour=384

    1. I’ll happily put Pete #4. In the long run I don’t discount any. We know they all can be and have been wrong so IMHO we watch all to get a clear picture of what can happen and then listen to TK for what will happen.

      1. Actually if I have time, perhaps I’ll record what their predictions are 3-4 days out and up to an event. Major event – not every day weather as I don’t think anyone has time

        What did we end up with?

        Barry
        Harvey
        Matt
        pete

        Where does Matt reside? I did watch him last winter since everyone here was talking about him but can’t remember where.

          1. Sorry OS my peculiar way of asking. I did mean network/station. Will have to find out what station necn is here. Thank you

  24. 80F at Logan at 10am …..

    54F atop Mt. Washington. Under today’s conditions, fairly normal summer day with no inversions, I like to add 35F to summits temp to get max temp potential, which at the current hour, would translate to 89F.

    There does seem to be full sun and we’re still 5 to 6 hrs from max temp.

    The winds are fairly light though and I could see a light seabreeze at Logan later on.

    Will it get to 90F today ???

    1. The other thing working against 90F is the somewhat lower sun angle, it fails to get to 60 degrees above the horizon today.

    2. Excellent post – thanks Ace. I often wonder when I see individuals scurrying around the supermarkets prior to a storm or say they have lost all food in their fridge during a snowstorm what people are thinking. With all of the external forces we have, it seems common sense for everyone to have a certain amount of food and water in their home. And we have now had at least three major storms in the past few years so that developing a reasonable plan and steps to take seems to me to be common sense.

      I’ll step down from my soap box but do wish everyone, everywhere would read that article. Well written.

      1. Thanks Ace for the article. As for Matt Noyes on air persona and forecasts I can’t judge one way or the other since I don’t have cable but from many of the articles that have been shared here on this blog he seems to really know what he is talking about in terms of weather.

  29. Got some info on Larz Anderson Park. Cost is $80 for up to 4.5 hours for one picnic area for non-residents, $40 for residents. Times are either 10am-2:30pm or 3-7:30pm. Are there any residents of Brookline out there?? Each picnic area has one picnic table and one grill, but we could bring chairs. Alcohol is not allowed, BUT ranger told me if its in cups they wont give us a hard time.

    1. Great info and more than fair prices. I think even if there are no Brookline residents, $80 is doable. I have a folding table that I could bring. We will have to chose a date first to know who can attend.

      Thank you very much for both the idea and taking the time to get the information.

    1. Not gonna make 90. At the same time only 85 at Norwood and 84 at Bedford, 84 at Blue Hill, and get this, 79 at Worcester. 😀

      1. Boston can do it when the wind comes off the Blue Hills – but they probably will fall 1 or 2 degrees shy today.

        The other places don’t have to be 90 for Boston to make it. And Worcester’s 79 is elevation-related.

  31. GFS and EURO trending towards early next week warmup after weekend cooldown. EURO seems to be walking away from earlier idea of parking an upper-level low in the maritimes, which was holding back the warmth in the Plains.

    1. We often will get a secondary warm push after one like this week. I believe that happens and peaks on Monday, which not only is my son’s birthday, but an extended weekend day for me, so we can go enjoy a day at Water Country. 🙂

      1. Excellent ! Growing up in Lowell, we went to water country and then seemed to end up at Yoken’s. I wonder if that restaurant is still around ?? Enjoy !!!

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