2:32AM
Broad but weak low pressure sitting just offshore during the next 2 days will add clouds and a shower threat to the weather in southern New England before pulling offshore and allowing high pressure to bring nicer late Summer weather by Friday and much of the Labor Day Weekend, though the next trough from the west is expected to bring a shower and thunderstorm threat by the holiday itself, and delay the onset of a shot ofย heat from the Midwest/Plains heatwave. Still looking for some of this to eventually get to the eastern US though it may take a while.
Updated forecast for southeastern New England…
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY: Variably cloudy with a few episodes of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms. Highs around 80 except cooler coast. Lows around 60. Somewhat humid. Winds primarily E to N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 58. High 79.
SATURDAY & SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 55-65. Highs 75-85.
MONDAY – LABOR DAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 60. High 80.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Low 64. High 83.
TK, thank you for the update. I think we might be looking at late afternoon showers today around commute time.
Thanks TK !
Thickest fog of the year in Marshfield, visibility at 0 !!!
Thanks TK!
From the SPC, concerning any possible thunderstorm activity today in our area:
FARTHER N INTO THE NE STATES…A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS RELATIVELY COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE REINFORCED ATOP A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER…THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD LACK ANY SUBSTANTIVE ORGANIZATION OWING TO WEAK DEEP SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
WEAKER MID-LEVEL FLOW.
For me, I’ll believe a thunderstorm when I see it.
Just do NOT get many thunderstorms this time of year.
I’m guessing most of the area remains DRY today. We shall see. ๐
Hey TK….
Local Mountain????? he he he
Last I looked there were NO mountains in our local area.
Closest mountain would be, Mt. Monadnock in NH and
Mt. Wachusett in MA.
Unless, of course, you meant Zion Hill. ๐ ๐ ๐
well billerica is a big hill
Yes, if you say so, but TK said Mountain. ๐
They’re all glacial hills. ๐
We call it a mountain here in town.
Woburn has several noted hills (none of which are actual mountains):
-Mount Zion (or Zion Hill), the highest point in the city.
-Horn Pond Mountain
-Rag Rock Hill
-Blueberry Hill a.k.a. Mount Misery
-Walnut Hill
-Whispering Hill
and probably one or 2 I forgot to mention…
Any thunderstorms that develop will be non severe and across the interior.
Very low on the threat level index with regards to flooding, wind, hail, and tornado.
Holy Fog Batman!! It was so cool to watch it roll in last night. My five year old walked outside last night and came running back in and said “Mama, it is strange out there”. Well the weather hasn’t been the best for vacation but I guess it could have been worse too.
Enjoy the rest of it. My son went back to school today.
Crazy as today and tomorrow only.
Framingham started today also. Kindergarten starts Monday. It is disjointed, isn’t it, John. Two days this week and with Labor day and the Rosh Hashanah holiday next Thurs and Fri, they only have two days next week.
School started in a lot of places in CT. I can’t blame them for wanting to get in as many days before
the snow starts to fall. A lot of days were used before winter the past two school years with Irene, the
October Noreaster, and Superstorm Sandy. It was a very short summer break this year.
Agreed JJ. Although it’s always hard for me to think of school starting before what I’ve traditionally thought of as the end of summer vacation. Change is tough ๐
Vicki when I was going to school the majority of the year’s I went back before Labor Day.
From kindergarten to 5th grade school would always start on Thursday before Labor Day.
my kids also
my school has the teachers have proffisional days
before we start well the schools that i went to before college
Matt that is common to have about two to three professional development
days before the students return. It happened every year from K through 12 for me.
Then there a couple more during the year which is great for the kids since its day off
from school.
Just monday off for pembroke next week.
Thanks John! Plymouth goes back next week. My son starts kindergarten on Friday. How silly is that?!?!?!?!?
Sounds a bit like our first week at the beach. I wish it could have been better for you, Sue, but something tells me you all make the very best of it. My grandson was also awed by the fog over the river at Hum. I think he thought the river was on fire.
Enjoy the rest of your vacation.
Thanks Vicki! We are certainly doing what we can do enjoy it. Between the weather and my husband still not able to walk it certainly hasn’t been our best vacation. But we did make it to the beach on Monday and tomorrow we are going to hit the swan boats. It certainly beats working!
I love the swan boats. Lots of memories there. I read Make Way for the Ducklings to the kids last spring and in we went. Have your boys been before?? Enjoy and say hi to Mrs. Mallard for me ๐
From our Canadian Friends, A pretty scary scenario for 10 days out:
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemglb&run=00&stn=PNM&hh=240&map=hnord&stn2=PNM&run2=00&mod2=ecmwf&hh2=240&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
Of course the EURO does NOT have this nor does the GFS. ๐
So far, there are a few pop up variety showers out there in the interior:
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=10&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=BOX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=1&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0
Nothing remotely worth worry.
The biggest threat with these storms will be for some heavy rainfall since they will be slow moving and that will be across
the interior.
Threat Level Index remains unchange from earlier.
And they are remaining WAY in the interior. ๐
Just back in the office from lunch. Absolutely gorgeous out there!!
Temperature here about 78, a bit sticky, but not bad and
NOT a single cloud in the sky.
BTW 1PM obs from Logan: Temp: 72 Dew Point: 63 Wind SouthEast
NO Rain on the coast today for certain. ๐
Temp inland 85 with a 68 dp. Humidity was creeping up to the point that I turned AC’s on for a bit – something I fight having to do. Nonetheless – lovely weather; and as I say that and look to my north, I am seeing some cumulus clouds building.
The weather can be funny …..
For most of early to mid August, a good part of the central and eastern US was cool, well below average tempwise.
Now, in the waning days of August, when we might expect some initial signs of autumn, we have a central US ridge and those same areas listed above are very warm to hot, well above average tempwise.
And our East Coast is influenced by a persistent and COOL sea breeze.
It is 70 at Logan. 5 or 6 miles away at my house in JP it’s 82.
Go Figure.
New England weather is mighty strange. ๐
Same here. There’s about a 5F difference over 1.5 miles from the school to where I live.
The low clouds never fully retreated or burnt off over Brant Rock and have begun to already return over my neighborhood.
Wonders of living along the coast.
If I dare say, Nova Scotia weather. ๐
FWIW, Inland showers are now sporting loads of lightning.
and the ones in central NH, up by Concord, look nasty. There are red echoes on those storms, pretty far away from the radar beam.
:). Exactly Nova Scotia weather !
:D:
I was lamenting the fact that we do not have a home by the ocean where we can go and relax on weekends, etc. and wondering how we could make that happen. The answer just dawned on me………….when did you say you are going camping again, Tom??? ๐
We were going to go this weekend, however, we cancelled to hang around in Marshfield. So, in mid September, I think it is.
Oh wait ….. ๐ …… I just got your question. A few burnt brain cells already from two days. LOL !! I’ll talk to my wife Vicki ! ๐
I can’t stop laughing. I always like to hear about your trips. I keep encouraging my kids to do the same
But……..the order of your posts cracked me up!!!!
Wow, at least at Logan, they are 66F with a 1/2 mile visibility in fog. I can see the fog across the marsh. Its cloudy here now, all low clouds.
Can’t see that layer yet from the office. Just looked.
I continue to be stunned by the lack of activity in the tropics.
I mean, a few weeks ago, all the new, updated forecasts, though lowered a bit, were still on for an above normal year.
I dont like that the trend in the long range is for an even more amplified pattern to return with a central atlantic ridge, that I’m guessing the models dont truly have a handle on.
And ….. If the main conditions, such as upper level winds, ocean temps, overall atmospheric patterns are still favorable for an above normal season, then what is coming down the pike in Sept/Oct ?
Is it going to be an excessive parade of storms crammed into a few weeks or one big monster that comes along that releases some of the heat content out of the tropics.
We shall see. Look how intense Sandy was and that was nearly November
last year.
I continue to look at the models. Euro and Canadian at 10 days
and GFS from 10-16 days. Today’s 12Z Canadian has a pretty decent
system at our latitude, but a few hundred miles off-shore.
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=hnord&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNM&hh2=228&fixhh=1&hh=240
Here’s today’s 12Z Euro for the same time period.
Zippo!
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=hnord&run=12&mod=ecmwf&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ecmwf&stn2=PNM&hh2=216&fixhh=1&hh=240
Not even the GFS has it:
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=12&stn=PNM&hh=240&map=hnord&stn2=PNM&run2=12&mod2=ecmwf&hh2=240&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
So, it looks like IF anything develops, it’s going to be even later…..
Wow on the EURO and GFS, they have nothing ANYWHERE in the tropics.
Wow, its consistent with this system, at least in terms of having it on a couple of consecutive runs.
True, but the others don’t have it.
In general (always exceptions), it doesn’t usually pan out
UNLESS all or at least most models have it. ๐
Brrrrrr
Getting chilly here!!!!!!!!!!
That is certainly fine with me…and I bet with your wife as well! ๐
Glad for Mrs OS —- can you please send it this way – thanks
Wxrisk.com
*** STUNNING BREAKING NEWS ON CLIMATE WARMING **
Scripps Institute NOAA and now the Most Liberal Newspaper in the Western World (the UK ‘s GUARDIAN) all now concede
GLOBAL WARMING has either STOPPED or slowed DRAMATICALLY
WHY?
large PERSISTENT cold Ocean water temps in the eastern pacific ..aka the NEGATIVE or cold phase of the PDO ( Pacific decadal oscillation.)
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/aug/28/cooling-pacific-dampened-global-warming
Link to Pacific decadal oscillation
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/
What’s funny is that a few years ago Joe D’Aleo said we’d see headlines such as this triggered by the very same PDO. ๐
Thanks OS. Very interesting. A few ifs there. ๐
Thanks Old Salty. Great read.
The PDO may be the single greatest climate cycle that drives the world’s weather patterns.
Global warming has slowed? Ok when will it speed back up again?
Probably in about 30 years …
Thanks TK!!! ๐
Central NH seems to be getting clobbered !
I wonder if any of that activity in Maine can make it down into northeast Mass and get those areas a bit of rain ?
Every time I looked today I saw cells there. Now it seems they have all joined forces
Vicki I had a good size cell come over me around 5pm. It had one of the loudest claps of thunder I have heard in a while.
Wow. I was so focused on NH that I missed CT. Very cool. I’d love at least one more before summers end. My grandson asked today when the power would go out for Halloween. ๐
Watching the stuff in NH. There is mid level instability there as a short-wave moves around the low offshore. I think the stuff will weaken but it’s worth watching.
Just updated the blog at 8:55PM!