Flip Flopping

85 Comments

6:31PM

The heat is gone, the cool is in. Also, humidity is being replaced by dry air, which will be with us for most of the weekend. Things are moving along quickly though. And though this weekend will not be cloudless, it will be quite enjoyable, weatherwise. Even though high pressure starts to build in at the surface on Saturday, lingering cold air above will set the stage for instability clouds to develop so there will be a fair amount of clouds with intervals of sun during the late morning to mid afternoon hours before the clouds start to dissipate. Before that happens, a few of them may grow just enough to release a few sprinkles or light showers. Most areas will not see them. High pressure builds overhead Saturday night, which will be quite cool, and Sunday, which will start with bright sun but probably end on the cloudier side as warm air flows in above us. A warm front will pass by the region late Sunday night followed by a cold front Monday, which will cause additional cloudiness along with a threat of showers. This will set up a chilly Monday night and a bright but cool Tuesday. A warm-up is expected by the middle of next week, but at this point does not look anything like the shot of heat and humidity we just experienced.

Forecast for southeastern New England (RI, eastern MA, and southern NH)…

TONIGHT: Isolated showers southeastern MA ending early, otherwise variably cloudy. Lows 50-55 except some upper 40s in the remote northwestern suburbs of Boston through interior southern NH. Wind NW 5-15 MPH gusts around 20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. Remote chance of a brief sprinkle or light shower mainly during the midday through mid afternoon. Highs in the 60s, may hit 70 few areas. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouds vanish. Lows in the 40s, upper 30s possible inland valleys.  Diminishing NW breeze.

SUNDAY: Bright sun morning, filtered sun afternoon, mostly cloudy by the end of the day. Highs in the 70s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Passing showers. Low 53. High 69.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 44. High 64.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 48. High 71.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 55. High 80.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 58. High 72.

85 thoughts on “Flip Flopping”

  1. Thanks TK. I hope the HHH temps will now be gone for good this year.

    I will say, however, that Brett Anderson has unseasonably warm temps for most of Canada through at least mid-October. I guess this does not bode well for many nice cool “feel of fall” days anytime soon. I am really getting sick of these mid-summer patterns.

      1. Thanks north. I saw your comment on the other blog and posted there. Is it unusual to have mud come into the basement with water?? Would you mind sharing the company’s name? Thank you very much

  5. Today’s (rather simple) AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    A hurricane is powered by …

    A. Moist heat from the sea
    B. El nino
    C. Subtropical jetstream
    D. A centrifugal force

    Answer later today and I expect 100% will get it right.

    1. Looks like the wet weather that moves in tomorrow will be on its way out with only a few lingering showers early Monday. Rest of the day should be fine with a NW breeze and drying air.

  8. Ingrid is churning in the Bay of Campeche, where the water temps are probably in the 85F – 88F range.

    It has impressively garnered strength (988 mb, max flight wind 76 knots) in the face of some shear.

    If this entity gets away from that shear before landfalling in Mexico, it would be interesting to see how intense it gets.

  9. Answer to today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    A hurricane is powered by …

    A. Moist heat from the sea
    B. El nino
    C. Subtropical jetstream
    D. A centrifugal force

    All my bloggers were correct, the answer is A.

      1. Thanks north. Yes I was surprised to see that as I thought there was to be no rain, thanks for clearing that up.

            1. Lol. Did I wave back?

              Bad accident on 95 last night. I was just on there before that happened. Head on collision. 1 person died.

    1. Hope valley ri, where the hek is that? Is this an old name for E.Providence? Cause I’m all over ri and never heard of it

    1. That display was one of the best local displays of the year for me.

      I was standing right against the fence, directly opposite to the launch area. My son, who is my height, was next to me. I was in dark colors with a backward baseball cap (the one in some of my FB pics) so I may not have been easy to spot. Emily from the blog was also with me.

      Not sure where you were. I was trying to contact you via FB but for some reason my phone was being a real pain last night and not listening to much of anything I asked of it.

      1. Yup, I was there! 😀 One of my favorite displays too. It was so good that it cancelled out the teenagers making out right next to us 😛

        I loved the swirly ones too! Those were great 🙂

  13. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What wa the first year that tropical storms were named?

    A. 1938
    B. 1950
    C. 1964
    D. 1979

    While there is only one correct answer, there is also a second date within this list that had something to do with naming tropical storms. Answer(s) later today.

    2. C and D. Guessing that the latter date incorporated all names. I’m not sure whether the storms had all male or female names first.

    5. B (because, for example, the Hurricane of 1938 had no official name) and D (when we started using male and female names instead of just female).

  14. Ingrid is a hurricane and forecast to reach 100 mph before landfall in Mexico:

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 15/0900Z 22.4N 95.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
    12H 15/1800Z 22.9N 96.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
    24H 16/0600Z 23.1N 97.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
    36H 16/1800Z 23.1N 98.3W 70 KT 80 MPH…INLAND
    48H 17/0600Z 22.8N 99.2W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
    72H 18/0600Z 22.4N 100.4W 20 KT 25 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    96H 19/0600Z…DISSIPATED

  16. B, otherwise Carol in 1954 was a figment of imagination.

    And D, after which David and Frederick made very loud statements.

    2. Well I’d like to point out that mother nature is a woman and as such….It should have been Danielle and Fredericka 🙂

  17. Well based on the weather which was the final element of concern, the salvage of the Costa Concordia will begin tomorrow. The hull is weakening just from the ship lying on its side for 20 months, and the salvage experts say if this doesn’t work, the winter weather will weaken it further so no second chance. If they scrap it, it will take two years to tear it apart.

    Picture below.

    http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/09/15/costa-concordia-salvage-operation-to-go-ahead-monday/

  18. Thanks TK!! HI everyone! 🙂

    Tk, it’s funny that your title is called “Flip flopping” because I was just thinking about how “flip flop” season is over, but the end of summer is still here. 😀

    That crisp fall smell was wafting around last night and it made me so happy.

    The only thing I am having trouble getting used to is not having my windows open all the time. Now when I open them up and I’m like, “Why am I so cold!?!” And my cats are looking at me pathetically and pawing at the window. So I open them anyways… and burry myself under my blanket 😉

    1. Hahahahaha right after I posted this my cat jumped up on my bed and ran over to my window, nudging at it and me. She is in it right now. A very happy girl 😉 hahahaha

  19. Yesterday, September 14th in 1944 the Great Atlantic Hurricane struck SNE. Acccording to Joe Joyce, it was well forecasted given the technology of that era and most residents were well prepared with relatively little damage.

    I have never heard any old timers mention this particular hurricane.

        1. Carol for me too but I’m surprised I don’t remember my parents generation mentioning 1944 unless it was because it paled in comparison to 1938?? I heard a lot about that.

          1. Oh – and I heard a lot about the Portland Gale too – I would think that would be a familiar story to Tom and John and Coastal and Sue???

  20. Interesting that from about 1935 to 1960 the east coast and SNE almost always had to deal with exteme tropical activity then abruptly got quiet until hurricane Belle in 1976 and IIRC she fizzled out on her way up here.

    My first real experience with a hurricane was Gloria in late September 1985.

    1. I remember Gloria well, it was the most fascinating storm I remember, it made landfall at 85mph and we were only 60-75 miles east of the center (which is the worst side). I just remember a entire afternoon of falling trees and no electricity. It was by far the worst hurricane or hurricane like conditions I’ve ever experienced in my life, 2nd worst storm but was just a tropical system would be Bertha of the late 90’s

      1. With those types of storms it always depends on where you are.

        Gloria took down more trees than Bob did in the NW suburbs of Boston, yet the wind gusts in Bob were stronger where I am located (however they were NW winds on the back side of the departing nearly extratropical low with rapidly expanding wind field).

        Why more trees down in Gloria? Longer time between the last storm of that magnitude and Gloria. Many more trees ready to go. Gloria cleaned house before Bob, which took down less because there were less ready to go in those winds.

        1. Interesting side note on Gloria. My wife’s cousin resided
          several houses down from us and around the corner. They had the largest yard in the neighborhood and there was much land with many trees in the expansive back yard and lining the property.

          Gloria took out 2 trees that absolutely flattened their
          garage and then 5 or 6 other trees down, strewn about the back yard.

          The NWS was not called in, but I’d swear on a stack of bibles that there was a pretty potent tornadic spin up
          highly localized right there. You had to see the trees laid out the way they were. I just couldn’t see it being straight line winds from the storm.

          Any how, I thought that it was interesting.

        2. The winds were much stronger in Gloria than bob here, no comparison, bob was nothing here, I actually don’t remember a memorable thing about it other than everyone disappointed that we missed it

          1. Charlie,

            Bob wasn’t much of anything here either, but I can assure your, the Cape, especially nearer
            the canal, got walloped. Amazing damage, most especially along Shore Drive in Falmouth.

  21. I don’t remember Gloria since I was a year old. I have heard many stories as it was the last hurricane to make a direct hit on CT. It caused the biggest power outage in CT until Irene and then the October Noreaster.

  22. I remember both. While Gloria winds were stronger here, bob winds were still stong. Flooding from bob was significant even here. Our neighbor had two willow trees fall at nearly the exact same time in Gloria. But willows have shallow roots so it was wind. I watched them go and still remember the thud and shake of the ground. It seems the ones I remember of my youth were worse however

  24. (2) 12z runs of the EURO in a row to take something out of the Caribbean and move it NE out into the Atlantic, as it develops a bit. (1004 to 998 mb). Meanwhile, a big high bridges across southern Canada to our north.

    I think the GFS has also been hinting at a similar idea in the same time frame.

    Wonder if thats something to watch for the long term ?????

  25. I just heard Mike Lynch on Ch. 5 that Danny Amendola may need surgery which would likely delay any return…if at all. UGH! 🙁

    Mike Lynch also pointed out that Amendola missed 20 games in two years with St. Louis.

    UGH!!!!! 🙁

  26. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What was the first year that tropical storms were named?

    A. 1938
    B. 1950
    C. 1964
    D. 1979

    The correct answer is B, 1950. The other answer is D, 1979 which was the year when male names began for tropical storms.

  27. To: Philip

    I think I saw Amendola will be out 2-6 weeks. Meanwhile Vereen is out for 8 weeks and I am not sure when Gronk will return.

    On another note the B’s start with pre-season tomorrow night.

    1. I believe Amendola may be out a bit longer than those 2-6 weeks IF he needs that surgery. We will see. The rookie receivers are going to have to step up BIG TIME to say the least.

      It seems awfully early for preseason hockey IMO. Somehow I don’t recall it was always like that. Maybe I am remembering wrong?

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