Building A Fence

35 Comments

8:24PM

A weak cold front is passing by and will not make it very far south and east of southern New England through Thursday. It will then try to return back across the region as a warm front on  Friday but looks like it may get hung up and sit around the area through Saturday before finally getting pushed to the north on Sunday. What does this all mean? It means there will be more cloudiness around from Thursday night into the weekend along with some threat of showers, though it appears that the greatest threat of any rainfall may be confined to early Friday and that much of the weekend will end up being rain-free. Early next week should start warm and humid with a rain threat as a cold front approaches from the west, but timing is not clear at this point. What is more certain is that a mild to warm temperature pattern is not going anywhere soon.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 50s. Wind W around 10 MPH.

THURSDAY:  Sunshine, filtered at times by variable high clouds. Highs in the 70s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Pre-dawn showers possible in southern NH and Boston’s NW suburbs. Lows around 60. Wind light variable.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers through mid morning, then lots of clouds linger but periods of sun as well. Highs around 70. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Low 60. High 75.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Low 60. High 79.

MONDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Chance of rain late. Low 62. High 81.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 61. High 75.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 58. High 73.

35 thoughts on “Building A Fence”

  5. This show, “Inside A Megastorm” (PBS/NOVA), is amazing. While I think there may be a little bit of revisionist history going on here as to how much faith hurricane experts say they had in the models, I do believe there are those who took the models seriously and those that did not at all (and now say they did).

  6. Vicki,

    Thanks for your nice comments on the previous blog. Saturday is looking like it will be okay. Let’s hope for a sunny day!

    1. Hi TJ. I just listened to JRs forecast and thought of you. Along with TKs of course it looks as if you’ll have a great day 🙂

    1. I have to say that Eric Fisher has been doing very well. He is clearly
      superior to Todd Gutner, as nice a man as Todd is.

      I reserve final judgement until I see how he handles Winter storms with their Complex Rain/snow lines, sleet, freezing rain, cold air damming, coastal fronts, Ocean Effect, dry slots… etc etc etc… based on what I have seen so far, here’s guessing he will do just fine. 😀 😀

  9. Good morning,

    I was somewhat disappointed we didn’t hit the record high yesterday, but then
    it was NOT forecast. 😀

    re: the Tropics

    Sure looks like we get Karenin the Gulf very shortly.

    Pretty funny, but the Euro barely has this. IT has it for 2 days then it goes poof
    before hitting the Gulf Coast of US. ALL other models have it, including the 2 main hurricane models, as a tropical system hitting somewhere along the Gulf from about New Orleans to West Florida and all depict it then coming up inland towards New England in remnant form. 😀 😀

  10. We do have Karen which was just named twenty minutes ago with winds of 60 mph. There is dry air to the west where the EURO model wants to take while the GFS keeps it away from the dry air and develops Karen to what looks to be a strong tropical storm or possibly a weak hurricane. Its remants look to get absorbed by a front coming through.
    Atlas impacting the Rockies with accumulating snow on the cold side and the warm side the Potential for severe weather.
    Meanwhile our boring weather pattern continues.

    2. Thanks JJ – a good friend (and ex-fiancee) lived in Suffield. I remember this event but had forgotten it until your post.

  13. What is interesting is the path of that tornado where it tracked in the a northwest direction. The late Dr. Mel Goldstein who was a meteorologist at WTNH our ABC affiliate in CT in an interview thought with the setup there could be a grand daddy of a storm as he called it.

  15. Whatever makes it up here will be minimal, more west of the region. Would love a nice soaking but I doubt we get it.

  16. The thunderstorms are not near the center with Karen. The dry air to its west maybe getting into the system and if that is the case it won’t strengthen as much as it could.

  18. Hey TK, meant to ask: So on which side of the fence are you? 😀

    Ho Hum. In between seasons. Ho Hum.

  19. Remnants of Karen will provide us with our only good shot of beneficial rain during the first half of this month it appears (except maybe something right at mid month).

    1. Exactly. You can take aim with a big cannon but still graze or miss the target. We’re in the early stages of what I believe is a long term dry spell.

        1. Well I haven’t really looked into the Winter in terms of a seasonal forecast just yet. I just see signs of long term below normal precip. setting up. We’ll see if it carries thru Winter.

          1. Thanks TK. It will be interesting to see what a dry fall produces long term. I usually have a gut feeling about winter by now, but this year, I have no clue whatsoever. ❓

  23. Nice 1st period. I like the way the Bruins played. Great penalty kill at the end. Power play needs a little work. Gotta love the penalty shot goal.

    Blog is updated!

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