Friend Coming To Visit

29 Comments

4:47PM

We have a friend on the way. This friend is a high pressure system that will be building across eastern Canada then down over New England in the coming days. It now appears that this high will be strong enough to suppress rainfall to the south and keep us dry Thursday into the coming weekend, including for the Red Sox home opener on Friday afternoon against the Yankees. Before we get there though, we still have wet weather behind the cold front that passed by today, and another disturbance that has to move through tomorrow evening with the threat of rain and even some wet snow.

Peeking into next week, an active but milder pattern is expected, with the main storm track through the Great lakes. The best bet for showers/rain is Tuesday & Thursday, as timing stands now.

Forecast details for the Boston Area…

THROUGH SUNSET: Mainly cloudy with periods of rain, ending from southwest to northeast. Temperature cooling into the 40s where it has not done so already. Wind W 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Low 30 to 35. Wind W 10 to 20 mph. Wind chill in the 20s at times.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing cloudiness. High 50 to 55. Wind W 10 to 20 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain developing, changing to snow, potentially coating the unpaved surfaces inland and over higher elevations, then ending late. Low 31 to 36. Wind NW 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. High 50 to 55 except holding in the 40s along the coast. Wind N to NE 5 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 35 to 40. Wind light NE.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. High 40 to 45 immediate coast ranging to 55 to 60 well inland. Wind NE to E 5 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 33. High 54.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 36. High 59.

29 thoughts on “Friend Coming To Visit”

  1. TK thanks for the update as always! It’s good that the Red Sox weekend vs. Yankees won’t have any “rain” issues. The Sox pitching staff has enough worries right now as it is. Also, is it safe to say that no more snow after Wednesday night until mid-late November at the earliest? 🙂

  2. Philip I think we are done for snow with this year but it was a great season. I am looking forward to tracking thunderstorms and were there a lot of severe weather reports yesterday. Thankfully no severe weather here.
    As for the Red Sox to early for me to panic.

  3. Ooops I did not see your reply TK, thank you very much. I was just surprized to see one small cloud in the visible sky that day. Can I ride my bike without worrying about black ice tomorrow morning in Weymouth?

    1. I think so. Enough breeze and marginal temps that we really won’t see any extensive ice formation.

  4. Hi TK- So will the snow for the most part stay in those areas, you do not think Boston will see snow do you. Thank’s.

    1. It’s a marginal call by me, at best. Most people don’t think we even have a shot at snow. I’m banking on this disturbance being underforecast by the NAM. This may be totally out to lunch. But either way, it’s such a quick-moving disturbance that whatever did happen wouldn’t last. Just not around long enough. Worst case scenario, Boston sees rain to start, flakes in the air for a while, then it ends. There is plenty of meteorological reasoning to dispute my forecast. The only reason it’s probably not worth an extensive argument is because the system is likely to be very weak.

  6. Charlie I don’t blame you for wanting football back. This is a surprise that this team is 0-4 with the talent they have. I don’t believe any 0-4 team has gone on to win the World Series.

    1. I can just c it now, 0-6 for the home opener, I certainly hope not but it doesn’t look good that’s all I know

      1. I got to think they are going to pull out a win in Cleveland but never would I have thought on the day of the home opener they would have a losing record.

        1. Me neither jj, but it’s happening, this Cleveland team is bad, real bad, 8,500 people at attendance, lowest ever away game attendance in redsox history, baseball has been sputtering for tv ratings, and it’s showing, nationally baseball continues to be steady or a slight decline in fans over the years, as football is booming and booming for a long time now 🙂

    2. I would love football back also. But here’s my theory for the Red Sox……when we start strong we tend to get a bit overconfident and then fall apart at the end of the season. When we start week, at the end of the season we can (not always) get our comeback kid mentality going. Now this is based on nothing – just something I’ve always thought 🙂

  7. The forecast ahead looks more springlike that’s for sure, mid and upper 50’s Wed, and it looks like it’s going to be more consistently in the 50’s along with possibly a couple days in a row of 60’s early next week, but with some rain 🙂

    1. yes, and if the 0z GFS could ever be correct 16 days out, 🙂 , a nice east coast ridge towards the 3rd week of April………Sox 0-4, half glass full thought is that this gives a talented team a taste of adversity early on, not always a bad thing. Dice K tonight, confident ? 🙂 Have a good day everyone !!

  8. If the Red Sox are not in 3rd place or higher come Memorial Day, then they are probably in serious trouble and the season could be over for all practical purposes.

  10. If I could bottle up today’s weather and bring it I would deliver it!! We had a cold front come in yesterday so it’s about 75 with a light breeze znd very loe dew points! and not a cloud in the sky. It wad pretty chilly early this morning around 52, which is rare this time if year.

    Wtf with sox? 0-4 ru kidding me, after all the money they spent!! Oops they forgot about pitching:)) which is what wins you championships. Mark my words the phillies win the series.

  11. 12z GFS/ECWMF both produce temps 70 – to maybe 80 in the CT River Valley and Merrimack Valley on Monday. The GFS MOS pops and QPF seem to high in the daytime on Monday as well, when compared to available moisture projected to be over SNE. I actually think we are in for stretch of nice spring weather from Thursday-Monday, especially away from the coast.

    1. I’m in general agreement. Once you see high pressure to the N starting to get strong enough and trending to sink S or even SSW, we end up in a pseudo-blocking pattern of nice weather, which usually starts cool & ends with a hint of summer. I was worried about stubborn clouds Thursday/Friday before all signs were pointing toward better weather. Still may hold onto some clouds early Thursday and still wonder if some onshore wind doesn’t try to push some ocean stratus onshore Thursday night if we have enough trajectory off the ocean, but otherwise…it’s starting to look good around here for this time of year!

  12. JMA/TK, again with the crystal ball question but does April 16th still look nice or will it rain?

    1. Today’s 12z GFS which I feel has a decent handle has a mean trough along or off the West Coast, a mean ridge in the Midwest, though low amplitude, with fast-flowing jetstream over it and across the Northeast. It also has weak cut off low pressure near the US Southeast, for April 16. Nothing seriously scary jumps out at me based on that forecast, at this point.

      1. I keep looking at the long range GFS (0z and 12z) as we are off to the mid-Atlantic region during the middle of April. My biggest weather fear is a cutoff low somewhere stuck just off of the east coast. That is not great camping weather…….But, as you pointed out, so far so good on the long range.

    1. I saw an 85 on WBZ’s 7-day. Hoping it was a typo because I think that may be too aggressive at this point.

      Just updated blog! Heading out for a while. Be back later.

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