The Week Ahead

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4:16PM

While the overall pattern remains dry and on the chilly side in southeastern New England, there are interruptions, with one such interruption starting out the new week early Monday. This will be a strong cold front passing through from west to east Monday morning, with numerous showers, possible thunderstorms, and some gusty winds, along with very mild air through the middle of the day. Thankfully, we will not see the severe weather including tornadoes that occurred in the Midwest/Ohio Valley during Sunday. Once the front gets by the region around midday, we’ll see a transition to clearing, cooling, and drying, with colder air moving in by nightfall. This sets up a chilly but quiet pattern Tuesday into late week. Look for another frontal system to bring some rain/snow showers around the start of next weekend and a reinforcing shot of windy/cold air (timing uncertain this far out).

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Patchy fog. Periodic rain showers, then a more solid band of showers and possible thunderstorms arriving from west to east between 4AM and 6AM. Temperatures steady in the 50s. Wind S increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy through late morning with numerous showers, some heavy, and a chance of thunderstorms. Clearing from west to east midday through mid afternoon then some scattered clouds crossing the sky again from west to east later in the afternoon. Highs 60-68 in the morning, then cooling into and through the 50s during the afternoon. Wind S 15-25 MPH gusting over 30 MPH in the morning, shifting to W in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. Wind W 10-20 MPH and gusty.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 22. High 44.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 26. High 46.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 28. High 48.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain/snow showers. Low 32. High 45.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 27. High 44.

116 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

    2. Was watching TWC. Dr. Forbes indicated on air that the above tornado
      was confirmed by the NWS as an F4.
      Makes perfect sense to me.

  3. Thanks TK and have fun.

    Oh my OS. Horrifying photos. I was watching radar earlier and it was a line of nothing but tornado warnings. Awful.

  4. North do not know if you will be here tonight but my thoughts and prayers are with your mom tomorrow. With you and your entire family also. It’s been a long time.

    1. Thanks Vicki. You are so thoughtful. I am going down to the Cape first thing. I am hoping the weather will cooperate. I just talked to Mom and she is nervous, but she knows this will make her much better and have less of a chance of reoccurrence of the pancreatitis. :).

  5. Thank you! again for all your thoughts! All’s well at my son’s house on NW side of the city, but it sure was nerve-racking for a time! The city-wide warning siren had been activated, but they only possible confirmation of rotation was on the S, SW side of the city. The last time we spoke the sun was coming out and Chris was heading out to work.
    My heart goes out to all that weren’t as fortunate!

  6. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    How many meteors were seen per minute during the meteor shower on the morning of November 17, 1966?

    A. Zero
    B. Several Dozen
    C. Hundreds
    D. Thousands

    Answer is D. I believe these are called The Leonids.

  9. Thanks TK

    Rough 24 hours for me, 18 month old broke his leg yesterday going down a slide. And on a lighter note the Skins are done for this useless season.

      1. My pats are doing a rather exceptional job considering the college kids and injuries. Hadi I wasn’t watching today but am sorry about your redskins 🙁

    4. Oh no Hadi! That is so painful at any age. I did the same thing when I was 7 on a slide. Was a full leg cast for 4 weeks and a half cast for another 4 weeks. My Mom got them to put sand at the bottom instead of pavement after that. Hope the little guy feels better soon and the pain eases quickly.

  11. Thanks. Little ones are troopers 🙂 if I broke my leg I would be on the couch complaining. He’s crawling and doing his best to play.

  13. Just a reminder for those giving there winter predictions that we have been posting the last couple of years the deadline is 12/1. Vicki has offered to file posts.

  15. Well, between the 0z EURO and its 994 mb low in about a week and the 0z GFS and its early December Gulf low sliding just south of New England, I’d say there’s probably going to be a significant increase in comments today. Happy Monday. 🙁 🙂

  18. Hadi I am sorry to hear that about your son. I hope he feels better soon. I was rooting for your Redskins yesterday against the Eagles so the Cowboys would remain in first place. Its going to be a tough game for us on Sunday going to Met Life Stadium with a Giants team that has won four in a row.
    As far as winter goes I am thinking snowfall will be slightly below normal.

      1. Vicki,

        If you want my answer today, well….
        I’m really NOT feeling it today, so forgive me snow lovers.

        I’m going to go with 28.5 inches.

          1. I recorded your number but anyone can change theirs (psssttt – I don’t worry about deadlines so the 12/1 date is arbitrary as far as I’m concerned) 😉

  20. In addition to what has been mentioned, how about this Canadian
    at 240 hours:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=240

    Of course, as depicted, it is a WARM system for us, but at 10 days out, anything
    could happen.

    BTW, the most interesting feature of them all is the Euro at 144 hours.
    Accoring to the Wundermap, Any snow that falls would be North of
    the Boston Area, mostly VT, NH and ME. But again, it is what 6 days out still.

    I “think” at the very least, we have another watcher. 😀

  21. Gil Simmons meteorologist at WTNH here in CT was talking about a possible storm around Thanksgiving which is the date of the model run you posted Old Salty. He was thinking the storm would be just offshore at that time.
    The weekend system looks to be a cold rain but would not be surprised if some areas up in elevation in SNE have some snow flakes mixed in but plenty of time for that to change.

  22. 59.9 with 48 DP. Wind gust fairly steady into the mid teens. Beautiful blue sky dotted with pure white clouds. Smells and feels like spring except that leaves have now blown back into our yard 🙁

  23. Mid November and it feels like it’s time to join this blog again for the winter even though it’s so warm today…put me in for 52 inches for boston this winter please!

      1. All of the models have something in that time frame or thereabouts and some are More potent than others.

        We’ll just have to see if any of them LOSE IT or not. 😀 😀

  25. Of course my favorite model the Almanac has a stormy Thanksgiving with rain, sleet, and snow. We all know that if they predict it it will more than likely not happen.

    1. JJ,

      IF it should come to be, the preponderance of evidence so far seems to
      indicate that it would be After Thanksgiving, either on Friday or perhaps
      even Saturday. However, that is a long way out there and of course anything
      can happen. 😀 😀

  26. Good morning all! I am predicting 24.2 inches for Boston this year. I’d love to see more but I am just not feeling it.

  28. I will be up in Maine next week so hoping for a big storm up there ;). Still coming up with my numbers but I am leaning towards average in Boston but way above just away from the city. But still mulling things :).

    Also now the skins are done I will start cheering for the Pats, you see Charlie I do like them 🙂

    1. Me too! Mom is ok. They are keeping her until tomorrow. Her oxygen levels are not where they want them, but she has also had an upper respitory infection last week. She should be home tomorrow. She had her sense of humor, so that was good. Got there at 830, saw her at 330!

  32. Ok!! I’m down in Warwick RI (Oakland Beach) finishing up customers, some of my customers leaves have not fallen, and some are green like Sept green, some have fallen, but Huge difference!! They told me the water is in the mid 50’s, 1 lady not a customer was spraying an insecticide on her bushes that were in full green foliage, weird!!

  33. Hmmm

    12Z Canadian is in. For the “Thanksgiving” event. Actually, it has it for Wednesday through Wednesday evening:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemglb&run=12&stn=PNMPR&hh=228&map=na&stn2=TT850&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&hh2=228&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en

    The Canadian still has it as a WARM system. NO SNOW at all.

    Btw, the Canadian also has something for this Saturday Night/Sunday:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=228&fixhh=1&hh=132

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=132&fixhh=1&hh=144

    This one “Could” Be snow or have a change to Snow. 😀 😀

      1. Just get that low to track a little further south and closer to the benchmark. This will zig and zag all over the place
        and might even vanish completely between now and Thanksgiving holiday.

        1. JJ, I don’t think it will go Poof in the night, but rather
          resolve itself into a Lakes Cutter, ala the FIM. And Boy IF it does, I have found a NEW MODEL. It shall be fun
          to watch, none-the-less. 😀

      2. FWIW, The FIM shows a LAKES CUTTER for that event.

        The way things are going, I’m guessing that this just may well
        be the ultimate SOLUTION. 😀 😀 😀

    1. They are saying they are optimistic he will pass all tests and be ready to play. Focus on tonight first, Carolina are a tough team, they went out I San Fran and beat them.

      1. Agree. Welker is not the big deal to Denver as he was to us. No diminishing his ability. Manning simply has several far better choices

  38. Put me in for 32 inches in Boston:

    November: Trace – 1 inch
    December: 4-8 inches
    January: 6-12 inches
    February: 10-15 inches
    March: 4-8 inches
    April: Nothing

  39. On the deck with a fire in the pit. I’d say there are hundreds of winter months. What a mid November night. Darn but I have no idea how anyone cannot LOVE New England. Oh and I have instrumental Christmas music playing mixed with my regular Tim Janis relaxing music 🙂

          1. Just chatted with her. She sounds good and was tired. They got up at 430. She had some food too. Hope she is home tomorrow.

  44. Good evening WHW family!

    I was on the road for 5 1/2 hours today and now taking some time to myself to watch the Bruins & Pats. How ironic: I picked up my friend and her mom from a flight back from NC today, and now watching our 2 local teams both down in the same neck of the woods.

    Hope you all enjoyed the warm interlude today. There’s a whole lot of cold air to be had in the days and possibly weeks ahead. Dare I say, the Euro Monthlies are not going to verify their persistent warm forecast. Something had to give.

    The overall long term cooling trend continues, as does a very dry weather pattern.

  47. What a brutal game!

    Ridley should be in street clothes. In fact, he should be RELEASED and the sooner
    the better. What a Poor excuse for a running back. He needs VELCRO HANDS!
    Get him out of town!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    He cost them 1 TD tonight and it could be the game.

  48. I’m pretending I did t just see newtons play

    Wind is whipping out there. My guess is the bags of leaves everyone has our for pickup will be all over the street

  53. I just caught your snow guess by accident shotime and recorded it. This is what I have so far. Did I miss anyone who gave a total?

    Charlie 35.4
    Tom 19.4
    Cat966g 65.0
    Scott77 51.0
    Vicki 43.3
    Old Salty 28.5
    Shreedhar 52.0
    Sue 24.2
    Haterain 38.0
    Joshua 32.0
    shotime 58.0

    1. I’m only going out one decimal place but would like to go on record as saying my guess is really 43.29….I’m sure it will be the deciding factor 😆

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