7:26AM
March is a fickle month. We describe it this way as if it thinks and can’t make up its mind. But it sure seems that way. The next few days will be a great example of this with plenty of action and change in the weather across southern New England.
It starts with an intensifying storm riding a sharp boundary between mild air to the south and very cold Arctic air just to the north. The low will cut right across southern New England on its east northeast track tonight. The bulk of the precipitation will fall as rain, heaviest over northern MA and southern NH and somewhat lighter to the south especially southeast (Cape Cod area). But as the storm goes by a wind shifting into the north will yank the very cold air right into the region, before the precipitation stops, with a transition to freezing rain, sleet,and snow from north to south. Though only brief freezing rain and minor accumulation of sleet/snow are expected, the rapid drop in temperature and the timing of the event (Thursday morning) will impact travel. Also, even though the precipitation will be largely ended by noon Thursday, the day will be a windy and very cold one, with any icy areas lingering on untreated surfaces.
Behind the storm, expect a frigid Thursday night and Friday morning, with slight moderation under strong March sun Friday afternoon back to above freezing. A milder push of air will arrive by Saturday ahead of a cold front, along with lots of clouds and a rain shower risk. Colder air returns Sunday and early next week, though not as cold as the Arctic invasion of Thursday. We’ll watch storminess offshore early next week, but so far it’s expected to stay offshore.
Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…
TODAY: Overcast. A little light rain southern NH and far northern MA through midday. Rain developing from west to east later in the afternoon all areas, lastly on Cape Cod. Highs in the 40s except 50sĀ South Coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH, SE 10-20 MPH South Coast.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Rain to start, then changing to freezing rain, sleet, and snow from north to south overnight. Temperatures falling into and then through the 30s and 20s.Ā Wind SE to SW over southeastern MA and RI for a while, NE to N elsewhere then eventually in southern MA and RI as well, 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Snow accumulating 1-2 inches with locally 3 possible in the morning, then snow showers in the afternoon. Temperatures steady in the 20s. Wind N to NW 15-30 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH. Wind chill in the single digits and teens.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 10. High 35.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 33. High 49.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 20. High 36.
MONDAY – ST. PATRICK’S DAY: Partly sunny. Low 18. High 37.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 19. High 35.
Thank you TK
Wow – I’m never first š JR was warning of the flash freeze also. Al Roker said 50-60 mph winds in New England but I never know what he means by New England or even where he is referring to. He considers New York to be part of New England – I don’t.
Thanks tk. What time do you see the changeover in boston say between 12-2am? Thinking high end for boston say 3 inches would you agree. Thanks.
2-4AM
TK, will it be snowing for Thurs am commute?
Yes
Pats lost Talib to the Broncos.
Maybe Edelman??
That’s ok, Patriots will be fine š
No They won’t! They’re going to Suck! They don’t know how
to spend their money wisely. If they let Eddelman walk, I’m done with them!
*QB
See, thats exactly the reason why they havent won a championship in a decade, the mentality of “they will be fine” hasnt worked. Sure they are dominant in the division and against inferior teams in the AFC, but to have arguably the best coach/QC combo in the history of the league for 13 years and counting and only come away with 3 championships? As a fan, that’s not fine, and im surprised as an organization they are fine with that as well.
They are expected to trade for Revis and restructure his contract
My guess with his history if holdouts and pats unwillingness to pay, the only thing in the pats favor is revis has said he’d like to play for New England. But there are other choices too.
True. He could go to Denver š®
Ace master I know u said there was more than 50% snow coverage in foxboro, I’ve been all around here this morning, there’s not much at all, I’d say mostly bare ground now š
It wouldnt surprise me. Coverage was still good around noon yesterday, must have lost a lot with the 60+ degree afternoon. Im just now starting to see some grassy spots in my yard. The rain will surely wipe all that out.
Still several solid inches on 100% here.
TWC has E and SE sections of MA in a thunderstorm watch for today. Interesting???
http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/truvu/map_specnews03_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366.jpg
Hi, shotime – that is very interesting!
Thanks shotime. And hi rainshine š
Hi, Vicki! š
Hope all is well with you – my sister is all settled in which is good. Before my mother died she did not want to be close with me. But now she calls me several times a day and we go shopping together. What can I do? She is alone and I am there for her. It is kind of nice to have a sister again and I hope it stays that way.
That is nice to hear Rainshine!
š
That is very special, rainshine. I’m glad to hear you and your sister are getting closer!
Tried to give you a smiley face, too, Vicki, but I got the message I had already done that! So, I’ll try again – š
Nothing worse than 30’s and Rain, one of the many reasons March is my least favorite month. Mt Washington is currently 18 degrees, I’ll be watching to see how that changes through the course of the day. Pretty obvious the models show a lot of rain with this one, but I won’t let my guard down on with an intensifying low passing to the south and east. It’s not all that warm out right now. 35 degrees where I left in Northeastern MA…dew points hovering around the 32-33 degree range
Watching the nfl network they r always talking about the Patriots, always!!! Whether it’s great news or bad news, the country can not stop conversations about them, they even have segments now called DYNASTY PATRIOTS, love it š
Also I have a question, and it has nothing to do with the weather. Why when u take the T you have to wear ear plugs bc the screeching sounds from those dated trains r piercing lound? Why r they so dated? Also it has to be so many lawsuits against them, while on it again, 2 people fell over and cracked this heads wide open, then this morning the commuter rail is 45 min late, how do you do this, it’s like a 3rd world country here locally in so many ways. Are we gonna just ignore it? Improve? Or just take there side and say well everything is fine lol. Have a good day everyone š
Run for Governor. š
R u kidding? Terrible job
I’ll take that as let the trains rot, and continue the way we r going, I gotta be honest, I was expecting comments like this, no offense intended lol š
Thanks, TK.
We still have lots of snow in Sudbury but we did get some sufficient melting yesterday. One lonely crocus is struggling to come up in our front yard. I don’t think any snow we get will bother it but I am concerned if it gets too cold for it.
Re: Thunderstorms Today
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Snow near my office is GONE.
Snow at home is GONE is any areas that receive Sunshine.
Still 3-4 inches in the shady areas. Ah such is March.
I suspect it will take a good hit today.
Compliments of the latest HRRR, 15 hour accumulated snowfall ending
01Z or 9PM (if I calculated this correctly) tonight.
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2014031210/full/acsnw_sfc_f15.png
Changeover NOT even close by this hour.
One can clearly see where the axis of heavy snow has set up.
Changeover should take place wee hrs of morning Thursday.
Yeah, sometime around 2-4 AM I’m thinking.
Agree. I’m sorry but I hope this is it as I’m more than ready.
I’m fine IF we are done, but DON’T give me any more brutal cold.
It’s New England š
Same time frame I have for the city.
I have about 50 percent snow coverage here. That 50 percent is only 2 inches max though.
We r lucky here if we have 10% coverage here , and that’s basically snow piles only
Regarding early next week’s potential, our old friend the Pacific Ocean is back in play and we will have to wait awhile longer for info before a track can be pinpointed (not to mention due to DST). I guess for now, things will be surpressed to the south but let’s see for a change a westward/northward trend like tonight’s system and a nice “benchmark” location for one last hurrah to winter. š
Keep us posted as always OS and good luck this weekend! š
What’s happening this weekend, other than the St. Patty’s Day Parade?
The chances of us getting a snow storm next week are about the same as
me Winning the Quicken Loans Billion Dollar Pick the perfect bracket contest:
https://s.yimg.com/dh/ap/fantasy/img/tourney/quicken_badge_sm@2x.png
ZIPPO! NILCH! NADA! ZERO! NOTHING!!!
EXPLOSION, BUILDING COLLAPSE AND MAJOR FIRE REPORTED IN EAST HARLEM IN NEW YORK CITY
Geez, will it never end. That is terrible.
http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2014/03/12/explosion-reported-at-harlem-building/
http://assets.nydailynews.com/polopoly_fs/1.1718824.1394632619!/img/httpImage/image.jpg_gen/derivatives/landscape_635/explosion13n-4-web.jpg
http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/uptown/building-collapse-harlem-article-1.1718814
Oh no – was it abandoned or at least empty?? I can only hope.
I’m listening the NYFD feed, and it appears that at least in one of the buildings, the upper floors were vacant, with business on lower levels.
http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/feed/8535
Latest NAM snow map. LESS for us than previous runs.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014031212&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036
Just nuisance very light snow or snow showers.
A MISS by 75-100 miles is all. 10 Days out, the Euro missed by a mere
100 miles. Pretty impressive, if you ask me.
It flip flipped all the way there though. Would have been more impressive if it stood its ground.
I think you are expecting way too much from a computer
model. It was able to give us a solid 10 days notice
of an impending storm and peg the track within 100 miles
10 days out. Still mighty impressive in my book. š
Sure it did, but it could only do so based on the
data being fed into it. Even though it teased us and in the end it didn’t turn out they way some of us wanted, so what.
I’m good with it. š
Its the King, lol. It should be better š
For what next week.
Regarding the nam
The landscape looks much better here, we r in Plymouth area today, and working Joshua put this down as the 68th virgin island. No snow here either š it’s changing fast now, I’ve seen 5 or 6 other companies working out here š
IMO, the landscape in winter looks much better with snow on it. Nothing attractive about dormant vegetation, dirty snowbanks, and salt-laden streets.
That’s New England š
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/nerfc/graphics/snowmaps/sd1_today.jpg
Current snow cover as of 7am
System is really starting to crank now. Huge dry slot setting up right over much of SNE. What are the QP numbers for boston for this storm?
Very, very disappointed in the Patriots. They’ve managed to stay competitive for many years. I salute them for that. But, they’re being very stubborn this year. This team needs Talib and it needs Edelman. Without them, they’re in danger of not even winning the AFC East. I’m serious. Edelman is Brady’s perfect weapon, along with being a prolific punt returner. I’m not a believer in Brady’s long-ball ability. It’s never been his forte, but it’s getting worse over time. He needs a slot receiver, much more than a deep threat or a traditional WR. Then, on defense, the Pats are screwed without Talib or a comparable player. Their coverage is porous, and it’s bitten them at key moments in recent years.
Agree on all points š If they don’t land Revis I will have already deemed this off season a disappointment. I still think they will find a way to sign Edelman unless they have another plan in mind. But they better land something and it better be good.
They made Edelman a PISS-POOR home town discount type 3 year offer. He was probably insulted. He is seeking
other options in free agency and I’m sure he’ll get his pay day.
The Pat’s ONLY paid him $760,000 last year for 105 catches
and 1000+ yards.
Revis? C’mon. What you smokin? NO way they’ll pay
for Revis. They’ll pick up some “Value” player and it will be same ole same ole next season. They will make the playoffs and then
get smoked by the first good team they meet.
AMEN, AMEN I say to you!!
If they let Edelman walk, I’m done with them. DONE!!!
And they best REPLACE Talib with an appropriately skilled player.
It royally pisses me off that they REFUSE to pay for talent.
Bargain basement PISS-ANTS!
NWS Upton’s take on next week. They like the CMC/Euro closer track solution over the GFS:
THE 00Z ECMWF AND CMC ARE STILL MUCH CLOSER TO THE COAST WITH
OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY…WHILE THE GFS IS
LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE POLAR JET…SENDING A STRONG POLAR HIGH INTO THE EAST COAST BY MON AFT.
GIVEN THE OVERALL SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE OF THE CMC THIS WINTER…AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE ECMWF IN THE EXTENDED…HAVE MAINTAINED A CHANCE OF SNOW SUN NIGHT INTO MON. THE PCPN MAY START OFF MIXED WITH RAIN TO START…ESPECIALLY ACROSS NYC AND LONG ISLAND.
I posted the previous version of this discussion last night and it said “given the overall superior performance of the CMC and ECMWF this winter in the extended…” Clearly the morning shift forecaster realized the person who wrote this yesterday was smoking something and changed it to say “to a lesser extent the ECMWF”. LOL.
I do think the Euro was excellent with this current storm but the rest of the winter it has been mediocre. CMC has been OK but saying it has been “superior” is a stretch as well.
Nice. I still think that system is a complete and utter fantasy. š
I think the Pats are too afraid to take a risk and go all in these next couple years. What the organization doesn’t realize is, if they went all in the next couple years, most people would gladly take one or 2 more championships and then be bad for a couple years while they rebuild over getting into the playoffs every year and end up getting manhandled by superior teams.
They are pissing away opportunities while they STILL have Brady.
He’s done in a few short years. Can you imagine the state of this
team when he is done? PATHETIC!!!
12Z GFS snow map:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014031212&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
Also, the GFS has the 850MB 0C lines collapsing to the coast a bit before
1AM. Much faster than the NAM.
Of course, there could be SLEET before that collapses.
Lol š
I am beginning to wonder if Kraft is just too old school. How do you lose Welker, Woodhead, Talib and Edelman? Absolutely clueless. If they lost Gronk, I wouldn’t be surprised.
Perhaps Kraft just loves his money and doesn’t want to share it with
his players? Just a thought. Personally, I don’t care for the man at all.
I heard a report on the radio yesterday that BB may be fudging the numbers he reports to Kraft and the rest of ownership. Apparently its common in the NFL to do this, when courting players to show them inflated team financials to prove to players the organization spends money and what they are offering a player is all the can afford according to the numbers, salary cap, etc. When in reality, there is money available. It is possible Kraft is unaware this is even going on.
I highly doubt that Kraft doesn’t know. In fact, I’d wager
it’s coming from the TOP down.
Lol
Rain/SNOW line setting up pretty far North and well as the precipitation. Well North
of the area:
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USCT0094&animate=true
Yuuup. We may remain dry until later tonight.
That colder air “looks” to be on the move? Will something happen SOONER
tonight than predicted? Go For Snow has been worried about that all along.
I wonder myself.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_sfc_map.gif
56 here
Oldsalty since you were not a believer in the backend snow I was wondering
now how much you think the city gets? Im going with 3. Kraft has more money than
he knows what to do with, Im going to start comparing him with Jeremy Jacobs another tight pocket. Mark my word edelman is gone.
John,
I’m with you regarding Kraft and Edelman.
re: Snow
Not sure. Back End snow is almost always overdone.
Nam has backed off considerably, but the GFS has not. It actually shows
a touch more and sooner.
However, looking at the HRRR, one has to wonder if there will be much at
all.
I’d go with an inch or 2 max. š
Watch him go join talib in Denver.
I listened to an interesting discussion about fans wanting the shiny toy (comparing it to Christmas morning) but don’t understand the business end. The discussion went on to point out that in this century the Pats have been in: 10 division playoffs – winning 8; 8 conference championships – winning 5; 5 superbowls – winning 3.
It was pointed out that, although it would be great to win the big one every year, the alternative is that we could be one of the over dozen teams that only gets to the playoffs/championships/superbowls on occasion.
What’s really crazy is that it’s 47 right now in Brighton, but forecast lows for tonight is 17 and tomorrow 20 degrees!
Sister in law said it was forecast to drop from mid 70s to 20 in Atlanta.
Lates HRRR 850MB map as of 03Z tomorrow OR 11PM tonight. That 0C Line is
Waaaaaaay to the North!!!
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014031212&plot_type=temp_t3850&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields – Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=t3&adtfn=1
Sorry:
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2014031212/t3/temp_t3850_f15.png
Sunny in Milton right now. Not quite what I expected….
Pretty Sunny here in beautiful downtown Roxbury.
Taunton up to 60 again.
Not terribly impressed with this storm so far. Seem to be a lot of dry slots. Snow totals in the Chicago area and northern Indiana were less than projected, generally 3-6″. We’ll see how it intensifies as the day goes on. Just got an email from Sunday River saying the biggest storm in years is coming and they are expecting 2-3 feet. Hope for them that it verifies.
Don’t see much in terms of back end snow here. John, I do not think 3″ will happen in Boston. Biggest concern for us will be the rapid temperature drop, frigid wind chills, and flash freeze of wet surfaces.
How many times have you said, wow, that was a lot of back-end snow.
I rarely think about it coming to fruition. Rarely.
Agree totally Mark.
There is a narrow band of strong echoes right along the changeover
line. North of that snow is less intense and of course, South is Rain.
Not sure anyone up North is going to realize 2+ accumulations. We shall
see.
NO WAY Boston sees 3 inch back end snow totals.
Overcast now in historic East Walpole
š
Overcast here now as well.
The rain should be moving in soon between 2-4 just in time for the drive home.
Lol, 2-4 time for rain and 2-4 time for snow.
This is for you Mark š
https://scontent-b-ord.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn2/t31/1658679_749956711690548_488319925_o.png
Overdone or not, thats still a lot of snow to be skiing on. So jealous!
I sure hope that comes to fruition. I’ll take even half those totals and be happy!
Check out this radar loop. Snow “appears” to be collapsing Southward. Check
near Albany and Concord NH for examples. Not sure if this means anything.
Could just be some dynamic cooling where temperatures aloft still support snow?
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USCT0094&animate=true
No lightning Strikes nearby at this point, only way down SE.
http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Severe/Lightning.aspx
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_sfc_map.gif
Doesn NOT look like we ever get into the warm sector.
Funky looking map.
yes, looks like dynamic cooling.
Regarding next week, there is not a ton of agreement in the ensemble guidance on storm potential(s). Some members keep the coastal close enough for an impact on Monday, some like a midweek threat better, and others keep us dry. I will say that the 12z GFS took a bit of a step towards the Euro/CMC solutions in that it doesn’t leave quite as much energy behind in the SW and develops more of a robust system over the SE. However, not enough to bring it closer to the coast.
One thing that has changed in the long range outlook is that it looks like this pattern is going to be extended even further, right through the end of March. Next week looks cold, and models are now indicating another very cold surge in the 23rd-28th timeframe. Thus, we may hold on to legitimate snow chances right through the end of the March. Upper levels will be plenty cold enough to support it.
Rain started here
RE: Model: 15km FIM9_jet Area: CONUS 130 Date: 12 Mar 2014 – 00Z
http://fim.noaa.gov/FIM/for_web/fim9_jet/2014031200/130/3hap_sfc_f030.png
It wants the 32 Degree lines South and East of Boston By 2AM. May be sleeting
at that point.
It looks like it means business when that cold air gets introduced.
Whether it is snow/sleet/freezing rain depends on the temperatures aloft
and the levels.
Getting darker in boston won’t be long now.
Yes I was just going to post that. Very dark now:
Just some pre-system convection?
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=10&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=BOX&type=N0R&showstorms=5&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=1&lightning=1&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0
Storm seems to be right on time.
45 at Logan
I should have looked at the radar first – that was just a small cell moving through
Lots of clouds with a few sunny peaks, temp says 49 š
Raining now.
Rain and 33 at Albany. Too warm aloft.
RAIN at Bennington, VT.
Up North, most visibilities .25 in SNOW.
For now but that will change.
If anything, the rain snow line is getting pushed a bit back to the north at the moment
Guess who this is at Killington…
https://scontent-a-iad.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash3/t31.0-8/1097058_10152095454384401_278725863_o.jpg
Its not me, lol
Tim Kelley from NECN
Right profession, wrong guy
Cantore.
Bingo
Love his pants
I wonder if he’ll have live shots from there tonight on TWC ?
Couple of things I have noticed in the last couple of hours…temps peaked where I am in NE MA around 43 and have dropped to 41 with winds out of the E/NE…Mount Washington Temps have dropped a couple of degrees but of more interest is the wind shift that went from SW to S to now SE. As this storm approaches and eventually passes South and East of us as it intensifies, one would think it will begin to really draw in the cold air.
There’s no doubt the cold is going to come in fast, but the heavy moisture will be exiting just as quickly.
Springtime in SE Mass, mid-high 50s. If SE Mass gets an inch of rain out of this, I’ll be shocked. Might be surprised by a half an inch of rain. Sun has been peaking out.
Burlington, VT is 25F. Poor them, they’ll have snow piles til May 1st.
Tom I agree with your on your point on diminishing QPF amounts.
I admit…it’s nice hearing the patter of rain off the windows…smells a bit like Spring too. We’ll get there.
Models say more rain midweek next week š
what models show rain? Thanks and have a good day
Not a one that I have seen.
Sorry – I now see what you are talking about – 12z GFS has a moderation mid week with a clipper passing to our north which might generate a rain shower or two here – if it verified.
Only GFS has this. And that clipper could take a very different route. Not set in stone at this time. I’ve seen clippers like that take a southward (southeast) dive only to redevelop off the mid-Atlantic coast and become major storms. Not saying that will happen, but in March anything can and will happen.
Gfs at the end of its period, not a lot but certainly don’t see any snow, we got 1 really cold day tomorrow, but doesn’t last long and back to 40’s and 50’s again š
This area in the southern 1/3 rd of the woods hill weather might receive an inch of snow, nothing more IMO š
I don’t even think they get to 1 inch down there.
Boston has a great shot.
Don’t forget us down here, much different
I’m not seeing rain either. In fact, I see a return to well below-normal temperatures for this time of year, starting tomorrow with one day of reprieve (Saturday; which has been on the relatively mild side for 4 straight weeks!). What I see on the models is several OTS `events’ which will drag in colder air into the region.
One model, and this far out it’s an outlier.
Lol š š
Redwinged blackbirds are indeed back. Heard them calling each other this morning. Not as big a flock this year as last. They’re also late to arrive from the south. And, they’re not as loud as they were last year.
Mt. Washington looks to get pounded today and tonight. Perhaps the biggest snowfall of the season for the summit.
Note, the temperature difference right now between Philadelphia and Boston. It’s 65 in Philly and 45 in Boston. Having lived in Philly for 18 months and commuted to and from Boston during that period, I vividly remember March being VERY different down there. Hence, such temperature differences are not uncommon at this time of year.
Clouds have really increased here, looks like it’s about to pour, temp is somewhere around 50 degrees.
Steady widespread rain still a few hours away
Just talked to a co-worker who is driving from CT back home to Burlington, VT today. No idea why he chose to drive in this. He said the rain changed to snow around Bellows Falls, just north of Brattleboro and has been snowing heavy since. He is near White River Jct now and says there is already 6″ on the ground there. He has seen 3 cars off the road so far.
Wow. That’s a tough road in ice/snow. I’m assuming he’s driving 89….maybe not. Lots of elevation.
actually I-91
Totally different look on the 12z Euro and CMC for next week vs the GFS.
CMC remains consistent with a decent snow event, esp south of the Pike on Monday.
Two snowstorms on the Euro next week with a moderate event/sideswipe on Monday and 6-9″ event on Wednesday. Euro run is much colder than the GFS.
If it holds together, whatever region gets that back end band of snow that is currently affecting Toronto, southeastward into Cleveland, is going to verify and maybe exceed their snowfall total predictions. Probably destined for north-central VT, NH and ME.
Rain gauge batteries are replaced and ready to go. Haven’t had to say that in a while… Lol
I actually did the same thing but a few days ago
We may see what can be described as a mini trough trailing off the bombing low in the Gulf of Maine that may focus heaviest snow from NH Seacoast to Essex County MA if it sets up just right tomorrow morning. Areas to the west and south may get very little back-lash show, just minor accumulation after fast-freeze, and snow showers after that.
May be in the upper teens tomorrow midday!!!
35 Friday, 50 Saturday, 30s Sunday, Cold 30-ish Monday as a storm misses well to the SE, cold and windy Tuesday, and let’s venture out on a limb and say that we may be dealing with a winter event in about 1 week. So if you’re ready for full on Spring, it’s a bit too early. Sorry. š … In fact the signs I was seeing of that possible pattern break may be vanishing… Jury out on that still.
TK how much snow in Woburn do you think?
Around an inch is my best guess. I think there may be a heavier tail of snow JUST northeast of here. Does it extend a bit further SW? We’ll see but I’m saying not quite. What will happen is that if we get that burst of snow while the ground is still wet and just starting to freeze, it’s all going to freeze up solid and not go anywhere tomorrow because of not much sun and temps below 25 all day.
Sounds like something you can’t even shovel up?
Not unless you are moving it as it falls.
I’m not even going to touch my driveway. I’ll treat it with ice melt if needed on Friday.
Saturday, it’ll vanish quickly. Mild day.
Thank you sir.
Anytime.
I’ll be stopping by the hill in about an hour and then going back there later tonight after the Bruins game.
Cool. Hear Tuttle had another kid a few days ago?
Wow, somehow I missed that one!
12Z EURO says no thanks to any spring weather.
And for a change I agree with the Euro this far out. GFS is going back to bad habits.
I’m at work. Does anyone have estimated for Boston tomorrow?
The latest CPC continues to show well below normal temps and bouts of normal to above precip…nothing new.
The CPC has been spot on in terms of temps (for the most part) but has been very suspect regarding precip. We really haven’t had that much snow, just the usual C-2″ types and OTS. My bet is that we don’t even get all that much rainfall tonight.
Hoping for a not so bad flash freeze. Wife broke her knee cap 3 weeks ago by slipping on the ice. Don’t need any more injuries right now :). She is in an immobilizer brace for 6 weeks. Not fun times around here….
Sorry to hear about your wife!
Speedy recovery wishes for her!
Thank you both. She actually was out with the snowblower while I was at work that day….she had asked me how to use it the week before. I think it was the Tuesday storm after President’s day that happened during the day.
That really sucks. Hope she does well.
North – hope your wife feels better soon!
I can’t imagine a broken knee cap. So sorry to hear that, North. Please tell her the poison ivy lady says she hopes she improves quickly.
Thank you guys. It hurts me to think about having a broken knee cap. I also realize how much she does, now that I am doing all of it š
Speedy recovery !
Pete says that the cold air will be in Boston around midnight…34 degrees.
Does this mean the timeframe on the cold air arrival has speeded up?
I agree with him. Doesn’t mean snow at that time, perhaps sleet.
He must be looking at the HRRR or other such short range model.
š
Mark, Canadian wants to give us a Sizeable snow event on Monday/Tuesday, like
32 mm or about 1.26 inches. Not too shabby.
Even the Euro wants to gives something like 2-4 or 3-5 inches or so and then reload
a few days later for another 8 or 9 inches. Pretty Wintry stuff.
It “could” get interesting all over again.
What happened to bring on spring? You change sides too easy š
I SAID IF we’re going to have COLD WITHOUT SNOW, bring on
Spring!! I’ll take a Snow Storm in MAY!!!!
I am with you O.S. I love snow and this time of year I get torn. I either want snow or sunny and 70’s
INDEED!!!!
Nope, nope, nope….I am not believing a thing until I see it. Can’t handle anymore disappointments!
Ditto
I saw that OS and posted on it above. Very wintry look next 2 weeks on the CMC and Euro. Spring is on indefinite hold!
Latest HRRR for 4AM tomorrow with 850mb 0C “just” past Boston to the South and East:
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2014031217/full/totp_sfc_f15.png
Looking at the other charts on this run, it looks like a change to sleet around 1-2 AM (perhaps Midnight) and Snow 3-4 AM.
Snow this time of the year is great, you get the storm and it melts within a couple days, way better than cold and rain.
Doesn’t mean people won’t have roof issues (heavy snow) and unless it’s really warm after you still need to shovel it.
Rainshine,….did you see Sudbury is the safest town in MA and one of the safest in the country?
Lol Vicki it’s a bedroom community that has idk 15,000 residents, I hope all these small towns r the safest, if there not we have problems, tell me Framingham is the safest, and I’d be impressed š
HMMMMMMMMMMM
IF and I say IF this map is accurate, we’re in for an interesting evening!!!!!!!!!!!!
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_sfc_map.gif
Boston Wind is NORTH at 4PM. NORTH I SAY!!
That means the cold front has passed BOSTON, unless the obs is incorrect.
It may be too warm aloft for snow, but I think SLEET may break out MUCH earlier than previously expected.
Still 57 at Taunton, so the front is somewhere between
Boston and Taunton. Winds North and West of Boston
all N or NE. No more East or Ese winds.
SOMETHING IS UP
Latest HRRR 15 hour snowfall as of 09Z or 5AM tomorrow
morning:
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2014031218/full/acsnw_sfc_f15.png
HRRR Composite Radar Reflectivity at 5AM:
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2014031218/full/cref_sfc_f15.png
Looks like it will be snowing at a pretty good clip
tomorrow AM.
Beginning to look like this back end snow might
be real. š šæ š
Oh boy. At noon BB had risk of bad morning commute at moderate.
Is this arriving later than expected ?
IMHO, it’s arriving earlier. š
Oh. Thought someone said between 2-4. Tx
Obs @ 5:00 pm
Burlington VT : 20F
Plymouth MA : 52F
I just noticed the trees are budding. They have a definite red/maroon hue
Snowdrops coming up in my backyard. They are always the first flowers of spring.
I love that name…especially for first flower of spring
43 now in sharon
38.6 framingham.
42.3 in Woburn.
Still 47 here
Got a lot done today, we r caught back up which is always good š few showers here
47.8 degrees here
Am I the only person who actually loves the weather for what it is and therefore does not stress out over it? š
It’s a lonely club. š
Heyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
Oh that’s right! Vicki! You are the club pres. š
Hahahahahaha. Great comeback.
It’s our insatiable desire to control what can’t be controlled…unless you buy into HAARP.
I don’t buy into HAARP, but I can tell you someone who does. š
I buy into it somewhat. Who?
Come on…who’s with me??? http://urbanlegends.about.com/b/2005/09/26/hurricane-katrina-was-man-made-using-kgb-technology.htm
Phew. That’s a different perspective.
Pete??
Now what did he do?
Hahahaha, i was just kidding vicki, TK said he knew someone who believed in HAARP
I know š
I stress when it becomes destructive. I am with WeatherWiz there.
I am upset when it is destructive but there isn’t a darned thing I can do other than prepare the very best I know how. And then sit back and enjoy the very best I know:)
In the way peoples lifestyles r, crappy weather is not convenient for the average human š there r not many people even here in New England that like crappy weather, they just deal with it hence the mass complaining.
I would say yes tk it’s a very small miniority your in š
I wonder how the Albany, NY area is doing. They are now down into the 20s and have had many hours of freezing rain and ice pellets.
Similarly, I cant wait to see snow totals. Plenty of stations in upstate and western NY have been moderate or heavy snow all day. Curious about Burlington, VT and far northern New England, as well.
Wind from the North at Albany gusting to 32 mph. Temperature 25 with
light freezing rain. Cold layer still too shallow.
Blue Hill has a south wind and is up 4F to 45F. So, while at the surface, the cool air is draining on a light N wind, just above, there’s still a lot of mild air streaming northward.
Yup, for now.
Going to get HAIRY later. š
Cool.
I kept trying to tell you that oldsalty. I’m reporting at 3:30am unless we get called earlier.
John, Yes you have, all along.
Beginning to look that way. We shall see. š
I’m only playing with ya. Trying to say never stop watching as you never know. Here’s hoping this is it please.
All over upstate NY, temperatures are in the teens with mostly moderate to heavy snow.
Call me nuts, but is this system tracking farther South????
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_sfc_map.gif
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/namfntsfcwbg.gif
http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/currentweatherusnational/uscurrentweather_large.html
http://www.wunderground.com/US/Region/US/2xFronts.html
Looks it.
Pete says…
“With tonight’s storm passing just over Hartford, Worcester and Newburyport, you’d expect the rain/snow line to fall closer to Southern New Hampshire than its current position in Central NH. However, it’s not January, and that’s not how this storm is structured. There’s a lot of warm air in the middle atmosphere, and it’s keeping the foot plus snow amounts across Northern New England this go-round.”
Light rain temp 48.3 degrees in na
HINT: His nickname is The Rogue Meteorologist. š
Ohhhhhhhhh
Rogue meteorologist????
Al Karpalian???
http://cache.thephoenix.com/secure/uploadedImages/The_Phoenix/Life/Lifestyle_Features/Ostow_020209_0108.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZCaveVsJfVs
I’m going with someone else
It is someone else. š With quite the reputation on the internet…
Yeah, I’ve got it. See below.
Or do you mean Pete??????????????
HHHIIISSSSSS.
hahahahaha, so sorry vicki š i couldnt help it
Ha…I had trouble figuring how to express an angry she cat with claws extended š
OH, I didn’t know you were going in that direction???
TheWeatherSpace.com CEO and Senior Meteorologist Kevin Martin
http://www.theweatherspace.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/22514a-292×300.jpg
Scary….no terrifying
Would you think that of me IF I told you I looked like that? š
Looks a bit like johnny depp
You are really trying to get on my bad side. I love depp…..but only in pirates.
Agree, some of his other movies are a bit odd. You know im just razzin ya vicki š
Hahahah I definitely know that Ace ….I’m doing the same. But darned if I don’t like him in Pirates which actually is very unlike movies I typically like š
It has absolutely NOTHING to do with appearance. But I suspect you know me better than that….even not having met me
A Chinese satellite may have spotted debris from the Malaysian aircraft. Though it is EXTREMELY unlikely that anyone is alive, the weather in the area, from what I can see, looks good for any kind of search and rescue.
So incredibly odd. I hope for the sake of the families and loved ones they have at least some answers soon.
Y9u know, doesn’t look like a lot of heavy stuff on here.
I’ll be the predicted snow totals did’t or won’t materialize up North.
This looks like there won’t be much left by the time it gets colder.
Things sure do change fast around here.
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=hfd&animate=true
Agree, dry slot will be moving into upstate NY and VT shortly. Unless that back-end precip fills in. Killington’s web site reporting 10″ so far.
If anybody remembers David Epstein you can follow him on growingwisdom.com. He gives a very nice detailed forcast.
Sure. I ran into him one evening at the Star Market Deli dept in W. Roxbury while he was still with channel 5. Always liked him.
O.S.
You didn’t fall for that back-end snow trick did you!
You’ll see
I’ve been very skeptical all day long. Started to get sucked in when I saw
some of the HRRR charts.
Sure doesn’t look like much at the moment.
BTW, this whole system has been a Freakin JOKE, imho. Laughable from the get go.
Some lightening well off shore of MA and ME. NY also
REVIS IS A PATRIOT!!!!! LOL!!!
Now, a pass rusher and another receiver ….. Please !
Lol š š š š
Not quite accordning to WEEI. IF there is a way for the Patriots to F it up,
they surely will. When he is actually SIGNED, then I’ll believe it.
IF true, an UPGRADE over Talib, no doubt about it!!!!
REVIS
Yup!! But the lol is for different reasons š
Too Funny – Had to share š
https://scontent-b-iad.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash3/t1/s480x480/531843_237262993086208_1069167329_n.jpg
hahahahahahahaha
It’s really pouring out there
I am no expert at the radars…but is it just me or does this (1) look like it will be done sooner than later and (2) is replete with dry slots (especially up north where up to 3′ were predicated). Not sure if it will fill in later?
well, no idea why We signed Revis. he better do a good job. Just a bit less than what talib wanted and honestly think talib is that bit better.
Lol š š š
Been raining steady the last 2 hrs
.2 so far
Heaviest over by 10:30PM. So far, storm behaving as expected in southern areas.
Still carrying the same snow forecast for now but lean toward the bottom end.
You were right tk, no snow out of this storm anywhere down here in the na to wrentham area, not even snow on the ground š
37.1. 0.18 rain
Temp steady. Rain .30
Still sporting a 50 degree reading here.
Temp has risen to 50.3 degrees
.43 so far
The snow cover map will be interesting tommorrow š
0z Canadian goes absolutely ballistic with the Monday storm!
Snowmap:
http://oi58.tinypic.com/20qas1.jpg
It has been extremely consistent depicting a hit. And the mid range is when this model has been performing at its best this winter.
The NAM also has a very robust low in the Plains at hour 84 that is further north and looks a lot more like the CMC than the GFS.
Can’t believe Taunton didn’t even make mention of a storm nearby in their Forecast Discussion, even if they think it is going to slide out to sea. Upton talks about it extensively and has snow in the forecast for NYC/LI/southern CT Sun night and Monday.
It’s the Canadian Mark, don’t see this panning out, we shall see š
Much below normal today, but only for 1 day, I think it’s possible we’ve seen our last meaningful snow already, and March has a good shot at being snowless like some other march’s or at least minimal snow like many march’s can and have been in the past. Not seeing to many if any more inches of snow left in this bad winter, finally!! Good day everyone!! Think Spring! š
Also continue to see more showers midweek next week, at least we are no longer in any abnormally dry conditions, if I’m not mistaken we have a surplus of rain, at least in those regards. 33.2 degrees doing nothing here š
Snowing in boston since maybe 3:45am so far not impressed. We will see how the day goes.
The snow was never supposed to be the biggest part of it.
It was the rapid temp drop, which would impact untreated surfaces. An exception was always possibly to be major roads which would be holding some warmth, but we warn for everything, just in case.
The untreated surfaces out here are quite icy. Main roads are fine.
Temp still dropping.
I think the cold air took much longer to get here than I thought. Driving into work this morning quite early it was alot warmer than I expected with rain. The tempature really started dropping around 5am. It’s downright brutaly cold out there now.
Also the much talked about freeze up will not happen in boston anyways as of now.
Newton: temp is 22, coating of snow
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv.php?inv=0&t=l3®ion=us
Why is the radar looking like its starting to fill in some ??
Perhaps, on the water vapor loop, if one looks real hard, you can see the mini swirl in the upper levels approaching from eastern PA ??
Interesting to see how well any precip today combats the lower level dry air.
nowcasting ………. and seeing this swirl capturing and staring to rotate in some of the wrap around precip ….. I wouldnt be surprised to see it snow lightly, but steadily the next few hours. Maybe that 1-2 inches is still a possibility.
Blog updated!
Good morning, if we can call it that.
I’m the 3rd back up and had to open up the office at 7AM today.
Spent 1/2 hour yesterday making certain I know how to turn off the alarm
properly. NFG! Still set off the alarm. Unfreakin believable. All is well now, I think.
re: Weather
Drive in was a piece of cake. What flash freeze. Everything is fine.
As for snow, he he he š a heavy coating so far, perhaps 1/4 inch.
Visibility is up there at 2 21/2 miles or so. No big deal.
Mark, your link for the Canadian snow map did not go. IF I may:
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=120&fixhh=1&hh=132
http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Boston&mod=gemglb&run=00&var=prcp&lang=en&map=us
About 30 mm or 1.14 inch qpf.
http://meteocentre.com/models/get_accum.php?mod=gemglb&run=00&type=SN&hi=000&hf=240&lang=en&map=na
It has been consistent, however, the 0Z Euro does NOT have it. Does NOT.