Quick Update

153 Comments

7:30AM

Rain won the battle about 12 hours earlier than I expected, so changing today’s forecast to wetter for most areas (obviously). Still may be some rain-free periods as well, just not as much of a battle left to fight. Rest of discussion is essentially the same.

Southeastern New England forecast update…

TODAY: Cloudy. Patchy drizzle. Periods of rain. Highs 42-50. Wind E to SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially in coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Rain, possibly heavy at times with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures rising to the lower 50s. Wind SE 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to S.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain ending west to east early, then mostly cloudy to partly sunny with an additional passing shower possible at times remainder of the day. Highs in the 60s most areas, may hit 70 some inland areas, but 50s South Coast area.  Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Low 48. High 66.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers. Low 49. High 66.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Low 49. High 64.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix showers. Low 38. High 48.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 37. High 58.

153 thoughts on “Quick Update”

  5. And I awoke to yet another in a long string of SUCK BAG New England days.
    I cannot take much more of this!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    I’m going to need some medication just to get by!@*()#*!()*@#(*!()@#*()!*@()

    This really blows chunks. Just Brutal!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    At least the Sox won last night (I don’t know how they played baseball in that
    crappy weather????)

    AND the Bruins start the Montreal series tomorrow night.

  7. Following up on yesterday’s idea that while we’ve been stuck in the cool, gray yuck for a few days, its been high pressure and moderating quite significantly to our north. (This melts the snow and ice from the retreating cold source regions, which increases the chances that much warmer weather is coming soon for the US.)

    Case in point this morning ….. Barrow, AK (above the arctic circle) is 30F !!!!!! this morning.

    1. Yes, that will help immensely when the air mass comes in with a
      West or North West wind. Doesn’t help If air mass moves to our North
      and gets stuck (Negative NAO) and funnels in that brutal Northeast Wind!!!!

      The North Atlantic will NEVER warm this year!!!!

      For reference, the worst years I can remember for water temperatures and I can’t remember them all….BUT 2 years stick out in my mind. One was in the late 60s. Ocean temperature was 53 Degrees on July 4th!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
      Another year, mid-late 70s I think, I remember it being 46 Degrees on
      Memorial Day.

      We’ll see how this year shakes out. I’m NOT optimistic. We shall see. 👿

      1. Very good points.

        I just happen to remember around the summer solstice and it was 2003, going to a friend’s wedding on the waterfront in Boston Harbor and it was about 52F and rainy with a NE wind ….. I also recall a July 3rd within the last 25 yrs because Jim Cantore always talks about it on TWC, where he covered a nor’easter and it was in the upper 40s with rain and a NE wind the day before July 4th. So, for sure … these blah like days are fair game for a while yet.

  9. Can anyone confirm if there was a tornado warning or watch issued for the chapel hill NC area this morning. Not sure how to see if it was posted this morning.

            1. Well, the info on the site I posted
              indicated WARNING.

              BUT, I have no idea how reliable that
              site is.

    1. Its going to be close. At least on radar, it looks like once it starts, the rain gets pretty heavy fairly quickly.

  12. A lot of the graphics on our local stations are making Sunday look like it’s going to be a washout – I hope that’s not the case! Gah!!!!

      2. I’m confused (as I am on a daily basis). 🙂

        I think I’m seeing the 12z EURO at 96 hrs showing 850 mb temps of +2F to +4F, with westerly flow around a low to our north and west.

        I think the low 60F idea might still be in play for Sunday ?????

        1. Tom & DS,

          When I looked at the EURO, I forgot to pay close attention to the run time. I was reporting from Last night’s 0Z run.
          12Z run this morning MUCH warmer for Sunday. Much less precip as well.

          Pretty chilly for Monday, though.

                1. I’d jump off of the Mystic Tobin. Jumping from the Longfellow is just going to get you wet and cold. 👿

            3. I’m already throwing a FIT and then some!!!!!!

              I have HAD it with this BULLS**T weather!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. Hadi,

      Chapel Hill is on the Southwestern Edge of this watch, either just barely in it
      OR just barely outside of it.

    1. Sorry ACE, but these temperatures are perfectly normal. 👿 😆

      Just being TK for a moment.

      I agree with you totally!!

      What you meant was, can’t string together 3 days with at least
      “average” high temperatures.

  15. I think someone had said recently average temps for this date is low 60s. I’d like to see how many spring days in the past say 30 years we have actually been around that average, or has it been the product of half the days either being in the 40s and 50s and then 70s and 80s. So the 2 extremes are making up the average but the actual average is rarely seen.

      1. Probably you are correct. We’d have to do an analysis.

        I’d like to see the difference between say Logan and Springfield. 😆

  16. Some good news for a change…the very latest CPC outlook now has above normal temps for most of the East coast (including NE) through mid-May with below normal temps retreating to the West coast and Rockies.

    Let us hope this verifies! 😀

  17. Boston vs. Alaska Snowfall for 2013-14 with normal in ( ) parenthesis:

    Boston MA (Logan) = 58.9″ (43.8″) +15.1″

    Anchorage AK = 64.7″ (75.5″) -10.8″

    Fairbanks AK = 48.9″ (65.0″) -16.1″

    Just imagine if we had -NAO in March and April (and if that 12z Euro had verified)! 😀

    1. Interesting. I am surprised to see that Fairbanks normal snowfall is 65 inches.
      They are so far removed from any moisture source and oh so far North being
      “just” South of the Arctic Circle. I would have guessed about 25-3o inches tops.
      Shows you what I know. 😆

      But then again, they accumulates that total in many more months than we would.
      I’m guessing October through April anyway, perhaps even May in a normal year.

  21. Temps have inched up since 5pm, temp is 44.3 degrees up from 43.7 degrees, temps should be around 50 degrees by morning. I’ve cancelled the day tommorrow already due to the rain. Friday and Saturday r looking mighty fine with temps seasonably mild with temps around 65 degrees. That’s about average highs Hope everyone’s having a good night 🙂

    I’ve looked over the past 2 yrs there haven’t been many above average month temp wise, a lot of below average months or close to normal, goodnight 🙂

    1. Actually…except for the last several months (Nov through March) which were all below normal there were only 6 months prior to that going back to Jan 2012 that were below normal and most of those were so close (less than a degree) it probably wasn’t noticed. So out of the last 28 months the total of below normal is actually 11. In fact if you go back to 2011 we only had 3 months with below normal temps and the last 6 months of that year we started riding that wave of much above normal temps that lasted until April 2012. All of this courtesy of the NWS Boston data. Have a great night 😉

      1. Hi Keith. ALWAYS good to see you. Your data is more in line with what I had thought. I did find on TWC data that Boston is warmer than Foxboro in may by one degree on average.

        1. Hi Vicki….Good to be out here. Work and life have been keeping me busy (Son in college…my daughter going through the whole college application thing and life at the med center being very busy).

          When are you heading back down Marshfield? I love heading down there when the weather gets warmer.

          1. Sadly we are back for too long. Summer vacation is not looking good for there :(. But we had a perfect month in April. Hopefully, your life will settle in once the warm weather hits and you can enjoy !!

            1. And for Foxboro which is the town Charlie mentioned – not N. Attleboro.

              Charlie says:
              April 30, 2014 at 7:21 PM
              The actual average high for foxboro on May 1st is 65 degrees

      1. I checked some other ocean sea surface temp anomaly sites and they are fairly consistent with this big anomaly in the same consistent area.

        Its like the Gulf Stream is much warmer than usual just SE of New England.

    2. TOM it is not above normal at our latitude.
      I don’t care what the map shows. However, if to our south
      Is accurate there is hope for this summer.

      1. Quite true.

        I should have explained better.

        What surprised me was that anywhere nearby the northeast US had SST positive anomolies, given the consistent chill of the winter. You make a good point that the water temps are still in the 40s east of us.

        But, I do think this could impact us in the summer, when light east and southeast sea breezes blow that top layer of water right towards the coastline.

        3C anomolies are somewhere around 6 to 7F above normal. If this anomoly continues, then I wouldn’t be surprised if the first ridge with seabreezes see the ocean water temps rise very, very quickly.

        1. http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CCgQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fweather.unisys.com%2Fsurface%2Fsfc_daily.php%3Fplot%3Dssa%26inv%3D0%26t%3Dcur&ei=eFRiU_WHNsSQyATypYKwAw&usg=AFQjCNHhezMokwDrS6s1KBmclNR0rKpZcQ&bvm=bv.65636070,d.aWw

          Here’s the unisys SST anomolies, which also show that positive anomoly.

          It also shows how colder than normal the waters are in the maritimes.

          Kind of an interesting thing to have two large opposite anomolies so “relatively close” to one another.

  24. Good morning. Flood Watch mostly south of the Pike and west of the city.

    Red Sox will try to squeeze in a doubleheader between the end of this morning’s rain and some possible rain tonight.

  25. Some intense, thankfully brief rainfall rates in these showers.

    The shower that passed through Marshfield around 7:00 – 7:05 was impressive. The visibility dropped very low !!

  26. 36F at summit of Mt. Washington.

    The sun just has to come out later today, cant it ?? 🙂

  27. I dont know if a summerlike airmass will make it before the cold front cuts it off and how much the ocean south of us would modify it,

    but …. temps near 70F and dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s are not too far away. I

    I believe they are close as southern NJ. As it is, its nearly 60F with mid 50F dewpoints south of Boston.

        1. I think it is scheduled for June 21 at 6:51 am 😉 But I am hoping for a very balmy and perfect weekend on June 6 🙂

  31. To me all of this is spring. Yes, the temps are a bit low but then.

    I must be one of the few who thinks we had a good number of very lovely spring days in April.

  33. Boston 56, wind straight out of South
    Blue Hill 58
    Norwood 60

    We’re getting there!!!!

  34. Wrong again Vicki, average highs in Boston on May are not the same 🙂 1sthttp://www.weather.com/weather/wxclimatology/daily/USMA0046

    2. On Average:
      Boston, MA is warmer than Foxboro, MA by 1°F.

      Foxboro, MA is wetter than Boston, MA by 5.3 in.

      Charlie You did part of your work but didn’t take it far enough. For may on same page you used you can compare. The above is what you would have seen if you were not so anxious to post that I was wrong

    1. What about your numbers that you posted earlier about most month’s being below normal for the past two years or so? Just checking…have a great day 🙂

        1. Sounds good…look forward to it and if you need a link to check out the NWS numbers let me know. Have a good night. 🙂

    2. Numbers do not lie but you have to make sure you do your due diligence first. Have a good day 🙂

  36. According to those graphics, for today (May 1st), average temp for Boston is 61, for North Attleboro it’s 66. Five degrees diff this time of year is fairly significant IMO. Really shows the influence of boston’s “official” reporting location right on the coast. Although, taking a more inland location of Boston, say West Roxbury, the daily average for today is only 62, which is not that far off from Boston’s official number.

    1. That site is BOGUS!

      Look at this. It was at the bottom:

      Boston, MA recorded the lowest temperature of -30°F in 1946.

      Sorry, just NOT so.

      1. I kinda had a feeling some of those stats were bogus. Especially when it says on the same page that on average foxboro is warmer than boston by 2 degrees. Then 2 lines down it says on average, foxboro is 4 degrees cooler than boston, LOL

        1. Totally Agree. BTW record low for Boston is I Believe
          -18 in February of 1934.

          NOT and I Repear NOT -30

          What a Facuckta site.

          1. I also thought it was odd. What Charlie failed to notice is that I simply mentioned it was what TWC said – not that I agreed 🙂

            1. Although – and I know I am repeating – I did notice that for a good part of April it was warmer (actual temp) directly on the coast than it was in Framingham.

  39. What’s this????

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.38N 71.03W

    57.0 °F
    Last Updated: May 1 2014, 11:54 am EDT
    Thu, 01 May 2014 11:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Overcast
    Temperature: 57.0 °F (13.9 °C)
    Dewpoint: 52.0 °F (11.1 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 83 %
    Wind: West at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
    Wind Chill: 57 F (14 C)
    Visibility: 7.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1008.0 mb
    Altimeter: 29.77 in Hg

    So ARE we going back into that DAMN EAST WIND again already?????

  40. 41F atop Mt. Washington.

    With the sun coming out, its soared to 66F in Albany and 70F in NYC.

    If ……. and its a big If ……. the sun can come out, even btwn say 4 and 5 pm, the airmass above is so warm, eastern Mass still could get to that 65F to 70F mark.

      1. I love that map. 56 @ Conservatory Park Hingham (about 1/2 mile from me) while just 2 miles SW in Weymouth it’s 64.

  43. Going by my phone pembroke has been 4 degrees above boston all day. 59 in pembroke now and 55 in boston.

      1. I know – and the storm that gave all the tornadoes, flooding, etc. took over a little more than half of the country.

  46. It’s 58 degrees in Framingham. I wonder if it will get to even 60 degrees. I think west of here it has reached 60 degrees.

  51. 62.6 and still creeping up. I suppose it’s always better late than never. 😀

  52. Sox get screwed on call at the plate!!!! Cost us a run and the game.
    FIGURES!! The umpires are blind!!! e was so clearly safe.
    What a Brutally awful call!!!!!!

  54. Good afternoon all!
    Again sorry for the absenteeism. Much going on around here right now (not bad, mostly good stuff). Working on an update.

    Keith – great to see you posting. Weather Underground is excellent.

    1. I love that page…so much fun to poke around and change the images up to see what you want to see.

      Good to be back and finally have some free time 🙂

      1. I enjoy poking at the page myself. Never really spent much time there until recently.

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