The Week Ahead

94 Comments

8:39PM

The next 7 days will feature some unsettled weather along with a few nicer days.

A low pressure system from the west southwest will fall apart as it moves through southeastern New England Monday, but will bring lots of clouds and a few showers. Another system passing north of the region Tuesday will drag a cold front across the region, producing more cloudiness and showers with a chance of thunderstorms too. Expect a break Wednesday between that system and another one approaching, that should bring more showers to the region Thursday. A trough moving across the region, some additional energy, and one more frontal system will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms into Friday. By next weekend, if things work out and move along, nicer weather will return.

Forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Wind light SE to S.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs upper 60s South Coast to 70s most areas, near 80 some inland areas if there is enough sun. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Wind light SW.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. Wind SW to S 10-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 57. High 72.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers arriving. Low 60. High 78.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Low 62. High 77.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Low 61. High 81, cooler some coastal areas.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 63. High 85, cooler some coastal areas.

94 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

    1. First for once and I think I have the prefill figured out so I don’t have to log in each time.

  2. Thanks TK. Would love To open windows vs using ac tonight but hell no with that pollen still flying around.

  7. Thanks TK.
    What a nice weekend. Hopefully if the timing is right will get another repeat next weekend. Thunderstorm chances don’t look to bring severe weather but as I always I’l keep an eye on it.

  8. Thanks, TK.

    Hope everyone had a great wknd. – the weather was beautiful – but there were more clouds around but that only added to the beauty of the sky.

    Vicki – I am so glad Mac is feeling better! 🙂

    My husband is better from his kidney stones. But I couldn’t enjoy the wknd. as I picked up a cold last wk. and along w/my allergies I have been feeling lousy. But I did enjoy watching the French Open off and on the past 2 wks. and especially the finals. I know there aren’t many tennis freaks like my husband and me out there – but it was fun and kept me occupied.

    1. Thank you, rainshine. I’m glad your husband’s stones have improved and hope you feel better quickly. My in-laws loved to watch all tennis matches.

    1. How was brunch? Was it a buffet brunch? And what did you have to eat? Can you tell I love brunches. I think of all meals they are the most fun…mostly because they are out of the ordinary perhaps.

      1. It was great Vicki, I always just get the traditional breakfast, eggs,sausage,hash browns

  14. Sure is CLOUDY today, but at least it is not raining and the weekend is over.
    What a beauty the weekend was. I’ll take that ALL Summer long. 😀

    JJ Thanks for the links on Cape and LI for tomorrow. Higher than usual, but
    certainly not impressive. Later in the week, they “may” just be more impressive.
    We shall see.

    Even so, some storms tomorrow may approach severe limits.

    1. Tuesday and Friday look to be the days this week to watch for thunderstorm development.
      Does the EURO weather maps you have Old Salty show CAPE and Lift Index values?

  17. JJ, Euro shows cape as almost non-existent for tomorrow. Perhaps creeping
    up to 500 joules at most.

  18. Thanks Old Salty. The 6z GFS was around 500 joules. This is not impressive Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) being shown by the models but enough for a chance for some thunderstorm development.

  19. Today begins the earliest sunrise at 5:07 am. It will last awhie before slowly going back in the other direction (later) around the end of this month.

    We still have awhile to go before the latest sunset at 8:25 pm. which will occur sometime later this month around the 20th or so.

    1. Yup saw that. Euro doesn’t give a crap, so we’ll see.
      SPC doesn’t even give our area a mention in any way.

      FUGGETTABOUT IT. 😀

  27. On another note:

    On the 11PM Channel 4 broadcast, Danielle Niles was introduced as the
    CHIEF METEOROLOGIST. I’m sure it was just a mistake
    as Eric is always introduced as the chief meteorologist.

    Where is Eric? He hasn’t been on air since mid last week?

  29. HI ALL!
    Been very busy. Will update this aftn.

    Best chance of tstms today within 10 miles of MA Pike then trending south from there.

  30. Good morning everyone, nice morning!! Does anyone normally take the commuter rail into Boston on a normal basis?

    1. I know 2 that do it from the north. One on Lowell line. One on Haverhill line. Both love it. Never any delays. I drive by the tracks in Reading same time every day and they are always at station early and leave right on time.

    2. I have a close friend who takes it daily from this area to South Station and loves it. Rarely problems. Son used public transit exclusively until about 10 months ago and said the same.

  33. That’s too bad bc there r nothing but problems on the Boston to Prividence line, train crashes, delays bc of freight trains, delays bc the train won’t start, the more I read they say it’s the busiest rail around Boston, you would think they would fix add rails etc etc, my wife has said there’s many times 100’s of people r insanely standing up till they hit Mansfield. Is this safe? Now they r raising rates again, 2nd time in last yr, there trying to reduce the amount of people riding it, they had record ridership a yr ago to below the national average now. Rant over 🙂

    1. Well that is a problem. My son’s problem with Prov/Bos is that it runs too late. He has to be at work at 6:00.

      1. Didn’t get a chance to read the article but I will when I get home. As you stated earlier…the line gets used by freight trains, Amtrak, etc. That stinks as the lines that dedicated to mainly commuter trains have a much better track record. I’m on the Greenbush line and it always runs on time. Now if they would only put back weekend service on that line I’d be very happy.

  34. Hmmm
    Dew points across the area are running 65-67 Degrees.
    Wind light out of the S to SW.

    Sun is out quite a bit. Very sticky out there.

    I see NO SIGNS of any convection on radar.

    What is to cause the lift today? Just heating? BD cold front?
    Other cold front? Stationary front? All of the above?

    NOTHING happening yet. 😀

  35. Just my opinion – back door cold fronts, from what I can remember, meant simply dark clouds, gusty winds that changed direction and quickly dropping temps. Rarely any thunderstorms – unless there was a low connected to the front. I think (don’t quote me) but NWS said there was a weak low around, so maybe that’s why there is a possibility of storms. However, last time I looked – NWS hadn’t updated anything since 10:30 and it looks just like some showers way to the north. But some tv mets going for possibility of storms later on. If there is no low attached to back door cold front – why would it thunder? Has something changed in the past decade or so? Again – just wondering.

  36. Its humid but only peaks of sunshine where I am in the last hour.
    I think more of a heavy rain threat where these showers and storms develop than a severe weather threat.

  38. Mostly cloudy sky’s, still not to bad, starting to see some red thread disease in lawns from humidity rising, let it run it’s course, and apply a fertilizer 🙂 enjoy the day!!

    1. Indeed. LI is MUCH more impressive. That is a solid -5 across the area.
      If we get proper lift, there is plenty of buoyancy to produce some potent storms.
      Capes are “just” high enough. We shall see.

      There is already some action on the NH/MA border that IS intensifying.

      1. If we get warm sectored on Friday with hours of sunshine and the cold front coming through during the peak heating then you
        have the ingredients for some potent thunderstorms. Those are the days you root for cloud cover since any sunshine
        is self destructing sunshine which will only further destablize the atmosphere.

  40. Latest from NWS just a bit ago:

    DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER…BECAUSE OF THE BREAKS NORTH OF THE
    PIKE…LONGER AND STRONGER SUN ANGLE…AND BOTH FRONTS ACTING AS
    POTENTIAL TRIGGERS…THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND
    POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED SOMEWHAT BY THE CLOUD COVER BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR 500-1000 J/KG OF CAPE IN AREAS THAT SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS. SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE ALREADY INDICATING A FEW SPOTS OF 500 J/KG ACROSS NY AND NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION…30 TO 35 KTS OF SHEAR WILL ALLOW SHOWERS/STORMS THAT DEVELOP TO SUSTAIN THEMSELVES FOR A BIT. REGARDLESS…WITH PWATS OVER AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF… EXPECT HEAVY RAIN TO BE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

  42. OS I’m sitting on top floor at bwh and can see lots of clouds forming to northwest. Gotta b that Lowell cell

  43. BIG storms fast approaching 128 just NW of Boston.

    RED on radar. Building Southwestward.

    1. Special Weather Statement
      SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
      NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
      355 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

      MAZ005-007-014-015-102030-
      SUFFOLK-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-EASTERN ESSEX-
      355 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

      …DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM IN NORTH CENTRAL SUFFOLK…NORTHEASTERN
      MIDDLESEX AND SOUTH CENTRAL ESSEX COUNTIES…

      AT 354 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
      STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WILMINGTON…OR NEAR BILLERICA…MOVING
      SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

      HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE
      EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

      LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
      LYNN…MALDEN…MEDFORD…REVERE…PEABODY…EVERETT…SALEM…
      BILLERICA…WOBURN…CHELSEA…TEWKSBURY…MELROSE…SAUGUS…
      WAKEFIELD…READING…BURLINGTON…WILMINGTON…STONEHAM…WINCHESTER
      AND MARBLEHEAD.

      PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

      TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MINOR URBAN AND
      POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
      ROADS.

  44. That storm now getting inside of Rt. 128 is maintaining its intensity, if not getting
    stronger still. It’s a BIG one!!!

      2. He’s doing well OS Spaulding just refused him cause they said he’s too healthy. I guess that’s good but we were hoping for Spaulding for best care

      1. Ok Charlie, it’s NOT BIG according to TEXAS or MidWest
        standards.

        When I said big, I meant large in area with torrential rain and hail, not that it would Knock your socks off or huff and puff and blow your house in! 😆

  45. After reading what Texas adopted yesterday by all means Charlie compare us to them:) I will win that argument every-time. Yes storms not big compared to TX but still interesting to track.

  47. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A

    * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR…
    NORTHERN SUFFOLK COUNTY IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS…
    EAST CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS…
    SOUTHERN ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS…

    * UNTIL 545 PM EDT

    * AT 439 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE
    MINOR FLOODING. OVERFLOWING POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL RESULT IN
    MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

    * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE
    BOSTON…CAMBRIDGE…LYNN…SOMERVILLE…WALTHAM…MALDEN…
    BROOKLINE…MEDFORD…REVERE…ARLINGTON…EVERETT…CHELSEA…
    WATERTOWN…MELROSE…SAUGUS…WAKEFIELD…BELMONT…STONEHAM…
    WINCHESTER…WINTHROP AND NAHANT.

    1. Her come Da RAIN here. humongous rain drops. I’ve never seen them that
      big. It’s like each drop is a tea cup’s worth of rain. 😀

  50. I can see the rain in the distance. Wow. The clouds are touching the ground. Amazing view from up here

  51. Getting dark to my north.

    Earlier, when the clouds weren’t as close, I could the tops of the towering cumulus.

    Still holding a SW wind and it is very humid. House A/C on first time this early summer.

    1. Same here. We had basically the same thing since we’re only a few miles apart.

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