7:43AM
Quick forecast update, full discussion and new forecast later today…
TODAY: Lots of clouds with isolated showers morning. Partly sunny with a couple opportunities for scattered showers/thunderstorms this afternoon. Any storm may be strong. Highs 70s to lower 80s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Wind light NW to N.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered mainly afternoon showers & t-storms. Highs 75-80. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated afternoon showers. Low 58. High 77.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 79.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 60. High 82.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 86.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 64. High 87.
Good morning!! Thanks tk! Average high is down to 81 from 84 2 weeks ago, by the end of Aug early Sept our average is in the upper 70’s, I love after mid Aug ๐ I love fall time ๐
Thanks tk
Thanks TK. Looks like we heat up a little bit beginning of next week. Its strange, for this summer anyways, i think of high 80’s as hot since 90’s have been so hard to come by.
I agree.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK.
A bit of rain just passed through, however I think the heavier showers went just south over the Duxbury, Kingston area.
6z GFS For Today
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=06&mod=gfs&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gfs&stn2=CAPE&hh2=015&fixhh=1&hh=018
Lift
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=06&stn=LI&hh=018&map=na&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=gfs&hh2=018&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
I wonder how the surface winds already being N and NW might affect the whole shower/tstorm threat today.
I was a bit surprised to see those surface winds this morning. I thought there would still be some S or SW winds, particularly in eastern New England.
Perhaps the passing by of Bertha has helped to swing the surface winds around ??
A North North west wind direction is a dry wind direction that brings in comfortable air. Thunderstorms hate dry
air and want an unstable environment.
6z NAM For Today
Lift
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=06&mod=nam&stn=LI&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=nam&stn2=LI&hh2=018&fixhh=1&hh=015
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=CAPE&hh=015&map=na&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=015&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
Looks like RGIII is soaking knowledge from Brady down in Richmond.
He couldn’t learn from anyone better. ๐
I think RGIII has a fantastic season this year. I wish him and your skins
nothing but the best, unless of course they play the Pats. ๐
Thanks OS. Agree learning from the best. I think RGIII has a monster year. Everyone wants to critique him for last year but he should not have been paying the first 8 weeks. Everyone forgets how good he was year 1.
They play next year at Foxboro in the regular season.
Here’s a surface map, I don’t get this:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
Logan has North wind with dew point 63
Accu Weather calling for POLAR VORTEX to visit the Northeast this Fall.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/fall-2014-forecast-polar-vortex/31254218
I saw this and I would have to ask the folks at Accuweather …..
How can you favor a pattern that brings in shots of the “polar vortex” (which to me says a flow aloft that would keep tropical activity way away from the eastern US) and at the same time, favor a chance at tropical system impact along the east Coast (which would probably require a Bermuda High setup). Doesnt make sense to me.
I would also argue with this El Nino idea. I keep looking at SST anomolies and dont really see very much. Perhaps neutral to slightly above avg temps.
In the eastern Pacific down by Northwestern South America.
I agree with your El Nino assessment Tom. This is the 2nd year in a row it has been forecast, but yet the SST anomalies aren’t really there. I will say, there must be something though since the tropical activity in the Atlantic has been meager so far.
This satellite loop clearly depicts the frontal passage, so what’s to provide the
lift this PM? Not a front, then what?
Diurnal heating, yes
Sea Breeze front, possible
Something aloft?
ooops
http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=irbw&size=small&endDate=20140806&endTime=-1&duration=12
Santa Clause! ๐
Well, he’s full of hot/moist air. Perhaps that will do it. ๐
See anything on this water vapor loop?
http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=wv&size=small&endDate=20140806&endTime=-1&duration=12
A couple of bubbles of convection popping up West of 495.
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=BOX
Pretty decent cumulus popping up around here.
If I understand El Nino correctly, a weak El Nino usually brings more snow to the northeast and a strong one brings less snow.
Am I correct…or is it just the opposite?
Strong El Nino’s tend to flood the country with Pacific air trapping all the cold air in Canada leading to below normal snowfall. We saw this in 97-98 winter with a strong El Nino.
From NWS re: Thunderstorms today and their worrisome rip currents from an almost
non-existent storm. ๐
https://scontent-b-lga.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpf1/t1.0-9/10592798_662009447226763_7969808167561409078_n.png
Looks like Vicki is close to one of those showers now.
Very close I would say and showers/storms are EXPANDING.
OS, click the “hide clutter” button on the radar. That bubble of shower activity is much less impressive than it looks
I see that, but I’m not sure what that really does.
That looks to me like it removes part of the real echo
in the process. There is a good size hill right in that area,
but a return from the hill wouldn’t be moving like it was.
So, bottom line, I dunno. ๐
John,
I found this and thought that you might like it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e4Ao-iNPPUc
Discussion from NWS
EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN AREA OF DEEP LAYER ASCENT TO COUPLE
WITH SURFACE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE BOUNDARIES YIELDING ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
I think any storms that do develop will be non severe.
12z NAM For Today
Lift
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=nam&stn=LI&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=nam&stn2=LI&hh2=012&fixhh=1&hh=009
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=12&stn=CAPE&hh=009&map=na&stn2=LI&run2=12&mod2=nam&hh2=009&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
Gotta love those write ups, written as if it was an essay that needed a thousand words and was due the next morning. Lots of words, no real content. ๐
It’s beginning to look like the best action will be to the South of the City in interior
SE MA. ๐
Didn’t someone mention that last evening. Umm TK? ๐
OR NOT! ๐
This zoomed out view show not much happening.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php
Just got a big WHIFF OF SALT AIR.
Wonder where that came from (EAST WIND). ๐
Nothing here yet – just clouds getting darker – quite dark to the north. Haven’t had a second to check anything this am.
Just got a tiny downpour. I meant tiny….
I mean tiny.
Deluge in walpole
See that on radar. Seems to be one of the only shows in town right now.
My lawn appreciated it ๐
Thanks Jimmy for answering my El Nino question! ๐
Also regarding the strong El Nino in 1997-98 = 25.6″ at Logan. ๐
Sun back out, temp dropped about 10 degrees
Clouds abound, but nothing reaching the ground. ๐
Another tiny downpour here.
Sunset now before 8:00 pm (7:58 pm this evening)! ๐
A sign that fall is not that far around the corner! Although I have had no complaints with this summer since there has not been long spells of heat and humidity so far.
I agree with you Jimmy. So far this summer has pretty much behaved itself especially regarding high heat. The humidity has been a bit too consistent by my standards, but that’s just me. Definitely best summer of recent memory to date though.
I hope its a great fall with plenty of crisp autumn days with a great display of colors followed by a few good Noreaster’s for the upcoming winter.
beautiful, tall cumulus clouds around.
One to our south that hit southern Pembroke with a shower and a monsterous one to my west northwest.
Pouring again
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09E/09E_floater.html
Iselle continues to find a way. In fact, it looks healthier again on satellite the last few hours.
The big island of Hawaii would be just out of range on the left side of the loop.
What are the chances she maintains hurricane strength into the big island?
They did say she would go over warmer water again right before the islands. Maybe that is it.
Well, based on climatology and what I think I recall seeing in previous storms approaching Hawaii, it should still weaken, but ….. this one seems to be one that’s quite persistent.
Juicy storm down around Weymouth or so.
NOTHING here, although it does look threatening.
Sun back out here. Such a weird day
I gotta admit, so far, NWS has nailed the general location of the heavier showers today
True, but have we seen anything remotely resembling a “strong” thunderstorm?
Touche. Even with the 2 very heavy downpours here, no thunder or lightning to speak of
I have a feeling the one out by the cape cod canal may have some thunder and lightning
These showers just keep forming and moving over the same areas
here too, quite dark at the moment.
70.3F water temp at Boston Harbor Buoy, 16 nautical miles out.
First time I’ve seen it this summer 70F or higher.
Somewhat suspicious temp for Boston Harbor. Usually a temp that high is restricted to the South Coast/Cape but it is correct all right. Perhaps the persistent east wind lately including today is the reason? If so, then when the wind shifts westerly, I bet that temp should cool considerally back to the mid-60’s.
Oh, absolutely !
I briefly watched the very beginning of “Live w/Kelly & Michael” this morning and the substitute co-host Rebecca Romijn mentioned that her twin daughters will start kindergarten next week. I know that schools in the south start like a week or two before Labor Day but the 2nd week of August seems way too early IMHO. I will assume Rebecca Romijn lives in Southern CA like all the other celebs.
Tom…What are your thoughts regarding August school openings? Just curious. ๐
Love it. Like to get the 3 days in prior to Labor Day. Not doing it this year since Labor Day is September 1st.
Bigger picture …..
Summer vacation is too long !! We ask our children to not use their new knowledge for 10 weeks, then wonder in amazement why they cant retain it the next year. Heck, I forget things in 3 days, never mind 2+ months.
I think summer vacay idea is outdated.
Take off the last week in June and all of July. Start back first Monday in August. Thats a 5 week break. The additional 4 weeks of school in August can then allow for a few new breaks during the year, or lengthier traditional breaks during the year.
But this crammed, crazy pace learning from September to mid June, with all this time off is NOT ideal for learning, retaining and building knowledge. After teaching for 10 years, I am certain of it.
Simply don’t agree. A child needs that vacation, imho. ๐
I agree with u for younger kids, elementary school age. But for middle school and high school when then content becomes more complex and u start introducing extraciricular activities and sports into the mix, the kids need an extended break to recharge and refresh. As it is, so many teachers assign so much summertime work with reading multiple books and papers and whatnot, they’re not really getting a break anyways.
OS…
I did allude to the occurrence of more convection in eastern MA, but I wasn’t too specific about north or south of the city. I’m not surprised it’s focused south where the dew points are higher. Already drying out nicely in the NW suburbs.
Tomorrow’s “action” is going to be triggered by a disturbance, or basically a pocket of very cold air aloft.
The lingering remnants of this cold air will be over the region but making its exit during Friday, but should be enough to trigger some moderate cumulus clouds and possibly a few isolated showers especially far eastern areas Friday afternoon.
Weekend looks stellar!
Thanks TK…especially that “stellar” weekend! ๐
I have cousins in the Dallas, TX area and they go back to school 2nd week of Aug as well
UGH!! ๐
Quick downpour just passed here in Dorchester. The lanscapers came earlier than expected and naturally finished earlier. ๐
This will NOT be a popular opinion, and feel free to fire away with all your reasons that I am “out to lunch” etc., but I think Summer vacation is not long enough.
NO school after June 21, ever.
NO school before September 1, ever.
I do think consolidating Feb & Apr vacations into one break is a good idea, though.
Kids need to be kids and this includes a lot of free time with support by parents or guardians to develop their minds.
Anyway, that’s that. ๐
Continues to cool off and dry out here. ๐
TK I’m with you 100%! You’re right on target.
When I was going to school, it started the Wednesday after Labor day and ended around June 14th, REGARDLESS of snow days.
Bring back the good ole Days. I think IF I had to start school in August,
I’d quit. I HATED HATED HATED school so much!! Don’t know how I got through it all and made it through college as well. It’s a miracle, believe me.
My BPS school year began pretty much the same as yours OS except the end was a bit later anywhere from June 20-25 depending on snow days. Years ago at Mass. Bay CC classes did start in August the week before Labor Day but the following spring semester did end (including exams) by mid-May. I don’t have a problem with that type of schedule but these early August through June is ridiculous.
I like YOUR thinking on that TK! ๐
We did finally manage a brief show not too long ago. NO thunder.
Yeah it was a show aright. I meant shower! ๐
Wow, thats a pretty good set of storms in far SE Mass.
Must be fun going over the Sagamore and Bourne bridges right about now.
That cluster has been building down there. Similar complex up in coastal maine.
There is a very sharp cutoff regarding dewpoints similar to a rain/snow line in winter:
N & W I-95 dewpoints under 60
S & E I-95 (including Boston) dewpoints over 60…UGH!
The lone severe thunderstorm warning of the day tracking southeast out of Hudson River Valley of NY and going to miss me to the southwest.
Check that severe warning of parts of southeastern, MA
Matt Noyes: Broadcast Meteorologist
Just now ยท
New Englandโs South Coast under Severe Tโstorm Warning next half hour, seek shelter. Moving SE 15mph:
Now tell me IF anyone sees a wind gust >= 58 mph or 3/4 inch hail.
I say it doesn’t happen. Then WHY a severe thunderstorm warning?
Why not just a lightning warning?
I don’t get the abundance of warned storms by NWS that simply are NOT severe.
Perhaps I’m full of crap. I dunno.
Start the school year after Labor Day.
As a nation we trail many other countries in educating our young. I think rather than make summer shorter, school days should be extended. It’s insane to let kids out at 1:30-2 pm with dual working parents schools need to go until 4. Add more recess time during the day. Add more PE, more science etc…
Children need play time. dismiss them at 4 and send them out with
homework. Sorry, it just doesn’t cut it.
There would be darkness issues during winter if kids were dismissed at 4 pm IMO.
If I had to go to school until 4 Pm I would have had
a mental breakdown. They would have taken me away somewhere.
The worlds best education systems agree totally with you
Hadi the worlds leading school system has later age start, much more free play, far less homework or none, and total inclusion. Our problem is not length of day. Our problem is teaching to the test and standardized tests. The best school systems empower teachers. We take their power away.
My opinion only
Agree.
Here is my suggestion of a typical School Calendar (K-12):
Start: 2nd week of September
Christmas Vacation: 2 weeks (return 2nd week of January)
Spring Break: 1 week in mid-March
End: 3rd week of June
Framingham went to one winter break in march years ago. Turned out the two breaks actually broke the illnesses going around and the absentee rate went up. Kids loose nearly double in absentees as they do vacations. Add a second winter break and I totally agree with your calendar
My grandmother grew up in Williamsburg VA in the early 1900s and her school year was from October to April. Since she lived in the country, children were expected to work in the fields the rest of the year they weren’t in school.
Btw, she HATED HATED country life and couldn’t wait to head for the big city as soon as she got old enough to leave home. She ended up here in Boston and abosolutely LOVED LOVED IT. ๐
I also wonder if up in the potato farms in Maine had/have a similar school schedule? I seem to have this feeling that I read it in a magazine somewhere.
I think the activity is all but over at least for interior SE MA. Dewpoints accross the area are falling even SE of 95.
According to Eric Fisher, Iselle has a good chance of making landfall on the big island of Hawaii as a minimal hurricane. It would be the first landfalling hurricane there in over 20 years. And theres another one right behind it.
Tropical activity in the Pacific has been way up past couple years.
Julio.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac
I received another .02″. It is unbelievable how many thunder storms my area has missies. Since mid July I have received .27″
Wow, switch to a NW wind and Logan’s dewpoint falls 11F from the last ob. Also, seeing highest temp of day, at 82F.
Meanwhile, with very little breeze and some previous showers having since evaporated, it is very stuffy down here.
Dew point down to 48 at Logan 7PM. ๐
NICE!!!!
Very nice, turn the fan and send it this way ! ๐
Water temp dropped to 68 already. Tomorrow it should be back to about
64ish. ๐
Another spectacular night.
It is !
Still awaiting the arrival of the dry air. Its pushed through Boston, but still hasnt arrived here.
Wind is nearly calm, dewpoint still 66F.
http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=hawaii%20radar&source=web&cd=9&ved=0CEAQFjAI&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.wunderground.com%2Fweather-radar%2Funited-states%2Fhi%2Fsouth-hawaii%2Fhwa%2F&ei=kcviU8q7BYO8oQSw5IGICg&usg=AFQjCNFvmhEZa_Ayr3J5asON-qidpFzvEw&bvm=bv.72676100,d.cGU
Perhaps this will be an interesting radar in 24-36 hrs ……
Headed for a 3 night camping trip to Southern VT tomorrow. Nighttime weather should be a bit different ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ from the 76F overnight dewpoints that were prevalent on the Outer Banks of NC.
I have a 65 degree dew point.
Totally agree os and hadi!! Richmond was great, they had a Ferris wheel etc, nice facility, lots of Patriots fans, estimate around 10k were there. Goodnight ๐
Every day they had over 20K people.
Tk tommorrows storms? Any details?
Haven’t seen any postings yet – just checking to see if blog is ok –
I guess it is!
Well, I guess we could see some interesting weather today – small hail, gusty winds. You would never know it right now. Beautiful, sunny, coolish and dry. But off to the northwest are some clouds moving in. Doppler radar shows some light showers off to the west – but they look like they are dissipating at this point.
Not expecting too much in the way of weather today, but thats what i thought yesterday and we got 3 very heavy downpours. We shall see!
I was disappointed when i heard Ryan Mallet would start and Brady would not play, but i think its the right move, get him in there right from the start and see what he can do. He’s had brutal pre-seasons but from what i hear he’s looked good in camp. I wonder if he plays with other 1’s on offense and against Washington’s 1’s on defense. That will be the true test.
Doubt skins defense will be much of a test
Hazardous weather outlook up for the region highlighting the threat of small hail gusty winds.
Thunderstorm Impact Scale:
Hail – Low
Wind – Low
Flooding – Low
From Taunton NWS office:
.SYNOPSIS…
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING TODAY…SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH THREATS OF SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
From Channel 4 this morning:
Itโs a beautiful start out there this morning but another round of unsettled weather is on the way for later on today. A bundle of upper level energy will push through the region from northwest to southeast this afternoon. Even though our high temperatures will hold in the mid to upper 70s today with relatively low dewpoints โ there is anomalously cold air aloft which creates instability in the atmosphere.
Good morning. Any idea of timing for storms we will have in the Watertown MA area? They are having a surprise lunch for Mac at his company and getting in and out with wheelchair is not easy even in good weather since I’m still just figuring it out.
Thanks!
Vicki,
If you believe Danielle Niles, As early as Noonish, however, she did indicate
main activity from 3-8 PM. Really difficult to say just yet. You “may” be ok, but perhaps get caught in a shower before the main event. We’ll have to watch.
Here’s what she said:
While Iโm not expecting widespread damaging storms, a few could certainly become strong to severe during the late afternoon and early evening, especially over the southeast part of the Bay State. The biggest threats in todayโs batch of thunderstorms will be hail and brief but strong wind gusts (40+ mph). Obviously in any storms that crop up, torrential downpours and lightning are likely too.
In terms of timing, clouds build in as early as late morning with the first showers/downpours cropping up around midday. More scattered activity is likely between 3-8 PM. Once the sun sets (7:56 PM) any leftover storms should weaken and come to an end.
NWS graphic
https://scontent-b-lga.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xfp1/t1.0-9/10334261_662572677170440_1820066239554073965_n.png
If humidity and heating from the sun aren’t whats causing the instability for these storms, why would they dissipate after the sun goes down??
Diurnal heating has much to do with any activity today,
despite what they say. The short wave diving through also does, and that could keep some activity going after the sun goes down. I think the NWS takes shortcuts and other liberties when doing write-ups and graphics. Often times, there is some sensationalism going on here. ๐
Ace, here’s your answer from the Greay, ME NWS office;
ANY LINGERING CONVECTION QUICKLY ENDS THIS EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY
AND UPPER SUPPORT SLIDE OFFSHORE.
Ah ha! That’s OS, it takes a village, lol
Detailed forecast for Watertown from NWS:
Detailed Forecast
Today Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 1pm and 4pm. Some of the storms could produce small hail and gusty winds. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
OS – can’t thank you enough. We will arrive just before noon – perhaps we will leave here a bit earlier. Getting out isn’t a problem because we can wait out a storm. Once we are in the building, all should be fine!!
Good luck and I hope all goes well. ๐
Vicki hope you guys have a great time.
Thank you OS and John. I’m very excited for mac. Now all I have to do is keep my happy tears at bay ๐
You’re allowed!
This will not be a severe weather outbreak today but like yesterday there COULD be a few isolated storms that reach severe criteria.
JJ, Based on what I have read, I fully expect today’s storms to be STRONGER
than yesterday. We shall see.
No general thunderstorm or slight risk for SNE today. This is a disturbance today rotating down and with a cold pool of air aloft and add some instability that has the makings for some hail today.
Water temperature. Sure didn’t stay at 70 Degrees. ๐ ๐ ๐
BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA
(44013) 42.346N 70.651W
Last Updated: Aug 7 2014, 7:50 am EDT
Thu, 07 Aug 2014 07:50:00 -0400
Temperature: 65.5 ยฐF (18.6 ยฐC)
Dewpoint: 61.3 ยฐF (16.3 ยฐC)
Wind: West at 9.0 MPH (7.78 KT)
MSL Pressure: 1011.7 mb
Water Temperature: 64.2 ยฐF (17.9 ยฐC)
Wave Height: 0.5 m (1.64 ft)
Dominant Period: 11 sec
Average Period: 4.0 sec
Mean Wave Direction: East (102 ยฐ)
GFDL forecast for ISELLE:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfdl/2014080706/gfdl_mslp_wind_09E_6.png
HWRF
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hwrf/2014080706/hwrf_mslp_pwat_09E_10.png
From AccuWeather
http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/newsstory/2014/650x366_08071012_hd25.jpg
On Wednesday evening, a hurricane warning was issued for Hawaii for the first time in 22 years. Despite signs that the hurricane was weakening, Iselle strengthened slightly on Wednesday and is now forecast to hit the Big Island as a Category 1 hurricane on Thursday. If it does so, this will be the first hurricane landfall on the Big Island in recorded history.
This is part of the reason for the storms:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2014080712&var=VRTHGTGRD_500mb&hour=007
Thanks OS. Great information
Latest from NWS re: Today
1030 AM UPDATE…
OVERALL TREND IN THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR THIS MORNING. POTENT SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS UPSTATE NY AND INTO PA AND WESTERN MA. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE THE DRIVING FACTOR FOR ANY CONVECTION LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LAPSE RATES ARE STARTING TO STEEPEN AND ONCE WE REACH CLOSER TO THE HEATING OF THE DAY EXPECT DIURNAL CU TO DEVELOP. LATEST VIS SATELLITE DOES SHOW SOME ACROSS UPSTATE NY AND INTO VT…AND THIS SHOULD SPREAD SOUTH AND EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. BECAUSE OF THE NW FLOW THINKING IS THAT EASTERN MASS AND RI HAVE THE BEST SHOT TO SEE MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ESPECIALLY SINCE THEY ARE CURRENTLY AT FULL SUNSHINE. STORM INITIATION SHOULD BE BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS. CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS
FROM THIS ANOMALOUS COLD POOL ALOFT.
Convection now beginning In NY, near Albany, VT and Western NH. Nothing
in MA at this time. But it has commenced. We shall watch and see.
Bright blue sky, tons of sunshine. Only a very few cumulus clouds so far.
Temp 75.7
Good morning!! Mix of clouds and sun, a nice day to watch football, very happy Brady will not play much if any, mostly a Mallett night, can’t wait to see a lot of the bubble guys ๐ go patriots 730 kickoff!!
Convection really firing now:
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=BOX
Partly cloudy now with 50% coverage of cumulus. Nothing really towering at this point.
Rain starting up here in Sharon
Huge raindrops, sounds like hail but just really big raindrops. Temps plunged.
Scratch that, there were a couple very small hailstones mixes in with the rain! Strangest thing ive seen in a long time
Ace, that one down your way blew up right over you and then moved off.
Cool.
Getting dark in Sudbury. Doppler radar very busy now with showers, maybe storms popping up all over the place. But the sky is quite picturesque.
Couple of big cracks of thunder here with a storm just to the NW.
Already MORE than yesterday. ๐
That one to the NW has a bulls eye right over JP. Heading Directly here.
Will catch Brighton for sure.
Yes I have been active here because I have been home all
week due to roof job. ๐
OMG! The sun’s out and we just had the brightest flash and loudest clap of thunder! Scared me pretty good! I thought it was an explosion at first!!!
Nothing here in Sudbury yet – sun is in and out.
But radar shows some action headed this way.
OS – you’re right, I think we will see more action today than yesterday.
Vicious lightning and thunder a bit ago, followed by frequent rumbles.
OS, i hope ur gutters got on in time!
NOPE, there was a delay.
And it is only one gutter for the flat roof out back. It handled
the downpour yesterday just fine. Guy is due this PM
to install. yeah sure. I think not. Looking like tomorrow now.
we’ll see.
I think storms are pulsing. (hope that’s the right word).
I think you are correct, but when it is more intense, it is very intense.
I hope you can get your gutters in! But the way the radar looks, I’m not sure.
Nice and SUnny here now. IF the guy can get his ass over here, we’lll make it. Else, tomorrow.
I should be able to see the dark clouds from this storm, yet it is NOT.
Only grayish clouds to the NW. Sure can hear thunder thought. Weird.
We just had one intense hail storm!
Not that I can see. Virtually no helicity. I think we are AOK in that regard.
Are you in Brighton?
I could see that it hit Brighton, But NOT here. ๐
Yes, in Brighton. I got some great pics – will try to post later
Awesome.
Any risk of tornadoes in these storms?
Sorry I had previously posted this elsewhere
Not that I can see. Virtually no helicity. I think we are AOK in that regard.
Thanks OS!
Also did NOT see even the slightest hint of rotation
on any of those storms. ๐
I think a lot of is are in for a rough afternoon. These small intense storms are popping up all over the place now
Wow, i remember my first spelling bee…
And which word was that? intense? LOL
Weir weir weird.
That vicious storm developed a coastal. The energy skipped over the city
and developed a new storm over Quincy. AMAZING. Now that I have
NEVER seen before. Suns’ out here. NEVER RAINED A DROP and now
NO storm heading here at all.
WOW!
Here’s something you don’t see too often. A veritable Christmas tree of lights.
The radar is LIT up ALL over NE!!!
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=BOX
NWS special statement:
http://www.mattnoyes.net/alerts/2014/08/weather-advisory-special-weather-statement-1.html
Bright and SUNNY here. ๐
Still has NOT RAINED a DROP. ๐
2 PM update from NWS:
200 PM UPDATE…
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOSED LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION FOR TODAY. THIS ANOMALOUS LOW HAS DROPPED 500 MB TEMPS DOWN TO -20C PER SPC MESO SITE AND AT 700MB THE 0C LINE HAS SUNK SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. THIS HAS CREATED A STRONG COLD POOL OVER THE REGION. BECAUSE OF THE HEATING OF THE DAY COMBINED WITH THIS COLD POOL…LAPSE RATES HAVE STEEPEN GREATLY ALLOWING FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP. IN FACT…MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE JUMPED TO 7 WITH MUCAPE VALUES REACHING OVER 1000 J/KG. WITH THE COOLER TEMPS ALOFT AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES…IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH FOR THE STORMS TO CREATE SMALL HAIL.
A FEW SITES ALONG THE COASTLINE HAVE ALREADY TURNED EASTWARD
INDICATING OF THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT. THIS HAS BEEN FOCUSED
ACROSS THE SOUTH SHORE AND INTO PLYMOUTH COUNTY. THIS SEA BREEZE WILL BE AN AREA TO WATCH WITH CONVERGENCE AT THE SURFACE COULD ALLOW FOR HIGHER CORES AND POSSIBLY A SEVERE STORM OR TWO. WE WILL NEED TO WATCH AND SEE IF THIS SEABREEZE MAKES IT FARTHER NORTHWARD OR NOT.
BUFKIT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS HAVE SHOWN A GOOD AMOUNT OF DRY AIR MOVING IN ALLOWING FOR THE POTENTIAL OF GUSTY WINDS TO MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE. PWAT VALUES ARE QUITE LOW…BELOW 1 SO BELIEVE THAT THE FLOODING POTENTIAL IS LOW AT THIS TIME.
We just had an amazing downpour in Lunenburg. There was lightning, heavy rain and pea-sized hail. The temperature dropped from 74 to 58 in 10 minutes!
Strong storm in Watertown around 1:00 golf ball size hail. I was talking with folks and could not be rude and get up to go to the window to see. Ask me exactly how much restraint that took ๐
OS as we headed west on Rt 2 at the Belmont Hill, I looked back and Boston was awfully dark. I can’t believe you didn’t get anything. So odd how it skipped.
Thunder in distance in Framingham
golf ball size was reported by employees. They actually said baseball and I think I would have seen some sign of it when we left so I made it smaller. Could have been pea size for all I know.
Happy you made it AOK. I hope all was well.
Yup storm missed me COMPLETELY, other than hearing thunder, some
of which was dramatic.
Still NOT a drop of rain here. ๐
We had a great time and the storm was quick so we just waited it out while Mac visited with more folks and then headed home. Thanks for all of your help in timing. It was perfect.
This will be a misunderstood forecast by some that think everybody is going to get storms. Yes, it’s very unstable, but think of the atmosphere is a pot of slow-heating water. Those bubbles do not cover the entirety of the pan. Some places will get missed.
I know one place and I’m not unhappy about it. ๐
And of course we understand what you said.
One thing is for certain, my house will get zero rain from this.
๐
You should rent your property for outdoor parties. Storms always miss you. Everyone will be comfortable knowing they won’t get rained on. ๐
That severe t-storm that’s been moving through Norfolk County just grazed me, most of it went to my northeast, but we got a good downpour and briefly some pea-sized hail, I’d estimate the hail only lasted 10-15 seconds.
The one that was running down 496? That sure looked juicy.
495
Yep, that one. Looks like the Franklin area got some good sized hail out of it.
Working in the wrentham/plainville, we can hear a storm a little ways off but other than a few sprinkles not much happening to this point, a couple more clients and we r done for the day ๐
Storms seem to be dying out upstream.
Boston “may” just have seen the last of it?
We shall see.
Still active to the SOuth of the City.
Juicy one aroun Plymouth and also Sitcuate.
coastal, u should be getting into the activity right about now
Super localized
Wind picking up here and quite gray but suspect cell headed this way is fizzling
Charlie, i thought for sure that cell coming down 495 would have gotten you
Me too but it missed north and east
Parts of Plymouth are getting hammered!!!
SE MA and Cape Cod – again, 2 days in a row. But of course, not everyone!
A narrow but strong line just went thru Hampton Beach NH to Newburyport MA.
Matt Noyes posted some pics of people playing outside with a very dark sky and CG lightning approaching and people seeking shelter under trees from rain, with CGs in the area.
My phone is going nuts with alarm texts for my area.
cancel it
Patriots Pregame!!
Not that big of a deal , few more weeks .
It’s the pats – just having the pre-season start is a big deal. And I like they are playing redskins. Also this way we get to see those who don’t normally play
HTTR!!!!
Speak for yourself, I love seeing a lot of the youngsters and our future players ๐
?
I will say, a 3.5hr pre-game show for a pre-season game is a little rediculous. You’d think they were already in the super bowl or something
What station is doing that ?
The sportshub, they’ve been doing it for many many years now ๐
It’s the Patriots am ๐
Looks more threatening here now than it did any part of the day. ๐
Perhaps a brief shower about to come through.
A couple of sprinkles is all. BUT now I can’t say not a drop of rain. Bummer!
Great shot from the top of Sea Ketch at Hampton Beach a short while ago as a storm was moving in there.
https://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xap1/t1.0-9/10557320_10152619907373748_4499985622602436605_n.jpg
WOW
What a photo!
I have to repeat what Vicki said – Wow!
It also is beautiful – with the seagull and the buildings and people and the dark sky – that photo could win an award!
That is an incredible photo. Thanks
I had breakfast in that very spot last Friday morning. I love that place. ๐
Waterspout reported on RI Sound from small plane.
Awesome. Were they smart enough to snap a photo?
Here’s a small plane and video. Was it really today?
I do not know.
http://www.wkyc.com/video/1787528673001/53402861001/Rhode-Island-Cell-phone-video-captures-waterspout
hmm that tv station is in Cleveland, yet caption
says it was in Ri on Narragensett Bay. SOmething’s not
right. Nice video regardless. ๐
Not from today. Earlier this Summer.
US National Weather Service Boston MA
1 hr ยท
Airplane pilot reports waterspout NW of Martha’s Vineyard in Rhode Island Sound at 5:48pm
We finally had a thunderstorm!!!!!!! First since January. I wasn’t here to enjoy it but the grass received .11″!!!!!
Yay. I bet the grass is smiling from blade to blade. ๐
Ok. Done taking photos and video of great clouds and weather today. I’m working on a new blog.
Redskins are gonna win this game, not that it matters. ๐
Never say never but if they do it is a good time for the team to learn
That’s all there doing, nobody is playing lol, tonight was more about the bubble guys, even more than I anticipated. Still it’s football, go patriots!!
Pats look awful. Yeah, I know that it is pre-season; yeah I know Brady and other key players are not in; blah, blah, blah, but I am talking about AWFUL!
It’s only preseason. But they did not look good against skins #1 defense. Even though both teams are sitting a lot of players.
Hadi, I am talking about AWWWWWFULLLLLLL!
Luckily you didn’t see the Patriots #1 offense lol ๐ I’m happy football is back
๐ ๐
Mallet looks terrible so far and to think they were trying to trade him for A Johnson.
The word “terrible” is waaaaaayyyy to kind.
Watch Ryan Grant as season goes on. Very good wr that wad a steal in the draft IMO.
Garapolo has so much better composure with a bunch of 3rd stringers
Gunslinger ๐
Sure does.
29 gets walking papers tomorrow. And theses announcers are so busy chatting they don’t even know what’s going on
Terrible announcers. Screwing up half the stuff.
Blog is updated!