4:36PM
So it’s September. The first month of Meteorological Autumn. Those first really crisp days and chilly nights are here, right? Wrong! It’s still Summer, and the pattern reflects this. Despite the fact that a cold front slid into the region late Sunday, it’s not doing a whole lot of cool/dry air delivery, and in fact it’s really just washing out as upper level high pressure remains dominant, and will do so through most of this week. A southwesterly surface flow will allow heat and humidity to gain full control Tuesday, but another cold front will try to cut into this with a shower and thunderstorm risk in the afternoon and evening. Slightly drier air will arrive Wednesday, which will still be a warm day, as will Thursday. And as we head toward the end of the week, it still remain warm to very warm, with humidity returning again Friday into Saturday. A stronger cold front may move through later in the weekend with showers and thunderstorms. Timing of this is uncertain this far in advance, but for now I’m going to lean toward a slower timing with impact more Sunday versus Saturday.
FORECAST FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND…
THROUGH SUNSET: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and brief thunderstorms RI and southeastern MA. Humid. Temperature falling through the 70s South Coast, 80s to upper 70s elsewhere. Wind light W but gusty and variable around any showers/storms.
OVERNIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog mainly inland valleys. Humid. Lows 60-69. Wind SW under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy and hazy. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms midday through evening. Humid. Highs upper 70s South Coast through Cape Cod, 80s elsewhere with a few locations possibly reaching 90. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms diminishing. Muggy. Lows in the 60s. Wind light SW to W.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Less humid. Highs in the 80s, some 70s Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 63. High 84.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 67. High 88.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Low 68. High 89.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Low 68. High 82.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 66. High 80.
Thanks tk. What a bummer when the blog goes down. Been a couple muggy days here for sure. Feel bad for my son tomorrow as he will be entering a hot School on his first day . Light rain here for the last hour or so.
Yayyyyyyyyy
Trying again because I am have no restraint. Thank you TK
Thanks, TK. I think I am first.
Missed the blog! Glad it’s back up. Quite a night last night – summer is here for awhile.
I wasn’t first but I don’t care – the blog is back up. 🙂
HI ALL!!
IMPORTANT NOTE! Some comments from previously approved people are going into moderation and I am not sure why, so for now I am re-approving them when I see them. But I may not be able to view them for a couple hours this evening so don’t be put off if you post and it doesn’t show up right away. I’ll get to them as soon as possible. 🙂
If this continues I’ll have someone look into it later this evening!
Ok ill test me again
The blog lives after all. Thanks TK.
I presume there were Word Press issues?
Here was the latest SPC Signifcant tornado ingredients from last evening:
http://i.imgur.com/i9gToOx.gif
Interesting that this chart seems to be spot on when it comes to New England
tornadoes.
I was watching the radar when the tornado hit Worcester last evening.
Rotation was showing, but it didn’t look all that bad. Not close to what
the Revere tornado showed, yet it occurred.
Not totally surprised given SPC placed area in 2% chance and given the helicity
values.
Crazy weather.
SO word press picks on Me??? Give me a break!)(@#*!()@#(!)@#&*!(@#
I re-entered my credentials. Will it go now?
Ok.
Everything is going into moderation because the “spam check” is not functioning properly. I have no idea how to fix this, so I’m handing the blog over to someone who does. He’s going to work on it while I go on a walk/hike on the other side of town.
I should be back by 8PM. I am hoping it starts working by itself soon, but in case it doesn’t, be patient and things will be fixed as soon as possible! 🙂
Vicki I believe your area was in a tornado warning last night correct? I was going to warn you but blog was down . Worcester got it though.
From yesterday … The Trivia Quiz answers.
1st AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.
In 1935, the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the United States, hit which area?
A. Florida Keys
B. Charlestown
C. Gulfport
D. Galveston
The answer is A.
2nd AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.
Labor Day was first celebrated in what city?
A. Boston
B. Chicago
C. San Francisco
D. New York City
The answer is D.
3rd AccuWeather Trivia Quiz
In 1935 the most intense hurricane to ever make landfall in the western hemisphere, hit the United States was called …
A. Andrew
B. Camille
C. Kerry
D. No Name
The answer is D.
Thanks longshot. I was confident in the no name and keys but guessed at Labor Day and have no idea what I finally guessed
We have a TD
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Iceland Volcano Lava Flow
http://www.ruv.is/frett/close-up-view-of-fresh-icelandic-lava
Old salty I have to say that I truly felt the pain not having you to guide me through last night. Hadi tried very hard to keep me off the ceiling.
I was watching radar and didnt see anything immediate. I watched the cell to our west from the window for a bit then went back to TV. But even with TV on when I heard thunder knew it was off. So back to the window and then checked radar and saw that we were in very southern part of tornado warning. I was ok till I came here and realized blog was down. I love TK. I love Hadi. But OS I missed you and your posts.
We did make it easier for mac to get to the small center of house bath. And I stood by door hoping to hear if it were a rain wrapped. Hadi comforted me by repeating what I knew that cell was just north of us. But there was a small cell at the end heading here. Fortunately it fell apart too.
Missed any action last night. Went with my wife and daughter to the Coolidge Corner theater to see “Boyhood”. A really good movie and innovative too.
Good to hear from you Keith .
It’s been a very busy month here in Hingham 🙂 Hopefully things will settle down a little for coming months. Spent most of the day today in around the pool. Despite less sun as the summer has gone on and the very high trees around my property the water temp is still in the low 70s! Might head out there later again. The first year we were here (back in 07) the trees were a lot lower and we had more sun and the kids (not me) were still swimming around October 1st.
My pool is the same Keith with lots of tall trees and it never gets super warm. Thinking about closing it real soon as my son starts school tomorrow and I don’t think we will be using it all that much. Won’t you get eating alive going out there later as here it’s bad .
The skeeters will probably be bad tonight with the lack of a breeze. Some nights it’s worse than others. We have wetlands righ behind us too. This year hasn’t been too bad so far. Next year I might grab the mosquito magnet up at my mother-in-laws.
Coolidge corner….what a memory. Very fun Keith
My wife loves Brookline…I like it too and I love how Harvard Ave in Allston has come alive since I lived in that area in the mid 70s. Back then it had a lot of bars but almost nothing in the way of decent food. Now it’s incredible.
We went to Coolidge corner when first dating. And I went many times before that. Son lived a stones throw until it was too expansive with a wife and baby.
We like Washington square also.
Vivki,
Thanks for kind words. I was on the phone with my hysterical daughter
who lives in Hopkinton, which of course was under the warning. She
was in the basement.
I tried to tell her that the rotation had weakened and that the storm
was safely to her North. I told her that the storm was traveling
roughly down 290 from Worcester to Marlborough. The most intense
rotation was in Worcester.
This was all complicated by Barry coming on the TV visibly upset and nervous, so much, it could be easily discerned in his voice. Never ever heard him sounding like that. If I didn’t know what was going on, he would have
scarred the CRAP out of me. And believe me, that would be a load of crap! 😀
Which brings up the question of the extent of the warning.
The path was obvious, and even giving it a chance to change
direction, there were WAY TOO MANY communities in the
warning. No need to alarm that many people for NOTHING.
Sure warn those in the path, not those 15-20 miles South of the path. Should the track change, then of course EXPAND the warning area.
The NWS really needs to take a closer look at this stuff.
Just my thoughts, but who the bleep is going to listen to me.
OS. Hadi will tell you as much as he tried to talk me down I kept saying “but Barry is saying…..” Chris on 7 was not alarming but he is new so I switched to Barry who I trust. I don’t understand that except I’m afraid the network has a hand in it. And next time can we do a conference call with you, your daughter and me 🙂
I just read mac your comment. He was the one initially watching Barry while I sat in the window. He was also the one who Uncharacteristically suggested we move to bathroom, went and found a flashlight, etc. He just said it was due to Barry….and I know it sounds silly but even I have never been able to trump macs calmness with my nerves.
I just think that Barry had Revere fresh on his mind and he didn’t want anyone unprepared. It’s really a fine line.
Even if the rotation calms down, it could pick up again at any moment. It’s tough.
The revere storm had rotation Sw of Boston and the rotation quit over the city and suddenly picked up again as the tornado dropped down in Chelsea and moved into Revere.
My real problem is with the extent of the warning. Why someone in Hopkinton and Ashland needed to be in the warning is beyond me. Framingham as well.
Sudbury and Hudson get dicier as they
were potentially in the path.
Again, If I didn’t know what was happening, Barry really would have frightened me to death.
OS I think maybe you are right. But when I looked at the warning box on radar I didn’t think it dropped below the very northern part of framingham so am surprised hopkinton was told it was in area. I am literally on the Marlboro Sudbury line so knew it was probably not here…..except for the trailing cell which, as I said, poofed but Barry mentioned enough to worry me. I think my worry was that getting to a safe area was hard for me alone with Mac. Either way….I’d rather more warning than no warning and love Barry so whatever his reason I understand
Yes,
My only concern too was that “trailing” cell. If one rotated, then another could. Perhaps that’s why they placed the other towns in the warning? If that’s the reason, then the other towns should have been placed in a Severe Thunderstorm warning, until/unless rotation in that cell was detected and then and ONLY then issue the new tornado warning. Just more rumblings from a crazed lunatic. 😀
TK. Kudos to you and your amazing team for getting the blog back up and running
Ditto. 😀
Pete said 48 yrs ago yesterday was last tornado to hit Worcester
Yay !
Thanks for the update TK !
Back to work tomorrow. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 …… It’ll be a million degrees in the building.
Good luck Tom .
Maybe the school that you now reside in will be the next one built than you can enjoy air conditioned class rooms.
Hope everyone had a wonderful Labor Day weekend!
Best wishes for a great school year teachers, students and parents 🙂
More July like than September like this week.
Happy the blog is back up and running and I hope everyone had a nice Labor Day.
Hi JJ. Missed you last night also. Wish all of you guys were on FB. Can’t say enough that I was very happy Hadi was there :). Turned out to be a perfect day for last of tournament !!
I’m going to post this again:
Here was the latest SPC Signifcant tornado ingredients from last evening:
http://i.imgur.com/i9gToOx.gif
Not for nothing, but this chart has been spot on for our tornadoes!!!
18Z NAM for tomorrow:
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=nam&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=nam&stn2=CAPE&hh2=024&fixhh=1&hh=027
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=18&stn=LI&hh=027&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=18&mod2=nam&hh2=027&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
GFS
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=18&stn=CAPE&hh=030&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=18&mod2=gfs&hh2=030&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=gfs&stn=LI&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=gfs&stn2=LI&hh2=027&fixhh=1&hh=030
CMC
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=gemreg&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&stn2=CAPE&hh2=030&fixhh=1&hh=027
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=18&stn=LI&hh=027&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&hh2=027&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
SPC in addition indicated a an area where 2% chance of tornado and where the EF0 tornado happened was where the SPC had a 2% chance for a tornado.
Agreed and guess which chart contributed to that? 😀
Also these:
Here’s the Helicity
http://i.imgur.com/UVJ7obq.gif
And tornado parameter
http://i.imgur.com/Y5IQTB8.gif
Sorry here is the HELICITY from last evening:
http://i.imgur.com/jcIr0D3.gif
You see helicity values in that 100 – 150 range or higher is when you have to be on the lookout for any storms that could rotate and potentially produce a tornado.
Yup,
That is why I really take a look at those parameters for T-storms:
Helicity
SIgnificant tornado ingredients
Significant tornado parameter
Energy Helicity Index
In addition need Cape and LI and something to provide the lift to get the
storms going.
ALWAYS ON THE LOOKOUT for this, EVEN IF NOT in a risk area.
I remember one time, I think in the early 90s, the SPC and NWS missed
an EF3 that touched down in Great Barrington. No watches, no warnings
no if ands or butts. NOTHING. Yet it happened.
My daughter was at a horse show in that area ….I can’t remember exact year but it was the first one we agreed to let her go with just trainer and not us
Was she affected by the storm? If so, you must been out of your mind.
Her trainer who in hindsight was a kid at heart had the foresight to have daughter and her friend who also went call us to say they were ok. But yes we were beside ourselves
Here you go: 1995
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1995_Great_Barrington_tornado
I’m thinking 1994…1996 maybe 1993 but I think that is early
In this regard, I give you the 18Z GFS Energy Helicty Index for
tomorrow. I give the full view and point out the index values of
3 and 4 to our SW.
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=gfs&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=gfs&stn2=EHI&hh2=027&fixhh=1&hh=030
If conditions were to shift some tomorrow, it could through
that area up here. This is exactly the kind of situation I look out
for.
I don’t think this happens, but I watch to be sure. 😀
OS. 1995. And I found this. 152 tornadoes in this area since 1950. Wow. And JJ it discusses the one touching down in Suffield.
http://www.masslive.com/news/index.ssf/2011/06/through_history_massachusetts.html
😀 nice
Vicki that tornado was an F4 that hit Suffield in October 1979. The week after that F4 tornado hit there was measurable snow.
Amazing. I think it was my fault. I broke an engagement to a guy who lived in Suffield and mac and I were married end of 1978….it was amicable breakup or so I thought…… ;). I have to check date. It wasn’t around oct 1 was it 🙁
The tornado happened on October 3, 1979.
Well. I’ll have nightmares. I’m not looking to see if it was Saturday. And there was snow then??? I can’t believe I don’t remember either.
Where are our records are kept for inland CT Bradley Airport in Windsor Locks recorded 1.7 inches of snow the week
after that tornado struck. That was the biggest October snowfall until the 12.3 inches that happened in October 2011.
I am remiss in saying north and mrs north also messaged me on FB last night. We do have an amazing family here 😀
🙂
We all watch out for one another.
Yes, we do!! Even the Mrs Us watch out for one another!!
Thanks tk 🙂
Thanks tk 🙂 🙂
Hi all and thank you for the compliments!
I believe all is well with the blog now. I’m still poking about a slightly different setup for admin so if I break something by accident I’ll try to fix it right away. 😉
If anybody sees anything odd just let me know. We now have a site that’s more secure that it’s ever been. Eventually some physical changes will be coming. You may notice a few minor tweaks and not long from now a slightly altered set-up will be in place.
I promise you it will not make you run and hide. 😀
Reminder: If your post doesn’t show up or tells you that it is waiting for moderation, be patient. The blog may still be flagging a few things it shouldn’t be.
So had our first parade, Worst Parade ever!!! 3 members fainted, 1 had to go to the hospital all are good now. It was sunny, 90 degrees and humid, I already drink alot of water. durring the parade i had a water bottle. when i got on the bus i had 3 things of water lol. Then parents surprised me and we went to the beach and had dinner at the beach 🙂 at salisbury…. tomorrow last day of summer break for me. classes start wednesday. This year im taking. Music appriciation, US history 2 , statistics and my science class is atmospheric science/met
Sounds like lots of dehydration on a very warm day in a year nobody got used to heat because we had so little.
Good luck with classes!
It is interesting that we have had two destructive tornadoes this summer in SNE (Revere and Worcester) in spite of not too many really hot days. In most years in which we have had a handful of persistent HHH temps, no tornadoes ever materialized with the exception of 2011.
We still have 2+ weeks to go until Astronomical fall (September 23)…hopefully no more tornadoes.
The Worcester one was not really that destructive at EF-0. And as far as New England goes we sit at the normal for the amount of tornadoes in a season. Many of the active years have been without much heat. 1986’s severe weather season which included several tornadoes was a cooler than normal, NW flow kind of Summer.
I was thinking about that, TK. An EF-0 has up to 85 mph winds. We get all upset with a hurricane with those winds and breath a sigh when a tornado is “only” 85. Please understand I am not saying you did this as I know every weather event is taken seriously by you. I know that a tornado is far more short-lived; but at the spot where it hits, it is still 85 mph.
Also, really interesting about the cooler temps in 1986 and other times when we have had tornadoes. If we have had 152 tornadoes since 1950, I’d say we are below average.
Hi Everyone,
Happy September! I was reading everyone’s thoughts about Sunday’s tornado and Barry’s coverage. Having not seen it (I was sick and couldn’t be in front of the TV, though my phone kept making the WCVB breaking news alerts), I wonder if his nervousness had to do with the fact that the storm went down at night? I’ve heard that tornadic activity can be worse at night because people can’t see the storm and the sky as they can if it happened during the day? At least if you can see it, you can *try* to get further away, right? So maybe that’s why he was so upset? Plus, didn’t the NWS warning occur 4 minutes AFTER the storm hit? In any event, I am so glad that no one was injured or worse, and that the only damage was to property and trees.
Hi flowergirl. Interesting about the time the warning came out and the tornado hit. I wonder if anyone has times. We did for Revere because we were all on here. And we saw that some here saw the rotation before NWS.
Barry, as I said, made me nervous but I would far rather have him make me nervous that be calm and make me complacent.
Hi Vicki!
I am pretty sure it was just after 8pm.
Going to be a hot one today .
Dolly is a tropical storm.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
It’s 72 right now in the city .
Thanks tk 🙂 🙂 🙂
You should be all set.
For some reason my new automatic spam blocker thought you were spam (not kidding). 🙂
For sure an ac type of day.
Its not going to feel September like at all today.
One daughter went apple picking yesterday and said it sure didnt feel like apple picking weather. No sympathy from me as she is the child complaining that summer wasn’t not enough 😉
My YUCKOMETER is about to break or be broken!!! All I can say about today
is YUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Mrs. OS got very sick yesterday and I’m afraid about today. Not even going to work.
Staying put today.
I HATE this weather.
My Storm ears are up.
Models, as per usual, vary for today.
But generally speaking, CAPE and LI is elevated for today.
Look at the CMC for 2PM today.
CMC-RDPS a.k.a. GEM-REG / Quebec (mesh: 10 km interpolated to 15 km) Fr En
See that EHI Bulls Eye in the Boston area:
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gemreg&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&stn2=EHI&hh2=015&fixhh=1&hh=012
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gemreg&stn=LI&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&stn2=LI&hh2=009&fixhh=1&hh=012
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=CAPE&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
The SPC SREF parameters are NOT indicating any tornado activity on the latest
run, but will continue to monitor subsequent runs.
Something is UP.
Will post NAM and GFS shortly. 😀
Just a thought, but I’m wondering if low level convergence in that bulls eye
might be due to a seabreeze front, bringing in E, ESE or SE wind at the surface
with SW above the surface producing the shear?
Interesting. The revere tornado was caused by ESE wind at the surface
with SW wind above. Just something to watch.
NAM
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=LI&hh=009&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=009&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=CAPE&hh=009&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=009&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=009&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=009&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=nam&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=nam&stn2=EHI&hh2=009&fixhh=1&hh=012
GFS
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gfs&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gfs&stn2=CAPE&hh2=012&fixhh=1&hh=015
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=06&stn=CAPE&hh=018&map=qc&stn2=EHI&run2=06&mod2=gfs&hh2=018&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gfs&stn=LI&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gfs&stn2=LI&hh2=015&fixhh=1&hh=018
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gfs&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gfs&stn2=EHI&hh2=021&fixhh=1&hh=018
With this front coming through its still going to be warmer than normal for the time of year for the rest of the week.
GFS going aggressive with EHI west and southwest of SNE with latest run.
The problem is the lifting mechanism.
Main lift does not arrive until like 03Z to 06Z, well after diurnal heating
is lost. I think we escape anything severe. IF the lift arrived this PM,
well it could have gotten pretty interesting.
Still could be pop-up air mass storms this PM. We’ll need to watch just
in case, but overall, I “think” we’ll be OK. Perhaps a few down pours
this PM and again over night.
We shall see and as always will continue to watch for surprises.
Light snow blankets Wind River Lake, Wyoming, along U.S. 26/287 on August 31, 2014. (State of Wyoming/wyoroad.info)
http://s.imwx.com/dru/2014/09/b4955a9b-cab9-46bd-aeb3-a29fb8677227_650x366.jpg
Thanks, OS for the picture. Very refreshing to look at on a day like this! 🙂
And I hope Mrs. OS feels better soon.
Thanks Rainshine.
Have a great day.
Love the picture OS. And sorry to hear about mrs OS. Hope today is better for her.
Summer, 2014
https://fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/10363562_842115405808011_7872859183935583408_n.png?oh=6ebda0eeb8b4ec85d468e4ba1b96219a&oe=5476D579&__gda__=1416315923_7e1096e02c46a0e730a12e4ba7224188
More than interesting. Great image OS
Just hit 80 here already. Abundant sunshine. How high will it go?
This weekend was an absolute yuckfest with the himidity. You’re too late summer, go away, lol
I’m with you Ace!! My mind was already moving into pumpkins, mums, and hoodies.
YUCKFEST, indeed!!!
Current Boston Dew Point = 72 !()@#*()!@)#&!*(@#!*@&#(&!*@#&*&*!@#
I love the pattern this week. 🙂
blasphemy
I’m with you tk.
I love it as well!
blasphemy
I did 10 minutes of painting outside yesterday and then had to sit and drink
a gallon of water to replace the fluids I sweated out. YUCK YUCK and more YUCK!!!!
I’m with u OS, i mowed my lawn then my moms and i was borderline heat exhaustion. First time that’s happened to me in a very long time
Convection building in Eastern NY state:
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=ENX
And these echos are NOT moving slowly. They are moving right along. 😀
From NWS:
THE MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON…BUT DISAGREE ON AREAL EXTENT AND LOCATIONS. THAT CAN BE EXPECTED IN A TROPICAL AIRMASS WITH LACK OF ORGANIZED FORCING.
GIVEN THE HIGH PWATS…EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL TO BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR. MOVEMENT WILL ALSO BE SLOW…BUT COVERAGE IS LIKELY TO BE SCT AT BEST.
Interesting from Matt Noyes. He says some storms today likely to be severe in
the 2Pm to 6PM timeframe:
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2014/09/first-day-of-school-for-many-tuesday-afternoon-thunderstorms-will-impact-new-england-new-york-some-l.html
Interesting from Matt Noyes. He indicated possible severe storms today in the time frame of 2Pm to 6PM:
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2014/09/first-day-of-school-for-many-tuesday-afternoon-thunderstorms-will-impact-new-england-new-york-some-l.html
Ok this BLOG is acting up again. NOT taking my posts.
Check this out:
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2014/09/first-day-of-school-for-many-tuesday-afternoon-thunderstorms-will-impact-new-england-new-york-some-l.html
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2014/09/first-day-of-school-for-many-tuesday-afternoon-thunderstorms-will-impact-new-england-new-york-some-l.html
TEST POST
I’ve been trying to post this for 10 minutes. Word Press Blows!!!
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2014/09/first-day-of-school-for-many-tuesday-afternoon-thunderstorms-will-impact-new-england-new-york-some-l.html
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2014/09/first-day-of-school-for-many-tuesday-afternoon-thunderstorms-will-impact-new-england-new-york-some-l.html
😀
Ok I GIVE UP!!!
I’ve been tryong to post a link to Matt Noye’s page where he talks about
the possibility of SEVERE storms today between 2 and 6 PM.
Sorry, but it looks like Word Press takes the link as SPAM and does NOT
post it.
Try this different link:
http://mnoy.es/1ut4NaK
Temperature just hit 84 here.
Wow! The couple warmer days last week and over the weekend, it took well into the afternoon to reach the mid to upper 80s. Today might be warmer than originally thought.
That’s what I’m worried about.
Nope. This was advertised and it’s not just today.
John,
90 was advertised. Ace & I were thinking it may surpass that, which was not advertised. 😀
oldsalty respectfully it was yesterday on ch5. but it does not matter its hot.
12Z NAM
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=nam&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=nam&stn2=CAPE&hh2=003&fixhh=1&hh=006
LI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=12&stn=LI&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=12&mod2=nam&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=12&stn=EHI&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=12&mod2=nam&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
Poor Tom must be sweltering in his classroom!
84.8 with 72 dp here – not great for teachers and kids in school.
Indoor recess! 😀
My kids are probably melting in school right now. Keep waiting to get a call from the school nurse.
http://img3.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20130815010411/tmnt/images/2/2f/I'm_melting.jpg
lmao
86.4 and still climbing
TK, i like the new little message at the top right of the blog now.
“Your no-hype southeastern New England weather blog!”
Tagline 😉
OS… I may be able to adjust that spam thing. Still have to poke at it but will do so when I am at my laptop. 🙂
Matt Noyes: Broadcast Meteorologist
Daily Forecast Video: Severe thunderstorms likely for some of Central/Southern New England, NY, today
http://mnoy.es/1qXBJow
LOL THEY ALL POSTED when I “un-spammed” them. 😉
That is truly funny!!!
Bad omen I hope not.
Ok. Away from blog until 2:30. I’ll be back. 🙂
HRRR calling for nearly an inch of rain this PM
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2014090213/full/totp_sfc_f11.png
Sea Breeze just kicked in at Logan.
12z CMC just out. Still shows EHI values up for Eastern MA.
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemreg&stn=EHI&hh=006&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&stn2=EHI&hh2=006&fixhh=1
Wating for Quebec zoomed in version.
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=gemreg&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&stn2=EHI&hh2=009&fixhh=1&hh=006
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=gemreg&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&stn2=EHI&hh2=006&fixhh=1&hh=009
WORD PRESS IS AT IT AGAIN!()@#*(!@*#)!*@#()*!(@#*!
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=gemreg&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&stn2=EHI&hh2=009&fixhh=1&hh=006
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=gemreg&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&stn2=EHI&hh2=006&fixhh=1&hh=009
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=12&stn=CAPE&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=gemreg&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&stn2=CAPE&hh2=006&fixhh=1&hh=009
Just checked the WUN local map with the weather station feature checked and right up the street from house at Conservatory Park in Hingham the reading is 96 with a light SE wind. Not sure how accurate that is but even still…it’s hot out there.
That is Wacked. There must be some kid with a magnifying glass on the sensor. 😀
Could be….maybe the same kid that’s at the Weymouth site about 3 miles to my SW. It was showing 97 at the same time!! 🙂 Right now Hingham is showing 94 and Weymouth 95.
I still think they are wacked.
Actually quite a few stations in south of the city in Norfolk and Plymouth County are reporting 90-95 right now. Boston at 2pm with a SW wind is at 92. Not sure they are wacked 🙂
There’s some action out in central and western MA
88.9 here. YUUUUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCKKKKKKKKKK!!!
FUEL for the storm abounds.
Sea breeze along the coast.
Hmmm
About 125.7F in the hallways of the school. 🙂
Gross with a capital GROSS!!
Our individual rooms do have 1 window unit, which keeps it to a manageable 80F or so on a day this hot.
When you walk into the room from the hallway, it feels cool for about 10 minutes, then …………
Wait til all the students report tomorrow.
Just the way it is, hot in a good part of September and some parts of June, fine the rest of the year.
Good luck. Are you allowed to take your short off? 😆 😆
The thunderstorms on radar sure look healthy.
Off to another meeting. 🙂
Once again the red blob headed on track for Woburn…never fails 🙂
Hit 90 here a few minutes ago, has slipped back to 89.4 now.
I wonder if Sea Breeze has made it this far? Will check.
WOA!!!!!
2 PM at Logan:
Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
(KBOS) 42.38N 71.03W
Mostly Cloudy
92.0 °F
Last Updated: Sep 2 2014, 1:54 pm EDT
Tue, 02 Sep 2014 13:54:00 -0400
Weather: Mostly Cloudy
Temperature: 92.0 °F (33.3 °C)
Dewpoint: 69.1 °F (20.6 °C)
Relative Humidity: 47 %
Heat Index: 97 F (36 C)
Wind: from the Southwest at 15.0 gusting to 21.9 MPH (13 gusting to 19 KT)
Visibility: 10.00 miles
MSL Pressure: 1009.5 mb
Altimeter: 29.81 in Hg
Sea Breeze LONG GONE now.
They are wacked 😉
On the strong echo that just passed over Quabbin, I thought I detected a wee bit
of ROTATION. It’s gone now, but I saw something. Needs to be watched just in case.
I have 2 dopplar displays running, 1 in normal mode and one in storm relative
mean radial velocity mode.
New cell popping just West of Rt 128 along MA pike, Natick/Wayland area.
Also one over Worcester.
Just returned from wellesley through wayland/natick. Some quick hail. I was through before anything developed. Some towering cumulus out this way
Hail? WOW! That wasn’t expected. Cool.
A VERY small amount. At first I thought someone was knocking on the side of my car. I was stopped at a light
Now Over Wellesley just about to hit 128. This one is REALLY
blowing up big time!!!
It sure looked as if it had the potential to do so. I was tempted to stop to take a pic of the huge clouds but wasn’t sure what was happening here so just wanted to get home. As it turns out, sun was out when I arrived home
Wind picking up here big time with darker clouds to north
What are the chances of storms hitting the Plymouth area? My son has football practice tonight and I am sure he wouldn’t mind if it got cancelled since it is so damn hot and humid out.
Hard to say. They’re popping up like crazy. It sure is possible, but not guaranteed.
We have some ROTATION on the storm east of Quabbin.
Relatively weak at this point, but unless I am mistaken, it is there.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
230 PM UPDATE…
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING IN A REGION WITH HIGH K INDEX VALUES. THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING ALONG A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH THAT IS PASSING THROUGH ALB REGION CURRENTLY PER MSAS OBS. SURFACE CAPE VALUES ARE UP TO 3000 J/KG SHOWING ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SHEAR VALUES ARE VERY WEAK BUT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S CANNOT RULE OUT A POSSIBLE SPIN UP AS THERE COULD BE MESOSCALE SHEAR. THERE IS SOME ROTATION WITH A FEW OF THESE STORMS. BIGGEST CONCERN IS THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AS PWAT VALUES ARE WELL ABOVE 2 INCHES. SMALL HAIL COULD BE POSSIBLE BUT WITH THE HIGH SURFACE TEMPS…THE HAIL WILL MELT AS IT FALLS TO THE SURFACE. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WET MICROBURST AS WELL.
Thanks Shot. Nice to know I was NOT seeing things.
Thunderstorms feeding off those high dew points.
Better Roatation on storm around 190 and Wachusett Resevoir.
I wouldn’t be surprised if this one is warned. It’s close.
Well it is now warned, but as severe thunderstorm:
http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=box&wwa=severe%20thunderstorm%20warning
I got a tstorm warning alert for middlesex cty. Assume it is north of here
Well North. See above.
Of course it may be a false alarm too
The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for… east central Worcester County in central Massachusetts… central Middlesex County in northeastern Massachusetts…
* until 330 PM EDT
* at 254 PM EDT…Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail and damaging winds up to 60 mph. This storm was located over Lancaster…or 7 miles southeast of Leominster…and was moving northeast at 25 mph.
* Some locations impacted include… Westford…Acton…Hudson…Concord…Holden…Northborough… Clinton…Groton…Maynard…Littleton…Lancaster…Sterling… West Boylston…Ayer…Shirley…Stow…Harvard…Boxborough… Bolton and Carlisle.
Precautionary/preparedness actions…
While not immediately likely…these storms may produce a short lived tornado. Move to a safe place now in a sturdy structure…such as a basement or small interior room.
Minor flooding can be expected from torrential rainfall. Do not drive through flooded roads.
With the atmosphere loaded with so much moisture at the very least these storms are producing some heavy rainfall.
A new warning mentioned here although I don’t see us in the box. I think it is associated with the cell over shrewsbury. But most seem to be traveling NW
Yes, this one:
http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=box&wwa=severe%20thunderstorm%20warning
Vicki,
Actually, you could get clipped by the Southern end
of this one. Keep watching.
Am in the window. Daughter picking up son at school and there is a lot of rumbling going on out there. Tx OS
That’s a real juicy one. Still getting stronger. Still a tad West of 495 and South
of 190, moving ENE. Will be close for your
area, but I “think” you just get missed as it
passes just to your North.
Keep watching just in case or in case
it back builds or some other funky thing.
Suddenly weakened as it looks to merge with storm to the north. 😀
…THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL WORCESTER AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTIES IS CANCELED…
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS…AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
Although we are in the new watch box, the cell is moving north of here
Storms starting to cluster now in the usual places, Worcester on north into southern NH. Not much south, so far anyways
US National Weather Service Boston MA
Boston’s Logan Airport reached 93 degrees at 1:57 PM today. This is the warmest temperature in Boston this summer.
Amazing.
Wow, crazy! I just had my first pumpkin iced coffee today, ironic that its the hottest day of the summer. Somehow i didn’t enjoy it as much, lol
Right on queue 🙂
Thunder with light rain in Sudbury right now.
Watching the clouds, they seem to be expanding to the south. But it isn’t showing that on radar so that is good since elementary is literally being dismissed at this moment here and I am sure in many other towns in the area
Non-weather related, but any advice on dogs? We have an opportunity to get a purebred english choc lab pup. I grew up with a cocker spaniel but never had him as a puppy and my parents did all the care stuff, i just had all the fun, lol.
we had a German Short Haired Pointer for 16 years. He was my wife’s dog and a very special animal. Choc Labs make great pets, but they eat a lot and well, do a lot of other stuff associated with eating. 😀
LOL, i gotcha OS 😉
We have a smallish house but good sized yard that is partially fenced in, all it needs is about 20 feet on one side to finish the job. The wife is very apprehensive about it since we have her parent’s cat for the month and have no idea how the cat will do with a dog.
We had friends with a choc lab. A lot of time went into his training (I’m not good at that) and he was amazing and a love – with adults and children. I have always loved labs.
Yes ive heard the training can be difficult and time consuming, but i think we’re up for the challenge, especially before the kids come, lol
TK how do you think Woburn fares in the next few hours before I get home from work in terms of rain?
We’ll have to basically now-cast it. They are pulse storms. Someone can get 1 to 2 inches of rain in 15 min while someone else gets nothing.
OK thanks. Debating if I should go home to monitor my water issues.
OS…
WordPress is flagging those messages because of the size of the links and what is in them. I know they are good, but the spam program doesn’t, and this new version doesn’t let me change it from here, so I’ll have to have my techie do it. I think he can change something regarding that. I’ll get back to you on it.
Many thanks for the update. I was thinking Word Press has issues with me. 😀
Well you just have Word Press get in touch with me and I’ll give them what for…..no issues allowed with Old Salty !!!
😀
Weird storm behavior.
Now that previously warned storm is growing an appendage SOUTHWARD.
Vicki, if not already, you are about to get wet!
Lightning map
http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page_0=30
Now a SOuthern Cell is merging with it. Here come da rain!
Wind picking up in Sudbury.
Rain picking up, too.
Heavy rain and wind up some. Thunder in distance only
I don’t see tons of lightning with these storms.
Sun in and out with some light rain. Rainshine! 🙂
Looks like another cell to the west – don’t know if it will make it.
Clouds look rather pretty, ‘though.
Looks like that storm heading toward boston will juuust skirt to the north. Nothing south per usual
Looking that way right now. We’ll see if anything changes. 😀
From here, looking mighty dark to the NW. 😀
I think I smell Poof the magic Dragon around, surely to pulverize these storms
into oblivion. 😀
Man getting out of the city is crazy!!!
storm about to moved into Brighton. Looks like I miss again.
Sudden Big gust of wind here. 😀
No rain here.
Temp down to 86.4 😀
OS we had some really big wind gusts prior to the storm (or what was just rain and no more) and then they disappeared.
We have blue sky now to our north – can’t see in the other directions.
I hear NO Thunder at all.
Odd radar show rain coming into Lexington where I am now but it went from dark to sunny to very sunny during this time.
Depending on radar display, they are about 5 minutes delayed. 😀
Funny that’s what it was…WHDH was stuck at 3:55pm and didn’t update when I posted at 4:20pm. By then, it had passed and the sun was coming out. I don’t think we even got anything.
I just hear the First Thunder of the day from lightning probably over
Cambridge. 😀
Complete MISS here, as suspected.
Another crack of thunder. 😀
Hmmmmm cell near Worcester may have some promise of reaching here….IF it doesn’t get eaten by a dragon called poof
It “may” be lurking. 😀
It scared it south of us :(. And he is such a friendly dragon!!
Watch put, it may be a 2 headed dragon.
Bright and Sunny here now. Not a single DROP of rain.
3 or 4 cracks of thunder from storm passing to the North. 😀
Sunny and gross down here!
Very technical analysis of tornado formation:
http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/magazine/physicstoday/article/67/9/10.1063/PT.3.2514
Hello
It worked ok thanks tk 🙂
Thanks tk 🙂
Hellllllooooooo Charles.
It worked
Full sun and NOW we have big bangs. Mother Nature is exercising her female prerogatives this September I think.
All depends on the angle. 🙂
Oh you silly man….trying to add logic to a woman’s whims 😉
Again all things going as anticipated today. A weak trough provided enough forcing for scattered storms, some of which were along a line mid to late afternoon. Only locally strong. Some places, of course, got nothing much.
Also, as expected, the dew point spiked at Boston and nearby areas. 74 now! Juiced!
Cold front arrives later tonight. Storms probably all occur far west and north of Boston area and die out with time. Front should come through Boston area to Cape Cod dry, so by morning just a lowering of dewpoint. Tomorrow will be a mostly sunny and warm but less humid day (not bone dry, borderline moderate humidity). Thursday, humidity starts to go back up later in the day and evening and quite warm. HHH Friday and Saturday. Not sure if anything ever gets here Saturday – depends on timing of next front. May be slow enough to just cause Sunday to be an unsettled day.
Thunder around. Will this one hold together?
We shall see. 😀
The Rain is here. 😀
Sure looks like a DYING storm. So what else is new?
Thunder gone, radar has gone from red to orange to yellow to green. POOF she goes! 😀 😀 😀
Eric Fisher in Seattle.
https://fbcdn-sphotos-b-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xfp1/v/t1.0-9/10622751_754954421209747_1539692248686748218_n.jpg?oh=60771908d1274fca73b2c3a409050f64&oe=547B50C9&__gda__=1415367232_423322808f88c4cd973a99b503d36668
These storms have really been pulsing.
One just flared up again just SW of the City. We’ll see what this does. 😀
WIMPORAMA!!!
Russian tornado from a car. Nut case!!!
https://t.co/iwvN04w4Ey
Classic pulse storms or short-lived cells. That was the type of setup we had today and the storms responded accordingly.
Google, Barrow cam …., currently 32F there with steady, wet snow …. Coating on ground.
Winter lurks in the northlands. It will be making frequent visits to western Canada and the Pacific Northwest this coming season, occasional visits further to the east.
Sounds good to me. They broiled out in western Canada and the Pacific Northwest this summer, they need the cold air.
And I think they’ll get it, while the East is milder, but not without some sharp shots of cold.
Tornado warning on a cell SW of Oneonta NY. The big stuff will be from there into VT the next few hours.
I MAY POSSIBLY have gotten it so we can continue to use reply in Gardening & Contests. I will run a few tests the next few days.
Working on a blog update.
And the update has been posted. 🙂
Thanks tk 🙂 while in Uxbridge today it was completely sunny but could here some potent thunder in the distance.
Thanks tk 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂