Thursday Update

83 Comments

7:15AM

No changes to discussion on previous post, but just speeding up the timing of the showers and narrowing the window to early this evening…

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST….

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. An isolated shower possible. Humid. Highs 70-75  South Coast, 75-80 elsewhere, lower 80s possible in a few locations that see more sun. Wind S 10-20 MPH and gusty.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with showers, possibly briefly heavy, pushing west to east across the region early. Clearing overnight. Humid early, then drying. Lows around 60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to W.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-75. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun to clouds. Few showers at night. Low 55. High 70.

SUNDAY: Clouds to sun. Few showers Cape Cod early. Low 57. High 70.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 53. High 69.

TUESDAY: AM showers, PM sun. Low 55. High 67.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 47. High 66.

83 thoughts on “Thursday Update”

  2. Oh that awful yellow/green. Please excuse me while I clean up the PUKE!!!!!!!!!!!

    Gag gag gag!!!!! How Brutally disgusting this color is. Other than that, the format
    is fine.

  3. Thanks, TK. I was just playing with WordPress and some of my old blogs. When I created them (they have sat idly for several years), there were only a handful of themes to choose from back then. Now there are so many more. I like that you can add the larger widgets which appear at bottom of page or smaller widgets which appear on side. And the best of all, I think, is the ability for the blog author to preview how the blog will appear on computer, tablet or phone.

    Keep on experimenting (when you have time) as it is tons of fun to see the ideas you come up with and watch the blog mature!

  5. This front coming through really weakening compared to yesterday when there was a tornado watch for parts of the Midwest.
    No severe weather for us but would not rule out a heavier downpour in spots.

  6. Note on NHC Website saying 1st advisory on new tropical depression in eastern Atlantic will be issued at 11am.

    Still very interested in the cluster of showers/storms near Bahamas that will be crossing Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico next week.

      1. I mean the stuff off of Fla. The other one that will be
        the depression, the models have but it goes into nowhere land.

      2. Agreed ….. If something develops from this Bahamas entity, it will suddenly “appear” on the Global models. 🙂

        1. BUT, the CMC has been so good at picking these up.
          Makes me think that perhaps this one goes no where.

          OR

          As you say, it “could” suddenly appear.

          Certainly something to watch.

          Re: Today
          YAWN

  8. LOL!!! We love to see fish storms when it comes to tropical development.
    Hopefully when we get coastal storms this winter will have very few fish storms and more storms heading toward 40N 70W
    (Benchmark)

    2. Great link, Scott – thank you. I remember 92/93 fairly well. December 1992 we had a huge snowstorm. It was the first time since my kids (oldest was 12) had been attending school that more than one day was cancelled. In Dec 1992 they cancelled 3 days in a row. But it was also incredibly cold very early in the fall. Then of course as was mentioned was the 1993 March storm.

  10. I’m curious what the fall weather was like that year. If our fall this year is similar, we may be on to something

    1. You beat me to it Ace! I was wondering the same thing as to what the fall of 1992 was like. From what TK has been saying this fall should be mostly above normal for temps. If it was above normal back in 1992, then we may be all set for a good deal of snow for the 2014-15 winter. We will see. 🙂

      Logan 1992-93 snowfall = 83.9″

      1. Oops – as usual I should have read first. The fall was quite cold. Only reason I remember is that we were vetting my daughter’s first pony and made many trips to CT for her to try him and for vet checks. etc. If I recall, it was fairly typical of fall weather before this century. Halloween was cold and winter type jackets were needed for the kids.

        Of course the December 1992 storm was actually in the fall too.

        1. Most don’t think of fall storms in Dec, typically fall storms are in Oct or nov, storms in dec go down as winter storms 🙂

          1. When a storm is in the fall, Charlie, it is a fall storm. Thinking something that is wrong doesn’t change the fact. The storm I am referring to was right around Dec 13 which is fall. Actually, if it were back in the day, Dec 13 would be the winter solstice but now…….not so much.

            1. Astronomical Fall, but Meteorological Winter. To be honest, it doesn’t bother me one bit calling a Dec 13th Storm an Autumn storm OR a Winter storm. 😀

              1. hahaha – I’ve been chuckling because of all things to take from my comment, that would have been the least.

                1. I’m just messing around. 😀
                  Busy frustrating day at work. Doing a bunch of coding in Visual Basic to produce complicated Pivot tables. 😀

  11. I don’t remember the fall of 1992 but IIRC Columbus Day 1993 was VERY COLD and I had the bright idea of BBQing. I had to wear gloves and I am not referring to those large gloves for cooking to keep from burning your hands, lol. 😀

    I was in my early 30s so it is not like I was a little kid with vague memories. Before weather blogs, etc. I really didn’t keep up with little details, but I have always been a weather enthusiast going back to Don Kent and Bob Copeland.

  13. Thanks TK! I adapt very easy to change so whatever you end up with for the format works for me. I trust my fellow bloggers will provide input that will result in a solution that fits all.

  14. I love Eric’s article. Excellent research and summary.

    That said, the chances of getting a big December storm like 1992 AND a big storm like Superstorm 1993 in March are minimal, at best.

    I can buy some cold shots this winter, but skew that precip/snowfall back the other direction please and we’ll probably have a more accurate picture of what will be coming up.

    The weather acts similarly at times in certain situations, but there is NO such thing as a carbon copy pattern.

    1. I had the same – very unofficial – thought. Our weather pattern in general is far removed from 20 some years ago.

  15. Alright OS! What color do you see now?

    If you are seeing some form of bile yellow green still, then there’s something wrong with your viewing tool. 😉

    1. I don’t know the official COLOR name for this, but it is a deep
      PINK with a wee bit of purple thrown in for good measure. A NICE
      Spring color I guess. 😀

      2. LOL ….. Looks like there was about 2 million more square km’s of ice going into autumn of 1992 vs going into autumn of 2014.

        Thats one heck of a big variable to be throwing into the mix as far as seeing if the atmosphere will behave somewhat similarly btwn these 2 years.

  17. Nice purple TK – that was my mom’s favorite color. We had a lot of purple in our house so I am feeling right at home 🙂

  19. You’re right about the Arctic sea ice, Tom. There is less than 1992 this year, but considerably more than 2 years ago. The lowest of the low was in 2012 with another min in 2007.

    But the most important comparison for purposes of this discussion is 1992 to current, and we had more back then, making for a larger source area to manufacture cold air. Does that mean we’re in for a warm winter? Hardly. But there’s a little less cold fuel in the tank now versus 22 years ago.

    1. There has been a nice bounce back the last 2 years, which is great to see and Antarctic ice is at a record high, since records have been kept.

      I’d say I’ve been following the arctic ice more closely for 3 to 4 years now. Its fun to watch it retreat and expand.

      I suppose I watch it in case that year ever comes when it all melts out during the summer. I guess I’d like to watch that process happen. I dont think it will anytime soon, but who knows …….

  20. FINALLY!

    80,000+ spam messages GONE! DELETED!

    Now I can keep up day to day because this new version of WP zaps it more automatically. I’ll still be checking for regular messages going into that folder (some still are) and working on that little bad habit the blog has right now).

  21. Thanks TK for the purple background although I had no problem with the mustard yellow. I obviously was in the minority on that. For me, I would like to see some shade of “blue” for the upcoming winter blogs. Blue is very much a COLD color.

    We most certainly want to keep OS happy here since he keeps us informed on all the gazillion models that are out there these days, lol. 😀

    1. Ok got this to post. Still not sure why this was flagged as spam.

      The setting is to allow anyone with a previously approved comment to post as long as it does not contain more than 8 links (url’s, not sausages).

      We’ll get this case cracked yet.

    1. I’ll be scanning for those. Still haven’t been able to crack why that is. We’ll get to the bottom of it. You’re not the only one.

  23. TK – There are issues with posting here yet again. I believe that when a post has several sentences, it won’t post. As long as it brief, the post will show.

    1. It’s in the green category. Green with a bit of blue in there.
      A darker version of our living room wall. 😀

      Almost Downton Abbeyish. 😀

      It’s a nice soothing color and it goes much better with the cool WHW photo
      at the top.

  25. That alleged line of convection better get firing soon or I see a failure of the showers other than the few scattered ones that have skirting through VT, NH, and northern MA so far.

      1. 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

        When I looked at models and saw ZERO CAPE I says to meself, hmmm how we gonna get convection???????

        When Eric said last night that there wasn’t much of any instability, I again said to myself, how are we going to get any convection.

        And now I say, there is NO CONVECTION! 😀

        1. The showers generated by the front would still be convective, by their very process of development, just of the very weak variety. 🙂

          Convection does not automatically mean thunderstorms. A fair weather cumulus cloud is formed by convection. 🙂

          1. Tk, I certainly know that.

            I am talking about convection that causes Thunder. Little or No Cape = No Thunder.

            There’s convection and then there’s convection.

            Then there’s concoction and that’s something
            entirely different. 😀

  27. Love, love the BG. Very soothing. And Philip, it can’t be posts with more than a few sentences. We all know I can’t limit mine to that and I haven’t been blocked since the first time. 😉

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