One, Two for 1, 2

330 Comments

1:50PM

REMINDER! Daylight Savings Time ends at 2AM Sunday! Remember to change clocks that don’t automatically reset back one hour before retiring Saturday evening or early Sunday morning. 🙂

The first 2 days of November (a weekend ironically), southeastern New England will be impacted by a 2 storms, the first on the first, the second on the second. By now we all know how this set-up took place and all the possibilities to go along with it, so we’ll skip that and get to the event. Here’s a breakdown…

Storm #1: Today, November 1.
Low pressure moves northeastward from off the Middle Atlantic Coast passing southeast of Nantucket by tonight. Rain will be widespread during this afternoon but will become more spotty by evening from south to north as the best support for rain lifts northward in advance of the low pressure center. Wind impacts will be greatest on Cape Cod and the Islands up to the South Shore with this low, with gusts above 40 MPH likely. It will become windy elsewhere, but not likely as strong. Scattered wind damage and power outages are possible especially in areas with the strongest gusts. Also there will be a risk of minor to moderate coastal flooding in prone areas especially around high tide early this evening. Though torrential rains are not expected, they will be moderate to at times heavy, enough to result in localized flooding especially in poor drainage areas. This will be enhanced by areas where storm drains are blocked by fallen leaves. Also use caution while driving over roads that may be covered with wet leaves which not only make the road slippery but make lanes difficult to see.

Storm #2: Tomorrow, November 2.
This low pressure area will be forming off the coast of North Carolina and Virginia later today while its leading partner passes by New England. It will then race northeastward passing a little further east than storm #1. However, this low will end up stronger than the first, and wind impacts may be more significant in the morning hours of Sunday (after midnight to midday). Wind gusts in areas that were prone to 40 MPH or greater can see gusts of 50 MPH or greater as this storm passes. Additional wind damage and power outages are possible. Also, this storm will have a larger wind field so gusts of 40 MPH or higher will extend back across much of RI, eastern MA, and southeastern NH, with isolated to scattered damage and outages also possible in these areas. Some trees still having leaves on them make them more vulnerable to strong wind gusts with wet ground that is not frozen yet at this time of year. Precipitation with this second system is a little more tricky. The bulk of the heaviest should remain over Cape Cod and just offshore of eastern MA and NH though may extend westward to clip some of these areas for a few hours pre-dawn Sunday. This is when it will be a close call between rain and flipping to snow as colder air is dragged down from above. However, conditions will be marginal as relatively warm ocean water temperatures will modify the air as the wind blows over the water before coming into southeastern New England. Also, with heaviest precipitation short-lived or just offshore, the chances of dragging enough cold air down for meaningful snow drop off. Nevertheless, know that there is the possibility of mixing or even a change to snow anywhere but favoring high elevations and north of Boston. If accumulation occurs it would most likely be in these areas and be fairly short-lived. Will monitor for any changes. Expect dry air to win out by Sunday afternoon but clouds to hang on for a while and wind to remain fairly strong as it shifts more to the northwest with time behind the departing storm. For the Patriots/Broncos game in Foxboro, kicking off at 4:25PM, expect temperatures in the lower 40s at kickoff, upper 30s by the 4th quarter, a clearing sky, but a strong and gusty NW wind taking wind chill temperatures near to below freezing at times.

Next Week (Monday-Friday)…
High pressure moves in Monday – a bright, dry, but chilly day.
Warming trend first aloft then at the surface Tuesday – a nice day but more high and middle clouds.
Cold front approaches Wednesday but the trough associated with it will be weak and lifting more through the Great Lakes into southeastern Canada than charging into New England, so the front will generally fall apart as it moves in – result is sun/clouds but mild, slight shower threat at night.
Second cold front approaches Thursday, but expected it to hold off until late day, but with a potent trough associated with it coming right at New England via the Great Lakes, this system may pack a punch with some risk of heavy showers/thunderstorms.
The fast-moving system from Thursday is exiting by Friday, leaving a gusty northwest wind in its wake, bringing much cooler air into southeastern New England but with a return of dry weather.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
THIS AFTERNOON: Overcast with rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures ranging from the lower 40s higher elevations inland to the lower 50s Cape Cod. Wind N to NE 15-30 MPH with higher gusts, strongest gusts coastal areas and higher elevations south of Boston.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Areas of fog. Periods of rain evening. Steadier rain overnight returns to mainly Cape Cod but may extend into parts of eastern MA/NH possibly mixing with or turning to snow. Minor accumulation not out of the question if this occurs. Lows in the 30s to around 40. Wind NE to N 15-35 MPH, strongest overnight when gusts of 35-50 MPH are likely, with greater than 50 MPH gusts in coastal areas south of Boston.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy morning with rain/snow early favoring southeastern MA and Cape Cod, then periods of lighter rain through midday Cape Cod. Sun may develop west to east before the day is over. Highs in the 40s. Wind N to NW 20-30 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Sunny. Low 30. High 48.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 40. High 58.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers evening. Low 50. High 68.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers/thunderstorms likely late day. Low 60. High 70.
FRIDAY: Clouds/sun. Windy. Low 40. High 50.

330 thoughts on “One, Two for 1, 2”

    1. At least twice a week if not 3 times. My friend up there is away in NC for a few days but I am still going up there to check on her kitties and spend some time with them while she is away.

  6. Thanks for the update TK.

    I was just out. Those rain drops are COLD. They gave me a popcicle headache.
    I guess freezing level isn’t too far up there. 😀

    Key is system #2. If it comes close enough then we have a chance for snow. If not,
    then likely no snow.

    btw, wind is really picking up here.

  7. Nice explanation TK. Thank you

    Holding at 42 here with wind gusting to mid teens. More rain than I guessed at .25

  8. Hmm 12Z Euro has system #2 passing “just” to the East. Surface temps down to
    32F in Boston from 4AM through 11AM. 850 temps ways cold. IF we could hold onto precip. Close. It shows some, but light.

  9. NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 1m1 minute ago
    [3p] Wind advisories have been extended to all of #SNE for strong-damaging NW winds Sunday

  12. Thanks TK !

    Not to see, under clear skies, the last post 5pm sunset. 🙁 🙁 🙁

    Until again next February.

  14. Latest HRRR for SYSTEM #2 at 08Z

    http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_ncep_jet/2014110117/full/3hap_sfc_f15.png

    simulated radar for same time

    http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_ncep_jet/2014110117/full/1ref_sfc_f15.png

    250mb winds

    http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_ncep_jet:&runtime=2014110117&plot_type=wind_250&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1

    Looking at that data, sure looks like a possibility Eastern MA gets into the solid Western portion of that precip. We shall see.

  15. Looks like the Charlie hole is expanding rapidly and about to consume ALL
    of Eastern MA and RI. 😆

      1. Showing 5+ inches for Boston and still a bit to go.

        WOW!

        NOW one caveat. This is the 18Z NAM. Certainly in the NAM
        wheelhouse for range and accuracy, but it is the 18Z.

        BUT WOW!! We really need to watch this baby!!!!!

          1. Yes about out to Framingham or so.

            I’m going to do a ZOOMED in map in a minute.

            Again this is one run of one model. Let’s not go off the deep end. No Wait, lets!!!

        2. Of course the NAM is know to OVER COOK qpf.
          So we need to be careful.

          Let’s see what GFS brings.

          Map in a moment.

        3. Of course the NAM is know to OVER COOK qpf.
          So we need to be careful.

          Let’s see what GFS brings.

          Map in a moment. 😀

    1. Interesting. It doesn’t go west enough. I’d be sooo bummed. And look at Maine. Right to coast there

    2. 🙂 debbie downer here, returning for the 1st post of the cold season.

      I think TK, in the past, has sometimes said, take the NAM snowfall and multiply by .4.

      For this event, I think its .00000000000000004

      Too much has to go right. No wiggle room for eastward shift at all of precip. Area with best precip would have the hardest boundary layer to cool.

      And of course, thats why this will verify. 🙂

      1. You’re not Debbie downer, TK is. 😀 😀

        Of course everything has to go just right.

        BUT to just be able to be talking about the possibility for the first time in a long time is fantastic, imho. 😀

        we have dinner reservations for this evening and the restaurant
        just called me to confirm the reservation. yeah sure.

        Mrs. OS has correctly assumed that they are getting a bunch
        of cancellations due to the weather. What happened to hearty
        New Englanders?????

        2. Lol lonnnnnng gone os looooooonng gone for a long time now, and it will only get worse, New England is no different in bad weather compared to Oklahoma, they both cancel in hyped weather, and cancel for similar snow events, I’ve seen schools cancel and then an inch of snow falls, yes right here in wrentham, lol 🙂

  20. Tk ik you were saying manning won’t like the forecast, checking back to see if that’s your continued thoughts 🙂

    2. Holding at 42 here. Got really quiet for a while. Still calmer with just spurts of wind and light rain almost drizzle

  26. OS. weather question but please don’t let it distract as I know you are focusing on models. You said 10 degrees. Am I correct that degrees run clockwise so that would be just east of north? Or do I have it running in wrong direction? Thanks. No hurry with answer

    1. Vicki you got it right on Target. So 010 Degrees is a just a wee bit East of
      Due North. Essentially it is NORTH. On some reports without the degrees it would absolutely be North. L:D

      045 Degrees would be exactly NE
      090 is Due East etc.

    1. This is fascinating. Thanks for all the posts.

      When tom mentioned the system off of NJ this morning, I checked the radar. My first thought was it looked like a wanna be hurricane. This looks even more like that. But I guess that is the similarity between noreasters and hurricanes ?

  28. from NWS re: System #1

    BEFORE THE HEAVIER PRECIP MOVES OUT WE ARE CONCERNED
    ABOUT A PERIOD OF SNOW ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN MA
    THROUGH THE MONADNOCKS IN S NH AS THE ATMOSPHERE COOLS FROM ABOVE. NAM IS MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THE DYNAMIC COOLING AND SUGGESTS A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW WITH SEVERAL INCHES.

    1. Dropped a half a degree here. Heading out to dinner. Thanks OS as always for the information you share.

  32. Barry Burbank retweeted
    NWS Taunton Skywarn ‏@WX1BOX 13m13 minutes ago
    Peak Wind Gusts in the past hour. Scituate, MA (Humarock Beach): 47 MPH Gust at 450 PM, 42 MPH Gust Marstons Mills, MA at 453 PM.

    1. Barry Burbank ‏@BarryWBZ 9m9 minutes ago
      Shoveling In Downeast ME! Rain MAY Mix With Or Switch To Snow For A Spell in Eastern MA Tomorrow AM- Coating To 2″?

    1. I believe it tk said it’s going to be a warmer pattern setting up for the rest of the year with cold shots mixed in from time to time.

      1. You’re usually on the high end with me! And we’ve been close 2 years running. I’m going higher this year…

  42. Repost.

    Longshot says:

    November 1, 2014 at 7:12 PM

    Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    Daylight Savings Time (DST) ends tonight. In what year did we stay on DST?
    A. 1968
    B. 1971
    C. 1973
    D. 1974

    I know that AccuWeather gave the answer as C, but I swear it is D, and reason was to help out with the oil crisis.

    1. I believe it is D also. I actually would have guessed 1975 if it had been on there. Ill have to look. And it wasn’t a full year as I recall. I thought it either started on Little Christmas or was decided. That’s why I said I felt like singing the 12 days of Christmas. I’m going to check

    1. Agree. But I’m now thinking in fall of that year we still set back. I have to search some more at some point

  45. I am finally getting some time to post after a very busy day. It was quite windy and wet in Sandwich for my son’s football game. We took back roads back to Plymouth and they already had the road closed near Plymouth beach due to the water coming over the wall and flooding the street. I saw some woman at Nelson Beach run into the water and run back out. Not too bright.

    1. Oh boy Sue. I think high tide has been and gone but that doesn’t bode well for morning. How did the game go?

        1. Good for them. I’d bet they have a great group of parents and a great coach who teaches them that winning comes in many different forms. 🙂

          1. The coaches were beyond amazing. They took a group of 23 boys that had never played together and made them a true team. To see the progress each week was mind-blowing.

    1. Mac said he should have recorded my comments for you John so you could hear how funny I thought you were. 🙂 🙁

  49. John, John, John …..

    there’s a 50 inch penalty added onto your snowfall total for posting false snowfall reports.

    And as I think you guessed 45.5 inches, that puts your total already at 50 inches plus whatever the zamboni dumped in your yard, and thus disqualification.

    Thats a shame !! 🙂 🙂 🙂

    Also, next time, can you try this trickery when every other observation in New England ISN’T reporting light rain and 41F. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. You know the saying it isn’t nice to fool with Mother Nature…..well mom will verify she’s got nothing on ME

          1. I just finished watching hallmarks first new Christmas movie 2014. I was in a very happy place. You just brought groveling to a whole new level. 👿

  53. TWO MORE HOURS until the models start coming in an hour earlier than they have since last March! 😉

      1. Maybe a touch of it but I am getting more confident, unlike many on-air guys, that this is going to be more of a SE MA / Cape Cod event and we get left just outside of the steadiest stuff up here in the NW suburbs.

  54. Did a little “storm chase” down to the South Shore today. This afternoon, late day, the wind and waves were ferocious along 3A in Plymouth. Just before high tide the waves were breaking and coming across the parking lot of the Pilgrim Sands, and the water and sea foam was crossing 3A and spilling into the Eel River.

  55. well, just got back from ct, it poored on us but we still performed. Now a second performance tomorrow night. What the heck is the nam smoking? i think total out of the box.

    1. NAM never had a chance with this one. And the GFS has not been much better.

      Just because models say accumulating snow does not it is a lock. That’s where actual meteorology comes into play. 🙂

      Good luck tomorrow night! From wet one night to windy/cold the next. Not easy!

    2. I completely agree, OS. I saw her at 6, and waited until football was done to see Barry at midnight. No offense to anyone here, but I simply cannot stand Channel 7’s “newscast” at all.

  57. Welcome to EASTERN STANDARD TIME.
    Above forecast right on track – no need for changes.

    Looks like bulk of precipitation, mainly rain, will be over Cape Cod with storm #2. Still can extend back westward a little but as of right now the greatest chance for mix/snow for a short while may be over southeastern MA where we’ll see the greatest combination of cold air with precipitation (too dry to the northwest).

  58. The wind is raging !!

    Gusting to 63 mph on Nantucket.

    The ob at Marshfield Airport is not working, but I’d venture its gusting btwn 40 to 50 mph.

    High tide very soon.

  60. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is the record amount of snow on this date (11/2/14)?
    A. Never snowed on this date
    B. A trace of snow
    C. 1 inch
    D. 2.4 inches

    Answer later today.

  62. Morning. Not much going on here at the moment. All quiet on the western front so to speak 😉 The winds, at least furthet inland were more impressive during the last”nor’easter”

  63. Sure looks like that band of rain is trying to pivot in and if it does then it’s snow. We wait and see.

  64. A
    I didn’t see any snow flakes where I am in CT but the wind is gusting. I am hoping the power doesn’t go out so I could see the Cowboys game at 1pm today.

  65. From NWS Taunton:

    NEXT QUESTION IS WHETHER ANY SNOW WILL MIX IN WITH THE RAIN ACROSS E MA. THIS AGAIN WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON IF THE DEFORMATION ZONE WITH THE HEAVIER PRECIP MAKES IT TO THE COAST. HAVE MENTIONED THE POSSIBILITY OF A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW FOR A FEW HOURS THROUGH MIDDAY BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST ACROSS E MA. EXPECTING LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATIONS…AND IF ANY DOES OCCUR WILL BE ON GRASSY SURFACES. AT THIS POINT…FEEL THE GROUND JUST TOO WARM FOR IT TO ACCUMULATE. DID USE WET BULB TOOK TO LOWER TEMPS A BIT WITH ANY STEADIER PRECIP THAT COULD MIX WITH SNOW…BUT UNCERTAIN WHETHER THIS WILL ACTUALLY OCCUR.

    1. If you look at radar trends you clearly see the “zone” being eaten up by dry air which is working in from the north. Precipitation-wise this 2nd storm will be primarily a Cape Cod & SE MA event with areas of SE MA most likely to see mixing or a brief flip to snow with accumulation ONLY on unpaved surfaces. Elsewhere, forget it unless we get a dying moderate band into east coastal MA that may possibly mix with a few flakes.

  66. Matt Noyes ‏@MattNoyesNECN 4m4 minutes ago
    Not everyday we get first snowflakes on Cape Cod and first measurable in Caribou, Maine, in the same day.

  67. First flakes at Woburn as of 7:50AM in the form of very wet, partially melted flakes, mixed in with a few bigger raindrops as the remains of the first band got overhead.

  68. Precip sure seems to be pivoting up towards Boston.
    Snwoing in some areas already. Not here at the moment. It is 38.7 here.

    1. Pivot has about 2 more hours left to max out westward before it heads the other way.

      By the way, my friend in Aiken SC saw snow yesterday. 🙂

  69. Matt Noyes ‏@MattNoyesNECN 2m2 minutes ago
    Sleet is now falling steadily enough to stick/accumulate on Cape Cod at Dennis/Harwich line, per Nancy Gifford.

    1. Radar shows this nicely. Looks like this area is about to suffer a dry air intrusion from the east of all places.

  70. Matt Noyes ‏@MattNoyesNECN 2m2 minutes ago
    Nantucket getting flakes, too! RT @xplorenantucket: Very wet snow flakes mixing in on ACK.

  72. Harvey Leonard retweeted
    NWS Taunton Skywarn ‏@WX1BOX 16m16 minutes ago
    Busy past hour of reports with pockets of tree/wire damage along east coastal mass/cape and islands. Orleans, MA: 52 MPH Gust at 716 AM.

    1. Matt Noyes ‏@MattNoyesNECN 4m4 minutes ago
      Wind still crankin’ Southeast MA thru Cape/Islands – Nantucket just went 61mph again…continued scattered damage/outages

  74. It may be windy on the Cape, but i have to say NOT impressed by the wind here.
    Not in the slightest.

  79. Nothing much here but we are away from coast. Has Tom or anyone from south shore been on yet? Wonder if they have power

  84. Nice to hear from folks and see reports. Raining here. IF there are wet snow falkes, I can’t see them. Going out soon. Will know for sure then. 😀

    38.5 here and that reflects a drop recently.

  85. Took a ride ….

    We are not getting cheated on precip intensity, coming down very hard.

    37F in Brant Rock, 33F by the High School with a slight elevation increase.

    Its a rain/snow mix thats impossible to tell which is which due to the wind. But, on a window, its unmistakable that snow is mixed in.

    Brant Rock is shin, maybe knee deep very large puddles in some areas, pavement in others. Only small rocks are washing into the village. The ocean is frothy white, but thankfully we are 2.5 hrs past high tide.

      1. Sure thing OS.

        Due to the wind, I’m going conservative at wide receiver and playing Anquan Boldin, 49ers while sitting LaFell. 🙂 🙂

    1. Checked 9am obs under the blue color ….

      The closest I could get was Taunton and New Bedford and they still are reporting 36F.

      The top of Blue Hill is 35F, but their ob doesnt have precip type or visibility.

      But, it wouldnt shock me if the very top of Blue Hill is snowing, maybe even getting a coating ????

  88. Just checked again and snow flakes becoming clearly visible.

    Perhaps brief turnover to snow comes up from the south, where the coldest air aloft is closest to the storm ????

  92. Heading out for while. May post mobile IF I see anything. Wink wink.

    IF not will check in later. Have fun. 😀

  96. First snowflakes of the season at my house! ✳ It’s a mix, but the snowflakes are clearly present! 🙂 Wind’s not too bad, except for a few gusts here and there.

  98. Finally got enough intensity to flip it to mostly snow. This is good for about an hour, then back to mostly light rain before everything starts to pull east.

    So far storm is behaving as expected. Not sure what the massive snow worry was all about. The big story was all about the wind, and as noted in the discussion above, the strongest wind was going to be along the coast from Boston south and in some higher elevations. We’re not getting any surprises here.

      1. Still windy during the game. And cold. I figure gusts still around or over 30 MPH. Might make passing fun.

  99. Good morning!! Gameday!! GO PATRIOTS!! It is crazy busy already at Patriot Place, 100’s already tailgating, mainly light rain here w some wet snow mixing in from time to time, 38 degrees by truck 🙂 GO PATRIOTS!!

    1. Enjoy the game Charlie! Hope you brought a blanket or two!!! Must be pretty chilly out there at Patriot Place! BRRRRRR!

  101. Don’t worry WeatherWiz. You won’t need to shovel anything today. It’ll melt fairly quickly. Should be back to light rain 11AM hour before quitting around noon in your neck of the woods.

    1. Yeah I figured it wouldn’t stick…just didn’t expect it to be coming down like that. Not sticking to anything as of right now.

  104. OOPS!

    Aidan if you are reading this, I had to approve a comment from a few posts ago. When my tech people updated the program recently, a lot of people who had been pre-approved had to be re-approved (I still have no idea why). If you hadn’t posted in a while it was more likely to go to moderation. I caught the message the night after you posted it. Approved 2 days ago but forgot to mention it until just now. Apologies for the delay.

  105. Just came out of whole foods. Wow!!!
    Near blizzard conditions. Snowing like crazy
    Vis around 1/4 mile. Seriously. Accumulating on cars.

    1. Kind of my thoughts from yesterday. Second impulse came just close enough to whiten parts of interior eastern MA. With enough intensity from the outskirts of this closed low, cooler air drawn down to the surface was able to cool the column enough to support snow. However, this axis of precip lasts an hour or two before moving away and likely will end as a bit of rain as we lose the precip intensity. Nevertheless, a coating + is likely in some local areas 😀

  106. Snowing moderately in Westwood. Nice deformation zone oriented from north to south. However, westward pivot is about to reach it’s peak as the storm begins to pull away. No major snow accumulation expected but clearly looking white this morning as I thought previously. Nice job forecasting TK!

  109. Back in w roxbury. All is white. Snowing like hell!
    Drove by highest point in boston. All of washington street with slushy accumulation. Too warm my ass

  113. Watching NFL Sunday Countdown and it looks like a winter wonderland in Foxboro.
    Enjoying the snow out there in eastern MA.
    Its partly cloudy and windy where I am.

    1. So far…but that is about to change in some areas. Looks like BB’s forecast for SOME may verify. Looking “white” out there 😀

  116. 2 days of raw cold, a little snow thrown in and now it’ll be dark tonight at 5pm ….

    I feel like we’ve been in winter for 3 months already. 🙂 🙁 🙂 🙁

  117. Grass is all white here and car windshields and tops have snow on them. Just checked in on if I need to head into boston for snow and not needed yet. Old salty another good job sticking with it.

      1. Probably not but you never know. I’m cooking a pork roast dinner ready at 3 so I don’t miss a single play of this big game. Tk. Hope you enjoyed our neighborhood down here yesterday.

  122. All I can say is this beat a few flurries or a few snow showers as first snow.
    When I was out it was an all out snowstorm for awhile. 😀
    At least a 2 hour period of snow here. 😀 A little longer.

  123. Well, I’ve been in Marshfield 13+ years and done recall it snowing all the way to the beach like it has, in the last 15 minutes, this early in the year. Even that October storm a few years back, I dont think the changeover made it all the way to easternmost Marshfield. But is has today.

      1. Yup …. My back deck and car top have a bit of that tiny thin slush on them.

        I’ll bet if I went back up the hill to Marshfield High School, the ground is probably white.

  124. NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 33m33 minutes ago
    Official snowfall so far atop Blue Hill in Milton, MA is 1.6 inches. This breaks the record there for this date. #SNEsnow @bhobservatory

  125. Hadi, as I recall, dont you head up somewhere around Augusta, Maine …… I’m thinking they must be getting clobbered !

  126. Heading out shortly for a bit. Overall only a few bursts of snow here this morning. I must be in the Charlie Zone today.

  127. Elevation made a difference even just here in Woburn where I drove across the city and observed only a slushy coating on grassy areas down in the low spots near the railroad tracks (Lowell Commuter Rail line) to 0.5 inch about half way up Woods Hill to about 1 inch atop Zion Hill on the west side of the city.

  128. About to head over to watch football ….

    This is twice in a week the atmosphere has come together to produce a strong storm, unloading a lot of energy.

    Seems another energetic system of some kind later this week.

    Wonder if a quieter time after the next system Friday may be coming, kind of letting the atmosphere recharge, if you will …….

  131. Look at your favorite visible satellite loop of the Northeast this Sunday afternoon and you can see this big battle between a beast of a storm and a whole lot of cold/dry air. It’s not scientific explanation but it gives you an idea of how difficult it actually is to forecast these things including rain/snow/amounts down to fractions of inches and matters of miles. Yes?

  132. Still snowing pretty good in Halifax. My stepdaughters were in amazement at theie first sight of snow. There was a big tree down on the Kingston/Plymouth border. Just another day in New England!!!

  133. Looking off to the west it seems to be brightening, thinking we might see some clear sky in a few hours then remembered it will be dark in a few hours!

        1. Weeden did not look bad on first drive going 3 for 5 leading them down the field leading to a Bailey 52 yd field goal.

  135. Still a mix of light rain/snow here now with occasional burst of flakes. No longer accumulating as it is now too light in intensity in this area (Woburn and nearby towns).

  136. just got back from lawrence. where the nesba band finals were to be held today, when we got there no one was there, and they said it was canceled we saw why the field was a blanket of slush/ice. and there was like an inch of snow on the grass. when we got home, nothing on the ground here in billerica but was just plain snow for a while.

  141. Today’s game is absolutely huge, huge test for the pats who come into this game I would say red hot!!!! Almost kind of a revenge game if you will. Look for Brady to come out of the gate on fire.

  142. 12z ECMWF shows 2 bombs: Friday November 7 and Monday November 10 (anniversary of the Edmund Fitzgerald Storm on the Great Lakes except this one is just southeast of Cape Cod).

    1. No. They are products of the current weather pattern which may or may not continue into early Winter. Too early to be sure.

      Often a late October and especially November pattern can go some way into predicting the early Winter pattern, but the fact that we had 2 or 3 fairly potent storms nearby during the last couple weeks with just about the entirety of November to go means we can’t draw any conclusions yet, even with some medium range guidance suggesting at least 2 more shots as East Coast storms in the next 10 days.

  144. For the trivia quiz I will go along with eveyone else and say A. Regardless of the correct answer, I suspect Logan will record a trace of snow for this date.

    Also, I have November 16 circled on my calendar. Is that the deadline for the snow predictions? I can’t think of any other reason for the reminder.

    2. It’s November 16. I figured by the end of a weekend when everyone has had the chance to check in and be reminded during the course of that week.

  145. Snow from here to holliston all morning and into early pm but no accumulation at all. Just nice feel. I love this weather with the wind and cold and could stay out for hours.

    Hi Dave my neighbor in natick……sort of. I’m in Framingham 🙂

  151. Arod I put your numbers on the contest section. If everyone can do that, then I’ll try and remeber to check and record from there. That way they are not lost in the other comments. Tx. I will always confirm I have seen your guesstimate

    3. I think your comment about the coaching is on the money. While the Pats were not perfect, it did at times have a surgical look to it. There were several instances where the Pats, while on D, seemed to be slightly ahead of the play. It was more than just anticipation. The corners were both close to and on the inside of the Bronc’s receivers. The defense against Manning’s short passes was good enough to limit yards gained after the catch. There was a mystical side to it as though they had studied the film to a point where plays were predictable. You do not see this kind of performance against a top rated team very often.

  154. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is the record amount of snow on this date (11/2/14)?
    A. Never snowed on this date
    B. A trace of snow
    C. 1 inch
    D. 2.4 inches

    The answer is B, a trace.

  158. Wind gusting to mid 20s. Certainly not the highest we have seen recently but it is the highest here for this past weekend

  159. Yes longshot I agree with you, there was a method to the madness, and it was awesome, the gameplan, the coaching, the players, and the complicated schemes they were running that haven’t showed much before today were awesome. Loved it!! What a game!! Bye week!!

  160. As I suspected what would happen, Logan officially received a trace of snow today which ties the record for snowfall for the date (11/2/65).

    Thanks Longshot. I believe no one answered the question correctly.

  162. Ok we had our one on 1 and two on 2 and now it’s time to look ahead.
    Go see the new blog. 🙂

  163. This is NOT my prediction, just what to expect from a “normal” winter at Logan:

    Average Logan snowfall = 43.8″

    Actually, if you stop and think about it, this is a pretty healthy snow amount considering Boston is located on I-95 and right on the ocean. From Providence south to NYC-Philly-DC along the I-95 corridor the average amounts drop off rapidly.

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