9:29AM
SUMMARY…
And more synoptic surprises in a Winter that is stacking up as many of those as inches of snow. Go figure. We’ll save the analysis for later and just say that snow amounts for not only part 1, which overachieved for some areas but not all, but for part 2 have overachieved but in even more locations, especially eastern MA (as usual) where an intense comma-head snow band took shape about 30 to 50 miles further southwest than I expected. The NWS was concerned about this and I give them props for putting it out there as a wild card to the snow amounts. Even they had to add to the totals, but not as much as I do. So going forward, the rest of this would be a repeat of the last entry regarding the weather set up for the rest of today and well into the coming week, so we’ll just go to a forecast update and save the next full discussion for The Week Ahead post later today. Plus there are so many comments on the previous entry it’s time to hit “refresh”.
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Snow gradually ends through midday, but blowing snow continues. Sun appears from Boston westward later in the day. Total accumulation 6-12 inches well inland, 12-18 inches to the east with heavier pockets of about 18 inches. Very high snow drifts. Temperatures fall from 10s below 10. Wind N to NW 15-35 MPH with gusts over 45 MPH at times inland, 25-35 MPH with gusts over 55 MPH at times coast. Wind chill well below 0.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Blowing snow. Lows -10 to 0 inland, 0 to +5 coast. Wind NW 15-35 MPH with gusts over 45 MPH shifting to W late.
MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Sunny. Blowing snow. Highs 10-15. Wind W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Clouding up. PM snow. Low 0. High 20.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Low 15. High 25.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Low 0. High 15.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Low 0. High 20.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Low 5. High 25.
TK is this about over for us? Hesitant to move the snow until it’s done officially. Hard to tell with the wind if it is even snowing now or just blowing!
You may as well wait until it’s done, but if you don’t want to deal with blowing snow you might have to wait until the next storm starts. 😉
Haha I wish I could wait…no doubt the snow blower will be a curse with snow blowing back. When is an end time for us you think?
About 11AM but it will be very hard to tell that it stopped due to blowing snow. It should at least stop falling from the sky about 11AM in Woburn.
Ok thanks sir
I was thinking the same about when to start shoveling, but am somewhat concerned that it could be a hopeless task since the winds will probably blow it all right back! Never mind the fact that it’s brutally cold out there! May have to wait until… never 🙂
Took too long typing – I didn’t mean to repeat your replies!
All on the same page regarding snow removal 🙂
I think Boston should consider bidding for the 2026 Winter Olympics instead.
That will all but guarantee a snowless winter ha.
Calgary pulled it off in 1988. We could do it. 🙂
Vancouver a few years back had to truck in snow to cover the slope events
Correct. There was even some snow issues in some other recent games. Nagano? I forget now.
Nagano I remember the issue was too much snow. I remember they had to postpone some of the events due to several major storms
That’s right. Too much snow. Alot of the ski events had to be shuffled because of visibility and snow that was too soft on the race hills.
I always wanted them to host Winter.
Thanks, TK. The atmosphere’s on some kind of performance-enhancing substance. That’s all I have to say. Put an asterisk next to the snow totals.
Don’t we know it. 🙂
Steroids
OS, the wife’s parents just measured 20″ in West Roxbury, sound about right?
Reply
ACE
Hard to tell from inside, It “could” be on the mark, but I’d lean towards
15-16 inches. I’ll check later. Not ready to go out. tx
Thanks TK.
AceMaster you said you were traveling to NYC Tuesday. Here is the discussion from NWS out of Upton, NY.
Hope this helps you out.
AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. AT THE
START…PER CONSENSUS OF THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF…THEIR ENSEMBLE
MEANS…AND NOW THE 03Z SREF…LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH MON NIGHT SHOULD PASS OFF CAPE HATTERAS TUE MORNING AND THEN
CLOSE TO THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK TUE AFTERNOON…BRINGING A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOWFALL FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY…WITH THE
HIGHER AMTS ACROSS LONG ISLAND CLOSER TO THE LOW TRACK. USING A
BLEND OF 00Z GFS/ECMWF QPF AND HIGHER THAN USUAL SNOW RATIOS OF 15-1
DUE TO THE COLD AIR IN PLACE…THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A 3-6 INCH
SNOWFALL…BUT SINCE THE PREV FCST CALLED FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BE
SUPPRESSED WILL CUT BACK ON THESE AMTS…WITH A MORE LIKELY 2-3 OR
2-4 INCH SNOWFALL FOR LONG ISLAND AND 1-2 INCHES ELSEWHERE.
MODELS CURRENTLY FORECAST A SECOND LOW DEVELOPING TO OUR SOUTH
DURING MID WEEK TO REMAIN SUPPRESSED. BUT…AS HAS BEEN THE CASE
MOST OF THIS WINTER…AN EVENTUAL STRONGER LOW WITH A MORE NORTHERLY
MAY PLAY OUT….SO HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POP FOR ANOTHER POSSIBLE
LIGHT SNOWFALL.
Thanks JJ, it’s gonna be interesting
Barry Burbank retweeted
Ryan Breton @RyanBretonWX 10m10 minutes ago State College, PA
Wow-> “@RayBrewerWMUR: Roof collapsed in seabrook heavy snow suspected #wmur ” #nhwx
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B95FLcAIUAEllrb.jpg
Or too many people on it at once trying to shovel it.
Welcome to Woods Hill Weather, where our new slogan is:
All the hype you can stand until you are literally PUKING SNOW!
We guarantee to post the European Model Snow #’s before they are even released because we’ll just make up our own numbers! First! 😀
Yes I’m kidding. Been awake for about 60 of the last 72 hours. 😀
Newton: Very fine snow falling, light to moderate depending on the moment.
Someone posted this cool video of a walk through the city 6AM this morning (Drochester)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ABt16Qk9Iw&feature=youtu.be
Very cool! Must have been during one of the moderate snow periods. While it was puking snow here, all I could make out on my street were the lights (not even the poles) on the streetlights!
Framingham contract plow just went up and down street after snowblower truck had widened it. Only problem is framingham truck forgot to put its plow down.
You have to be kidding? He either forgot his coffee or was up all night! 😀
His contract was up. 😛
Storm surge in Nantucket harbor up to 2.6 ft and climbing.
Down to 1.8 ft in Boston Harbor.
CITY by CITY TOTALS. Watch out for the date and time of the posted amount.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS
TK sorry to keep asking but do you know what time the storm may start Tuesday or Wednesday? Thanks
Give me a few minutes… 🙂
Early afternoon as it stands now. Still not sure on the track.
Wind gusts
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B95Jk81CUAE6zIR.png
Or 62mph, lol
Hughest wind gust I’ve seen reported so far has been in P-town, 56mph. Wind picking up a bit here but nothing like expected. Are winds supposed to get stronger later today?
The strongest gusts are yet to come.
Wind Chill Warnings are up for a good part of SNE tonight into tomorrow. The winds will still be gusting probably not to the level they are overnight into tomorrow but with that said wind chills will be nasty tomorrow along with the snow that will continue to blow and drift.
The sun is starting to come out outside my window now and the wind is done some compared to a few hours ago.
Jim Cantore @JimCantore 10m10 minutes ago
#3 ALL-TIME. 85″ of snow in 23 days…that’s 2 seasons worth for #Boston!! h/t to @KathrynProciv 4 sending this image
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B95KrCNIMAAVacp.jpg
OOPS
Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno 5m5 minutes ago
1 other thing with nxt storm.when wave moves out,u r left with Trof to the W that goes neg wed with piece on S Edge. watch New Eng with that
Had calling this a “wintercane”…
JR…not Had…stupid autocorrect
go and look at satellite and you will see why
so my map was pretty close of what has fallen, 10 to 18 area should have included all of eastern mass including the cape and islands. and the 5 to 10 should have gone a bit further west, other than that it went pretty well. winds are about 10mph weaker than i thought.
https://merrimackvalleyweather.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/storm-10-4.jpg
Very close, just needed to push the heavier snow inland some. 😀
yep i over did, dry air eating away the edge of the storm. Just imagine if this thing was closer, new england would have been talking feet not inches
Mayor of Boston on TV.
BUSSES FOR FLORIDA,,,Now loading at Kenmore….
https://fbcdn-sphotos-b-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/10993084_934377556585912_1158437255627981021_n.jpg?oh=37b6aa634a85516ce015ec657dc5169e&oe=5553BDAE&__gda__=1430848708_407665d797fbc694d5ff50c650fe1520
Ha nice photoshop
Mark Mancuso says that New Bedford/Fall River area got 10-12″ in 2 hours!
Wow!!! 5-6″ an hour is just crazy!
Wintercane is not a good term.
You start comparing cold core to warm core storms and it’s just going to do much but change people’s perceptions of what is going on.
Oh for heavens sake…. 😉
I know. It’s hard being a traditionalist, wanting to call Winter storms “winter storms” 😀
So is Blizzacaine out too?
Well, first this would have to verify as a blizzard. It’s yet to do that. It may for some sections but ironically may have trouble doing that for Boston. Peak wind there barely 35 MPH and certainly not for 3 consecutive hours…
IF they are going to qualify they may have to do it with blowing snow, not falling snow.
Ground blizzard.. Minnesota style!
Funny part is there are no summercaines or fallcaines but apparently there are wintercaines.
Feeling for John this morning. Hope you’re doing ok out there!!
Foxboro fire on scene structure collapse foxboro terminal resulting in fire. Firemen are one of the ones at the top of my lists as heroes
Military and fire are tops in my book.
15.5 inches in Woburn, which is 7.5 inches above the top end of my final call range of 4-8 inches for my location. Not that good in terms of a snow forecast. I was in trouble when part 1 blasted the area as it did. And in even more trouble when the comma head formed where it did and decided to come right across this area like sandpaper on a sunburn. Ouch. 🙂
There have been plenty of two part storms over the years where the show after intermission is a dud. Could have swung in the other direction.
I really enjoy the uncertainty of it all despite the models and technology.
Nobody will ever be perfect at this.
Approximately 86 inches of snow in North Reading in 23 days. More than 14 from this latest blast. I have lived in my house for 23 years and for the first time I had to clear my heating system vent. Be safe everyone. We may live the weather, but these are dangerous times. Thank God it’s fluffy snow. Be safe.
Ended up with about 11inches….first part was much mote lucrative for us…we were just a tad too north to get into the heavier bands this morning…..amazing totals in places though….it just wants to snow
landed at 10.8″ here. Not bad.
12z NAM in ….. Can we still report what the NAM says, LOL !!
Anyhow, main low passes a million miles southeast of us, but whether its elongated low pressure or an inverted trof, its showing accumulating snows in easternmost and southeastern Mass.
Do we want to bet against this, at the rate things are going ??
THAT Baby WILL come closer. 😀
It probably will 🙂
The set-up for Tuesday/Wednesday reminds me a little bit of January 24 and the system that started this all. Wouldn’t it be ironic if it ended with a similar type system. Gulf of Mexico moisture, open wave system with low pressure to the northwest of it instead of a classic high to the north. Everything that should have gone against significant snow, yet we got it anyway. How could we have known then…
Now those are FRIGHTENING WORDS!
I like the ended part. 🙂
Visibility way up here. Thank god. Going out to check on car.
Watched the good Mayor then some storm coverage on 4 & 5.
Copley square looks like some sort of quaint alpine village with all of that
snow. And the Snow piles there! Incredible.
Watch some neighbors shoveling. Looks to be somewhere between 14 and 20 inches.
Another block buster Snow event. 4 in succession. AMAZING!
I think the SNOW has finally QUIT here. IF it’s snowing there are only a few flakes.
Here is a video loop for our storm
https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/B95SzItIEAAgylL.mp4
Jim Cantore @JimCantore 7m7 minutes ago
This is huge!! MT @SipprellWx: Growing confidence, Tue snow, potent storm, Wed night – Thu.; Feb. could set a record that’ll NEVER be broken
These damn ice dams aren’t going anywhere, anytime soon!
We are hanging on here with moderate snow. I think it might be a bit enhanced by the ocean.
Jim Cantore going NUTS with THUNDER SNOW this morning.
It shows Five (5) Bolts
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdRWGMyeSYY&feature=youtu.be&a
Yikes! In regard to Jim Canore’s “enthusiasm” and the weather.
Thanks!
@DanielleWBZ4: BLIZZARD VERIFIED in Chatham, Plymouth, Hyannis, Martha’s Vineyard, Falmouth too. 1/4 mile visibility or less, 35+mph wind for 3+ hours.
A Sign of relief? I dunno
12Z GFS has next threat SUPPRESSED!!!!
Its kind of got that elongated low, like the NAM has …..
that eventually leads to a 996-998 mb low in the northern gulf of Maine.
Stay tuned …….
What TK said worries me!
Yup …….. when TK talks, I listen.
Probably shouldn’t have listened too much regarding snow amounts on this one. 😉
Actually SOME areas it did as expected. Again it was these insane snow bands in eastern areas. Even higher than some of the high-end forecasts had. Amazing.
It is amazing.
I happened to see a couple loops of the band pivoting back into our area from Maine and NH around the 4-5 am timeframe and the inflow from the ocean into the band looked vigorous.
12z GFS for next one. Still got to watch this. Gives a light snowfall to SNE.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021512&time=48&var=ASNOWI&hour=066
As stated earlier… It wants to snow! and with that said, the Tues/Wed’s storm will somehow find its way up here!
To me with the Tuesday Wed storm POTENTIAL to me just like this one the question is how much snow are we going to get?
12z GFS wants to clobber D.C. area and Virginia and would not be surprised if they got close to there normal snowfall for a season if that solution the 12z GFS happens.
With extreme weather being such a “growth industry” and an important political tool I wouldn’t be surprised if they redefined blizzard conditions at some point to “make” more blizzards every year. Like how he DOJ redefines what certain crimes mean to make stats look better.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=vis&inv=0&t=l3®ion=ne
Am I NUTS or did this record breaking stretch of SNOW
ALL occur with a positive NOA or mostly Positive?
Correct OS …..
Positive all the time, maybe near neutral briefly, and virtually all progressive systems.
Like you say with the benchmark,
I think we can put that to rest.
This year proves it CAN snow with +NOA
Visibility is way up here but still a light snow falling (and from the looks of the radar that should end in the next hour or less). Going to go out to at least clear the walkway (where it looks like from the latest measurements 18-19 inches of snow has fallen which goes along well with the the 16 or so inches reported around 8:30 am on the NWS website). At the end of the walkway is a 5 foot plowed snow bank and one of our shovels is in the driveway behind another 5 foot snow bank. So I’m going mountain climbing 🙂
Good luck Keith !
Some good news ….
Max sun angle hits 35 degrees above horizon ….. Its climbing fast too ….
It will gain a degree in elevation every 3 days.
On clear days like tomorrow, this will help.
Even at 12F tomorrow, a dark pavement absorbing the 10am – 2pm sun will have some melting.
2 weeks from today is March 1st, with a 40 degree sun angle.
While we know huge amounts of snow are still possible, any sunny day going forward should help restore a bit of order to dark pavements and maybe compact the snow just a bit.
Solar winter is over, some help is on the way.
Postive NAO Postive PNA setup with this snow blitz.
I think the GFS may be underdone on the next event.
3 more storms before the month is over.
Wind has picked up considerably in the past hour here in Sudbury.
NECN said awhile ago, Tim Kelley I believe, that Spring could be delayed due to all this snow and extremely and constant cold temps. Also, flooding could be an issue w/any sudden warm-up. I agree.
TK did you still see this going through March 8th. I remember you were saying January 24th – March 8th was the timeframe to watch for snow chances.
At the moment yes. I see things down the road that help break the pattern but at this point I’ll believe it when I see it.
Its just incredible this stretch of winter weather you guys have experienced up there. Every few days your having accumulating snow. I am wondering if this is a once in life time snow blitz or are more of these going to happen in the future but maybe not to quite this magnitude.
12.5 inches in Westborough when all said and done…unfortunately I slept through the whole thing. All hail the GFS!
Sun is shining its light out here!
Came in at about 4.5″ here.
My general ideas about the forecast were pretty good. A bit of a failure in the details. Was thinking 6-12″ Worcester East with an area of 9-14″ to the NE and 5-9″ to the SW. I guess I should of gone 14-20″ to the NE huh? I had a strong idea that the long north to south fetch of the comma head would create secondary high snowfall total area. I went for northern Barnstable County and instead it ended up 25 miles due west of there in the New Bedford area. Pretty awesome storm!
A couple of thoughts? Generally the GFS and ECMWF had February 15 pegged as day for an anomously strong winter storm 15 days ago and they were right! Details off sure, but they had a strong idea that today would be significant.
Also most long range models did not see as sharp of a prolonged stormy / cold turn we would take on January 25th and likewise I think the sharp turn out of this pattern will be under-pronounced. It could be a sharp turn, initially wet, and then pretty warm.
GFS did it with February 2 as well.
It would be an interesting drive to take, from west to east, on the Mass Pike.
At the start of your journey, there is maybe the usual 12-18 inches of snowcover way out in western Mass and when you get to Boston, there’s nothi …… excuse me, there’s probably close to 50 inches of snow on the ground !!!!!!
Tom-To your point. My house is 90 miles due west of Logan. We have received 43″of snow since January 24th.
The major storms
1/24 4.2″
1/26 7.0″
2/2 11.1″
2/5 4.3″
2/9 7.2″
2/15 4.5″
The remaining 5 inches or so have come from small trace to 2″ events.
When the the NWS Boston published the snow on the ground totals a few days back the only places less than the Central CT River Valley of MA, were the island counties.
On its own merit, an impressive stretch of snow over 3 weeks.
Not this year!
Does anyone have any information on where this winter stands amongst the top 10 for Worcester?
If calculating the monthly average temperature at a locale is as easy as averaging the average monthly maximum temperature with the average minimum, then the average monthly temperature at Logan through February 14 (halfway through the month) is 19.6 degrees, only 6/10 of a degree from the all-time record in 1934.
As of now it seems that the 17th, 22nd, and 26th are the approximate dates of the next possible storms, as those have been reoccurring on the GFS now for a few days
Thanks Shreehar…I guess you answered my question to TK.
TK please still feel free to chime in. 🙂
If the 26th – 27th storm ever happened as modeled, that would absolutely be the thing that sent 98% of people from eastern Massachusetts southward, for good.
As modeled, that looks like a strong noreaster, with quite a backlash of its own.
TK – Can you post approximate dates for those snow threats between now and March 8? Any mixed precip storms as well?
Also I would say that 120″ for Logan is very attainable at this point even if the pattern slows down a bit which is probably unlikely.
#1 107.6″ = 1995-96
Sorry was taking a short lunch break.
I’m actually going outside for 3 hours starting at 1PM.
Yes the question was answered adequately regarding the dates for the rest of this month.
The only thing I can add is that there is another threat around March 2-3. That one, if the GFS continues its great track record, may present a rain problem.
Cannot count out the #1 spot yet. Climate-wise we have a long way to go in which it can snow.
Here’s downtown a few weeks from now:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B95sMDcCEAAbsCm.jpg
LMAO !!
hahahahaahahahahahahaha!
Hahahahahahahaha. Well done
TK didnt you say somewhere that the 21st of this month we would see a pattern change? Or was that just a really nice dream I had?
About a week ago I was hopeful for a breaking or easing after the 20th. I retract that hope. 😛
Ugh. Noooooooo!!!!
❄️
That was supposed to be a snowflake with a gun pointed at it. Just imagine the gun 🙂
It’s not snowing here anymore but blowing . I believe the wind Is picking up and temp is dropping. Crazy how fast that snow came down this morning with thunder and lighting as well. So more Tuesday ? I may need to buy a bed and leave it here. Wraith a second we don’t sleep. City is a mess stay away . I can say I don’t see many cars.
NWS CWSU BOSTON @NWSCWSUZBW 29s29 seconds ago
Advised by ATC that it’s hopeful Boston Logan Airport to be open for air traffic by 2pm.
🙂 lol
Dave Epstein @growingwisdom
14 minutes ago
I am beginning to feel like we are all in some sort of Darwinian Survival Winter Exam.
To add to that, I feel like I’ve lost track of what day it is …..
Snow, lost school days, more snow, now school vacation week, a ton of inside time and when you go out, you cant see, or your peering around corners. Its just been a strange 3 to 4 weeks.
Daily mayoral and governor weather conferences. Just strange.
Makes me feel better when a youngun says that. I no longer have any idea what day it is
Hahahaha. Can’t say as I’d disagree
Green Bay “frozen tundra” my A**.
Philip.. See above.
This is my back path to get to the back entry. That’s my 5’7″ son.
http://s18.postimg.org/fbczso02x/back_entry.jpg
Wow. And very handsome young man and lovely entry
Thanks Vicki!
Venturing out for 3 hours. If I don’t return, you can probably find me under snow sometime in the Spring. Natural cryogenics. 😛
I thought I was hallucinating… After plowing for 32 hours I saw a large yellow disk in the sky, thought it was end of days!
Hehe
I went out for a brief walk into the Public Garden and noticed that even the squirrels are swearing: Where is that f*$%#ng nut I buried back in November?
They don’t seem to be having trouble finding the ones they left in my attic
We had a death in our family on Friday. I want to stay thank you to TK for being such a fantastic source for weather. We were able to comfortably schedule our flights, knowing exactly when the storm threats coming up are going to occur.
The one bright spot for us – we are traveling to California. Sad circumstance, but we look for the sun where we can in these situations.
Sending our condolences DS. So sorry to hear.
Thanks, Vicki. Was my husbands grandmother, who happened to raise him. 73 is too young. She was an incredible woman.
Sorry to hear that. The circumstances r awful but I’m sure many would consider you a lucky guy to be seeing sun and feeling warmth 🙂
Important to find those silver linings! Thanks, Charlie.
Very sorry to hear it!
Many thanks, longshot.
Sorry to hear DS, my condolences.
Sorry DS.
Hearing mbta could be closed for this upcoming week. Adjust accordingly
Where did you hear that? We knew this was going to affect the city no matter how much snow.
Huh?
Better not Charlie. I need the T to get around and especially to work.
I heard this on national news, they said that with more snow coming Tuesday it might be the right thing to cancel for the upcoming week, they also said it reaching dangerous levels in many spots on tracks and will get worse with more snow, we shall see if they make that final decision.
From now on Charlie, please post info from local outlets. Thanks.
If it’s true what does it matter thanks 🙂
No it isn’t true. It is a guess. It is only true if it is shut down. I understand you like to push buttons but now is a very poor time to do so
Charlie I agree with Philip. This was speculation from a national outlet and is fear mongering
The city cannot handle the cars if people who take the T start driving in.
Maybe we need more infrastructure and widening roads and highways, it’s just been a thought for idk 20+ yrs lol 🙂
Charlie what has been a thought? Are you proposing demolishing buildings in Boston to widen the roads.
TK – Are you still forecasting an early spring and will the first day of spring (March 20) truly look and feel like…SPRING? 🙂
Any realistic chance of totally snowless and consistent mildness after March 8 into April? I do understand climatology, however……
TK – Take your sweet time responding…I have shoveling to do myself, to say the least. 🙂
Currently 80 miles north of Montreal in Mont Tremblant, it’s going to be a low of -25 tonight, actual temp!!! Never felt that in my life, gonna try to turn hot water into instant snow tonight 🙂
As well as I remember 1978, I don’t recall any significant flooding thereafter.
Any older folks can confirm this? Thanks in advance. 🙂
I do not either. But doesn’t mean it didn’t happen. Also don’t know the depth of rivers pre1978. The rivers were unusually full before all of this because of the December rain. I am worried about spring floods
@ericfisher: JUST IN: #Boston has now seen its SECOND snowiest winter ever recorded. Storm total of 16.2″, 98.9″ for the season. Incredible.
I mean…we are definitely gunning for #1. At this point, I will be totally shocked if it doesn’t happen.
Thanks Captain. I was just going to post that.
1. 107.6″ = 1995-96
2. 98.9″ = 2014-15 **(to date)
3. 96.3″ = 1993-94
With three more storm threats this month alone, No question the all time record is going down! Only need another 9″!
That record could go down after Tuesday. Harvey is now quite bullish on that storm.
Specifically…an additional 8.8″
Ended up with 5″ here in Coventry, CT. We continue to miss out on the brunt of these storms but it sure looked like a blizzard a few times this morning. Most models/forecasts were correct for my area as we were not expecting more than 4-8″. The higher totals advertised by the GFS did not verify here.
Looking ahead, here is the 12z Euro snow map for the midweek storm….it is a little more robust than the GFS…delivering 6″+ for SE MA and 3-6″ elsewhere.
http://i.imgur.com/9tmqRVJ.jpg
That is just too Close for comfort.
The way this Winter is going that comes farther North!!!
Official boston measurement per BZ is 16.2. Makes it #2 snowiest winter
Oops sorry captain. Didn’t see you posted that.
In from shoveling..close to 3 hours…woooh! Sun is out, wind is blowing and the snow is still flying…sideways 🙂 The guy across the street who works for the Hingham DPW and drives a small plow stopped by and said that there is a good chance we would be plowed in again 3 or 4 more times over the next 12-18 hours. He was actually trying to be helpful.
I have a bunch of pictures that I will try to organize and put up on my dropbox account later today or this evening. I’l post the link later.
I’ll also go back and review anyone’s guesses for the first 70 degree day. I’ll post reminders over the coming week.
Water leaking a little in the house along the seam where shallow pitched roof meets the second floor. Ughh…trying to get more off the roof now.
Not good, good luck. Hope your able to get that stopped.
Thanks Tom…a little ingenuity and dexterity did the trick 95% of the snow is off the roof. Ice dams are still in the gutter area but that’s not where the leak was. Leak seems have stopped.
I am fracking beat! LOL
June 15th …..
Ok, seriously …. Um, this is New England, which can only mean that will happen on March 27th, a mere 40 days from today.
First 70 degree day- April 25th
I think I said April 18
Good luck with leak. We have one alone bow window in front that so far is controlled with roof rake
Worcester snowiest winters:
1. 1995-1996: 132.9 inches
2. 1992-1993: 120.1 inches
3. 2004-2005: 114.3 inches
4. 2002-2003: 111.8 inches
5. 2012-2013: 108.9 inches
6. 1960-1961: 104.3 inches
*****7. 2014-2015: 103 inches
30″ to get number one…can they do it?? It’s probably going to be pretty tough
Good info. Tx
Check this awesome radar loop!!
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BOX-N0Q-1-200
Thank you. Truly Spectacular
Thats awesome !!
Wow.
So the official Logan total was 16.2.
So for the 4 big storms Boston had:
24.6
15.9
23.2
16.2
NEVER EVER in recorded history has that happened!!!
BTW, I got a measurement of 17 inches which seems pretty reasonable.
Here’s a shot out of my Son’s living room Window downstairs overlooking snow piles
with the house across the street in the back ground:
https://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/10978687_10205992165270321_1242848238613159193_n.jpg?oh=f4a74f67350b2085e45b52fcdc5ae48f&oe=554A4954&__gda__=1430935339_ab9f77bc5ce26772a8a6a539791fd2bb
Great pic and huge numbers
Got to hand it to Boston’s Mets has not been an easy winter to say the least. They have been pretty accurate. this winter.
top 3 snowiest winters
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B96CcUyCAAEhFZK.png
It has Happened. LEAKAGE.
Water in the house. I see an ice dam that I am trying to alleviate.
If it’s not that, then the crew that shoveled the roof must have penetrated
the rubber membrane roof. One or the other.
For now attacking the ice dam. DAMN!
Good luck OS
What a pain. Same as you. Where main roof joins low pitched roof.
I can see the ice in the gutter from a Window. I can’t get up
there. I have put together an Ice Dam pole, It’s pretty long.
Seeing what I can do with it.
Yep that’s where our leaking was with a minor ice dam…the big one is overhanging the gutters. No leaking there yet but I’ll start attacking that later with the calcium chloride in the old pantyhose (not mine LOL).
I’ve been tossing up the salt pucks for roofs. Not sure they are doing any good since dams are so darned thick
Good luck OS !!
Sorry OS and hope they didn’t rip the roof. I’d forgotten you had one of them also. I am terrified something will rip ours. Good luck. Be safe
Hope not. It’s either a dam or they ripped roof.
IT was dry before this storm.
I suspect Dam because as sun is setting and it’s getting COLDER, dripping has stopped.
I am done with shoveling for today. Will continue again tomorrow with hopefully no more blowing & drifting…UGH!!
Ok…here is a link to the dropbox folder containing photos from Jan 27th up to today. Should be in chronological order.
https://www.dropbox.com/sh/uydxicay2h0iuol/AADPcTc0Yrx844rUZ9lcej4Aa?dl=0
Cool. Thanks for sharing.
Great pictures. Is your home an antique.
Nope…built in 1935…However I feel like an antique 🙂
Hahaha. Lovely style. Very Hingham or what I can see under the snow 🙂
Thanks Vicki!
Nice. Thanks
This is about the size of it
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B92dfKvIcAEgh_o.png
😆
I did some snow removal with my 10 y.o. daughter. Good times outside, though the wind and temp starts to wear on you after 20/30 minutes. Be safe if you go out to work on the snow.
About 80 percent done cleaning up. Don’t think I have ever been so cold in my life. Mercy!
18z nam has 6 inches for eastern sections. Which means absolutely nothing.
Pretty well updated totals by city.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS
I’ve noticed that for the last few storms, Lunenberg has been the highest for snow totals every time in Worcester county…sounds a little sketchy to me
Maybe the framingham person passed his desire to be one on to Lunenberg 🙂
To me, some of the measurements seem much more accurate than others. But this is what NWS sticks with.
I live in Lunenburg. The so-called Charlie Hole is actually the inlet to a tube. We are at the outlet.
No word on the T. Partly the issue for them is the snow, but the other part can be the very cold temps which can have a serious effect too.
VERY WINDY out there!
Good afternoon all.
I survived the snow removal adventure.
Even made a video of my wife’s friend who was helping me and basically had to wade through waist deep snow then climb on top of buried barrels to clear the snow off a plastic shed roof. 😉
DS… Condolences on your loss. I’m always happy to help out in any planning you have to do. I try to get these all right but something they just get away from me.
Philip… We already knew that my February temp forecast is going to be completely destroyed by the pattern we got stuck in. I’m going to have to modify the forecast going into March. Even if we get a “milder” pattern, for some time it’s going to be impacted by the tremendous volume of refrigerant on the ground, so I may have to rethink that whole “early Spring” idea at least somewhat. I’d like to HOPE we are done with that pattern when I said, but just because it started on the date I predicted, which was nothing but pure luck, doesn’t mean it will end there. I’ll be looking ahead to March a bit more during the coming week.
I sure understand that but pure luck…I think not 🙂
Well as far as a storm coming on “day 1” of the January 24-March 8 window, kinda lucky. 😉
As good as the winter forecast turned out, it had some significant flaws as well.
Tuesdy/Wedesday just getting too close.
GFS Snow map
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=069
That Thar be close.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2015021518&var=PCPPRSTMP_2m&hour=048
Brrr down to 12 with that wind.
Really starting to blow out there. 20 car pileup on 195 near Exit 27 about 2 hours ago.
Saw that on news. Womder how many were necessary personnel
If I have calculated things properly, the whole storm QPF for LOGAN came in at
.87 Inch.
16.2 inches of snow. Then the ratio is 18.62:1
NWS was just about spot on with their ratio prediction.
They predicted 18 to 20:1 for phase 1 and 20:1 for phase 2.
Nice job
OF course this is ONLY if I added the QPF properly. 😀 😀
DS, I’m sorry for your loss.
TK, Thanks for all of your blog updates and posts.
Keith, Thanks for your pictures.
OS, Thanks for your model updates and snonthusiasm (snow + enthusiasm).
JMA, Thanks for your analyses – pre- and post-storm.
Vicki, Thanks for your upbeat attitude.
To all the others on this blog who I’ve forgotten to thank, a collective thank you for your input as we bear witness to what I think will be remembered as the greatest snow blitz of all time.
GREATEST SNOW BLITZ OF ALL TIME!!! INDEED.
THE GREAT SNOW BLITZ OF 2015
AND WE WERE THERE!!!
My guess is something like this happened in the 1600s. I think that what we now call the South Shore (Routes 3 and 3A) was in the cross-hairs then, as it has been in this relentless onslaught. I’m sure some perished in the settlements in and around Plymouth, as a result of the brutal cold and unyielding snows. I’m also sure that some had second thoughts about having left a familiar, temperate climate for one with extremes that the pilgrims were unaccustomed to. 150 years later, climate played a role in the American Revolution. We know from diaries archived in libraries in the U.K. and the U.S. that British troops complained vociferously about the heat and humidity in summer, and cold and snow in winter.
For sure. TK alluded to this a few days ago.
We have no idea how much snow they received. Fair to say we have a pretty good idea of what they endured.
:). You are Kind Joshua
With regard to your south shore comment, There is a house (maybe two) west of south river on Ferry street in Marshfield that date back to 1640. And there they still stand. Gives me chills every time we drive by. I cannot imagine the hardships of our early ancestors. Amazing stock we came from.
Seriously spectacularly beautiful evening. Through the icicles and over the mounds of snow the trees are literally dancing against the ice grey sky.
I took a few photos. I’ll post them on FB soon. 🙂
Later I will link a few here.
Blog is updated!