One For A Week

158 Comments

5:09PM

SUMMARY…
Only one system of any note, and you can consider it a minor note, will be making itself known during the coming 7 days. That will be a weak clipper system that passes north of southern New England late Saturday to early Sunday. This will bring some cloudiness to the region this weekend, but less cold than the past couple days. There may be a few passing snow showers Saturday night, but that is about it. Monday through Friday of next week look dry, chilly at the start and finish, milder in the middle, as high pressure dominates and any weak fronts that pass will be moisture-starved. This break will be nice as it will allow the region to recover from the previous storms and will result in a slow snow-melt. Please watch for falling ice when working around structures that still have ice on them, as the warmer March sun will be loosening and melting most of that away during the coming days.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 10-15 except 15-20 coast/urban areas. Wind SW under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 30-35 except upper 30s Cape Cod. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers with coatings of snow possible in some areas. Lows 25-30. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers early. Highs 35-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 20. High 35.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 25. High 40.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 30. High 45.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 25. High 40.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 25. High 35.

158 thoughts on “One For A Week”

  1. Thanks TK !

    PNA and NAO around March 16th as currently projected, look to be somewhat similar to what they’ve been the last many weeks. The PNA has been different the last few days.

    It’s the AO, arctic oscillation, that I think is the wild card. Very positive phase, cold air in retreat. But, projected to head more towards neutral.

    So, will the cold air be able to sink southward in Canada in time during mid March, and arrive back in New England before storminess might return ?

    1. I believe it will. It’s hard to break out of these patterns and there is a giant area of refrigeration still on the ground. The sun will be working on it, but it has a whole lot of work to do.

  2. Good one TK. Having spent most of my years in greater Worcester, I can remember landslides of snow and ice off those slate roofs. Very dangerous.

    2. That run is downright scary!!!!!

      Good thing it is a long way off and it was an 18Z run. 😆

  5. I can just see it now.

    The next 7 to 10 days will melt a decent amount of the snow only to see it snow big again mid month.

  6. That is March have mild for a few days then few days later were shoveling snow. That very thing may happen this March.
    Meteorologist Gil Simmons here in CT said today were not done with the snow yet.

  7. A lot of snow melt the next 5 days, high sun angle and low and mid 40’s will melt 2/3rds of current snow depth, wouldn’t suprise me if grass is showing especially sunny areas within a few days 🙂

    1. You will start seeing a very rapid snowmelt especially on the sun-side of buildings. The south side of my house will have snow depth about 25 inches about 10 feet from the wall with bare ground right next to the wall.

    3. Facing southward, I agree the melt can be quicker.

      Facing north, given how much there is and how wet the snow pack is, that may not go as quick as one may think.

      I would like to see a decent reduction on the snow piles so that we can more safely back out of our driveway.

  8. KOWABUNGA!!!

    GFS has been steady. TOO early to post any maps.
    Still very very interesting so far.

    1. A TALE OF 2 STORMS!!

      15th/16th and then the 18th.

      GFS is STIRRING Up the POT to say the least.

      It’s just so far out there, it may Fantasy Island!!!!!

      If it’s not, we’ll be making snowmen on Memorial Day!!!

  9. My brother lives on the north slope of a hill and his area is almost always the last to lose the snow in his neighborhood.

    1. Downtown can be totally bare and I’ll still have a foot in my yard.
      Hope it is different this year and likely to be since the neighbors
      downed 8 trees!

  12. The threat of falling icicles is over. Not long ago there were dozens of them all around my gutters and other homes as well, but they have all gone now. I would love to walk on a sidewalk in my neighborhood for an entire block, but for now only about 3-4 houses if I am lucky before I have to use the street again. I usually have to walk at least 2-4 blocks on the street itself. The sidewalks are either completely impassable, icy or very, very narrrow. The sidewalk paths are wide enough for at most, a toddler.

  14. As we await the 00z GFS ……

    Great Lakes ice cover is at 83.1 percent. Another impressive amount ice covered.

  15. Chilly out but not as cold as yesterday morning. All mets advertising 50’s midweek and possible 40 tomorrow.

  16. Gfs continues to show major storm with coastal snow but heavy snow inland. Enough to get boston over the record and more. 00zand 6z gfs retreat the big high a little faster allowing warming.

    1. I’m sure it’s still showing it but the big question is will it still be showing it what a week or so away. What’s the date 15th/17th. I’m rooting for no more snow.

  17. My front facing part of the house is north and the immense snow banks from snow blowing will take well into April before it’s gone. Places like JP and surrounding areas imo had about 20 more inches than Logan during the snow barrage.

  18. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What means “The Fear of Thunder?”
    A. Brontophobia
    B. Acrophobia
    C. Climacophobia
    D. Radiophobia

    Answer later today. No cheating. I purely guessed and got it right.

  19. Beautiful sunshine …….

    I’m sensing a general theme from the models that beyond this Wednesday, sustaining a great deal of even average temps is going to be a challenge.

    Cold shot Thursday, then it seems like episodes of cold highs coming out of central Canada.

    And then of course, how that all interacts and/or times with southern and central US moisture.

    I think I’ll enjoy this break thru Wednesday.

    1. This is not good for me. My firewood rack which held 2 cords of wood is now down to its last row which is about two feet high. I have another 4 cords that have a tarp over it but there is 3′ of snow covering it.

      1. I haven’t seen our firewood in about 3 to 4 weeks also.

        I don’t think we are talking days in the teens or 20s.

        I just meant to imply that airmasses where it’s in the 30s by day and low 20s at night may be the norm again after Wednesday.

        But, with how quickly the average high is climbing, that would be well below normal.

    1. I don’t know if it’s too early for trends, but this thing is getting warmer and warmer

  21. I’ve been clearing snow around my foundation here and there the last two weeks. The piles around my foundation were huge after I cleared the roof. I have one more area to do and then I will have a 15′ snow free area around my house. I understand that this may or may not help with any flooding but it’s the only thing I can do.

    2. From previous experience, unless your house is at the bottom of a bowl, that clear area should help somewhat, provided water can drain away from and not toward the house.

      1. The slope of the yard is fairly good from left to right. The only issue I see is the neighbor up hill from me has a lot of snow in his driveway.

        1. My brother knows all about the “neighbor up the hill” thing. Of course the house that had the burst pipe was abandoned for a few months but they never turned the water off. You may have seen me mention the glacier that formed in his driveway from the water pouring down the hill and through his back yard and driveway on one of the coldest days of the Winter. Maybe this year’s contest should be when the last of that ice melts out. 😛

          1. 🙂

            There is only so much we can do at this point to minimize the impacts. Here’s to hoping for a slow but continuous melt down. We have only been in this house for just over a year. We have a wireless security system that has a water sensor that I can place anywhere. I will remove a composite floor tile and place it on the concrete on the hill side of the house. If it sense water I will get a text message to my phone.

  22. There is not much left for wood at my mom’s as her and my stepfather have been burning a lot of it this winter and last winter.
    In fact a lot of that wood that was there was from tree’s that came down during Irene, the October Noreaster, and Sandy which helped save money otherwise they would have had to go out and buy the wood.

  23. Tk-I spent sometime looking at the set up for the next 15 days. I see two periods where there is potential disturbed weather. 1) ~14th-16th 2) ~21st-23rd. At this point I would think the earlier event as a greater winter weather possibility, while the 2nd would be warmer.

    Towards the end of the week, the pacific zonal flow of mid week will transition to a period where the western ridge will sharpen and the eastern trough sags southward, but not too far south (that could be key). As this is happening 1040 High Pressure will be building out of SE Canada and settle to our north. Cold high will be then be in place. Almost simultaneously the southern stream will get active and move a low to the ENE as heights rise to west however the 500mb flow will want to move the storm more E than NE and the trough in the east in not going to be particularly deep while the high to our north will be strong, supplying cold, very dry air.

    I heard one TV met this morning comment about a rain event possible next weekend. I don’t see that right now. If the event does take place, I am more inclined to think wintry as opposed to rain for all the reasons discussed above. What I see is a system just to our south with the extent northern and northwestern precipitation field questionable with a potential very sharp cutoff to the significant accumulating precipitation. Sound familiar?

    The models (all of them) have been struggling with similar recent precipitation events with variable and wildly variant localized solutions advertised right up to the local onset time and beyond. Expect that trend to continue.

    After that a return to a zonal flow with more pacific air and with each successive transition I expect the ridge that forms out west will be decreasingly sharp and the potential cold high to our north slightly more displaced allowing more of SNE to be on the warmer side of the later storm.

    1. I agree with all of this. Not that it would be a great surprise to learn that. 🙂

  24. Below average temps (not as far below as most of February) through day 7.
    Much below average temps days 8-15.

    The difference, as stated previously, will the the ever-increasing sun angle slowly but surely doing work on the snow and making even the coldest days feel a little less so. Overcast and/or windy days will still have quite the chill in them.

    Continuing to watch a pattern that allows storm threats somewhere in the March 15 area and again toward the Equinox.

    1. Yes no 50’s this week. 40’s at best and I expect the day with the highest potential temps is Wednesday, but that day will have more clouds than currently advertised and will limit the actual temps along with a breeze.

      1. I’m wondering if we don’t go overcast a little more quickly – Tuesday as well. That will cap things.

    2. I think in the 8-15 day period there will be a couple of days of well below average combined with a period of just below average, before the end of the period temps of about average briefly transition in, setting the stage for the next event.

  25. One other point, without a succession of events this week, expect some bored TV and Web weather types to begin to hone in on this system and jump on model to model run changes. Especially ones that advertise more extreme outcomes. Apply meteorology not modelolgy.

    1. Agree with this.
      I feel the pattern will support a couple threats down the line.
      Remember the days when the TV weather guys would just do the weather and not have to pacify the “boredom”? The weather may entertain people, but the weather cast is not meant to be “entertainment”, nor is any of the news, but it’s now viewed that way.

      1. ECMWF snow map for everyone tonight at 6pm! Oh wait it does not show as much snow as others. What is a model hugging hyper to do with all this time on their hands?

        2. Tonight? This will be my first entire weekend off in seven weeks or atleast I hope.

          1. No worries John for tonight. I was making a sarcastic comment about showing a model snow output map 7 days in advance because of boredom in the weather office.

  27. Good morning.

    GFS and CMC on board with Wintry event 3/14-3/15.
    Euro would have it Rain on our parade. Still a week out and much
    can/will change between now and then. I’ll refrain from posting the snow maps
    until we get a bit closer, unless something blows me away and I can’t resist. 😀

    I will say one thing: The GFS has been very consistent with an event(s) in the
    3/15-3/22 time frame. Sure it has varied run to run, but something has been
    there.

    We shall see.

    Reading JMA’s and TK’s thoughts on it, appears the first of “possible” 2 events
    more likely to be Wintry.

    How about we break the record and bring in SPRING? Yeah, let’s do that.

  28. I was considering clearing snow around my foundation too but I wonder if it would do more harm than good. Exposed soil will thaw quicker than soil under the snow. When melting begins in earnest, even if the grading is away from the foundation I can see water moving toward the areas with thawed soil near the foundation.

    1. Agree. I thought about this as well.
      Also, living in the City, there is No place to put the snow
      that I would move away from the foundation.

      We have been very very fortunate regarding water in the basement.

      I don’t have a sump pump, but I do have my trusted wet Vac to get
      up water if necessary.

    2. I look at it like this. If I move a gallon of water ( snow equivalent) away from my foundation where it can run down hill, then it’s one less gallon of water coming into my basement. You can only control so little but one gallon at a time will help.

  30. Good morning!! Beautiful morning!! Temp 29.9 degrees heading to the mid 30’s, next week several days could be very close if not 50 degrees. Can u say bah bye to 2/3rds the snow depth, maybe more!! Let’s hope!! Good day!! 🙂

  31. Great read in this morning’s Boston Globe Metro/B1 section about the “Ruler of the Logan Ruler”, how snow measurements are made at Logan and the history of weather observations in Boston.

  32. Very minimal melting going on today despite the full sunshine again. Even with the upcoming above freezing days what will cap the melting are overnight lows. Any melting during the day will freeze rock hard making it more difficult the next day to melt that layer.

    1. One of the reasons it just doesn’t go poof.
      Once all of that powder compacted got wet and froze, it
      is making it very difficult to melt rapidly. Nice and slow, the
      way to go anyway. 😀

    3. Ace I am experience a lot of melting on the roof and along the driveway. The gutters on the south side of the house are clear of ice and snow and is draing great. You can here the water dripping through them. May you are not getting enough sun shine? The cold night temps still allow for a lot of melting during the day. The sun is very strong. I suggest you find a 4′ piece of wood and hammer into the snow pile near your driveway. Make a mark at the current height of the snow and write the date near it. Do this everytime you notice the snow height has change. You will notice a huge difference. Use the wood as a visual reference and not one for true measurements.

  33. 12Z GFS still paints a significant Winter event 3/14-3/15 for the entire area.
    Snow gets wet along the coast, limiting the accumulations to around a foot instead
    of 14-18 inches well inland.

    This makes at least 7 consecutive runs, if not more. I started counting with 18Z
    on the 5th.

    Again we’re still a week out and much can and will likely change.

    Even so, 7 consecutive runs is impressive in itself.

    1. The GFS this Winter season has been right about 90% of the time on events that it is that consistent with that far in advance.

      1. Right and that is my concern.

        And I am beginning to see the follow-up system taking shape
        as described by JMA earlier today. Very interesting to be sure.
        I also can see where your statement from yesterday comes
        into play about a system needing to make it’s own cold air.
        😀

        1. Long gone by then and JFK would likely have gone over
          to rain. Tk will give you a better answer, but I would
          say no problem. You should be fine.

  34. 2nd system for GFS looks interesting. Starts to play the boundary layer game.
    Even though upper levels remain cold enough to support snow (well at least at 850mb, I can’t see the other levels at this point), lower levels warm into the 30s above freezing. Even longer way out than system #1. Something to watch. Both TK and JMA hinted system #2 would be less cold.

    Really border line. IMPOSSIBLE to say at this stage.

    GFS wants to drop .8-1 inch qpf, so if it’s all snow, that’s significant yet again.
    Snow maps indicate lots of rain or mix or ridiculously low ratios. Take your pick.

    LONG way out, but another to monitor. 😀

  35. When is day / night accumulations start to matter in general? Early March or later in the month.

    35 here.

    1. I think it matters now. That sun angle is up there pretty good.
      But to be perfectly honest, it really only comes into play with lighter precipitation and/or the cloud layer is thinner for whatever reason.

      When it’s thumping, it does not matter. Early 80s we had a powder blizzard
      on April 6th and virtually ALL of the snow fell during daylight hours.
      If it had an effect on accumulations, believe me it was NOT noticeable. We got
      dumped on.

    2. I think it can matter now.

      At the same time, if you get a late season very cold high to the north and it’s advecting into the storm, then it will be plenty cold to accumulate during daylight.

      Depends on the airmass in place. Borderline, it matters, not borderline, it won’t.

    3. They are correct. But it can happen any time depending on the set-up at the time. You can have a very marginal temperature set-up in January that could accumulate better at night and not so much during the day. It just becomes more common now. But if you are at high noon and a storm is raging with heavy snow, it won’t matter much at all. 😉

  36. Ok I didn’t do it!!!!

    TIM KELLEY has the honor of the first MET to post a snow map for
    next weekend!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Tim Kelley NECN ‏@SurfSkiWxMan 1m1 minute ago Massachusetts, USA
    oh boy, is this like 1956? RT @derek_adesso Just speculation atm but gfs adamant about significant snow next weekend

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B_go5Q5WIAAwt1k.png

        1. See what I mean. 😆 😆
          But you’re a Math teacher, I’m certain you knew that
          and were joking around. 😀

  37. Sun actually felt warm on the back of my neck (on my umpteeth trip outside to put more ice melt down on our walkway)… Think we’ve turned a corner!

    2. Our car was nice and toasty again today. Did not need to run the heat.

      I find the sun just peeling away the winter blahs.

  40. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=RWR

    The above obs can explain the slow snow melt seen today.

    Most temps are near 32F, but the dewpoints are in the single digits. Dry air and there’s no powder snow left to sublimate.

    Now, look at the cape obs. Sw wind moistening things up slightly, with dew points in the teens. What does that do to the temps, it cools them, similar to precipitation falling into a dry column and cooling the air temp, while the dew point rises.

    So, the sun wants to melt the snow. But as soon as it tries to do it and the snow moistens, the air right above it is probably cooling to a temp below 32F.

    1. Yup. And without overnight lows staying well above freezing for any real length of time…… white easter for many.

  41. I like Tim Kelley. And no, he is not insane. Nor is Pete insane. But, I really think it’s premature to put out snow maps of any kind at this juncture. Yes, I also see what many have noted on the GFS model. I think the Euro model is not taking into account the strong high to our north, as it wants to have the low cut through western NE. I’m skeptical about that. There’s consistency thus far in the GFS modelling. Plus, the cold air appears to make a comeback to the region after Wednesday. In stages it appears, which is actually a good thing. This will not be a 36 hour period of cold followed by SE ridging and warmth. It appears that one high after another will establish themselves, supplying us with late winter cold air. However, let’s wait a few days at least before posting snow maps.

    The melting is slower than I expected. Charlie may want to take note. I agree with Charlie that some spots will see significant melting this week. But, I don’t think anyone will see bare ground, including SE Rhode Island. Furthermore, once it clouds over on Tuesday Wednesday, at least part of those days, melting will subside. I think most of the melting will occur on Sunday and Monday, with lots of March sunshine.

  42. Repost of Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What means “The Fear of Thunder?”
    A. Brontophobia
    B. Acrophobia
    C. Climacophobia
    D. Radiophobia

    Answer later today. No cheating. I purely guessed and got it right.

    1. Since this is technically not purely meteorological knowledge, I will not disqualify myself from it.

      A.

      1. No, it’s not purely meteorological knowledge, but I was interested to find to learn recently that fear of rain is more prevalent than I thought … Ombrophobia or Pluviophobia. I think there are pets that can have these problems too.

    1. Just reading NOAA for next weekend and was shocked to see more of an ice to rain depiction. They seam to be in line with EURO as well as 7. Thinking this will be more of a colder solution as what was last depicted on the GFS this morning.

  45. Still shows it. I wasn’t sure if I was missing something. I’m not wishing for a lot of snow but just getting concerned about early/mid April flooding.

  46. Here is NWS out of Upton, NY take for next weekend.
    UNCERTAINTY EXITS ON STRENGTH OF
    UPSTREAM BLOCKING…WHICH MANIFESTS IN DIFFERENCES IN PROGRESSION
    OF A LATE WEEK GULF LOW PRESSURE AS IT LIFTS NE INTO THE WEEKEND.
    IF BLOCKING BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED A LONGER DURATION AND MORE
    WINTRY PRECIP EVENT WOULD BE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT AS
    DEPICTED IN THE GFS…WHILE MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN
    A QUICKER AND WARMER PRECIP EVENT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING.
    WITH THIS SYSTEM BEING 8 DAYS AWAY HAVE PLAYED A MIDDLE OF THE
    ROAD SOLUTION FOR NOW.

  47. Nice read and very simple. I like Upton’s style for the past several events. Thanks for posting! With warmer temps, the firewood situation should improve this week. (as far as crossing the yard to grab which I’ve got to do tomorrow)!

  48. My stepfather uses the snow blower and clears the path to the wood in the yard over at my mom’s.
    I agree much less wood burning this week coming.

  49. I lost that battle snow blowing to the pile a couple weeks ago. Glad he could make it! Stinks not getting wood and having to rely on oil full force. Does she have have a wood stove or an insert?

    1. Our main source of heat is the wood stove. I have a Byzantine Habitrail setup cut through the snow to get from the wood racks to the back porch. A few weeks ago I was working on a section. My wife said that all she could see was the top of my mad-bomber hat and the occasional shovel popping above the drifts.

      1. Not sure what that is? Snow thrower or type of trail? Not being rude just looking to be educated. It has been amazing with the snow level and how you could only see the tops of heads or equipment through this ordeal. Truly amazing! My insert is a Napoleon by the way. Works fantastic!

        1. I’m just being silly. A Habitrail is a set of plastic tubes that you can buy for a pet rodent like a hamster to run through.

  50. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What means “The Fear of Thunder?”
    A. Brontophobia
    B. Acrophobia
    C. Climacophobia
    D. Radiophobia

    The answer is A.

  51. Just curious because I have an insert and it heats a 1500 square ft area very well. Runs for at least 5 hours with about 6, 20 in logs. I’m not in sales by any means! With this winter I still have gone through roughly 2.75 chord. Haven’t had to buy logs though due to a micro-burst that came through Andover MA around July 3 which dropped several trees in the woods..

    1. I have a stove insert in my raised ranch. I have two furnaces, one for the basement and one for the first floor. The wood stove is on the first floor and once I get the fire going to to point the blower kicks in, the furnace is off until 5am. That’s when I have the thermostat set to pump the heat to 68 for the family to get ready for school. I live in a 2200 Sq ft house. My heating bill I received this week was $150, I have a family of 4 1/2. My brother who has has heat and the same says house has a gas bill of $350. I am loving the savings! I had taken a large amount of trees down last March and had them leave 7 cords. My wood rack hold 2.5 cords and I probably have here weeks left. I clear a path to the wood rack and all around the house each storm.

  53. I’m seriously considering looking into a pellet stove with heavy blower. I’d get wood but my wife does not like dealing with that or the propane grill. I don’t loose power here that much but if I did get a pellet insert I would get a generator because it would be useless if we lost power. I just paid a $ 620 dollar oil bill ugh for a four bedroom colonial.

  54. We have electric baseboard heat. We lose! At least we have 10 zones all with programmable thermostats….

    1. Ouch!!! Have down my finished basement but never goes on. I was told by putting it in even if I don’t use it , it’s nice to have.

      1. Boston Finest event at the Westin. Also pictures with super bowl trophy. Met Andre Tippet and some other players.

  57. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is the word for a solid turning into a gas?
    A. Melting
    B. Evaporation
    C. Transformation
    D. Sublimation

    Yes, this is weather related. Answer later today.

  61. JJ, I’m not a huge fan of losing an hour of sleep either, but I’ve hated spring back ever since it was changed to earlier. Gaining that hour of sunlight is pointless if there’s still 3ft of snow on the ground and nothing to do outdoors. Now if it was a nice March with mild temps that would be a different story, but that’s very rare in NE.

  62. The small Tuesday system may give us some help in figuring out what happens next weekend.

    In reading the Taunton discussion, its the same exact model split for each event.

    So, perhaps whichever scenario plays out Tuesday, thats the model to put more weight onto for next weekend.

  63. Good morning!! 29.8 degrees heading to the low 40’s, mostly cloudy with a few sunny peaks.

    We are starting the season in E.Greenwich RI on Wed the 11th for training as well as beginning of visits. This time of year is always tough but it’s good to get out there and get the rust out. We will move up to south eastern mass after the 16th. Keep bringing the mild weather. And continue to melt this snow. I thought 3 weeks ago we would not start till after the 23rd, customers are scheduled and we’re ready!! 🙂 enjoy the day!!

    1. The snowpack in East Greenwich is back over two feet after the last storm, most of Rhode Island is 20″+ snowpack as of yesterday. Good time to do training, though I don’t believe there is not going to be much work to do this week.

  66. My two cents, for what they’re worth:

    Southern New England will be the battleground the final two weeks or so of March. Very cold air due north of us will likely make incursions south and hit milder air to our south. To our west and even northwest milder air will try and make incursions. I said that snow chances were dwindling. I still think they are. But, in the set-up that appears to be taking shape, I would not be surprised to see several major winter storms over the next two weeks. The precipitation type here at the coast is the big question. I have little doubt the interior (from Vicki to points west and north) will be seeing accumulating snows in the coming weeks. Also, I see some similarity between the final week of January and the final two weeks of March. During that final week of January, it was New England that got cold and snowy. The rest of the country did not. The cold air drained south from Eastern Canada. Of course, that cold air will not be nearly as harsh as it was in January or February. But, I would not be surprised to see some sustained cold the final two weeks of March with nighttime temps in the teens here at the coast.

    1. Correction: I would not be surprised to see several winter storms the FINAL two weeks of March; from next weekend until the end of the month. NOT the next two weeks.

  67. Snow and ice on my roof started to melt at 9:45am this morning. I was out on the deck at 9:30 and it was cloudy, temp was 32 with no melting. 15 minutes later the sun was starting to show through the clouds and the temp rose two degrees to 32. It happens really fast with the help of the sun.

    1. 32 here too but not much melting. Yesterday there seemed to be a little more with sun shining brightly. I went out in the back to dig out the cover to the cesspool (I won’t go into why LOL) and with all the snow I was a little disoriented as it’s exact position. Finally found it but while digging noticed that the average snow depth is still around 24 inches or slightly better and it’s really compacted. Three weeks ago I went out to fix an antenna was wading almost chest deep at time through the snow…yesterday I had to do more antenna work and was walking on top of hard packed snow. I don’t think I’ll see the ground until early April.

      1. My south facing roof has snow on the upper half of the roof and the gutters are completely clear. I can hear and see the water running from the upper roof to the lower. It’s music to my ears. The sun has gone into hiding and you can hear the melt has slowed in response.

  69. We have been knocking the idea around of the deep snowcover modifying the air masses around here. Could not be more true. We’ll continue to be the cold corner of the country for the next few weeks, and it will also lend to increased snow and ice threats right up through and beyond the Vernal Equinox. Not as bad as February’s snow barrage and deep freeze, for obvious reasons: It’s March, and the sun angle is ever-increasing and directly proportional is the length of daylight which is also increasing.

    Updating the blog now.

  70. Just got back from a week in Florida. While clearly there has been some melting, I cannot believe how much snow we still have in our yard, lining the driveway, etc. Snow melts slowly from our yards, so I don’t expect to see grass until the last week of March. And, if we get another storm or two, mid-April or later will be first grass day. The spring soccer season is going to be a nightmare!

    1. Some areas will still have snowcover come Easter, which is April 5th for the majority of those that celebrate it. Eastern Orthodox Easter is April 12th and who knows, there may be some snow patches still on the ground then if things go the way they are going. 😉

Comments are closed.