Ready To Make A Chilling

234 Comments

3:14AM

SUMMARY…
The mild tease is over. And now the colder pattern returns and hangs around for a while. It starts as a cold front drops southeastward across southern new England to start the day today. A few snow showers may accompany this front across southern NH and northeastern MA, otherwise the day will feature some clouds giving way to more sun with a gusty wind and much cooler air. Tonight turns quite cold and the chill continues Friday with sun filtered by high clouds as high pressure slips off to the east and low pressure approaches from the southwest. This low will take the weekend to pass through this area. The cold air will retreat, allowing the bulk of the precipitation to fall as rain, though some snow/ice may start things out in parts of northern MA and southern NH early Saturday. But Saturday night, cold air may try to work back in from the north as it also starts to cool down aloft. This may allow a mix or change to snow at least north and west of Boston. It’s not quite clear yet how much of a mix/change will take place. This will be something to follow closely. Any rain/snow should taper off Sunday morning though snow and rain showers may linger well into the day. By Monday, expect clearing and cool weather. A strong cold front is expected to arrive late Tuesday introducing a late-season shot of significant cold for the middle of next week.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Partly cloudy early to mid morning with passing snow showers possible across southern NH and northeastern MA, then mostly sunny. Temperatures steady 35-42. Wind W shifting to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts over 30 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-20 inland, 20s coast. Diminishing NW wind.
FRIDAY: Sunshine filtered by high cloudiness at times. Highs around 40. Wind light W to SW.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain may start as mix northern areas early then may change back to mix/snow especially north and west of Boston at night. Temperatures in the 30s.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of mix/snow north, mix/rain south early, then rain/snow showers. Temperatures in the 30s.
MONDAY: Clearing. Low 25. High 40.
TUESDAY: Sunny start, clouds with rain to snow showers late. Low 25. High 45.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 20. High 35.

234 thoughts on “Ready To Make A Chilling”

  3. I had a new walkway installed this August and now its seems like they are bricks laying on a sponge. When you step on them the water pushes out on the sides of the bricks and the water rises up and runs down the walkway.

  4. Strong winds today wow. Yesterday was a great tempature day and lots of melting . Although today is colder I don’t mind because these days are short lived. This month is flying by and starting in April we will be starting to see a compleatly different landscape.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Not Impressed with anything coming down the road. So far, snow record looks
    to be in serious doubt. There is time and with cold moving in, anything can happen.

    Here is the latest GFS snowmap through March 28. Dubious at best for the record.

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015031206&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=384

    Given that, the NAM seems to have a different solution for the weekend, although
    still doesn’t help for the record. It keeps the system underneath us and does
    not have it cut West of us. OR it redevelops South of us, but still with warming aloft.

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2015031206&var=PCPPRSTMP_2m&hour=066

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2015031206&var=PCPPRSTMP_850mb&hour=066

    I still wonder IF there might be a surprise this weekend. We shall see.

    1. Surprise comes either late weekend, as TK alluded to, and/or some time next week (maybe the week after). I think the surprise will literally surprise us, by not showing up on the models until it’s almost too late to have a discussion about it. This would be typical for March. Mountains look to do well this weekend. Good for spring skiing. My headache’s gone. What a cold front will do for me … better than aspirin.

      1. The NAM solution for this weekend “may” offer something
        in the way of a surprise. Probably not, but always on the look out for it. 😀

  7. I don’t see any surprises with this storm at all and again this is just my opinion . Any mix should and probably will be confined to north and west of boston and I’m suspecting the same for Sunday morning. I think Saturday I heard rainfall max would be about an inch so no real flood worrying there and I’m also suspecting with the meltdown the last few days most roofs should be free of snow and ice ( most ) I believe both days sat/sun projected temps low 40s. Next event on 3/17 also looking like rain. So old salty yes I would say the record stands for now. I’m not letting my guard down in regards to more snow coming , but if forced to answer the question do I think it will snow again and break the record. I think the record will stand. Although snow showers may fly I don’t think we see anymore accumulation of snow for boston /south . N/W hilly terrains yes.

    1. With cold air in place, we could snow at any time.
      Just because not much is showing now, doesn’t mean it won’t.

      Sure this could be it, but odds favor more snow.

      We shall see.

      1. Remember it’s just an opinion. Cold air sometimes Also as we know can become wasted cold air. Not saying that’s the case.

        1. Sure, that could be the case. We shall see.

          My opinion is we see more snow and break the record. 😀

          1. Oldsalty in regards to not working today you know you need to take tomorrow as well. Have yourself a nice 4 day weekend.

  8. Not at work today. Took the day off. Wife and I are going to lunch with friends.

    Just went out and took a snow measurement in several locations.

    We’re at 14-15 inches on the ground.

  9. Harvey and I are concerned about cooling from above Sat night and a mix or snow before the steady precip ends. This may include Boston. Guidance will not show this very well at first.

    1. Hope this happens so we can break the record and then get on with Spring. Seems like I am never going to get rid of the snow on my property. 🙂 story in today’s Globe predicts all snow at Blue Hills Observstory will be gone by Marathon Day!

  11. Greetings one and all! This sure has been a year to remember, thanks for keeping us all informed. I am looking into the future and I organize the Herring Run Clean Up in Weymouth each year and was wondering if anyone can let me know if all these snow piles will be gone by April 4. I know it is a stretch to see that far ahead but based on all the knowledge on this blog I wanted to give it a try. Do you think I should wait a week until April 11th? Thanks in advance.

    2. The clarity is stunning with this tech.

      I have seen 6 cyclones in one basin before back in the 1990s.

  15. I know today is colder than yesterday, but what an absolutely beautiful day it is.

    I love sunny days now that the sun is stronger.

    Today’s sun angle equivalence and amount of sunlight matches October 1st.

    September equivalent sun begins tomorrow.

  16. The rain Saturday will get rid of any final snow left around here, which again is incredible considering 6 days ago it looked like snowcompalypse. I think Boston will break record but it will be a couple weeks down the road when all this snow is gone, either way I believe winter is getting kicked out. Enjoy your day!! 40 degrees on truck

    1. Pats will get though this as they always do but man this really feels like the bungled the whole defense this offseason

      2. Pat’s blow chunks! Inexcusable to let the WHOLE defense go!!

        I HOPE they go 0-16, but with Brady that ain’t gonna happen.
        They’ll still win the division but get smoked in the play offs!!

        I don’t know what kind of magic fairy dust they’re going to sprinkle all over Gillette?

  18. Revis, browner, willfork, vereen am I missing anybody. Next they will let Blount walk again.

    1. The McCourty signing seems irrelevant now doesn’t it. McCourty is good dont get me wrong, but he is much more effective with good corners.

      1. Watching the return of Kyle Arrington next year at CB just has me spitting nails.

        Pats need to figure out how they’re gonna score an extra 10 pts. per game.

      1. I would have happily added some ham and bread and shipped him out of town, IF we could have kept Revis.

      1. Pats could have waltzed back to the Super Bowl. Now they
        will be extremely lucky to get there and will get annihilated should they ever make it there.

  20. Much cooler today, but yet another beautiful today with AMPLE melting going on.
    Tons of water on the streets as we drove to South Weymouth and back. Water
    everywhere from the melting with today’s bright sun.

    1. Our 12 foot snow pile is down to about 6 feet and the 10 foot pile is down to
      about 5 1/2 feet. That is a tremendous drop off.

  22. The latest CPC shows very cold but quite dry for the forseeable future. In spite of huge snow piles all over greater Boston, it may be time to put the snow shovels away for the season for all practical purposes, unless something occurs in early April or something sneaky this weekend. If only Boston had received that Cape snow last week the record would have been broken easily…another 50 miles north.

    Fwiw…Bri Eggers on Ch. 7 has mid-upper 40s for next week with no significant cold expected.

    1. Indeed. I say again, Where’s the Beef. This particular cold shot, if you really want to call it that, has NO MUSCLE at all. WIMPERING COLD is all.

      The big chill was supposed to arrive sometime On Tuesday or right after Tuesday. Now what happened to that?

      The slow melt continues. Should be gone next week some time.

  23. I am able to use most of the sidewalks in my neighborhood again, but I still have to walk the streets occasionally…still a lot of melting to do. The problem is that the street corners themselves have tons of snow piles on them.

      1. Not in my neighborhood of Dorchester. The snow pile in front of my house for example is just as high as it was last month. I wish I could say that I am exaggerating.

  24. What I find interesting is how the snow events lately have disappeared as abruptly as they began back in late January.

  25. Again, lots of melting, but I wished I live where some other posters live. Still have at least 18 inches covering most of my property and still have 2-3 foot mounds lining all of the roads in my subdivision, as well as the walkways and driveway, on which I used the snowblower. You guys with the fast melting must be down south. 🙂

    3. Marshfield still has 95-98 % of the ground snow covered.

      I’d say the avg depth is 4-8 inches. A couple spots a bit less, with places here and there over 1ft.

  27. I think it’s safe to say that here in Woburn we now have only 1/3 of the snow left we had at maximum snow depth and snow pile height. Rate of melting obviously much slower today but the strong March sun is still doing some work, as is the dry wind which sublimates some of the snow.

  28. Regarding snow chances try not to hug models too much, everyone. March and April storms tend to creep up on you when you least expect them. While I don’t expect any serious winter storms in the near future I am quite confident we are going to get snow in the next 21 days – certainly enough to break the record – and it’s going to be below average in terms of temperature for the foreseeable future. It’ll feel seasonal and not nearly as cold as February. But, it’s also not going to feel like spring for quite some time.

  29. I cant help but noticing ……

    On the GFS ….. surface low reflection is in the western Great Lakes and then over 24-36 hrs, it hits a wall and suddenly, its east-southeast of Cape Cod.

    Even though the EURO is a bit further north, it also strings the Great Lakes system out eastward, as opposed to moving it into SE Canada.

    I just wouldnt be surprised if in the 2nd half of the weekend event, a quick 1-3 inches of wet snow finds its way down into northern Mass and ……. could it possibly extend far enough south to get to Boston/Logan ?

        1. If a surprise does occur this weekend, it could very well be our last opportunity for this month?

          1. No, it will not be the last opportunity. March snow tends to be unseen by models until within a couple days, or even less, with some exceptions.

            1. Come to think of it, the 1997 April Fools Day storm was very much a surprise. I remember going to bed Sunday night with a forecast of just rain showers for Monday, then that next morning, the forecast became quite snowy to say the least.

              2. IIRC school must have cancelled ahead. We had planned on Sunday to head to the barn early, exercise and set up everything for horses and then head home ASAP. Snow started falling in am as I recall. And that is my fuzzy memory 🙂

                1. Rain gradually changed to snow late Monday morning here in Boston. It was mostly snow just after noon.

                2. Interesting. It started I know without fuzzy brain as snow in holliston and metrowest. While the kids exercised the horses, I stood outside the barn and enjoyed. I can still remember the feeling of knowing something big was coming and the beauty of the snow on the horses in the paddocks and the woods around

  30. We didn’t lose as much snow today. I now see the reindeers entire head. But I’d say a solid 18 inches of untouched snow with 4-5 feet of piles. I can see out of the driveway as I back out though.

    2. Most areas 0.50-1.00 inch. A few 1.00+ amounts from your area southward, if it works out the way I think it will. Should not cause more than just poor drainage flooding.

  32. We won’t be out of the woods for snow threats for a long while. It does not mean we will get a ton of snow in March. It means that the pattern will continue to support chances for some time to come.

    1. I’d be very surprised if anyone would doubt that the potential for another storm…or more…does not exist. I’ve said for a bit that the seasons seem to be shifting.

      1. there is a difference between potential and actually happening at this time of year. I would say it’s 50/50

          1. Here you go

            adjective
            1.
            having or showing the capacity to become or develop into something in the future.

        2. Might want to re-read my comment. I’ve been doing this a long time. I know how it goes in the late Winter and Spring, and the variability that goes along with it. 🙂

          2. wow I said I the potential of it snowing vs not snowing this time of year was 50/50. Is it not.

  35. Once again the jet stream lined up so we are the coldest part of the country. It’s in the 70’s in the Dakotas.

    1. Yes, that’s pretty incredible. It’s at or near 70F all the way up to the Canadian border in that part of the world.

  36. After Friday the following six days will be in the 40s isn’t this the norm for March .

      1. Agree. Don’t think we have any more days that stay below freezing, but I see plenty of days that are stuck in the 30s between now and April 1st. Especially on days when the cold is here and it’s partly to mostly cloudy. March and April usually have their fill of days like those (mid to upper 30s in March; upper 40s in April).

        1. All it takes is one anomalous air mass, like April 7 1982 when it stayed in the teens all day even in Boston.

  37. April 1, 1997 is forever etched in my memory. As I recall the rain started on the 31st of March and transitioned to snow in the afternoon, with thunder snow on April 1st (early morning). On the 30th, I took my family out to Concord, to Walden Pond, for a stroll. It was a warm spring day. Felt more like spring than yesterday, in fact. It was easily in the mid 60s. We sat near the beach and an old man struck up a conversation. He told me and my family that the weather would change dramatically soon and that it was going to be an “historic storm.” I must admit I was skeptical. Well, about 24 hours later I was not.

    1. I wasn’t in the country, but my father told me about it. I was here for the May 1980 storm. I believe it was 1980. The dogwood tree was beginning to bloom. It then snowed and really accumulated. Pasty, wet snow, and temps in the mid 30s. The dogwood, unfortunately, never seemed to recover from that unusual event.

      1. We had just a foot. Funny thing too is I think people (not here) see April 29 and forget how close that is to May

  39. Charlie euro has about .57 and GFS about .70 for boston. Gfs for PVD has about .86. So nowhere do I see 2 inches let alone 1. Maybe 1 is doable.

    In the future it’s good to have data to back up your statements.

  40. Average high temps for Boston next week start out at 46 and climb to 48.
    The actual highs will generally be from the middle 30s to lower 40s (below average).

    We’re not going above for any period of time any time soon.

  41. Thanks TK and Vicki for reminding me it was not May 1980, but May 1977. I am losing memory. It worries me sometimes. I’m only 50, but do not have the recall I had even a few years ago.

    1. You are not losing memory. You are doing fine. My daughter handed me a Popsicle the other day. I just looked at her and she realized it was for her little guy. She is 28. Kids do it all the time. We only worry about that as we get older.

      1. I was thinking the same thing, except I would have needed three paragraphs to explain what you said in 2 words.

        1. Like in Greenland, a long history of the climate thru the layers of ice …… You have a history of the 6 weeks of storms in the layers.

      3. Seriously??????? I KNEW that. I have to look up stuff here all the time which of course is a good thing. But this one I didnt. And Tom you are selling yourself short re explaining. And we all need to breathe a sigh of relief that I didn’t try to explain. And I don’t have to say why 🙂

  43. Smarch? Are you kidding me? He actually just tweeted that, what a joke! If I was a professional meteorologist I would be pissed at what Fisher is doing to your profession.

    1. Oh dear…….I like being here. I don’t want to get into it again. Been far too difficult a day already. May I politely suggest you just stop watching him 😀

  44. I have an idea. What think you TK and other WHW family? As I suggested coastal not watch eric I thought well perhaps I appropriately should not read comments about individuals. It is my responsibility too

    Only problem is that I am into them before I get the jist. And we all know that my self control has severe limits

    How about a comment be preceded by judgement alert …..similar to spoiler alert. Of substitute any word for judgement.

    1. In any forum you will always see posts that you highly disagree with or that “rub you the wrong way”. It’s just the nature of communication. Of course if you feel something crosses a certain line you are free to report it to the appropriate person. In the case of just reading something you don’t want to get into, as difficult as it is, the best bet is to just move on to the next thing. As you are entitled to state your opinion, any other person is entitled to do the same, subject to certain guidelines that are hopefully laid out beforehand and understood.

      If you REALLY want practice in self control, pick any random debatable public post on Facebook or YouTube or even an internet news story and go to the comments section and read. If you can hold back replying to people there, you can do it anywhere. 😉

      1. Between doctor appts and catching up. TK – did you just compare this blog to the ones on FB and on other Internet sites? 😉

  48. Good morning all. Had a nice day off yesterday.
    Was amazed at the melting going on yesterday.

    Woke up to 22 Degrees. Big Woof! WIMPY cold to say the least.

    Another beautiful day on tap, beautiful!!! MORE melting with it up around 40 or so
    with that sun. Sure some clouds may roll in, but much melting before that.

    re: Boston Snow record

    While I took a look ahead yesterday and was very disappointed, that same look
    ahead this morning yields a much more optimistic outlook.

    The GFS, CMC and EURO ALL hold out the promise of more than enough snow
    to topple the record at Logan. Very little to NONE this weekend, despite Tom’s
    best efforts. All systems are out there a tad, so too early to start posting snow maps.
    Excellent chance about the 21st and another on the 23rd.

    CMC actually wants to deposit some snow on St. Patrick’s Day with a NORLUN set up
    and about 8 inches for Boston. Likely NOT to happen, but “could”.

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015031300/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_19.png

    1. Again, wish I was excited about his melting as some people. I expect snow in my yards until at least April 1.

    1. Seems inevitable at this point. I suppose something could screw it up.
      Yesterday morning at this time the GFS barely showed an inch or 2 through
      3/28. Sure looks more active this morning, that’s for sure.

  51. PROGRAMMING ASSIGNMENT
    Spin a dozen tops, some clockwise and some counter-clockwise, made of barely set gelatin on an uneven surface in a room with several oscillating fans. Then write a program to predict the movement and interaction of each gelatin top every 6 hours out to 15 days.

    EXTRA CREDIT
    Add whipped cream and run program again.

    1. This is really juiced up from previous runs.

      This “could” present some problems for tomorrow.

    2. and if we multiply by .7, like we should during snowstorms and probably rainstorms too on the NAM, we have .7 to .98 inches. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

  54. I have an opinion on TV Mets and feedback and I hope its ok to share ……

    Without knowing the industry, my guess is TV anchors, reporters, meteorologists, etc …… really get a large percentage of their evaluation based on ……. being relevant.

    Of all the TV Mets in this market, by this definition, Pete B is the most watched, listened to, followed …….. relevant TV Met in Boston on this blog.

    See, to me, anytime there is feedback on a TV Met here on the blog, I take it only one way ……. its good news for them. Even in less positive feedback, it means the person giving that feedback is watching them. I think this is a good thing. They are relevant.

    In an analogy, Mike Felger drives me nuts. And I listen to him everyday. I never agree with him, but I cant stop listening to his opinions on sports. I would think Felger’s boss is thrilled that I am a listener, even if my feedback would not always be positive.

    Relevance ……….

    1. Interesting, but I don’t agree.

      To me what is important is whether or not the person in question is good or not. IF I think someone is not good at what they do, then that someone
      is irrelevant to me.

      People here know my thoughts on Mets, so I won’t even go there.

      I will, however, respond to your Felger reference.

      I listen to him all of the time. There are times that I can’t stand him and there are other times I think he is great. There are times I disagree with him and times I agree. He is direct and often obnoxious, however, it is refreshing for
      him to “tell it like it is”. He is not a homer. He does NOT bow down to the
      various teams. To me, yes, he is relevant.

      Callahan, Dennis and Minihane are Irrelevant to me. They don’t exist in my mind.

      1. Oh, I agree with the logic of your 2nd paragraph.

        That makes perfect reasonable sense to me.

        I guess I was just trying to give an opinion that all feedback, even negative feedback is not a bad thing. We’re all human, we’d probably like all feedback to be positive, but, even in negative feedback, I guess I was attempting to see the positive side of it.

        I guess, if I had the choice, I’d rather get negative feedback than no feedback at all. At least in negative feedback, people are listening. They might not be agreeing, but they are listening. With no feedback and with the way our society is very opinionated, if your not getting feedback, you are not being listened to.

        1. Oh, I understand you completely and I suppose there
          is truth to what you say. I just look at it a little bit
          differently. 😀

          What a gorgeous day out there!!!

    2. Tom – interesting view. And it makes excellent sense. I will now look at any “opinions” re the mets as compliments….backhanded or not. Thanks.

  55. 12Z NAM does NOT want to throw Snow in here on the back side other
    than some flurries/snow showers with little to no accumulation.

    We shall see what the GFS has to say.

    Coastal develops too far North to bring us any meaningful snow.
    Warming aloft is just too well established by that time.

  57. WOW! I just checked the observations.

    At 10AM, Logan was still ONLY 29!!! To me, that was a bit of a surprise.
    I expected it to be up around 36 or 37 buy that time.

    I wonder what this might mean for tomorrow AM when the precipitation commences.

    Hmmmm

  64. Definitely colder today than expected today. Don’t think it impacts the weekend system much. The low is an inside runner, which will result in a southeasterly wind. I don’t expect it to warm up a lot tomorrow, but it’ll be above freezing with rain at the coast. Interior sections will have some ice/mix initially, and the mountains (above 2500 feet) will get quite a bit of snow. There may be some backside snow at the coast, but I’m doubtful about accumulation. This said, next week looks to have several legitimate snow chances at the coast one of which should put us over the top in terms of the record. It’s going to be a cold week or two (maybe even three) with winter throwing and landing a few jabs and an upper-cut on spring.

  65. This winter’s 6-week snow blitz and sustained cold have negatively impacted the economy. Unfortunately, the impact has been worse than analysts initially predicted. Notably, retail sales have slumped, so much so that estimates on our GDP have been downgraded. Consumption is the engine of growth. On the plus side, Americans appear to be saving more than they used to. This usually translates into investment, which has benefits down the road. But, generally more savings does not have a positive immediate impact.

  67. Here is some good news:

    Scott Zolak retweeted
    Adam Schefter ‏@AdamSchefter 32m32 minutes ago
    Former Bills TE Scott Chandler is staying in AFC East, reaching agreement with Patriots, per league source. Patriots add some TE depth.

    In my opinion, this is an excellent move for the Pat’s Offense, but hey, what about
    some Defensive help???

  68. 12Z CMC has COMPLETELY dropped any snow at all for the 17th. Gee there’s a big surprise!!!

    AND as bright as it looked this morning for the record to be Broken, it now looks
    hopeless again!!

    CMC=> NO SNOW
    GFS => NO SNOW

    In fact here is the 12Z GFS snow map through 12Z on 3/29, virtually the rest of the month:

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015031312&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=384

    See enough snow there to break the record? I don’t at all.

    NIP and TUCK to be sure. Will we or won’t we? that is the question.
    I don’t have a clue, other than to say common sense would dictate YES we will.
    But Mother Nature doesn’t always listen to common sense.

  70. re: Pat’s

    Speaking with a colleague at work about the defense.
    It appears that the Pat’s plan is go with a zone defense
    and at the same time beef up the “D” line and the line backing corp
    to get a for REAL pass rush to make the zone defense workable.

    Don’t think they have much choice in the matter now.

    It WILL get them to the play offs. Can it win them another Super Bowl?
    We shall see.

    1. 2001-2014
      Regular season Win loss: 170-54
      Super Bowls: 6
      Rings: 4

      I will drink that coolaid all day long.

      2. My Take and please excuse me if this hits a nerve or whatever.
        I’m sick and tired of them doing it the hard way. Yes, they did do it the right way last year sort of, but in General they try to do it on the CHEAP!!! I think KRAFT is the cheapest S.O.B. on the planet. All the stuff he does is for show only. His only desire is to make a CRAP LOAD of MONEY. Give a few million to the players OR keep it for himself. HIMSELF every time!

        Sorry, but I feels the way I feels. I’M SICK OF IT!
        SICK TO DEATH OF IT!!!!

        Sure they may make it again next year, BUT it will be the
        HARD WAY for sure!!!!

        End of rant and back to weather.

        1. Old Salty, your passion for weather and the Pats is rivaled by few. It’s awesome.

          Each winter I hope to be allowed to add a new truck or plow or salter. More often than not I am left to make the best of what our budgets allow. Yes, this winter would have been better if I had a 2014 truck with a brand new power angle V plow added to the fleet. Instead I had to make due with the worn out tired 2009 with a straight plow. It got the job done though.

          I got a lot respect for the Pats front office. They annually make tough decisions but they have a gameplan and are disciplined to follow it.
          The 2014 roster would not have looked the same if we paid market value for the Seymours, Vinetaris, the Branches, the Samuels, the welkers etc…
          These prime of their career players demand long term big budget contracts which have ripple effects for years into the future (I think Yankees).

          I am excited to see what next year brings.

  71. OS, you know these models at 7+ days out are going to keep changing cycle by cycle. Important thing is that the pattern conducive to colder than normal temps and some snow threats is there the rest of the month. The period next weekend in particular (3/21-3/23) has been consistently signaled by the models for a threat. As I have been saying, the bigger question is not whether the record will be broken, but by how much. 2″ is not very hard to attain in a typical March. There seems to be some opinion now with many that we have suddenly flipped the switch and are in a pattern where it doesn’t want to snow anymore. Keep in mind it is only been a little over a week since our last measurable snow!

    1. Of course. I understand that. It is a colder pattern and it can snow at any time.
      Will it? That’s a horse of a different color. I want the record broken as much as the next person, if not more.

      Frankly, I’d feel better if we had some model consistency. It has been
      a JOKE! 3 major models, 3 completely different solutions. AND it is totally an completely different with each run cycle. yeah I know, it’s Spring time and they are having their problems…..

      As I said above, it would appear that the record should be broken easily.
      However, that does NOT mean it will be.

      Time will tell.

      Would NOT surprise me to see it NOT broken in March, but end up be broken
      in April, if not May for that matter. At this point, it would really take some
      doing to surprise me. 😀

      This Winter has been a corker!

        1. Can’t argue with that. It is what it is. Did someone say that before?

          Given that, we’re into a cold pattern. Doesn’t take much.
          We shall see.

        2. I am just talking about accumulating snow events. Did it shut off monster storm after monster storm? Sure. But you are never going to be able to keep that pace up forever.

  72. I measured an average of 13-16″ of snow depth remaining in my yard yesterday in Coventry, CT. That’s down from a max of 26″ I measured last Wednesday. I would not be surprised if a storm materializes next weekend that we are able to maintain snowpack until April 1 this year. I am out in the country somewhat and up in elevation at 700′ so can usually hold onto it a bit longer.

    1. I measured 14-15 inches in my yard. It’s pretty hard/icy type snow.
      This snow won’t melt as easily as the snow did before. BUT it’s fighting
      that ever higher sun angle. Will NOT make it to April 1st without some
      replenishing.

      1. That’s pretty crazy. I have “only” 82.5″ on the year right now but that’s still about two feet less than what you guys have gotten. I guess that’s the difference in rate of snowmelt between urban/suburban locations.

        1. Yes, agree. Dirty snow melts faster than pristine snow.
          PLUS, We’re less than 100 feet in elevation and you are
          at 700 feet. That does make a difference.

  73. 12z Euro still winding up a big coastal storm for next weekend but swings just offshore and misses us on this run. Dumps a foot of snow on Richmond, VA though (per eurowx.com snowmap). The cold air is going to be there, but if the air mass is too strong we may need to worry more about suppression than rain/snow line.

    1. Right, just like January! And then we’ll transition back into the Snow Blitz portion around about April 1st or Easter Sunday! 😀 😀

    2. Dangerously close to having those upper winds turn and bring it up here.
      Let’s see how this shakes out.

  74. The models will continue to see-saw and play hide-and-seek. I’ve found that to be more typical in March than any other month. Sort of goes with the character type. March is high maintenance. I think we get sneaky snow and that it happens sooner than we think.

    Coastal is right to point out the lack of much snow in Boston for the past 25 days. After that last storm it seemed inevitable that the record would fall and that Boston would be besieged by more epic snows. That didn’t happen. Squeezing out the last few inches has been excruciating if you’re someone who wants the record to fall. I’m not in that boat, but the diminishing returns in terms of snow are noticeable. It’s like a growth curve whose slope is really steep at first – exponential – and then flattens over time approaching being horizontal.

    This reminds me a little of September 1979 when Yaz was trying to get his 3000th hit. After 2999 he went into a slump and couldn’t buy a hit. In fact, his 3000th hit was a seeing-eye single under Willie Randolph’s glove. But, it counted as a hit. The 2 inches we get between now and the end of snow season will also go into the record books.
    One of the best analogies

  75. Was just out and about. 40 degrees and a lovely afternoon! Was snowing 31 years ago today…about a 10-12 inches.

  77. Looked up Bretton Woods ski resort to see the snow report. 2 inches reported in the last 48 hours. 162 inches reported this season. More incoming tomorrow and Sunday, though there will be a mix at lower elevations. They will probably be open late this year.

    1. My cousins family is there this week. They said it is beautiful. My brother said even sunapee is great skiing

    1. You said it.

      http://www.weather.gov/box/

      THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
      RAIN ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT
      SATURDAY.

      * LOCATIONS…NORTHERN CONNECTICUT…NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND…AS
      WELL AS WESTERN…CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

      * HAZARD TYPES…FREEZING RAIN.

      * ACCUMULATIONS…AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

      * TIMING…LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

    2. And how well has this model been performing this Winter? 😉
      I used to like it – last year.

  85. Thinking the incoming rainfall will help prolong the snow pack due to temps maybe to 40 with .75qpf. Not much melting there and will freeze into a 10-15 thick block of ice. Tough to melt at that point

    1. Good point and I agree. Won’t lose too much tomorrow. It will absorb some
      of the rain and some will run off. When it freezes, yes, indeed a block of ice.

      1. Guys you are treating this like it is mid-January rain over a snow pack and the cold and sunshine to follow is mid winter variety. It will negate more of the snow pack.

        Ok back to my regularly scheduled wound licking for my colder further south forecast for this weekend. What a jack ass I am!

        1. I agree it will melt off quicker with the stronger sun, but overall, deep “frozen” snow will hang around a few days longer. Don’t get down on yourself as you were spot on this year forecasting, especially the Jim Cantore event with heavier totals at the north/South shores.

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