12:47AM
SUMMARY…
Briefly milder air that was only of limited enjoyability due to wet weather Thursday will be replaced by colder weather in the days ahead. It won’t be continuously cold, but temperatures during the next 1 to 2 weeks will continue to run below normal in southeastern New England, and after some recent dry weather, we’re turning to a wetter than average pattern, which will include some potential Spring snow. A couple of these threats exist during the next 7 days. First, as milder air is gradually replaced by colder air during Friday, areas of rain may mix with sleet. But Saturday, an inverted trough and even colder air spells a chance of snow. Not a big storm, but some accumulation is possible especially on unpaved surfaces. By Sunday, drier air will work down from the north, and though cool, it will likely be a bright day. Another low pressure system will approach early next week as March ends. This system will depart heading into the first day of April next Wednesday, based on current timing, but another system will likely be right on its heels as the active pattern is firmly established.
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
OVERNIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers, most numerous across southeastern MA with a chance of thunder, and another area northwest of Boston diminishing toward dawn. Areas of fog and drizzle. Temperatures steady in the 40s. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy. Occasional rain showers possibly mixed with sleet. Temperatures falling from the 40s to the upper 30s. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers evening. Chance of snow showers overnight. Temperatures fall to the lower 30s. Wind N to NNE 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of snow with some accumulation likely on unpaved surfaces. Temperatures in the 30s. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Low 22. High 44.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 33. High 45.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Low 29. High 40.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 28. High 49.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. PM rain/mix. Low 29. High 44.
TK thank you. In Fort Myers where it is warm and a little muggy. Went to see the Sox yesterday. Possible rain storm today.
Thanks TK !
Even the EURO has the April Fools morning joke, errrrr, I mean small system.
And the first 10 days of the GFS run ……..
Holy 0z GFS. All out blizzard nearly.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navm.html?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015032700&fh=12&xpos=0&ypos=0
wrong link Hadi. See mine below.
Good morning and thank you TK.
1st re: Saturday
0Z NAM and GFS were quite bullish on snow for Saturday, dropping 3-5 inches
across the area. 6Z Runs BACKED WAY off and only deposit an inch or 2 at best.
6Z run? Real? Let’s see what the 12Z runs say.
2nd: re: April 1st. 0Z GFS has a little system and gives us some snow.
6z run takes it much farther North brining us some rain. What to believe here?
Wait till 12Z Runs
3rd: Re: April 4th
0z GFS has a WALLOPALOOZA
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2015032700&var=PCPPRSTMP_2m&hour=219
waiting to see the big change with 6Z run.
It looks like the 6Z run has lost it. I think there might be something wrong with
the 6Z run. How does it go from all out monster to NOTHING?
I mean not a changed position of the storm or different intensity, but
to go to NOTHING? Something isn’t right.
GONE baby Gone! POOF!
To Tom’s point about April 1st and the Euro, a nice little April fools bundle
here. Something like 2-4 or 3-5 inches.
http://i.imgur.com/fwE6zqS.png
Thanks TK
Got snowflakes mixing in with the rain outside my window now.
Cool.
SREF still wants to deliver 1-3 inches for Boston tomorrow.
12z runs today will be very interesting.
oops
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SNOWFALL_MEAN12HR_f042.gif
It’s under 40 here now.
Both NAM and GFS say by 7AM, Temperatures at 850MB will drop BELOW
freezing. Hmmm What does the rest of the column look like?
There are some pretty heavy echoes out there. With the heavy ones, I could
see some snow mixing in even in the City.
I’ll be watching.
Its all snow far northwest CT.
Although there was significant snow melt yesterday, looking out in the yard
and neighbor’s yards, there is still plenty of snow left here. Estimating 6-8 inches
of that solid icy crap.
Yard still covered here.
Based on 0Z guidance, NWS thoughts for tomorrow/tomorrow night:
WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS SET-UP
CLOSELY AS WE COULD HAVE A SURPRISE 3 TO 4 INCH AMOUNTS SOMEWHERE
ALONG THE EAST MASS COASTLINE.
Channel 5 snow map for tomorrow
https://scontent-lga.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xap1/v/l/t1.0-9/11075143_915997595089168_5394826260614829221_n.jpg?oh=8ecf85d91f48e0acf79191000f67645c&oe=55B37A08
Can I just say this sucks. Can’t even get consistent 50’s now and sun.
Patience my good man. It’s still only March 27th.
Spring will be a tad late this year. It’s still coming. It hasn’t been
cancelled.
The 0z GFS link which Hadi posted for today is matching up nicely with the radar looks like now with snow northwest CT and rain everywhere else in SNE.
Time to make the donuts. Later.
Tweaked the wording slightly. Just enough hidden potential tomorrow not to turn your back on this. Still think under 2 inches for most areas that see accumulation though.
Thank you TK
JRs snow comments for tomorrow mirror ch 5 map. He also said he doesn’t think Old man winter is done with us yet; so, yep, we will see snow in April.
I thought winter was over? Also it doesn’t snow in April
Charlie you think snow is done 
Winter’s over Bud.
On average, solid 6 inches of snow in my yard. Some areas are down to bare grass where they are exposed to the sun while other areas still have a foot or so of SNOW. Not quite ready to fertilize just yet
I’d say we are at a 6-8 inch depth also. We lost a lot yesterday. Oddest part is the area that gets most sun does not have bare spots but a large bare spot arrived in an area we share with our neighbors yard that gets mid to late pm sun only. The banks surrounding the house are melting at a far slower rate
Sounds very similar to our area, although we have perhaps a tad less.
On the same subject. I cannot believe the difference in snow cover
between my house in JP and at the office in Roxbury, a mere few miles away.
HUGE difference. Most of the snow is gone here. The ball fields I pass near
the office are completely bare. Nothing but green field turf!!
At home, it still looks like the North Pole!
The hospital area surprised us yesterday, OS. Nothing there either
I’d propose that tomorrow may overachieve for another reason ……
Check out the cold in the Midwest.
I get that its late March, tomorrow is the 28th, high sun angle and all that.
But, that isn’t a marginal cold air mass in the upper Great Lakes and southern Canada.
Its a decent late season, polar air mass.
This is not to imply it will be 22F when its snowing. But something tells me it isn’t going to be 36F either. Perhaps closer to 32F or 33F. And if the intensity is there, it may accumulate better during daylight than might seem reasonable to expect.
I believe you to be correct in your analysis.
My only concern is the total qpf. I think the 06Z runs were trash.
The 0Z runs were very bullish for snow in our area. Very bullish.
6Z runs went poof. I don’t see that happening and suspect 12Z runs
will be pushing the snow again.
Even the NWS is worried about 3-4 inch amounts.
I have a meeting from 10:30 to about 2:30 today and I am NOT
pleased about that. You all will have the info before I can even have a peek
at it.
Low 40s and rain: How fun! The ponding and puddles are having trouble draining into the ground because it’s been frozen for so long and it hasn’t exactly warmed up. Even yesterday wasn’t warm enough to completely defrost the ground. As a result, it’s a real mess out there on sidewalks, walkways, and even some of the streets. A lot of water that can’t go anywhere. Reminds me of Vermont in March, more than Boston in March.
Winter returns this weekend, except in North Attleboro where it’s currently 71F and sunny.
…and covered with lush green grass and fully green leafed trees and budding flowers
Hit 78 today in Jerusalem. We just had to “spring forward” last night, so I had the pleasure of doing that twice this year. Curious to see how much sno I have left when I get back. I’m guessing I won’t be taking out the deck furniture over Passover, which is when I usually do that.
What a special trip.
A yearly reminder popped up on my calendar last week reminding me not to have deck power washed until the “noses” had completely fallen from the overhanging maple tree. Clearly I won’t be thinking about power washing or even walking on deck for quite a while.
Interesting article. I like her likening the plants to the canaries in the coal plant. I think we have a lot of canaries that are being ignored
https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2015/03/26/new-england-plants-face-signicant-threat/2VQsLXGE3ufdXqIsXqJwRL/story.html
Just took a look at the 0z Euro. It is not as bullish at all about snow tomorrow for what its worth. However, its got a big April Fool’s Day joke with the Wednesday system dumping up to 6″ of snow on eastern MA and 1-3″ on CT. It has the Easter weekend storm as well but it is a cutter. 1-2 feet of snow NW of its track but that is confined to northern Michigan and southern Ontario.
Definitely looks stormy next weekend. Will be interesting to track this over the next several days as the weather outcomes will vary considerably based on track. If this thing tracks south and east of us, look out.
Just saw that the Germanwings pilot had a medical illness he kept secret from his employer and had a medical leave note for the day of the crash that he ripped up and was found in the garbage in his apartment.
What kind of medical illness?
Assume it was for mental illness but the report didn’t say for sure. He was deemed “unfit to work” and was receiving medical treatment for his condition from a doctor for some time.
One of my colleagues thinks 3-5 inches on unpaved surfaces quite possible tomorrow.
There ya go. Not surprised at all.
12Z NAM wants to throw a fair amount of QPF at us tomorrow.
Still running.
It’s also likely to be a degree or 2 colder than modeled.
Even better. But wait, it Can’t snow this time
of year.
OS as my failing memory serves me, I believe won’t was also used
Your memory serves you just fine Vicki as that was definitely used.
Here is the NAM snow map.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032712&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
Backs up what TK just said, no?

Decent map IMO.
I think MOST areas come in under 3. But watch for a POSSIBLE band of heavier favoring PVD area north and east for some distance and of course higher elevations.
That’s the Charlie hole!
12z GFS snowmap for tomorrow. A general 1-3″ with the “jackpot” in the Worcester and eastern CT hills.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2015032712&fh=18&xpos=0&ypos=264
I screwed that link up. This is the right one:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2015032712&fh=72&xpos=0&ypos=0
Here is the 12Z RGEM snowmap for tomorrow. I like this model for short range.
3.5 to 5 inches across the area.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015032712/rgem_asnow_neus_16.png
See that little strip of purplish color….I think it goes right through Framingham
Probably just a “tad” South of you.
I knew that but you could have left me to dream
Sorry. Just trying to be real. Perhaps
the 18Z RGEM will paint a nice purple
BLOB right over Framingham.
Jackpot at my house. Great!
Somehow Jackpot just doesn’t sound right any more unless it is several feet
Also looks to be more at daughter’s house
AGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH !!!!!
Yes, that’s a scream of disgust.

Its 28F in Buffalo, with a dewpoint of 22F.
Its in the mid teens in upper Michigan.
Some of that cold, (along with a bit of the dry air to bring down our current 35F to 40F dew points), gets mixed into this scenario and tomorrow could get very, very interesting.
Cold aloft now. Blue hill at 620
Feet is 37.
When this rain moves in later
This evening I dont imagine
It would take too long to change over.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php
Oh, agreed.
I just keep seeing signs that from mid day on tomorrow, through tomorrow evening, it could get quite cold for late March standards.
Perhaps snow and 33F at noon, but snow and 29F by 5pm.
I just think we may translate well into snow whatever melted amount of precip we might get.
Yes. NAM wants to lay down
.4 to .6 inch QPF. If it gets as cold as you say, some of it may fall at more than 10:1, say 12:1 or so.
Let’s say .3 at 10:1 and .3 at 12:1
Hmmm some places “could” get 6 or 7 inches.
I wonder what the 18Z NAM and RGEM have to say.
And while we are at it, the RGEM snow map was based on 10:1. Hmmmm
Btw 12z gfs has also lost the system
For 4/4.
The Euro April Fool’s joke is now South
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2015032712/ecmwf_mslpa_us_6.png
And now the Euro has a system for April 4th, but it is North
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2015032712/ecmwf_mslpa_us_9.png
Well if we do get a few inches tomorrow that’s fine it will melt quickly.
Any snow that falls this time of year melts quickly. Last Saturday all the new snow that fell at my house melted in the afternoon. I had 3 inches.
Sorry to hear that.
18Z still bullish for SNOW tomorrow. Still Cranking, but has
.4 to .5 inch qpf already at hour 31.
NAM is the Most BULLISH yet for tomorrow.
Minimum of 4 inches across the area, with qpf of .5 to .6 with a bit more to go.
This means IF what Tom is suggesting above, this qpf “could” translate to
MORE than the 4 inches the map shows.
18Z NAM snow map
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032718&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
http://i.imgur.com/UhJBjJP.png
QPF
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032718&time=PER&var=APCPI&hour=048
http://i.imgur.com/ujjlWzc.png
NWS snow map. A bit conservative? I dunno. We shall see.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBIZ0D2U0AAZFTv.jpg
Please note: They mentioned Moderate to Heavy SNOW BANDS.
Hmmm
Agree I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 5-6 inch mark in some locations. Winter is not done yet clearly. What happens to the lime that charlie has put down when it snows on top of it?
Wouldn’t surprise me. Sure will be interesting.
Pelletized lime is kinda useless anyways, takes years for a single application to actually soak into the soil enough to have a significant impact on the pH of the soil.
Special Weather statement from the NWS:
http://www.mattnoyes.net/alerts/2015/03/weather-advisory-special-weather-statement-14.html
OR here:
http://www.weather.gov/box/
Channel 4 Map:
Would you believe that snow has fallen on 9 consecutive weekends, dating back to late January? More snow is in the forecast.
More from WBZ Weather: http://cbsloc.al/1CtrLoJ
https://fbcdn-sphotos-e-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xfa1/v/t1.0-9/11080947_10153175201672010_4993552735366201511_n.jpg?oh=5ad0151cd3aa541eda5ba27d6890d913&oe=55B3A6B5&__gda__=1438554968_a6c1927a56f563e24214b9a160db01db
General consensus is 1-3 inches. Personally, I think that is a bit conservative.
I would have gone with 2-4 inches with isolated higher amounts to cover me fanny.
On 2nd thought, for the time of year and boundary layer temperatures,
perhaps it is spot on. However, I still think we get some higher totals.
We shall see.
Framingham patch sent out announcement that is has been 10 consecutive weekends here. I didn’t know that.
Pete seems to be downplaying tomorrow’s snow potential. Showing 56 next Thursday and 59 Friday.
RGEM QPF
http://meteocentre.com/models/get_accum.php?mod=gemreg&run=18&type=PR&hi=000&hf=048&mode=latest&lang=en&map=qc
About 15MM or .6 inch
Tropical tidbits snow map almost ready. Will post in a few.
RGEM Snow map
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015032718/rgem_asnow_neus_16.png
Marshfield jackpot!!
18Z GFS has everything setting up SW of the Boston area with less snow for Boston.
Run not complete yet.
GFS snow map
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032718&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
Btw, best I can determine all starts between 2 and 5 AM.
Well I’d better rush to the supermarket
Keep in mind that the RGEM snow map is 10:1 and this will probably be more like 8:1 or thereabouts, and it also doesn’t take into account the ground temperature.
I like a coating to 2 inches unpaved surfaces with potential 2-4 inch pockets.
Thanks TK. I’ll take a pocket please
Is tomorrow the last opportunity for accumulating snow for the season TK? I know that you preach that we still have to be on guard for snow in April but based on the TV mets 7-days, it appears that Easter weekend will be quite mild with temps at least well into the 50s…however today’s CPC outllook defintely says otherwise (cold & stormy).
I’m not buying a warm Easter Weekend, at least for all of it. Warm sector? Perhaps. And it’s not the final opportunity. You can’t really even determine that until you’re well into May, given history.
Go with the CPC outlook.
Coming up on the 1984 storm March 29. A 3 year old, a 16 day old, no power for four days and I have fond memories. Btw that followed a significant march 13 storm that year
1984
A strong nor’easter battered New England. The central pressure of the storm dropped to 963 millibars (equivalent to a Category 3 hurricane) over the Atlantic east of New Jersey. Winds gusted to 108 mph at Blue Hill Observatory in Milton, MA and to 97 mph at Martha’s Vineyard. 8 to 16 inches of heavy wet snow fell in interior southern New England. Numerous thunderstorms also accompanied this spring blizzard. One thunderstorm produced a microburst at Southborough, MA which flattened about five acres of red pines; a most unusual occurrence for a nor’easter.
And several cloud-to-ground lightning strikes including a couple houses hit in the Reading MA area.
That was the “lean into the wind 45 degrees and not fall over” storm.
Yep I remember that. I also remember far too many to count branches cracking as loudly as thunder as they broke. Tough time for wet snow. Commute challenged most of the non super storms
I’d be more optimistic on snow tomorrow if the timing were different. I think a solid half inch of QPF is on the way for most of eastern MA. But it’ll be a pretty long duration, slow pacing event, mostly in the daylight hours, and with the high sun angle, 1-3″ on unpaved surfaces will probably do it for most areas. In January this could be a 5-8″ event.
That would be the case for sure with that QPF.
Daytime events in Spring are tough on accumulation, unless it’s a solid storm like the one mentioned just above (3-29-1984), a daytime event of about a solid foot, full-fledged snowstorm.
I get the feeling that tomorrow will snow like crazy all day long and have little or nothing to show for it…a typical spring snow event. It always used to frustrate me as a kid and it still does now as an adult.
That stuff never bothered me, even as a kid. I thought it was neat how it could snow so long and hardly accumulate. For me, just the process of the snow falling was always more exciting than what was sitting on the ground, except when I wanted to sled, make a snowman, or something like that.
I posted a picture of Pete’s 7-day which included Pete’s arm and a caption which Pete himself has taken a liking to on Facebook. What he was doing at the time was funny and I basically summarized it in the caption.
I laughed when I saw it. Its his (and your) quirky sense of humor. Love it.
I was gonna email him to see if 7 would relax and let him list here. Maybe that isn’t a good idea.
Almost any 7-day forecast (except TK’s) I take with a grain of salt. The same group of forecasters said last week it would be 60F on Thursday, 53F today, and rain showers tomorrow. As I mentioned before shave at least 3 degrees and often more off of almost any 7-day forecast forecast. I say this in part because of the very cold ocean water which will make it much harder for Boston to get to 60F and above for while. [Interior may be a different story. All depends on wind direction.] Suppose, for example, we get a southeast wind rainstorm next weekend, folks, I can almost assure you it will not be in the upper 50s. No, instead it’ll likely be a very dank, raw low to mid 40s. The kind of weather we got today, be prepared for a lot more of it in the coming weeks. However much many people understandably want spring to happen, I’d rather that weather people remind their audience that sweet, delightful spring weather is unusual in these parts at this time of year. This is my only beef with Pete B (nice person, good forecaster), who for close to a month has declared: 1. no more snow; 2. higher temperatures than have occurred; 3. the mantra that spring’s around the corner. I think Pete deep down knows that what he’s saying is in part catering to the audience. Most of that audience wants spring, warmth, no more snow, etc …
From Pete….
So back to the spring thing. This time of year, my forecasts are admittedly shaky, (just like the pizza joint from long ago…wait, that had an ‘e’ in it.) and the 7 day forecast can turn around on a dime. Transition seasons are fraught with high variability thanks to the yin and yang of fast-moving cold and warmth. Solar gain is a huge wildcard too. It can turn a long range snowstorm into a rainstorm in a heartbeat. So when you’re making plans in the coming weeks, keep that in mind. Especially in the next 7-10 days, confidence is running low.
Silly man
Pete’s very smart. I like reading his stuff.
Me too. I also like you and think you are very smart. Pete is quirky but an exceptional met as they all are. The trick with Pete is to never take a few words…they will almost always be out of context
It’s a shame that those that run the stations force the meteorologists to make 7-day forecasts. I wonder if any studies have ever been done to see how wrong or right these forecasts are on the 5th – 7th days.
Regarding Pete and all TV mets…
Yes occasionally I will make a comment that I don’t agree with one or more, and will often mention them by name. When I do that it’s really just in the sense of a forecasting difference of opinion on how things play out. And while I have my favorites that I follow in the media, I have great respect for all of them for getting up in front of the camera and trying to find a balance between the actual scientific info and the fact that they are working for a media outlet and have a boss (or bosses) to answer to and satisfy. I don’t envy that part of it one single bit.
Now as it turns out, I’m Facebook friends with Pete. No, we don’t chat all the time but the online friendship only came about due to our mutual interest in weather and informing people about it. Do I always agree with him? Of course not. Just like I don’t always agree with Harvey, Barry, or any of those guys and gals out there. And I’m sure the ones that may happen upon this blog would not always agree with my assessment of the upcoming atmospheric happenings. Some of them stop by to read this blog but can’t post for obvious reasons. They’re used to seeing the criticism that may come up from time to time. Believe me, it’s probably far nicer than some of the emails and tweets they probably get.
… But they know that just comes with the territory. And today it’s so much easier to blast off a nasty email or tweet or FB post to any of these media people. Once upon a time you had to pick up a phone that was probably tethered to the wall, and call the station with a legitimate complaint, and of course you could always write a letter to your favorite or least-favorite weather or news person and air your grievances. Or you could even take it a step further and mail the failed fried egg on the sidewalk that you attempted because one of your local meteorologists used the phrase “hot enough to fry an egg on the sidewalk” and you took it a little too literally (yes it really happened to a Boston TV met). It’s a little harder to send an egg over the internet, so a picture and a nasty tweet will just have to do. 
Don’t forget earth hour is tomorrow night. For the first year my older grand will stay up to participate. Time to get the youngest generation involved:)
http://www.earthhour.org
8:30-9:30
Little ironic that many of those photos have huge light displays and not sure if one had fireworks? Point is both are considered bad by these groups. Kind of like the mess the earth day people leave behind in the parks.
I believe many of the displays are formed by candles. And camera lenses create much of the effects.
00z NAM pretty juiced up
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032800&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=032
Temp 34 here
00z NAM keeps it snowing nearly all tomorrow night.
0z GFS
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032800&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=033
0Z GFS
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032800&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
0Z RGEM
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015032800/rgem_asnow_neus_16.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015032800/rgem_apcpn_neus_16.png
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemreg_amer_qc_00/accum/PR_000-048_0000.gif
15MM = .6 inch.
Latest HRRR total snowfall as of 16Z tomorrow or NOON:
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_ncep_jet/2015032801/t3/acsnw_t3sfc_f15.png
Latest runs of the NAM and GFS showing a little up tick in snowfall for SNE.
So, is this little event tomorrow officially an “Inverted Trough”.
Watched channel 5 due to the basketball game on 4.
Wankum clearly depicted a trough extending from off shore low right into Massachusetts. If this is the case, is there SURPRISE potential here?
Each run seems to add a wee bit to the snow totals.
Ryan Maue retweeted
Mark Searles @NBC10_Mark 2h2 hours ago
Latest NAM for Saturday evening focuses inverted trough over eastern MA…steadiest snow showers aftn/evening
Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno 5h5 hours ago
like the look of 500 mb Euro to get good precip back into eastern MA.if this was mid to late feb I would fcst 3-6/4-8
Latest run of GFS showing a general 2-4 inch snowfall.
I got 6 out 8 teams in elite 8. Too bad that first day last Thursday killed me in the pool I was in.
Starting to snow here in JP.
Not surprised …..
Logan’s dewpoint falls another degree to 30F.
Somewhat drier, then colder air starting to advect in.
I think temps fall to 33F or 34F through early afternoon, then lower by evening, when the snow really starts to accumulate.
6z nam still showing widespread 3 inches and jackpot right over JP and boston.
Snow is over, Hadi. Can’t happen. Let it go. Winters over, bud.
Snowing here now as well
I got snow to for the second straight weekend in spring. Spotty coating on the grass.
I got nothin.
Clouds and 35 in North Reading. Radar I am looking at makes it appear that the snow is farther East and it is staying there for the next few hours at least. Will we be getting into that at some point?
6z NAM for today
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032806&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=033
6z GFS for today
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032806&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=033
Snowing in North Attleboro.
6Z NAM Snow map
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032806&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036
Qpf
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032806&time=PER&var=APCPI&hour=036
6Z GFS snow
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032806&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
Qpf
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032806&time=PER&var=APCPI&hour=048
6Z NAM Radar reflectivity for 18Z today. Pretty impressive!!
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=ref&runtime=2015032806&fh=12&xpos=0&ypos=260
however look at the 6Z NAM snowmap at 10:1
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2015032806/namconus_asnow_neus_29.png
6Z 4KM NAm snow map
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015032806/nam4km_asnow_neus_21.png
And your WINNER IS: 6Z RGEM snowmap
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015032806/rgem_asnow_neus_16.png
.
36 here and spitting snow. Just hasn’t got going yet. On the verge.
Greetings from the Museum of Science! Cub Scout overnight… The cold air felt great loading up the car. Back in for the planetarium and Omni show twin bill before heading home. Looking forward to some snow.
For our area, this NWS snow depth map looks good.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBLqnDkUkAAY9J0.jpg
IN ACCURATE FOR MAY AREA. I HAVE AROUND 10 TO 12
Well, then change the Our in my Post to “My”.
Jeez I thought winter was over !!!
Here is a pessimistic/conservative NWS snow map. Highly dependent on
temperature.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBK6Y6cWoAAwae3.png
HRRR total snowfall through 8PM tonight. Hmmm
Looks remarkably similar to the NWS snow map. Hmmmm
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_ncep_jet/2015032809/t3/acsnw_t3sfc_f15.png
HRRR has never been bullish on this one. Not sure why. Now Cast and radar watching is the only way to go.
Radar indicates this means business. Looking like it wants to really get going here.
http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ma/boston/box/?region=bml
Snow has really filled in across SNE.
Looking at the driveway in my condo complex the snow is sticking a bit and got a coating as a pretty good snow band is over my area.
And so it begins!! Snowing pretty good here now. Looks really serious to say the least!!!
Big flakes!
Really fine wind direction. NNE at 030 Degrees.
Ocean enhancement? If temperature were lower, for sure.
At this temperature, I dunno. Depends on how cold it is
at about 5,000 feet.
I am in one of those areas seeing the heavier snow in CT. Elevation where I am playing a role adding a little lift.
Radar from our CBS station here in CT indicating snowfall half inch to inch an hour falling in my area.
Tom, is it raining down your way, or is the radar display not current?
Raining.
Temp is 37F, dewpoint still 36F.
Well, you didn’t want the snow anyway. BUT, you know
it is destined to SNOW even in Marshfield.
Agreed

Very fine flakes just beginning to fall here. It is hard to tell if there is some rain mixed in. I don’t think so, howver. 34 deg
Look again.
Still the same
There’s a hole in the radar right over your house.
Just filled in!!!!
Nothing serious here yet. Snowing? Yes. Very lightly falling pillow flakes.
CMC and GFS have the April 4th system back in some way.
GFS
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015032806/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_30.png
CMC
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015032800/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_31.png
Euro, well NO!
Looking at the radar, the precipitation isn’t just moving up from the South, it
is breaking out and filling in and expanding/intensifying right over the top of us. I repeat, this means business!
I kind of think so too.
Frankly, I wasnt expecting what I think is the synoptic ocean storm precip this morning ……..
Portland, ME dewpoint down to 20F, Portsmouth, NH down to 26F.
I think this all comes together in earnest 2pm to 10pm. And from about 5pm on, the snow sticks the best, not only on the ground, but maybe also pavements.
I think a general 2 inches many spots, with a 3 or 4 inch amount here and there.
From NWS:
Regarding Rain/Snow
SURFACE TEMPS WOULD SUGGEST RAIN ALONG THE COAST AND AND SNOW INLAND. TEMPS AT OR ABOVE 950 MB WOULD SUGGEST SNOW ALL AREAS
EXCEPT CAPE COD/ISLANDS. PTYPE AND POTENTIAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL HINGE ON THESE TEMPERATURES.
Regarding condiditions:
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES BRINGS COLD ADVECTION SURFACE AND ALOFT…DESTABILIZING THE AIRMASS. VERTICAL PROFILES SHOW A
DEEP LAYER OF MOISTURE THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH 20-30 MB/HOUR OF LIFT. LARGE SCALE AND MESOSCALE MODELS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT A
SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST OF MASS AND THEN PIVOTING ACROSS EASTERN MASS AND RI.
Temperature finally beginning to respond to the falling snow. It has dipped a bit
to 35.4 from the previous 36.
36 degrees here, dew point 35. Light showers with the occasional flake mixed in. Radar is deceiving in my area- Brockton
The “fill-in” thing was forecast by the short-range guidance. That is typically what you see with inverted trough set-ups.
I still like the coating-2 inches generally for the entire region with the pockets of greater than 2. Intensity won’t be great enough long enough to go too high, and by the time night times, it’s winding down.
If this event was getting underway at dusk and going overnight it’d be 2-5 inches easily.
Thanks TK. Good news is hopefully it will melt tomorrow. Trying hard to retire the shovel ha.
You can let this one go I think. Even if we maxed out at 2, vanishes by tomorrow.
Thank you for the confirmation. Snowing pretty hard here, but boundary layer
just to mild to support accumulating snow at this time. It tries to accumulate
on car tops etc, only to melt off.
Temperature here now sits at 35.1. It’s only come down about 1 Degree since
it started snowing. Not cutting it yet, if even it will.
Good morning from wet seekonk Mass, just starting to mix with some wet flakes, been raining since we got here at 6:15am truck temp says 38 degrees, this property was a commercial property measuring 315,000 sqft, 3 tons of lime and 8 people and just under 3 hrs and just in time we r done. Fertilizations begin Monday in North Attleboro, it’s that time folks
Doesn’t look like much from this event, it’s gonna have a tough time accumulating where ever it does snow, mainly inland accumulations
enjoy the day!!
We are based out of Middleboro, Ma., a touch southeast from Attleboro. We are 10-14 days from being able to professionally apply lawncare applications in this area, not to mention north of here. The melting has been awesome but there still is too much snow on shady sides of the buildings, too much snow in areas that it has been piled from plowing and snow removal and lastly the turf is too saturated to support our machines without causing damage while driving on it. We will be lucky if we can start Monday 4/13.
I am very curious at the quality and procedures you provide this time of year. Our knowledgeable clients would be very suspect if we showed up next week.
Oh Snap!
I’m gonna play the role of the April spring doubters. Yes it’s snowing today, BUT, it’s not April yet
How True. Indeed, it is not yet April. Will we see April Snow this year?
It’s truly up in the air. My gut says, yes sir, We will see April Snow.
It can snow just about anywhere in April except the far south, but accumulations in April are fairly rare, yes even here.
Moderate snow in Boston’s south end.
Oh yeah it is. Coming down good.
Finally beginning to respond and we have a very light coating beginning to appear on some grass surfaces and car tops.
Look at this NAM. Here is the depiction for 9AM
This doesn’t even have it going yet but outside it is beginning
to rage!!!!
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2015032806&var=PCPPRSTMP_2m&hour=007
Down to 34.9. Ever so slowly getting there.
Precip intensity has increased and I can see some wet snow flakes mixing in.
Decent breeze and its raw. Purely miserable.
I wish it would go over to snow, somehow thats not as bad to be outside in.
It’s about to go over Tom. You shall get your wish.
Yup, even in the last 2 minutes, its trended towards snow even more.
Temps and dewpoints slowly coming down.
34F airtemp at Logan …..
Dewpoints getting down towards 30F, even upper 20s in northern Mass, which I believe will help keep the temps slowly falling.
Folks don’t work yourself up into a tizzy, daytime accumulations will have a tough time, and in the end it will be a distant memory by tomorrow afternoon, maybe some grass accumulations or car tops but nothing more
I’d like to kindly suggest that you allow those of us who genuinely enjoy weather so work ourselves into whatever kind of “tizzy” we damn well please. Your incessant need to tell others how they should be feeling is quickly earning you the status of “troll” in my book.
Good day, sir.

Smaller flakes now in the south end area. NASTY out there!
The old hancock building weather beacon is “flashing blue” meaning “clouds due”. Who is in charge of that thing anyways! It should be “flashing red” indicating “snow instead”!
Oh Charlie…
Latest from the NWS
Not sure they know which end is up.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBL-4d0UMAASuaF.png
More…
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBMF2TPXIAACzyX.png
12Z NAM keeps the action going well past Midnight into the wee hours.
12Z Snow map. Backed off some.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015032812&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=030
Snowing all over, even all the way out to Albany where vis is 1.5 miles.
No snow in Plymouth yet.
12Z HRRR snowfall as of 11PM tonight
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_ncep_jet/2015032812/t3/acsnw_t3sfc_f15.png
Getting a bit more Bullish.
Light snow, 33 degrees, and not sticking anywhere. Not impressed, yet.
Good thing most is falling during the day, my wife says take this winter, it’s snowinh and it can’t accumulate, we get the last laugh
Tk any thoughts on the upcoming week, some models are saying 60+ next week? With rain but still thank u
Hard to accumulate snow when it melts on contact.
Yup, its even melting on the existing snowpack
Need The temperature to drop a couple of Degrees
AND/OR More Intensity!
Speaking of intensity. Really picked up here.
Ground and car tops instantly turned white.
Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan 5m5 minutes ago
air from the Caribbean mixing w
air from the Arctic
feeding massive western Atlantic Storm(s)
View from 22,233 miles
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBMOahmWkAEJ7E7.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CBMOaiUWgAAHCAQ.jpg
I call this snow raining lol
I happens in the Spring, but do not fret. COLD air is advecting in. You WILL
notice a difference soon enough.
No one has mentioned this, but it is DARK out there. That is one thick overcast.
Agreed! Feels a lot more like December than it does March.
HUGE snowflakes now
The first 0.1 has managed to accumulate on the existing snowcover here in Woburn and the grassy areas are covering over. Intensity is up a bit in the last hour as I was out walking with Kaprekar doing some local errands, opting for foot power over gasoline power.
Later today I’m heading up to Hampton Beach for a while as I continue my visit to Hampton at least once every month in 2015.
So far been there on January 3, February 28 (while insanely sick), and going today. 
For Charlie: I have thoughts on next week but I’m working on a new blog now. Look for a post here saying when it’s been posted. I know you have your opinions and all and that’s great, but I don’t think anyone is worked into a tizzy here. I just think they have varying reactions to weather since we are all pretty much weather enthusiasts of one kind or another. We all know the stats about snow and rain and warm and cold in March and April and other times of year. I’m going to forecast what I think is going to happen, people are going to give their thoughts, professional or amateur, and it’s still going to do what it’s going to do.
Off to the editor!
Special Weather Statement from NWS
http://www.weather.gov/box/
…SNOW TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND…
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST FOR OUTER CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET.
Just made the drive from Boston to Natick… Temp went from 35° to 33°
Wet snow, melting on contact. Nothing sticking/accumulating… Yet.
Some slush snow on sidewalks here. Spotty. Just left wayside inn and brick walk was greasy in two spots. The existing snow is showing some accumulation…..minimal as TK said
New blog posted!