11:20AM
I’ve started my journey home to New England but while I wait at the gate here’s an update. Full blog tonight!
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
THIS AFTERNOON: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs in the 60s except 50s South Coast. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows from 40 rural areas to 50 Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s South Coast, 60-65 elsewhere. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Low 40. High 55.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 40. High 55.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 40. High 55.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 45. High 60.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Low 45. High 50.
Thank you, TK. So sad you are leaving, but sure looked as if you had a perfect vacation. I did try to go to the gate but couldn’t get there from here 🙁
😀
A wonderful story from yesterday’s marathon. How true that we all too often focus on those who finish first.
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2015/04/21/boston-marathons-final-finisher-an-inspirational-story/
Many thanks TK.
Hope the trip was immense!
Forecast doesn’t look too bad. A little bit below average, but very tolerable imho. 😀
Much better than the Doom and Gloom I have seen bandied about from other outlets.
Thanks TK. So glad you have a great trip and made those magical memories!
Interesting winter in 45 seconds. It sure seemed longer than that 🙂
http://www.wcvb.com/weather/massachusetts-recordbreaking-winter-in-45-seconds/32478296
Been cloudy most of afternoon. Feels a bit chillier than 60.
Thanks TK !
It amazes me your accuracy of our weather from 1,500 miles away. 🙂
Was down around Sandwich, MA for a while, nice and sunny down there and fairly mild.
Ortiz has been suspended for one game as a result of making contact with an umpire in Sunday’s game.
Got to love baseball ……….
Appeal that ….. and there wont be a hearing for a few weeks. During that time, when a tough left handed pitcher is opposing the Sox, drop the appeal, serve the suspension that game and let Hanley Ramirez DH. 🙂 🙂
You never argue with an umpire. Good.
Why not? They’re wrong more than they are correct.
Ortiz NEVER came close to a swing. He clearly checked his
Swing, yet the ump rung him up. I don’t blame Ortiz one
single bit in this case. The ump was a MORON!!
A complete freakin IDIOT!!
Check swings SHOULD be subject to replay because umpires don’t have the mental capacity to get it correct.
End of umpire rant!!
My opinion, I think, shares a bit of both of your thoughts Vicki and OS ….
The calls were poor and I think its ok to show some frustration, but ….. not to the point of getting thrown out of one game and now suspended for another.
I love Papi, but some of his reactions are over the top.
I think he needs a little Robert Parish, who, never had reaction of any kind to foul calls. Ever ……….
I agree that some of his reactions are over the top.
IMHO, NOT this time. The ump was extremely quick
to toss him. Very bad situation. The umps Cannot
take the bat out of the hitter’s hands with a preposterous call!
I don’t argue with the best. Let’s see if this link works. I heard it far too many times to forget.
https://books.google.com/books?id=4zcntt5FKacC&pg=PA17&lpg=PA17&dq=ted+williams+said+never+argue+with+an+umpire&source=bl&ots=3fSs7BYtwn&sig=4BD2jOiV_V_pGklGMYyj1n4rh0A&hl=en&sa=X&ei=H7U2Vfj4NuaHsQTqloCQAg&ved=0CEMQ6AEwBw#v=onepage&q&f=false
Tom I’d add Williams to that list as you see from my link.
This was a great discussion. Thank you.
You are so kind. Thank you!
NWS Boston @NWSBoston 20m20 minutes ago
Scattered to numerous showers expected Wed. Cold air aloft could result in some small hail. Gusty winds possible.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CDJAg0fW8AADEn5.png
Sleet vs. Hail, Explained by the Mr. Washington Observatory
https://www.mountwashington.org/experience-the-weather/observer-comments.aspx?id=18190
But we all knew this anyway.
NWS out of Upton, NY indicated that in their discussions about small hail and gusty winds.
As for this morning’s thunderstorms, they woke me up around 4:30 and scared me as usual. The lightning was quite vivid to say the least and the downpours were torrential. As most here know by now, I don’t like thunderstorms, day or night with the latter the scariest of all. I was very tired so I got back to sleep fairly quickly. Many times though, I never get back to sleep at all or it takes a long time to sleep again.
And yet, I don’t mind thundersnow…go figure. 😉
OS…those thunderstorms were in no way WIMPY. If they had occured at 4:30 in the afternoon, warnings would definitely have been posted for sure. They either totally missed your house or perhaps you were very tired. On rare occasions, I sometimes sleep through them as well. 😀
I love thunderstorms but at night I am always cautious and like to have a radar with warnings. I was not pleased I couldn’t access the radar this am.
In spite of all the snow/precip we had this winter Logan is at -1.55″.
Amazing. Speaks to the deficit that existed before winter
I didn’t even hear any thunderstorms last night. I was sound asleep.
That’s what my wife said today. I was like, did u hear that thunderstorm last night!?! She’s like, we had a thunderstorm? Mind you, the dog was barking and the house was shaking.
I am hoping will have some more thunderstorms to track in the coming months.
I really hope so! Last season was disappointing for thunderstorms
Agree. I’m hoping right along with you both
Hahaha. Mac didn’t hear them either but sadly we do not have a dog to bark. The kids are working on that though. Papa doesn’t want another dog and that is fair since we have always had one. So number one grandson, having the diplomacy of his grandmother, has come up with an alternative…….a tarantula. I kid you not.
Ewwwwww!!
Agree
My rain gauge had 1.10 this morning sons event slug of rain from yesterday through evening.
Although we did have a couple tornado touch downs in SNE last year. The Revere tornado and Worcester tornado. We just didn’t have a lot of thunderstorm days.
Then there were some days where there were ingredients in place for big thunderstorms but thankfully things didn’t quite come together.
Article from WXedge.com about lightning facts
http://wxedge.com/2015/04/21/lightning-facts-you-need-to-know/
Good link. Thanks JJ
The models arent inspiring a lot of hope for a pattern change any time soon.
Lots of east coast trofiness. As it wants to move out or translate eastward, something seems to continually want to recarve the trof out long term.
Ugh
Ok, I have been schooled. Apparently I slept through the Thunder as did my wife.
Must be old age! 😀
Thunder some time today? It’s possible, but will it happen? We shall see.
This says Thunder is possible this afternoon.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/2015042203/SREF_prob_cptp_1__f015.gif
In addition Cape is around 500 joules and Lifted index -2 to -3
Pretty active out there so far. Not sure of time line with this front.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
We seem to be getting a lot of sun this morning and it feels like its warming up quick this morning.
Perhaps that will be enough to maximize instability.
I think so.
NWS has Numerous showers with chance of thunderstorms as follows:
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/…
* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING
* LOW CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
Indeed ….
And I find it impressive that there’s enough energy with the front to already be causing a decent line of showers, without much help from daytime heating.
Check out current Binghamton Radar.
That’s pretty impressive for 9 in the morning.
Of course anything that moves into Eastern MA
with a SW wind ahead of it WILL be subject
to a marine influence off the Atlantic from South of LI.
Current wind direction is SOUTH and only
at 4 or 5 mph at the Airport which “may” even
introduce a Sea Breeze at least for a bit. We shall see. Perhaps SW wind picks up and precludes the sea breeze.
Oops
http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/binghamton/bgm/?region=bml
Impressive for sure this early !
Here’s the system through the eyes of the water vapor loop.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv.php?inv=0&t=l12®ion=us
Looks potent for sure.
Logan still has not hit 70F this year ……
And looking at the next 8 days after today, I’m struggling to see it happen by May 1st.
This can only mean that the first warm day in May at Logan will fly right past 80F and would anyone be surprised if it goes straight to 85F or 90F along easternmost Mass sometime in May on the first real warm day ………
You’re probably 100% correct.
Not going to hit 70 the rest of this month, that’s for sure!
Agree. It likely will go right into HHH weather once a Bermuda High and ridge along the east finally forms.
On a side note:
What happened to Wade Miley last night?
Sox won 1-0!! Very Impressive to be sure.
So this proves he has it in him. Now can he produce like this more consistently?
Ahh, that is the question. I sure hope so, because the Sox will need it.
Now that is 2 in a row that have turned it around. A trend? That sure would be nice.
We shall see.
The Rays have a paulry offense, minor league team at best.
Good morning. Spectacular day thus far. Roker said snowing in Chicago.
NWS Boston @NWSBoston 10m10 minutes ago
A little meteorology 101 for you. Why so unsettled? Why the risk for grauple this afternoon?
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CDM7lFxVAAEZ–4.png
Hmmm
Yesterday they indicated the chance for small HAIL for today.
NOW, they say Graupel????????????????????????????????????
HUH! WHAT?????????????????????????????????????????
I call FOUL!
If anything, with the convection it would be HAIL imho, but what do I know.
I just don’t get these folks at our esteemed NWS office.
Conditions can exist for either or both today.
Why the sudden change of tune?
If the surface is as warm as I think it will be how do we
get graupel?
Steep lapse rate. Temp goes down very fast with height so it doesn’t have a chance to melt before the surface.
Remember each discussion is written taking into account the latest info, which includes atmospheric soundings. These kinds of things are not really changes of tune but rather forecast adjustments and “fine-tuning”.
We have some great models but despite even the best short range guidance the best tool we have is looking at what the atmosphere is doing right now.
SPC has a marginal thunderstorm risk today for Fairfield County CT down south into the Mid Atlantic.
The marginal risk replaces the see text and areas under that risk 5% chance of wind and hail. I would not be surprised if there some rumbles of thunder in SNE today but nothing severe.
Not even general thunderstorm for Boston and Eastern sections.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
You could see that front nicely with the link you just posted Old Salty from the SPC website.
I like the SPC replaced see text with marginal. To me when you say marginal it gets more attention than see text. You could still even in a marginal risk area get a strong or severe thunderstorm to pop although its not widespread activity. You even have a low tornado risk and I have seen it in the past last year with the Revere tornado the area was under the old see text.
As I said earlier don’t see any severe storms here in SNE today. I do feel there will be rumbles.
The set-up today is not really the type that produces severe weather. It produces general showers and storms but with the degree of cold moving in aloft it’s primed for small hail or even graupel. And also you don’t need lightning/thunder to get hail. An ordinary rain shower can do that.
Posted a new blog!