9:37AM
COMMENTARY / SUMMARY…
Full discussion on next entry. No big changes. Apologies for the abbreviated and belated post that is usually “The Week Ahead”. Format change coming soon anyway. Will post that along with a Summer outlook this evening! THIS MOST IMPORTANT THING today. Remember them all this Memorial Day. We can never repay what they have done for us.
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Increasing clouds. Slight chance of very light rain mainly north central MA and southern NH. Highs 60s South Coast, 70s elsewhere. Wind S to SE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Slight risk of very light rain early. Lows 55-60. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 70s South Coast, 80s elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 60s. Highs 75-80 South Coast, 80s to around 90 elsewhere.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Lows 65-70. Highs in the 80s, cooler South Coast.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s, cooler South Coast.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s, cooler South Coast.
Thanks TK.
Thank you for all who are currently serving and who have served this great country of ours.
Now to weather. Finally got some POTENTIAL thunderstorms to track this week.
6z GFS for Wed.
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy)
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=06&stn=CAPE&hh=060&map=qc&stn2=EHI&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&hh2=060&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=anal&date_type=dateo
LIFT
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=06&stn=LI&hh=060&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&hh2=060&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=anal&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gfs&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=060&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&hh2=060&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=anal&date_type=dateo
Thanks TK. Air heavier today. Wonderful day for breakfast on the deck and some reflection about those we honor
Thanks tk
happy Memorial Day!!
Heading to Gillette go bowling and have lunch at CBS
God bless all who gave the Ultimate Sacrifice for our country. Let’s raise a glass today to all who have served and continue to serve the United States of America!
Very light rain in Reading MA at 11:10AM.
I have been hearing that Thursday is the best opportunity for widespread showers and thunderstorms.
Current dewpoint at Logan = 51F
The air feels much heavier than that, but I guess it is compared to earlier in the weekend including yesterday when dps were in the 30s.
12z NAM model run showing more areas with CAPE and Lift for SNE on Thursday than Wednesday. On Wednesday areas west of Boston the model is picking up on CAPE Lift and EHI.
CAPE ( Convective Available Potential Energy)
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=nam&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&stn2=CAPE&hh2=072&fixhh=1&stn2_type=anal&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=078
LIFT
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=12&stn=LI&hh=078&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&hh2=078&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=anal&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=12&stn=EHI&hh=078&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&hh2=078&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=anal&date_type=dateo
Follow the dfw radar today, you will be in awe
Been watching it all weekend. #1 sport had its tournament in that area
They can’t catch a break down there in the last few weeks with flooding and severe weather.
Seems they go through spurts. I sometimes have the impression mother nature is not happy with them :).
Don’t believe that, it’s just weather lol
I agree Vicki.
In Myles Standish Forest this weekend and fealt like we saw signs of a big snow melt with a lack of rain since.
The pond that is by the campground was quite high. However, the campground was dusty dry.
Some years, the twigs and branches that have fallen from the trees are quite damp and its a struggle to get them to burn. When you throw them in the campfire, there can be boiling water at the ends of them ……. Not so this year. The branches would snap easily and were tinder dry on the inside.
Camped without electricity, so with the exception of an occasional BZ radio forecast, I’m catching up on the weather. I see a warm/humid summer like week ….. beach after school I guess.
Hope everyone had an enjoyable weekend !
It’s been lovely. Glad your weekend was special.
Cloudy day, but nice. Fished this morning. Mowed the lawn this PM. Shopping tonight.
The water level in the Charles Rives is way down. Where there were fish 2 weeks ago,
there was not water today. Fish had moved and I had to find them and I did.
OS. I’m seeing same on Sudbury River. Ground everywhere is just dust
Thunderstorms and copious rain this week? Um, think again. Not so sure of that. We shall see.
Nice Job, just another Joe!!
Kelly allows seven runs, exits in 2nd
Facing the Twins for the first time, Joe Kelly gave up one run in the first and six runs in the second today at Target Field. Watch on MLB.TV Live
Why am I not surprised at this:
Victorino exits
Calf strain sends Victorino to DL
The Red Sox placed Shane Victorino on the 15-day DL
He is a walking disaster. Ship the BUM out of town already. Contract?
screw it. EAT IT!!
Turtle extravaganza at Jamaica Pond today.
https://scontent-lga1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xta1/v/t1.0-9/11107173_10206771896443113_4700542897968446966_n.jpg?oh=b43c6c34bc2ac27a07d06044b384d2cc&oe=56022AB8
Love it. Thanks
Another brief burst of very light rain here in Woburn at 3PM. I’m not sure why no one else had this in the forecast. ???
I saw a few sprinkles in Dedham around 11 AM or so. Nothing around here
in the 3 PM time frame.
Few …two or three ….drops in framingham around 11
Blue Sky and lighter air. Lovely evening.
“Dry” warm fronts this time of year still almost always produce at least occasionally thicker middle clouds and some brief burst of raindrops. Basically mid-level instability bursts. Walter Drag, formerly of NWS Taunton and one of my favorite forecasters, used to be big on forecasting these and I learned from him. Things that I learned from listening to his book-like forecast discussions included but were not limited to:
-The clouds from these fronts almost always arrive sooner than models forecast.
-They usually produce bursts of brief rain, most of the time very light, but sometimes enough to wet the ground, even when model forecasts do not show any precipitation whatsoever.
-If the associated front is not advancing quickly, or is temporarily stationary, the thicker clouds will continue to move over the same area and sometimes can set up sharp temperature contrasts, making forecasting temps (especially daytime temps) very difficult, as there can be a sharp contrast between where sun is out and where a middle overcast is fairly thick, and of course taking into consideration the position of the front as well.
Nice,
Thanks for sharing and I do Recognize that name.
Same here OS.
Don’t recognize name but great info to share. Thank you.
Fyi in case some have not heard.
Navy Blue Angels doing a Boston
Fly over tomorrow approx. Noon to noon thirty.
6 planes in formation plus a 7th to take
Photos.
Eastern harbor area then Fenway park area.
Sorry im mobile else I would post link.
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2015/05/25/blue-angels-to-fly-over-boston-on-tuesday/
That did the trick.
often when there is a flyover in Boston, they head this way and then turn around. I’m hoping that might happen
This was on FB so perhaps most have seen it. If you have not, it is a special story. Took me five tissues (Macs choice of measure) to stop the happy and perhaps a bit sad
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2015/05/25/greenfield-police-escort-93-year-old-veteran-to-parade/
I have posted a new blog entry. This one is the outlook for Summer 2015.
I am now working on a blog with the 7-day forecast and an outline of a format change which begins next week.