10:20PM
Low pressure east of New England has kept us cool but the low has been far enough away to keep us generally dry during the weekend. Only a few showers have pushed into some areas Sunday evening. Similar weather is expected Monday, with a chilly start to the day but a milder finish, sunshine & some clouds, and a slight risk of a few showers. A weak area of high pressure will push into the region Tuesday with dry weather, sun to start and clouds to finish as a warm front approaches from the southwest. This front may bring some showers and storms to the region Tuesday night and early Wednesday, after which a period of more summertime weather will be with us into late week. A cold front moving into the region Thursday may set off more thunderstorms, but it won’t be until a secondary front passes Friday night or early Saturday that we see a cool-down.
Details for the Boston area…
TONIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. Any showers in the western suburbs dissipating. Low 50 to 55. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight risk of a shower especially away from the coast during the afternoon. High 71 to 76, cooler at the coast. Wind NE up to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 51 to 56. Wind SE up to 10 mph.
TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 71 to 76, cooler along the coast. Wind SE 5 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 56 to 61. Wind SE to S up t0 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 81 to 86. Wind SW 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY: Hazy sunshine. PM t-storms. Low 66. High 89.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 64. High 86.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 56. High 77.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 78.
Thanks TK. I see you thinking Friday looks good, I saw the EURO shows a front stalling near us for Friday. Any detailed thoughts on Friday? You think that front clears or does it get held up? Thanks
I am not sure if anyone has seen the GFS temp output for Thursday yet. It has temps rising to 97-99 in the CT River Valley and Merrimack Valley and dew points 65-70 in the afternoon. Could be our first Heat Advisory day of 2011. When it gets this warm we can have some good atmospheric explosion take place, especially with a frontal passage, however it can also get capped. I am going with GFS for the late week-weekend time period. ECWMF is obsessed with one trough in Western Canada right now and I just don’t see it solution being a reasonable one for Mid June. Lack of support from the GGEM and the GFS/GGEM Ensembles also leads me to believe a drier solution is the right way to go at this time. Another ridge builds in over the weekend and then as the ridge slides east some clouds fill with chance of light showers towards the very end of the weekend, before return flow sets up with maybe another warm up later next week.
I hope to spend more time here again this summer. I was in the midwest and southeast working on CASA. That is the low level, low power radar project for detecting severe storms and rotation taking place in the lowest part of the atmosphere. It proved to be a pretty amazing tool in providing some much needed early warning and I hope that it leads to further development of the program, as I clearly saw it benefit, not as a forecasting tool, but as a 15-60 min advanced warning tool that can save lives!
Nice work JMA…Any thoughts for SNH on Friday? would love your thoughts. Huge company event
Later this week it’s possible to have some nasty storms Friday, I don’t think as severe as the past but certainly a decent chance at storms, then temps go back to the mid 70’s all next week
Charlie you think Friday nit Thursday? I see thurs night at the big chance for storms. Maybe I am hoping:-)
Hadi I have to ask if you are using an iPhone 🙂 I always always always hit the “i” instead of “o” on mine and have told all friends to simply interchange the “o” for my “i’s” – especially for word nit! I am hoping that is your case so I’m not the only one!
Vicki yes I am on the iPhone:) always happens!!
Hahaha. I’m so glad I’m not the only one. That’s nit the only one 🙂
Thu night between 10-2am fri, I believe if that cap is not there a line of storms will push through
Pete Bouchard’s evening blog says that tornadoes are not likely this time around but strong gusty winds and microbursts could occur. A bit of good news, I guess.
Hadi, I would say your event on Friday looks good at this time as it may be the best day before the weekend arrives. Saturday looks decent so far but Sunday and Monday look terrible…quite damp and chilly?
Looking forward to TK’s thoughts later. 🙂
Hadi you are fine Friday. Front pushes through later Thursday However lots of mid-level dry air and don’t see this as a widespread severe outbreak. However when the temps get this hot, certainly the potential for isolated strong to severe and then a more widespread shower event with the passage of the front. Temps still 85-90 with lower dew points on Friday. I think Saturday turns out fine as wet weather stays well west of our CWA.
Thanks Phillip and JMA!!
I would agree with what Pete said but I still think there is a shot at some MODERATE Level Activity around here on Thursday if everything comes together meaning isolated severe weather is POSSIBLE!
I believe that bc it gets so hot that we could be in for slightly more severe weather than we r anticipating.
The B’s — yes!!
Hey Longshot…. Nice win by the Bruins last night. Lets see if they win tomorrow night and turn this into a best of 3 series heading back to Vancouver for game 5 Friday night.
As for weather it looks like the hottest weather of 2011 coming tomorrow and Thursday. Take it easy especially those who have jobs that are outside. At least it will be short with the cold front coming through Thursday with the POTENTIAL for some MODERATE Level Activity as it looks like isolated severe weather is POSSIBLE. Hopefully that won’t have to be ramped up to SEVERE Level Activity like last week.
I have the feeling that most if not all of Thursday afternoon will be dry especially in eastern sections and most thunderstorm activity will occur from dinnertime through early evening just after most of the p.m. commute. Keeping my fingers crossed that no severe wx occurs at all, but for now most signs are there that action is likely.
As for the Bruins, I predict that they will win 4 straight games and take the series in six…of course Wednesday’s game is a “must” regardless! You do not want Vancouver to have ANY momentum whatsoever coming back home.
If the Bruins play like they did last night they will win the series. A 7 goal win against the best team in the NHL during the regular season is impressive. The one bad thing is Horton is out for the rest of the series. I am just happy they did not get swept.
Will see if the Red Sox continue their dominance over the Yankees as they open a 3 game series in the Bronx.
That sea breeze is active this afternoon, it will be interesting to see if one develops tomorrow and/or Thursday. I certainly wouldn’t mind it to get a bit of relief from the heat.
Sea breeze likely along the immediate shoreline and beaches tomorrow, but stiff land beeze most areas Thursday.
100F+ in Minneapolis, 95F in both Green Bay and Chicago. If Thursday’s breeze is mostly from the west, I wonder if 100F is attainable locally.
Unfortunately, 100 F is very attainable on Thursday…not my kind of temps.
I am looking on the bright side this is a quick shot of heat and humidity. With that talk of 100 degree temperature I am curious if anyone knows the earliest 100 degree day in Boston or Worcester?
Jimmy, the earliest 100 degree day in Boston was on June 6, 1925. I have no idea about Worcester, but I suspect it was sometime in June as well. I can’t imagine anyplace in SNE away from the South Coast/Cape not reaching 100 or higher in the month of June. This month we should be soon enjoying our earliest sunrises/latest sunsets. 🙂
Thanks Philip!
Hi all! Some recent computer problems have slowed me down here. Have made some changes that have cleared the problem and am rolling at speed again! Updating blog!