7:31AM
DAYS 1-5…
Strong disturbance in the area today along with a surface trough approaching from the northwest yields showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms will be strong to severe. Quiets down but slight risk of showers with one more disturbance Wednesday. Still watching low pressure for late week.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Episodes of showers and thunderstorms, some heavy. Locally severe storms with damaging wind and hail possible. Humid. Highs in the 80s. Wind W 5-15 MPH, but variable to strong and gusty near some storms.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Lows 60-68. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight risk of passing showers. Less humid. Highs 78-86. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain late, especially South Coast. Lows 58-66. Highs 74-82.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, especially South Coast. Lows 58-66. Highs 72-80.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain early. Lows 55-64. Highs 68-76.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 9-13)β¦
Temperatures below to near normal with mainly dry weather early in the period and a greater risk for showers later in the period.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 14-18)β¦
Temperatures near normal with a risk of showers and thunderstorms early in the period, then drier and warmer later in the period.
Thanks Tk. Wow somehow Boston is going to get off.
Thanks TK. Looks as if lexington and then possibly your area about to get the Storm we heard go by here to north. It was loud even this far away
Hope everyone south of here is safe. Quite a system
Patches of blue now replacing the green grey sky to our north
Continued dark in Boston but nothing much is happening. Eerie, as John said.
Thanks TK.
If you’re on the outer Cape, you should be in your basement. That line is vicious.
Thanks TK.
Strong storms just passed through Cuttyhunk, at the end of the Elizabeth Islands. We rocked and rolled on the boat and the laundry got a fresh water rinse. Hoping the rain for the end of the week doesn’t mean strong winds. We need a southwesterly to carry us home Saturday-Sunday…
I’m envious of the fact that you’re at Cuttyhunk. From what I’ve heard the town and the islands have changed little in several centuries.
I don’t think you’ll have a southwesterly later this week. From what I’m seeing it looks like an east to northeast wind developing Thursday and continuing through the weekend.
No source is given, but the SPC storm report page lists an 83mph wind gust in Charlestown, RI from when it was impacted by these storms.
Tom what’s it doing down our way
I was thinking the same thing, John. What’s it like where the Pilgrims set up camp 395 years ago. The South Shore has been the focal point for weather-related action since January: Biggest snows, thundersnow, and now the most powerful T-storms of the season in Massachusetts.
I see blue sky to the west.
Did not rain much in boston
Concerned about this pm
Happy Birthday to your dad, TK!!
Does anyone have an idea of the timing for this pm? We have an appointment at MGH cancer center at Newton Wellesley at 2:45 so will be on the road from 2:00 until about 5:00.
Also, OS, blue sky that was here is quickly filling in again with overcast/darker sky.
Vicki, not really sure on the timing. But I think it will be in the early afternoon and then late afternoon/early evening, which I suppose is not much help in timing exactly.
Thank you, rainshine. Hoping that it can hold off until after we get home. How is your husband?
He is ok. The catscan revealed he has calcification near his kidneys – not an aneurism. It was quite a scare. The place that gave the MRI (not part of the hospital we use) and said that is was an aneurism and the back dr. who just ignored that sentence in the report were really wrong. It was very scary but at least he is ok. Nonetheless, it seems a lot of people are going through stuff nowadays. Vicki – how is Mac feeling?
Whew. Wonderful news Rainshine but what an unnecessary scare. Mac is mac…ever positive. He starts radiation again today as a tumor on his pelvis is growing slightly and pushing on a nerve which shoots pain down his leg. The radiation oncologist is out of MGH at NWH and I can guarantee there is not a more competent and supportive doctor anywhere. We are blessed with a great team of doctors thank you for asking π
And when you go out later – stay safe and hoping it holds off until you get home.
Thanks, TK – and Happy Birthday to your dad today! π
And thank you and everyone else for their birthday wishes yesterday!
I woke up just before 7 w/my husband saying it was thundering. We just got a little thunder and a few drops of rain here in Sudbury. I couldn’t believe the radar w/all the lightning and the size and strength of that storm to the south. Looks like it is just leaving the Cape area now. Still about 2 more episodes of this type of weather for the rest of the day. We need the rain but not the storminess. (is that an actual word? oh, well).
Happy belated Birthday, Rainshine! I hope you had a wonderful day!!!
Thank you, shotime!
Happy Birthday, OS!!!
I’m home after a wonderful visit to Chicago, and it looks like I’m back in time for round two!
OS, you would have loved Sunday’s weather. The afternoon storm was a great hail maker and the evening storm was really intense, with crazy lightning and window rattling thunder!
Sadly though, in the afternoon storm, there was person injury, including 1 fatality due to a tent collapse similar to what happened in NH yesterday.
Thanks shot. Awesome storms. Sorry about injury.
Core missed about 10 miles south. Lightning was like multiple flash photography.
Re-Post From earlier
Old Salty says:
August 4, 2015 at 6:00 AM
CMC-RDPS a.k.a. GEM-REG / North America (mesh: 10 km)
6Z Instability parameters
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gemreg&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&stn2=CAPE&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=012
LIFTED INDEX
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=LI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
This EHI is very high
6Z NAM instability parameters
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
LIFTED INDEX
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=LI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
Reply
avatarOld Salty says:
August 4, 2015 at 6:04 AM
SREF CRAVENBROOKS Significan Severe
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_CB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f018.gif
thatβs 40,000 to 50,000 in our area! MOST IMPRESSIVE
Super Cell Composite parameter
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SCCP_MEDIAN_MXMN__f015.gif
Sig tornado ingredients
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f012.gif
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f015.gif
Sig tornado parameter
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f015.gif
12 hour calibrated severe thunder Storm
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_12HR_SVR_PROBS__f021.gif
Reply
Re-Post From earlier
Old Salty says:
August 4, 2015 at 6:00 AM
CMC-RDPS a.k.a. GEM-REG / North America (mesh: 10 km)
6Z Instability parameters
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=gemreg&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&stn2=CAPE&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=012
LIFTED INDEX
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=LI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
This EHI is very high
re-post
6Z NAM instability parameters
CAPE
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=06&mod2=gemreg&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
LIFTED INDEX
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=LI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=06&stn=EHI&hh=012&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=06&mod2=nam&hh2=012&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
Reply
Re-Post
avatarOld Salty says:
August 4, 2015 at 6:04 AM
SREF CRAVENBROOKS Significan Severe
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_CB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f018.gif
thatβs 40,000 to 50,000 in our area! MOST IMPRESSIVE
Super Cell Composite parameter
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SCCP_MEDIAN_MXMN__f015.gif
Sig tornado ingredients
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f012.gif
Sig tornado parameter
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f015.gif
12 hour calibrated severe thunder Storm
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_12HR_SVR_PROBS__f021.gif
Reply
I re-posted above because I thought the posts were very relevant for weather later
today and some of you may have missed it as it was posted rather early.
Those are the MOST impressive severe weather parameters I have ever seen.
Does it mean we’ll get blasted for certain. NOPE! Just means that the “potential” is
there for some Severe Storms even the “Possibility” of a tornado or 2.
I for one am concerned.
I have a meeting at 11AM and I sure hope it doesn’t go too long.
SREF update due within 15-20 minutes. We’ll see what it has to say.
Also SPC update within about the same time period.
No Changes from SPC with their 9AM update.
No Change in latest SREF
Sig Tor Ingredients
15Z
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f006.gif
18Z
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f009.gif
Sig Tornado parameter
15Z
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f006.gif
18Z
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f009.gif
CravenBrooks Severe
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_CB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f009.gif
That’s 40,000-50,000 across the area. Most IMPRESSIVE
I just had a few rumbles of thunder flashes of lightning. Nothing like what happened in parts of Rhode Island.
Now sun is out where I am and it is a STICKORAMA!!!
Sun is out brightly here now.
It’s game on!
SPC 9 am update. New one comes out around 12:30 pm. The slight risk area shrunk to just include eastern parts where before it was out towards CT River Valley. That area now under marginal risk.
Here is link and the discussion for this update.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
An area of 5% tornando risk in the Mid-Atlantic. Still 2% our area.
I wonder if there will be a tornado watch or 2 forthcoming? We shall see.
At the very least a few Severe Thunder Storm Watches.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_torn.gif?1438694328790
Drove through the small cell in Woburn / Reading just as it started to meso… or I should say it drove through me… π
What’s your current thinking on Severe weather a bit later?
Looks pretty ominous to me. π
Good chance.
Old Salty I think up there you will see a severe thunderstorm watch posted later.
For sure. Even a “slight” chance of a tornado watch, depending upon
how the SPC sees things developing. Mostly likely just a severe thunderstorm
watch. We shall see.
I don’t remember the SPC issuing a tornado watch with 2% chance. 5% chance I have seen that plenty of times.
Today’s outlook will be updated around 12:30 pm this afternoon.
JJ I have seen it with the 2%. It all depends upon the latest conditions.
Things can change a bit between this latest update and say Noon or 1PM.
Not saying they will, just that they “could”. As you said, most likely
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
Even with a severe thunderstorm watch you COULD still get an isolated tornado.
Thanks tk π seems like we are getting rain every couple days this summer. π my favorite time of the year is quickly approaching
Depends on location. I’ve been very dry. Grass dormant.
Same here
Very dry here as well (other than this morning) My lawn is now dormant.
Seems like north and west have missed a lot of what we’ve gotten down here π
As most of you are aware straight line winds can cause just as much if not more damage than a small tornado. I experienced a microburst where I grew up in Weymouth. Can’t remember when it was? Maybe 1999? Anyways there was a lot of damage in my neighborhood. 50 year old trees uprooted. NWS sent a survey team out to investigate. It was pretty scary. Trees were sideways. I believe they estimated the wind to be around 140 mph if I’m recalling correctly.
Scott77 I was talking about that last night that a microburst could sometimes cause more damage than an EF 0 EF 1 tornado.
Back on June 23rd the microburst that affected parts of southern CT had wind speeds greater than the EF 0 tornado that hit Wrentham.
Spoke to a friend who lives on the east side of Providence. Some major tree damage there, with several roads closed, trees felled by wind, homes affected.
Nothing in Boston. Not even a drop of rain where I live. No wind. Remarkable. I did my late morning job just now and could tell that no rain had fallen in these parts. I heard that some light rain occurred in other parts of Boston.
Yeah there has been a history of it with this system out West so figured I would mention.
Watch for rapid storm formation ANY time afternoon and early evening.
Any discrete cells? Or a line? Or both?
Chances for rotators?
Right, 2%
Seriously your thoughts.
Thanks
Both. Someone will be tornado warned IMO.
Good deal of clearer weather just to our West poised to move in.
Much sunshine anyway. CAPES to go through the ROOF!
Satellite loop
http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=vis&size=small&endDate=20150804&endTime=-1&duration=12
Wasn’t that quite a blob that went through earlier?
That was impressive for early in the morning. Started on Long Island with severe thunderstorm warnings there. That cluster of storms traveled about 225 miles.
Happy belated birthday to OS and Rainshine. Also happy birthday to your dad TK.
Thank you. π
Thank you!
I can’t seem to click on name of last post is anybody else having a problem .
Nope. I just clicked here to respond to you. Sorry. π
Im having the same issue John, there’s nothing next to anyone’s names under recent comments to click on. Gonna switch over to explorer to see if its a chrome issue
I think the issue is the post doesn’t have a title.
Good deal of SUNSHINE out there….
Self destructing sunshine and that sunshine is not our friend today. The atmosphere continues to destablize. Going to be very
interesting watching the radar and see what develops this afternoon and early evening.
That’s my concern.
However, have seen instances like this where the morning convection
prevents anything from occurring in the afternoon. Right now it does NOT
look that way. 12Z NAM still shows CAPE in excess of 2,000 joules, however,
it does NOT show the 4,000+ joules the 6Z run showed. Not sure why.
Perhaps it was just the 6Z run, but 6Z CMC was very robust as well.
Waiting on the other 12Z runs to see what we have for today.
We had that happen, if I recall correctly, on that one day where it had been warned well ahead of tornado danger. The storms went through here in the am and stayed north and south of here in pm.
We are building quite a number of clouds as I type.
Is anyone else having trouble navigating to the end of the comments or clicking on a specific person’s comment?
Question. AccuWeather says “If you are in a high-rise building, such as a skyscraper, apartment building or dormitory, go to the lowest level or the most interior part of the building you can find. Avoid elevators and stay away from windows.”
But wouldn’t the building collapse in on you??
Nope π
Those survive most storms structurally intact. The greater danger is from flying debris.
Thank you, TK.
Odd but under “Recent comments” I only see the name and word “on” but no link to the response. Although I also see 4585 as the title for this thread.
Yes Vicki I can’t click on persons name on sidebar it’s frustrating . I tried iPhone and computer . I think it’s something here but only 3 of us having the problem
Same here.
I think it is universal.
Yes.
I’m unable to open comments from recent comment list.
Clear blue sky here
12z NAM for today
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy)
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=nam&stn=CAPE&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=nam&stn2=CAPE&hh2=003&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=006
LIFT
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=nam&run=12&stn=LI&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=12&mod2=nam&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
EHI
http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=12&mod=nam&stn=EHI&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=nam&stn2=EHI&hh2=003&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=009
Latest mesoscale discussion from SPC
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1605.html
It’s not too bad out there comfort wise. I was surprised to see the dp up to 70degrees. Lower temps are making it more bearable. Just cracked 80 out there.
Beautiful cumulus clouds to my north.
Regarding Mesoscale Discussion from SPC.
THat is NortWest of our area. Specifically the risk was SUPPOSED to be in
Eastern Sections. What’s up with that?
I wonder if something else is cooking for us. Stay tuned and we will find out. π
Latest from Taunton NWS
SO WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS WITH PRIORITIZED THREATS OF THE
FOLLOWING: HEAVY RAIN / FREQUENT LIGHTNING / URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING ISSUES / STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS / SMALL HAIL.
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.
Old Salty I could see a situation where there are two severe thunderstorm watches. One where the latest mesoscale discussion was issued the other over eastern parts of SNE.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch up until 8pm tonight
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0469.html
Updated risk outlook for today from SPC. All of MA and RI now in slight risk area. The probabilities still the same wind hail 15% tornado 2%
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
From the radar returns, it really looks like the tops of the storms must be being blown off, guessing there might be some good looking anvils.
Gentleman’s bet that Boston once again gets zilch: No rain, no T-storms, nothing. Anyone?
I’ll go with you on the bet but I say they do get it
You “may” end up being correct, but I won’t take that bet. π
Already get some severe thunderstorm warnings in the watch box.
Tk will those storms slowly sag south? Thank you!!
I though today was a special day for eastern mass for thunderstorms? But nope, once again central and western mass stealing all our storms and maine too AGAIN!! . I feel like eastern mass gets nothing, southeastern mass got hit earlier wnd now central and western mass, big hole in eastern mass, even tho i thought the big threat waa for us eastern folks, why can’t we have a special day and get storms lol
Looks like a fairly hefty system just north of quabbin.
From the Severe Thunder Storm Watch via the SPC:
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1220 PM UNTIL 800 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
The Storm out by Quabbin has tops to 36,000 feet with distinct hail signature.
In fact hail to 2 inches in Diameter. What a beauty that storm is.
There are 3 or 4 warned storms out there already. These storms are packing a wallop
to be sure.
I am puzzled that the threat area was advertised to be exclusively in Eastern sections, yet LOOK at the action and watch for Western sections.
TK we need to be educated on reasons why? Many thanks
Most storms out there are Meso Scale systems, the most dangerous type.
We need to keep an eye on the whole situation here.
I feel the Boston and surrounding areas will get something – even if it’s just a weaker version of a storm. It is just too juicy out there. Also, just my guessing, any areas that didn’t get the storms earlier might be more likely to get storms.
Not for nothing, but the 2 storms now out by Fitchburg are showing signs of
rotations. Nothing outrageous yet, but it is there. Yes that monster has split into
2 discrete storms, both mildly rotating.
Someone, somewhere in SNE sees a tornado today. I just feel it.
Looks as if every system out there is warned at the moment. Accurate comments from all earlier re seriousness of storms.
Yup. Never have I seen that before. Storms are more discrete than in a line.
Much more dangerous this way.
Big storm West of Springfield shows no signs of rotating.
I think the stronger helicity values are in the more Eastern Sections.
These are NASTY storms. Some of the nastiest seen around these parts in awhile.
Agreed ….
We were posting at same time. I don’t remember seeing warnings across the board like this for a while. Not liking the fact we are now heading out. Ugh
Agreed. Be CAREFUL. Have Mac man the Mobile device
and keep monitoring here and radars. Best of luck
Of the OTS variety.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc
Tornado Warning till 2:30 pm parts of Worcester Middlesex counties
And there’s a tornado warning.
Thats a worrisome cell because its on its own and there’s nothing to its south to cut off warm air inflow to keep the storm very intense.
Not the most intense rotation I’ve ever seen. I was busy and may have missed
stronger rotation, but here’s what’s there now:
http://i.imgur.com/xT8WnMD.png
Thanks OS !
I really don’t think there is anything on the ground.
As I said, perhaps I missed some stronger rotation earlier.
Compared to the Revere Rotation I saw last year,
this is a WIMPORAMA. I think it is only aloft.
Careful out there Vicki…hope all goes well.
Also headed into a region of the Merrimack Valley thats quite populated. Hopefully, its just rotation aloft …….
I’m back at Woods Hill. Going to be preoccupied for a bit as the tornado-warned cell is heading for me. Need to take care of things here. That supercell may intensify briefly and suddenly in the next half hour.
Stay safe!
I’ll be updating probably via mobile when I can.
PAY ATTENTION TO NWS WARNINGS PLEASE!
Please be safe, TK.
Take care TK and many thanks.
From SPC mesoscale discussion:
SPECIAL 18Z/19Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM GRAY
MAINE/ALBANY NY SAMPLED AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR /AROUND 50 KT EFFECTIVE/ AND MODERATE
BUOYANCY…PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. SEVERE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN COMMON CONCERNS WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS…AND A SUPERCELL TORNADO RISK MAY ALSO EXIST…PARTICULARLY
ACROSS EASTERN MA AND OTHER NEAR-COASTAL NEW ENGLAND AREAS WHERE
SOME BACKING OF NEAR-SURFACE WINDS IS NOTED WITHIN A MOIST
ENVIRONMENT.
Link:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1607.html
Now that is STRONGLY worded by the usually conservative SPC.
I do NOT like the sounds of that at all.
Tornado warning for northeastern worcester county and lowell area. Sun is out in Sudbury but we can actually can hear thunder.
I had bet with mac that by the time we arrived that there would be a tornado warning if OS said he saw rotation.
The clouds are building as I looked west down 128. The women who work in here were talking about it. They saw the Middlesex cty tornado warning and I do wish they were more specific. They live in southern part. I showed them on radar that storms were not near them. However, what is feeling on the line west of here getting this far
Vicki,
I am very concerned as I think TK is.
PLEASE read my post above from the SPC.
They indicated that the tornado RISK was HIGHER in Eastern MA
and even Coastal MA.
Here is a display of the Boston Nexrad radar showing the tornado signature on
that warned storm. It ONLY had it briefly.
http://i.imgur.com/uqCkVsA.png
TK stay safe. I know we have several in that area. Please be safe.
Joshua, I’ll take that bet. Boston to Providence will miss all storms this afternoon. I can already tell by the movement of the current storms. Not conducive for eastern MA severe weather.
Ace did you read my post from the SPC.
I would not/will not take that bet.
Someone in Eastern MA gets NAILED today.
Damn another Tornado Warning just issued for my town(Sterling). Can clearly see the spin with that on radar.
Pretty tight rotation there. I’d be more concerned about this one than
the previous one.
http://i.imgur.com/wHtNgSZ.png
New Tornado Warning on Storm moving NE of Springfield.
As soon as the get far enough East, WHAM!!!!
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
CENTRAL WORCESTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS…
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS…
* UNTIL 345 PM EDT
* AT 239 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR NEW SALEM…OR 9 MILES EAST OF AMHERST…AND WAS MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
LEOMINSTER…FITCHBURG…GARDNER…HOLDEN…CLINTON…ATHOL…
LUNENBURG…LANCASTER…TEMPLETON…RUTLAND…STERLING…WEST
BOYLSTON…WESTMINSTER…ASHBURNHAM…BARRE…PAXTON…
HUBBARDSTON…BOYLSTON…PRINCETON AND ASHBY.
Another tornado warning central ma
New tornado warning till 3:45 pm parts of Worcester Franklin Counties
Concerned for the Barre area. That storm looks very dangerous.
Indeed. Agree 100%
Tops to 39,000 feet with 1.75 inch HAIL.
Possible tornado debris signature on that storm, per radar correlation coefficient.
That one looked like the real deal for sure.
Wish we could see a Di-Pol radar.
Even tighter/stronger rotation now.
I really think we have one on the ground out there.
I agree. Barry on WBZ sounds very concerned. He and Eric are rocking it.
I don’t have access to TV just now.
Please keep us posted.
Many thanks
Thank you WX. I also do not have TV
I am missing all the action as its all up there where you are. I still enjoy tracking these storms.
My guess is that new warning will travel with storm also. Rainshine looks to be in path. I can’t tell if north framingham is. We are north of pike. Daughter and kids home and my niece is there and worried.
Northern storm looks to be headed just north of Woburn center. I don’t know where TK is in relation.
we’ll have to keep watching, but it looks to pass North of Framingham
and Sudbury.
This is the list of towns in the path from NWS:
* SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
LEOMINSTER…FITCHBURG…GARDNER…HOLDEN…CLINTON…ATHOL…
LUNENBURG…LANCASTER…TEMPLETON…RUTLAND…STERLING…WEST
BOYLSTON…WESTMINSTER…ASHBURNHAM…BARRE…PAXTON…
HUBBARDSTON…BOYLSTON…PRINCETON AND ASHBY.
Thank you. Thank you. It is so difficult being here
Looks like rotation is not as strong on that Barre storm. Let’s hope so.
I was not clear on which storm you saw strong rotation. North near TK or central?
Vicki, I saw on both, but the strongest was the one out
by Quabbin. My guess is, the weaker rotation did not contain a tornado, but the stronger one likely did. We’ll find out soon enough.
These storms just feeding on the instability that is out there.
JJ, while it has been warm, i wouldn’t say hot at all today. I’ve stayed in the low 80’s (haven’t been above 82) with dp’s this morning around 70 but have come down some to to 65 at this hour here. The lack of real heat might help to inhibit some of these storms as they move into the Bermuda Triangle of eastern MA.
I agree AceMaster its not a hot day today I agree. There is enough instability out there for these storms to grow today.
Tornado Warning dropped for northern storm
Now possible rotation on the more Souther Storm East of Springfield. We shall see.
Looks pretty weak so far.
ugh
I am not around but worried about my house…how’s Woburn looking?
So far you’re fine and dandy. Have to keep watching as the afternoon rolls
along.
Can you post under this section with any updates? Thanks.
I think all storms miss Boston. But, as far as the Boston-Providence corridor is concerned, Providence did get hit this morning, and has gotten its share of storms this summer. Boston’s been the big Charlie hole all summer. This summer in Eastern Massachusetts we’ve seen storms:
– across the North Shore;
– across the South Shore;
– northern and western suburbs;
– CC and the Islands
And zippo in Boston. Sure, a couple of rain drops here and there, but other than that nothing.
So odd. Nearly nothing in my area also but more than boston.
Vicki, I hope everything goes well with Mac at the Newton-Wellesley hospital. Take care.
Thank you Joshua.
Is it strengthening along the southern tip of that tornado warned area?
Just below the tornado box around Paxton?
Question is, will that cell north or worcester end up clipping Boston or slide off to the north? Not much behind that cell as of now.
According to wundermap, with storm tracks on, it goes right into Boston
http://i.imgur.com/2232XEy.jpg
Sorry, the dog follows me everywhere, lol
Oh yeah. Almost here. Bearing down on us now.
Getting very dark in Boston and the wind is picking up.
Wow, just blew through Westborough… quick and powerful, hail, wind, nasty looking clouds to start….
WOW! SOuthern end of big echo rapidly moving Eastward. Bowing out.
In About Hopkinton soon to roll into Framingham.
I was just on the phone and then looked when done! WOW! did it ever move!!!!
Be safe there in Framingham, Vicki!!!
Just lost power…
Be safe!!! all of you in the path of this storm. Latest winds clocked at 67 according to Pete B
Getting dark in Boston. See what happens when I place a bet. I lose.
REALLY getting Dark here. I can SEE the Storm. Very Dark foreboding clouds!
Hey, Nexrad radar has a TORNADO SIGNATURE on that storm heading into
Boston!!! What’s with that? I don’t see rotation at this time.
Here is a screen shot
http://i.imgur.com/2UpG2J5.png
I hear THUNDER
Boston about to get pounded.
There goes my bet. Good thing I never gamble.
Hail as big a small rocks here– West Newton
Bad here. Hail nasty. Under a bridge newton Weston line
So sorry you’re stuck. We tried to get you home first.
Storms did not cooperate. Stay safe and hang in there.
tons of lightning. Big Booms
Here it comes in JP and surrounding areas.
Nexrad still has TORNADO SIGNATURE on that storm.
I still don’t see rotation and it is NOT tornado warned.
Boston about to get slammed, little bit of rotation but looks like mostly a hail/wind threat.
Tornado Signature no longer there on NExrad
HUMUGOUS HAIL Here!!! Largest I have ever seen!!!!!
Well over an inCH!!!!!
Yes we saw that in Newton. Biggest I have ever seen as well.
some were at least golf ball size or bigger!
To be sure. I can confirm that!
WOW!!!!
AMAZING!!!
Wind blew pretty good for awhile. Calming down now!
Hail is huge pounding my car.
What size would you say the hail was up there. Quarter size or larger?
MUCH LARGER. Bigger than golf balls. I saw a few approaching 2 inches.
Most were about 1 inch to 1.5 inches.
Just looking in the parking lot. My car looks OK.
One employee’s car got their rear window trashed to bits. The HAIL
blew it right out!!
You get hail that large it could damage to windows on your house car.
Storm came right down Boylston St., hail and all.
Hope everyone and their car is ok …..
Have driven to sea wall in Brant Rock, seeing lightning on northern horizon, but anticipating outflow boundary to perhaps roar in off of the ocean.
We are sitting in the truck and will be staying in the truck.
PS tremendous towering cumulus extending southwestward from cell clearly over Boston, similar to cumulus we saw in the outer banks 2 yrs ago.
Did you snap some photos? PLEEEZ post.
Crazy stuff. I would have lost that bet too. I really thought that cell would follow the same path as the one before but it slammed right into Boston! I just got some pics from the in-laws in West Roxbury of the hail in their garden. Nickle to quarter sized they said. Are we done with the storms? Not much cooking to the west.
I actually have dew points in the 50s where I am and the drier air should be spreading eastward.
Things certainly came together today.
More cells popping in Western Mass
Just what we need. They look fairly nasty as well and they look to be
tracking right towards Boston. We’ll have to watch those.
Here is a shot of the street outside of my office. For perspective, I am on
the 3rd floor and you can readily make out the hail stones. Again most
were an inch or more. A few here and there were in the 1 1/2 to 2 inch range and
I am NOT exaggerating. You should have hear the noise these things were making.
Unbelievable. I have NEVER witnessed this in all my years!!
http://i.imgur.com/PlW8JdA.jpg
Nice.
We got under a bridge. Huge hail. Daughter took pic of hail here and it looks bigger than quarter size after 10 minutes to melt. Grandson #1 said golf balls were coming from the sky. His 2 yr old brother said golf clubs.
Guess Boston was not spared
Just heard on TWC half inch hail report at Logan.
First snow of the season π
Well I am about 2-3 miles from the airport.
MUCH BIGGER than 1/2 inch here. I think the CORE of the HAIL
came right over my office as well as at home. I spoke with Mrs. OS before the storm and I told here to just stay away from the Windows and she’d be fine.
I spoke with her after. Well she hid under the attic stairs. She thought the roof was coming down the noise was so loud. She also thought that the hail would take down our 3 window AC units. Amazing stuff. As far as she can tell, all
is well at home. I’ll take a peek when I get home to make sure.
I hope all is ok with Mrs OS
I definitely jinxed it by declaring emphatically that Boston would be spared. How wrong was I!
Here is a total amateur video of the HAIL I took through my office window
https://video-lga1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hvideo-xft1/v/t42.1790-2/11837713_10200676246744364_900759393_n.mp4?efg=eyJybHIiOjYyMiwicmxhIjo1MTJ9&rl=622&vabr=346&oh=4c0d87631d3b33b78039e6d2e3858f39&oe=55C14205
Sorry it was so brief. I didn’t know what I was doing. 1st video I have ever taken with the smart phone. π
Hail here after 10 minutes melting next to a dime which it seems to dwarf somewhat.
https://scontent-lga1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/11796196_493437364154490_5675538400451017223_n.jpg?oh=30ac7a80337e3a759cb57bac62864bbd&oe=564B99D3
Awesome!
Some one took this photo somewhere in Boston, don’t know where.
https://scontent-lga1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xtf1/v/t1.0-9/11826001_10100643959367068_7376422340694985569_n.jpg?oh=61d0a6c4ffa52beae5160375cf76ee03&oe=563974EB
Plenty of people calling 1-800-64GIANT this afternoon.
I always loved running out trying grab the hail and store in the freezer when it happened. I have not had hail here in just over two years.
In winter sleet is measured by observers. Usually we see measurements of a “trace of ice” to a “quarter-inch.” Since hail is ice, shouldn’t Logan be measuring the ice accumulation we got from the storm that just hit. Tom alluded to this in a post above – “first snow of the season.”
I suppose, but I am firmly against this practice as HAIL is NOT Winter
time precipitation (ordinarily), where snow and sleet clearly are.
Not a big deal they can do as they please like who would listen to me anyway? π
New cells popping in the 495 area.
http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ma/boston/box/
That was awesome, but you know what, it has left me wanting MORE! π
Love the reports all, glad everyone is safe! Quite a storm. Whole lotta nothing here in Wrentham. All we got was the outflow boundary, lol. It was actually pretty well defined. Downpour has popped to my west, maybe because of that boundary. We’ll see what happens.
Can still see the boundary on radar
http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ma/boston/box/
I’m outstate right now but my friends in Westborough have sent me pics/vids of golf ball+ sized hail, strong winds with tree branches down, and very strong winds+downpours. So disappointed I missed this one…
We all enjoyed it for you. It was quite a storm.
Where I am located, although there was certainly wind, the main feature
was the HAIL! Unbelievable!
Wind, I would estimate yo 40 or 45 mph. Not 60 by any stretch.
Daughters brand new Nissan altima has tons of dents all over it. Guess I’m glad we were not here as our car only has 1000 miles
Sorry to hear about your daughter’s car
Just got to my car.
Hood all dented. Ill take photo if it will
Coms out
Oh no. Sorry to hear that
Do,you know if you have to pay deductible if weather related
Sorry to say, but deductible will apply for weather. It is a Comprehensive claim.
Thank you. They get you no matter what. Arghhhh
My car is also a Nissan Altima.
I was just out and counted 15 dents, 1 on trunk, several on roof and the rest on the hood. Photos came out lousy!
I have $1,000 deductible due to insurance so expensive in
Boston.
Daughters is also $1000. I know a great detailer who takes dents out. Will see what it would cost through him. Son in laws work truck was badly dented also on way home from boston.
Amazing, the storm has directly affected some of us. Some dents in the car is nothing compared to
what could have happened, but still it affected us.
Wow! I missed the hail but i saw at keast golfball size hail in roxbury on thr ground as i was driving after thr storm went by, will upload pics soon
Dodged the storms this morning, and dodged the storms this afternoon. All is well around here, be safe!! π
Unconfirmed but daughter sent a pic of a tree down with entire root system. Ripped ground out around it
http://patch.com/massachusetts/framingham/unconfirmed-report-microburst-framingham-0?utm_source=alert-breakingnews&utm_medium=email&utm_term=outdoors&utm_campaign=alert
If that half inch hail at Logan is confirmed that would certainly be a record. Just off the top of my head, I believe the most hail recorded is 0.1 inch, if not just a trace.
And yes, that hail would be included in the 2015-16 snowfall total for Logan! π
EARLY START to the season! Oh no! π
Sunsets are now before 8pm, we heard on cnn that winter this yr in the northeast will be mild. Concur tk?
Odds favor a mild Winter with a moderate to strong El Nino having just peaked.
Yes, Odds favor it, but…
I used to count cards at Black Jack.
One time the count was mega high and I had a HUGE
bet out. I ended up with like 4,6 and doubled down grabbing
a face card for a pretty secure 20 with 2 bets out there.
Dealer proceeds to draw to a 5 card 21 and clearing my bets
off of the table instead of paying me as the odds would heavily favor.
Point being, it ain’t a mild Winter UNTIL such time that it happens, odds or no odds. π
We have Thunder again!!
More! Big boom.
Raining again and more thunder
OS, sorry about your car. And I am glad that everyone is safe.
Sudbury didn’t actually get a tornado warning but on NECN they were mentioning winds that might get to 80 – 90 mph. To the northwest the sky got very dark. Because of the threat of high winds (husband says were prob’ly about 50 mph) I took the cat w/me into the bathroom. We don’t have a cellar. Well, I didn’t see the storm – my husband did. I could hear the hail in the bathroom – never heard hail that loud before. My husband said it got extremely dark then torrential rain, then came the hail – about 1.5 inches here. There was some loud thunder and there was lightning.
What seemed weird to me is that from my experience, the hail would come first, then the rain. Recently, I don’t remember where, I heard the rain comes first, then hail, then a tornado if there is one. So this storm, which had been tornado-warned earlier, certainly was outstanding. Amazing how the hail core lasted so long – all the way into Boston.
Thanks Rain.
I will call insurance Co. tomorrow AM, but I don’t expect much.
The car is just about 5 years old. Not very interested in shelling out
a grand to fix some little dents. Perhaps I’ll try to suction them out.
Weather statement on now – another storm about to hit Boston.
BTW – my sister was caught in storm in Framingham. She said when it started hailing it got so cold out – almost freezing. I’m not sure why that was – maybe due to hail core or rush of cold air coming down?
Pretty much. π
Here is one photo that shows 1 dent in my hood. I counted about 15 of these.
See if you can spot it. So sorry camera doesn’t pick up too well.
http://i.imgur.com/rMAWTE0.jpg
Yes, I can see a few …..
2 thunderstorms in 1 day in Boston …. well, thats it until next year for the City π
Looks like the darkish spot near the left but I’m prob’ly wrong. Good luck w/the insurance co. and trying to get it out.
Middle left on photo kind of in front of passenger side wipers.
This one is just about done, but there are more lurking about out there.
I don’t think any are severe at the moment.
Nothing severe at the moment but still plenty unstable for a while. We are seeing the results. And I’m getting some nice photos from here…
Another storm nearby. We shall see.
Quick downpour here. No more. OS your car looks like daughters. What good is no fault insurance if Mother Nature is at fault and they blame owner. Looks like a cell around you right now
Nearby, but nothing happening.
There are a few more Pooping up, I mean popping up. π
Tom that’s actually 3 T-storms today. We got nicked this morning with one
around 6:45 to 7:45 AM. Tons of thunder and lightning even if only rained for awhile.
Bulk was off to our East, but it was close.
Even better !
I happened to see Nelly Furtado doing an OUTSIDE shot (she seemed a few feet from the NECN building) when that big storm approached the western suburbs of Boston.
It was hailing and there was lightning.
Matt Noyes thankfully cut into her report and urged her to get indoors.
He seemed concerned and I know I was very nervous watching. I hope someone there encourages her that being in the elements of that type of thunderstorm isnt worth the risk again. Save it for the snowstorms.
Ooops, Nelly Carreno
π
I was wondering what she was doing in Boston. π π π
Who is she. Please do not tell me she is a meteorologist
NECN, weekday evenings …..
It was all hands on deck, she was outside and Matt Noyes and a new weekend Met were on camera, inside.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=LSR&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
My wife and I just hit the floor. This is where we were supposed to be going !! Burlingame state park in southern RI. We cancelled last night due to the so so forecast this coming Thurs thru Monday. 100 trees down, 10 minor (thankfully) injuries.
The time is 6:40 am, these were those morning storms with the straight line winds.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=LSR&format=CI&version=2&glossary=1&highlight=off
Maybe this one.
I have goosebumps. Tom you guys definitely have an angel on your shoulder. Thank heavens you were not there
For sure Vicki …..
TK please check above for response to El Nino mild Winter.
I hope worth the look as it is about odds. π
Dry air not too far away. Keene and Manchester NH have Dew points in the 50s.
Nashua still near 70. Pretty sharp line IF we can get it through.
One last cell about over WoonSocket, RI.
May all cells RIP.
Tom, that’s too bad about the cancellation of the camping trip. But, the weekend forecast looks bad for camping.
OS, I’m sorry to hear about your car dents. I have several, too. But, my car’s an old jalopy Not worth worrying about. If it gets me from point to point B for a few more years I’ll be glad.
I’ve never seen hail in Boston like I did this afternoon. It was impressive. However, I would not want to be landing at Logan during the brunt of the storm.
That would have been some ride, although hail was NOT as large at
Logan as in other parts of the City.
My Son’s office is in East Boston Near the Airport. He concurs that most hail
was about 1/2 inch, however, he saw a few random golf ball size or larger.
Thanks Joshua …. and thats alright. I’m glad the 10 people are ok and we’ll head to the beach locally on the non rainy days here.
We are now on RI news stations watching news coverage and seeing photos.
North how much rain did u receive from the rain this morning? My darn rain gauge read error, thank you!!
.11
Thanks
I was just sitting here with a ruler.
I would say most Hail I saw today was around 1 inch with occasional stones
of 1.25 to 1.5 inch. I’d say the largest I saw was 1.5 inch or perhaps a tad larger.
Majority of hail was around 1 to 1.25 inch.
Daughter thought 1-1.5. But youngest got upset so she spent time comforting so missed a good portion. I’m still trying to figure how to post the video here
Video from phone?
Upload it to Face Book. Then when it is loaded there, right click on it and Open Video in a new tab. Then copy that url from the new tab into WHW and VIOLA, you will have shared your video with us. I look forward to seeing it. π
I tried but it wouldn’t let me grab a URL like I can a photo
Yes it will. Is it on face book now IF I went there?
I don’t see any videos on your page.
I think because it is flash, it works differently from photos??
Sounds about right to me.
Did I tell you that one of our RN’s got caught in the Hail coming from Parking lot to office and got nailed with a big hail stone on
her leg. She suffered a large welt on her leg, but is otherwise fine.
Wow. I was wondering if folks were hurt.
Taunton’s evening update and all the TV mets at 6pm in some way mentioned the opportunity for some small hail tomorrow in the scattered convection.
Let’s see if this works. My iPad won’t let me copy URL for photos but I was playing with video and it gave me option to copy link.
https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=493443060820587
Not sure if you have to be a “friend” to see
Awesome Vicki !!
Perhaps, if your interested, you should consider sending that into …. Pete π
Hehe. I did sent to Pete. I suspect he has received a lot of videos though. I couldn’t believe how far the hail was bouncing back up off of the table. Says a lot about the velocity (is that correct term) with which it hit.
JR did like it on FB
Very good !
A bit more thunder and lightning last 5 to 10 minutes.
Here as well
Awww. None here
You know it is a big day when a topic has over 300 posts in summer
And it had to happen on the day where u can’t click on recent comments:p
I know. My scrolling finger is sore today π
Saw Willie tonight, he’s trying out his red jacket for his introduction tomorrow π
Measured 1.31 inches of precip. Grass was happy π
Finally can click on name. Thanks Tk .
The rest of the week and weekend will feel fallish, Friday Saturday and Sunday probably won’t reach 80 degrees, average high for today is 80. π
Blog updated!