7:29AM
DAYS 1-5…
High pressure dominates today which will be a very nice Summer Day, one of many we’ve had this Summer. High pressure readjusts north of New England Friday through Monday as low pressure passes south then turns northward to the east of southern New England. Though some light rain from this system may get close, it should remain offshore, with the most influence from this combination of systems being a cooler wind from the Atlantic and some cloudiness at times.
TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 78-85. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 56-63. Wind light N shifting to E.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 72-80. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows 55-63. Highs 73-81.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Lows 57-65. Highs 75-83.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 11-15)…
Humidity returns with a chance of showers/thunderstorms by later August 11 through early August 12. Another around of showers/storms possible around August 13-14. Temperatures below to near normal.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 16-20)…
Temperatures near seasonal averages much of the time with episodes of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thanks TK. Beautiful morning.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Indeed another perfect day. It’s been a great Summer so far. π
Beautiful morning. GREAT sleeping night. Thank you TK!!
Thanks TK !
00z GFS …. Late in medium range …. Look at 500 mb low and its associated due south to north flow along the eastern seaboard. ……..
Let’s see if there’s repitition to that idea in the coming days …… Also then would have to watch and see if any previously stalled or washed out cold front was stirring about with showers and thunderstorms off of the SE US coastline.
What date specifically? Please NOT on 8/15.
Thanks
Looks like it’s all starting to evolve around 8/15, but this particular solution would maximize its impact here around 8/16 or 8/17 ….
I’m sure you know OS not to put much, if any, stock into something 9 or 10 days out.
Of course, I’ve been watch 8/15 since it was 16 days out
on the GFS. EVERY day it has been different. Just monitoring trends at this point. So far, I “think” 8/15 will be OK. 2 things I do not want:
1. RAIN
2. HEAT
thanks
Was just speaking to some people here at the office re: Hail Storm
1. Corporate lawyer got nailed during storm. She has a large bruise on her forehead,
a gross looking large hematoma on her arm and an ungodly bruise on her leg.
2. Was speaking with our facilities manager and he told me that almost every person’s
car that was in our lot during the storm got dented up big time.
I have not yet spoken to the RN that got bonked.
Many unhappy campers here at the office.
A very very very memorable storm. My wife is still talking about it as she was
terrified.
I cannot imagine being out in that storm. The force of the hail had it literally bouncing off of the table on our deck and back up about five feet. I feel awful for the woman (or anyone) who was injured.
Was your wife home alone, OS? That would be very scary.
York beach apparently had far larger hail than we did.
Thanks Vicki. Yes, Mrs. OS was home alone.
I spoke to her prior to the storm and just told her to stay
away from any windows and that she would be fine.
Had I seen rotation, I would have gone home (If I had time).
She did exactly that, but the noise was horrendous, with Hail
bouncing off of the roof, the neighbor’s roof and the 3 window
AC units. I can’t imagine the sound.
BTW, report indicated hail in JP was 2.0 inches in
diameter.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/13W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif
Upper left part of the image is Taiwan, I believe. I also believe Taipei is a major city on the north side of Taiwan and may be in line to take the right front quadrant of this storm.
YIKES
Pretty active season in the Pacific.
Al Roker had a fascinating graphic this morning. He explained how a wildfire creates its own weather system. I cannot find it online but did find the link below. It isn’t as good as Roker’s. I’ll look more for his later as time permits.
http://www.azcentral.com/news/arizona/free/20130630yarnell-fire-weather-systems.html
Facinating. Thank you.
Fascinating
Thanks TK.
Another great summer day.
Re-Post from the other night as I don’t think many, if any saw this.
This was in response to ODDS FAVORING A mild, below average Snow Winter
due to El Nino. BTW, I certainly agree that the ODDS FAVOR that.
I just want to relay a story related to ODDS and that it doesn’t always work out that way.
I used to count cards at Black Jack.
One time the count was mega high and I had a HUGE
bet out. I ended up with like 4,6 and doubled down grabbing
a face card for a pretty secure 20 with 2 bets out there. I used to know
the exact odds on stuff like this, but for now, I can say the odds of my
winning that bet would have been something like 87%. Fairly good odds. Certainly enough to say odds favored my winning.
Dealer proceeded to draw to a 5 card 21 and clear my bets
off of the table instead of paying me as the odds would heavily favor.
Point being, it ainβt a mild Winter UNTIL such time that it happens, odds or no odds. π
I cant wait to get a few laughs from the Almanac when it comes out later this month with their winter predictions.
I’l make a Winter prediction:
Winter Starts December 21, 2015
LOL!!!
Thanks TK!
Greetings from Newport Harbor! Heading up Buzzards Bay this weekend on our sailboat… Any chance on wind coming from the south or west?
More like East. But that would work for you, unless it is more Northeast which is possible. Good luck.
Love Newport! Love it!
Wonderful trip. I think Mac has been traveling with you in spirit as he keeps asking where you are.
Latest from the National Hurricane Center regarding this year’s Hurricane Season:
https://scontent-lga1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xtf1/v/t1.0-9/s552x414/10463058_10153084812926716_7447751705483048315_n.jpg?oh=aa95853d2a72fb6de27e1344f0e514ba&oe=564EDBF7
12Z NAM wants to keep us dry this weekend. Let us hope so.
I think it’s more dry than wet. I think the bigger thing wil be the tempature.
Indeed, “could” be a little cool.
At best the lower to middle 70s, at worse middle to upper
60s. Brrrrr
Let’s hope for middle 70s at least. π
Brrrr???? haha!
Thanks, TK.
A beautiful, refreshing summer day!
Thanks TK! π
Snow forecast for a ski resort near Santiago Chile where our niece and her husband
reside. Her husband is literally jumping for joy such that he cannot contain himself.
They can see the mountain from their balcony and is about 1 hour’s drive from their
residence.
http://snowforecast.com/resorts/4255-valle-nevado
Web Cam
http://216.241.17.42:8087/oneshotimage1
Base: 9,383 feet
Summit: 12,041 feet
Verticle Drop: 2,658 feet
Pretty nice resort
The webcam shot looks like southern New England during this past mid February π
Beautiful resort and I love the pictures. Ahhhhh….snow!!
Most will be hoping to keep that white sh## far away. Some may have to puke just mentioning the 4 letter sin word. π
Nice resort it appears
Thanks tk, these days ahead are going to feel like early Fall, another morning in the low and mid 50’s. π
Feels like August to me. I’ve always thought of August as having the potential for cooler nights and mornings.
Huh? Lol all I said is it’s going to feel like fall these next few mornings.
Feels like August and August is summer. We have always gone on vacation early August and we have always needed sweatshirts at night. I’m not arguing. Just stating facts π
End of August but not early August, but I’m not going to argue about it.
Os black jack is my favorite game, we have similarities, math and numbers are my thing. I won’t get to much into it, it’s all about under pressure and being able to do it. Loved it π
I don’t play any more. I got kicked out of too many casinos, including those
in Las Vegas, Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun. π
SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW
SNOW!!!!
Oh and by the way did I mention… SNOW?
π
That was for Charlie, by the way. SNOW is one swear I allow on my blog. π
Lol
RAIN is usually a swear word for me. I don’t really like it during any season, especially this one. π
I would think the odds for back-to-back record or near record snows are so astronomical…thousands to 1. You probably have much better odds being struck by lightning inside your house while down in your basement. I suspect the odds do not favor even just “average” snowfall which for Logan is 43.8″. Even at this early, early stage I am thinking well below normal for snowfall…no repeat whatsoever.
Famous last words?? LOL. π
Oh I agree completely, However, Beware of the odds. They are made to
be beaten. π
20-30 inches, and no biggies (over 10 inches).
I think some inland spots Saturday morning could be around 52-53 degrees. I’ve noticed summer crabgrass already stunting and trying to seed. (Which is very good for me) π
Is this real?
Jeremy Kappell WDRB
July 9, 2013 Β·
An incredible, close-up, photo of the Tampa Bay water spout from yesterday! #tampa #waterspout #flwx
https://scontent-lga1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xap1/v/t1.0-9/1069333_567134719996548_1251453903_n.jpg?oh=c2dac8184fd0ff862afa425f56ab003d&oe=5644A72D
It is indeed.
π
62.7 degrees, expecting about 55 degrees when I head out around 6:30-7am π goodnight folks. π
Nice morning out there .
Updated!