Wednesday Forecast

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 14-18)…
It’ll be about the temperature changes more than anything as the only real chance of precipitation the next 5 days is the first 2/3 of Friday from one of a series of cold fronts that causes a downward temperature trend.
TODAY: Mostly sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs in the 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clearing overnight. Lows in the 40s. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH and gusty.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW late in the day.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers possible through mid afternoon then clearing from west to east. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs around 50.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 19-23)…
Dry with a cold start October 19 then a warming trend gets underway and lasts through October 22. Frontal system late in the period may bring a few showers and a switch back to cooler.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 24-28)…
Overall pattern remains mostly dry with variable temperatures averaging out close to normal.

46 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK !

    I thought that maybe, as this week progressed, the weekend cold shot would show signs of not being as chilly, but not so far. Models seem to be consistent on very cold 850mb temps.

    1. It is Wednesday.

      I highly doubt that Boston (Logan) sees any high temperature in the 40s
      through this entire “cold” stretch. Perhaps in the Worcester Hills, but not in
      the coastal plain. I have to chuckle at all of the attention at this big
      Arctic Express cold wave coming. Perfectly normal. Nothing we haven’t seen before. Big Deal

      We shall see.

      We are at the beginning of yet another beautiful day in an almost
      endless string of them.

      Although I would welcome some action, who could complain about
      this weather! It’s perfect!

      I continue to monitor the Siberian Snow cover. So far this month, there
      is NO anomaly. It is perfectly average. Unless there is a dramatic change
      soon, I may have to re-think my prognostication for Winter Snow
      in these parts. There is still some time before I need to make a prediction.
      So far there is more snow in Eurasia than in Siberia, which does not bode
      well for snow lovers in SNE, I don’t think anyway.

      We shall see.

        1. I’ve had two people at work ask me this morning if I was ready for the “freeze” this coming weekend. All I could do was grin and say “Yep”.

          1. I agree with old salty it’s being overblown this cold for the weekend in my opinion . Sue been to Johns .

            1. I haven’t yet but the boys are in desperate need of haircuts. I saw a great buzz cut that Darren did for a kid on my son’s football team so I need to get over there and see what he can do.

  2. I like to see you make mention of the Siberia snow cover / or lack of as I always refer to that . It’s October that counts for that as you know . It seems that this winter has a lot going against it before it starts on 12/21 or 12/22 I believe . Watch us get nailed lol.

    1. Stated with the continued opinion that we should always be cautious, this study raises a lot of questions and has some holes in it, most notably these:

      1) Has the computer model been tested for accuracy? We have already seen hard facts that many climate models and related models are massively flawed and need a lot of work. That work needs to be done if we are ever to trust them.

      2) Two Mount Everests per year of ice changing to water and going into the ocean that it’s already at least partly floating in. I hope they realize that the amount of sea level rise that would cause is beyond microscopic. Compare the size of Mt. Everest (the volume of water that would fit in an “ice Everest”) to the total volume of water in the ocean. That’s basically like putting 2 drops of water in a swimming pool per year. With regular run off from rivers entering the oceans on a daily basis, I’m sure we are putting hundreds and maybe thousands of Everests into the ocean DAILY. They didn’t think about that. 🙂

      1. We are destroying the earth. Whether the studies are 100% accurate, in my opinion, is moot. While we argue over what is causing it, we will continue to destroy the earth. The two may not go hand in hand but for some reason far too many think they do. Not you TK as I know you believe we are hurting our earth. But too many cannot seem to separate the two so sadly when a study is discounted, those folks say….see, we are just fine.

        1. You’re right. I just don’t like vastly flawed studies because they just add to the stuff we don’t know whether to believe or not.

          I showed this to my meteorologist friend who leans neither left nor right and he tore it to shreds. He has the same concern that you and I do, and the same opinion.

          1. I’m not so worried about the studies. There are too many that show something to discount them. Sadly right or left should not matter. We all are rhe caretakers of our earth. And frankly we are doing a piss poor job

            Hmmmmm perhaps the rules need to mention language. Not often mine gets off color but this truly makes me angry.

            Again my comment are general and absolutely do not apply to anyone here

            1. Amen.

              I could go on and on but in light of last
              Night I’ll just leave it at I agree totally.

              Sadly politics do play into this and I Could go off the deep end on this.

              Nuff said.

  3. For the past week it’s been well below normal in terms of temperature in northwestern Europe, though a warming trend there is about to occur. A record was nearly broken in the Netherlands today, as snow fell in the Province of Limburg (where Maastricht is). The earliest recorded snowfall (October 13, 1975) still stands. This article is in Dutch, but you can see the rather wet snowflakes if you click on the video link.

    http://nos.nl/artikel/2063082-eerste-sneeuw-gevallen-in-limburg.html

  4. Interesting….

    65 Degrees at Boston for 11AM. Did a “cold” front really come through?
    Or was that just a “wind shift” front. 😆 😆

    Not much of a temperature differential. Drier air, sure. Big temperature change?
    NOPE.

    1. Very interesting, except I don’t see any big deal with the Siberian snow so
      far. I look at it almost daily. Perhaps they got nailed today??? 😆

      I’ll post something tomorrow.

    1. Perhaps I was a bit harsh?
      Still seems early but perhaps folks
      Need to prepare in case they have plants
      To spare??? Even so on borrowed time
      Any way.

    2. Perhaps I was a bit harsh?
      Still seems early but perhaps folks
      Need to prepare in case they have plants
      To spare??? Even so on borrowed time
      Any way.

  5. Follow ups…

    Though I do agree with both of you on many points JPD and Vicki, unfortunately the validity of studies is important because people are being fed too much BS from both sides and all it does is confuse people. The real message is lost in it. And that’s sad. 🙁

    As for the map posted with the low temps… It is headlined with hard freeze in much of the region, yet it shows 28 and above for most low temps. A hard freeze does not take place until the temperature is below 28 for at LEAST 4 hours.

  6. The mild stretch has pulled temps back to about normal for the month-to-date. And in the next several days it will go back down… Roller coaster!

  7. But those temps below 32 likely will end most of the growing season for majority of people that are not professionals IMO.

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