Saturday Forecast

60 Comments

6:36AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 24-28)…
High pressure centered to the north of the region will allow winds to turn more easterly today allowing some ocean cloudiness to move westward over southeastern NH and eastern MA as well as parts of RI at times. Cloudiness from an approaching cold front will arrive later in the day from the west as well. Overall though not a bad start to the weekend. Even Sunday won’t be a terrible day, just lots of cloudiness for the first 2/3 of it along with a chance of rain showers as the front moves through. Improvement starts later Sunday but this will also mark the arrival of a very cool air mass which will be around for the start of the week Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, low pressure will approach from the southwest, eventually leading to a chance of rain. Some of the moisture that was associated with Pacific Hurricane Patricia may be involved in the midweek rain threat.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs in the 50s. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy through early afternoon with scattered rain showers then increasing sun west to east. Highs around 60. Wind S to SW increasing to 10-20 MPH then shifting to W from west to east.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 25-35. Highs 45-55.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 25-35. Highs in the 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain afternoon and night. Lows 35-45. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 29-NOVEMBER 2)…
Low pressure likely passes northwest of the region Thursday October 29 with rain showers and milder air. Windy/colder Friday October 30. Fair and cool Saturday October 31. Watching for another low pressure and frontal system with potential unsettled weather part of November 1-2.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 3-7)…
Drier/cooler early period, milder with unsettled weather later in the period.

60 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

      1. Yes. Come say hi! We’re easy to find. My wife and I are both pretty much dressed in all black. Gothic weather geeks. 🙂

  3. Elliot Abrahms was missing in action for his talk so we launched a small search and yours truly found him in the men’s room.

    “They’re looking for you out there.”

    “Oh they are?”

  5. Good morning.

    I think folks in Mexico caught a bit of a break as Patricia weakened quite rapidly
    just before landfall and more so as soon as landfall was made. Not to say there wasn’t damage and flooding because there was. I’m just saying it could have been much
    worse.

    Captain any word? Hope all are well.

  7. Thanks TK and enjoy !!!!!! I have to get back to one of these conferences in the next few years.

    For a time early this morning, both the summit of Mt Washington and Logan were 39F.

  9. Tom there are always some teachers here and of course they get 10 PDPs for attending.

    This conference is very successful but this is the first time they have sold out. 230 people not including speakers and the conference committee. 🙂

  10. Boy, I think El Niño and its impacts on the cool to cold season may be starting to show in the last 5 to 7 days of model runs.

    Stating the obvious with the strength of Patricia ….

    But, even in the mid latitudes, it looks very mild to start November ….

    Pacific or even continental air masses across the central and eastern 2/3rds of the U.S. ….

    The occasional cool to cold shot that does not plunge southward into the central US, but rather slides southeastward into southeast Canada, brushing New England with a couple days of chilly weather occasionally.

    And back in the tropics, signs of more tropical systems anywhere along the Mexico coastline up to the Baja of California.

    1. My oldest is working on an invention. She is trying to design something that will force the jet stream to stay north so we can have warmer weather all year.

      If she didn’t look so much like the two of us, I’d check hospital records to see if she was switched at birth.

      1. Good luck with that.

        I wanted to erect a Hugh transparent wall along our coast
        to block the freakin East Wind every Spring!!!! I could never quite figure out how to do it. Keep us posted on her progress. 😀

    2. Have you looked at the CFS monthlies. I don’t profess to know how accurate
      these things are, but have a look at Dec, Jan and FEB

      2 meter temperature anomalies:

      DEC
      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2015102318/cfs-mon_01_T2ma_us_2.png

      JAN
      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2015102318/cfs-mon_01_T2ma_us_3.png

      FEB
      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2015102318/cfs-mon_01_T2ma_us_4.png

      Talk about a forecast for a MILD WINTER! WOW!

  12. Hi WHW friends:
    Sorry for the delay in getting back to you. A crazy Saturday as per usual.
    Mom and family are back at their hotel. They returned at 1 am this morning from an elementary school. A long and scary ordeal for them yesterday. Report from her, as most of you reported yesterday, that most of the blow was to the south of Puerto Vallarta, but they was a lot of rain at the resort.
    I can’t thank you all enough for your concern, prayers and weather updates throughout the day yesterday…
    Enjoy the weekend everyone, and Go Pats!
    CF

    2. Great news and thank you for updating us.

      It looks like everything turned out the way we thought and hoped it would.
      It’s nice when that happens. Very happy that all are well.

    1. What’s the scuttlebutt for this Winter? Any Dissenting views against the milder
      less snowy scenario? Curious. Thanks and enjoy.

  14. Here is a very nice photo of a downtown Courthouse.

    Care to guess where? With what I post, probably a pretty easy guess.
    But I find this photo fascinating as it is downtown Flagstaff Arizona in the Summer.

    Who would imagine any place in Arizona would look this lush and so much like New England.

    http://pics4.city-data.com/cpicv/vfiles31771.jpg

  17. Contest for 1st 1 inch of snow at Logan? I say 12/14/15
    My snow totals for the year:
    Boston 26.9
    Providence 23.3
    Worcester 51.4
    Hartford 37.6
    Concord 57.5
    🙂

    2. Tx Charlie. Do you mind copying that to contest page. Things are a bit hectic now and if everyone puts their guesses there I can just grab them and put them into spreadsheet as time permits

      Bottom of contest page

      It would be a great help If everyone could do that. Thank you 🙂

  19. Great conference; very informative! Glad I got to see you TK. The highlights for me…

    *A couple great morning presentations about SNE severe weather, with case studies on the Revere tornado and the August 4 event of this year. Provided some good information about what sort of severe index values and upper level setups to look for in severe forecasting for our region.
    *Three presentations after lunch on last winter, put in multiple perspectives. Gave me a greater appreciation for how crazy a stretch that really was.
    *A couple of presentations focusing on this coming winter later in the day. Joe D’Aleo at Weatherbell and Dan Leonard at WSI both gave their thoughts. Some similarities between them but also differences. El Nino the driving force, but exactly how it continues to evolve will be critical.

    Several other interesting presenters as well. A great time all in all; will be interested in your thoughts on it TK.

    1. Great review. I’m sitting in a restaurant now so I’ll expand on that later. 🙂

    1. Probably more than people think. I think I’m going to go high again but need to review some more information .

        1. Tk no disrespect but these dropped lines one in awhile is killing me . Give us more please . Glad you had fun was Harvey there.

          1. Harvey was there. We chatted for a while.

            Dick Albert was there, as was Mark Rosenthal. Danielle Volmar, Cindy Fitzgibbon, and others.

            Even Mishelle Michaels this time. It’s been a few years since she’s been around there.

              1. She is an absolute SWEET HEART. And what a dedicated scientist. She did so much work for women in science too. Just tireless. It was good to see her.

                1. And an equestrian. I know I told you she would give temp ranges often that helped the kids know how to blanket their horses in the months when there were big swings.

  21. WxWatcher…

    Like you I think it was a great conference. Maybe a little sluggish at the end but by the end of the day everyone’s tired. It feels like it flew by but what great talks!

    I very much admire Joe D’Aleo. He does tend to have a bit of a cold bias but one can argue he has a legitimate reason for putting southern New England on the colder side of things versus what many others have said. I don’t happen to agree this time and feel that despite the hard-hitting cold shots that we will get from eastern Canada, the mild overall regime will just barely win out.

    Some also said how much of a gamble it is doing the precipitation long range, and I agree, but I’m going to lean on the slightly drier side for now. I think snow ends up near to below normal across the entire region but this reminds me of the type of pattern we get 2 big storms and a bunch of tiny ones.

    I also think our first measurable snow is not that far away.

    1. Good question.

      For everyone.

      If you look at top of page, you will see choices under the picture. One is contests

  24. Thanks for the info re: weather conference.

    I am still not convinced, although I don’t like what I am hearing and seeing.

    Still a week or 2 away from prediction: 😀

  25. New post!

    Busy day for me. Out with Mom this morning, then Woburn’s big Halloween Parade is this afternoon (after the rain is gone). My son is in the high school band and will be marching with the percussion section. 🙂

    This is a big parade that takes almost 2 hours to pass any location. Usually about 15 to 20 bands and 35 to 40 floats among other vehicles etc.

Comments are closed.