7:52AM
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 21-25)…
A warm front approaches today and tonight, passing early Sunday. A cold front approaches later Sunday and moves eastward offshore by late Sunday night. A wave of low pressure will form on this front but remain far enough offshore to spare the region any storminess other than possibly grazing Cape Cod with some rain late Sunday and early Monday. High pressure returns to control with fair and chilly weather for the balance of Monday through Wednesday. Pre-Thanksgiving travel weather will be excellent.
TODAY: Sunshine dimmed at times by variable high cloudiness. Highs 45-52. Wind light E.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Cloudy overnight. Spotty very light rain possible before dawn. Lows 38-45. Wind light E to SE.
SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy. Spotty very light rain possible through mid morning. Isolated rain showers afternoon. Highs 48-55 occurring late in the day. Wind light SE to S early shifting to W up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy. A period of rain possible outer Cape Cod. Lows in the 30s except lower 40s Cape Cod. Wind W shifting to N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Clouds depart Cape Cod early otherwise sunny. Highs in the 40s. Wind N 10-20 MPH and gusty.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 40s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 15-25. Highs 45-55.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 26-30)…
Thanksgiving Thursday November 26 looks dry with a chilly start and a mild afternoon. A cold will approach from the northwest but likely remain far enough away from the region to allow fair and mild weather Black Friday November 27 and into if not through most of Thanksgiving Weekend November 28-29. Look for the front to finally be over the region with a possible wave of low pressure producing wet weather for November 30.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 1-5)…
December starts fairly quiet with mild and dry weather dominant.
Thanks TK !
El Niño’s effects written all over the 00z GFS.
At the end of the medium range, what does it show ?
Dry northern tier of the U.S. with cold air locked up well to the north in Canada and in the southern U.S., an active southern jet with storminess.
The 00z EURO at day 10 is amazing too for what it projects for 850 mb temps across Canada. Very mild, relative to “average”.
Thank you.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Wave along the coast looks awfully close. Euro even brings rain up to Boston.
Runs, however, appear a bit warmer aloft. 😀
TK,
Please check your email when you have a chance. 😀 😀 😀
Thanks tk 🙂
Averwge high is 52 degrees, today looks like an averwge Nov day. 🙂
Currently 46.4 degrees 🙂
I’m sorry this is for Attleboro
Good afternoon and thank you TK.
Heading to the PPAC for a show, then dinner. Truck says 51 degrees. Good day!! 🙂
Going to early dinner then the PC hoops game. If I run into you downcity I’ll know it’s you because there will be a halo around you that’s 10 degrees warmer than everywhere else.
going to faneuil hall tree lighting tonight.
Nice Matt. Great night for it
Love the 18z GFS east coast intense storm very long range. LOL …
WOWA!!!!! COWABUNGA!!!
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015112118/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015112118/gfs_T850_us_50.png
It will be gone with the 0Z run for sure!!!
LOL !!!!!
LOL!!!!
Believe that when I see it.
Don’t count out a storm around Dec 6. After all, it’s an El Nino and check back in history to Dec 5-6 1981 … and even the days of the week those dates fell on. 😉
I remember that snow. First one my oldest was walking.
David Epstein showed that model run and said don’t pay attention to specifics but it could signal a change to pattern around that time.
At some point we’ll see the southern jet become more active. That doesn’t necessarily signal a stormy pattern here, but it will increase the chances of at least threats.
A couple good size snow events come mind around the dates you mentioned TK.
December in 96 where there was thunder snow in Worcester December 2003, and December 2005 where hurricane force wind gusts on the Cape as the storm was under going bombogensis.
They certainly can happen early.
New post!