29 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast Update”

1. Today, the first full day of summer is definitely the “darkest”, “gloomiest” I have seen since last winter…and just from the top of my head, I can’t recall any day close looking like this during the previous winter months. If anyone can recall one, let me know to refresh my memory. Either the ridge that TK spoke of in his previous blog was extremely weak or this low pressure area with its showers was quite strong. All mets including NWS was fooled on this one. Maybe the 2009 summer wasn’t so bad after all, lol. 😉

   1. Hi Philip.

      I agree, it was kind of dark and gloomy today, impressive considering its right at the summer solstice. Attests to the thickness of the cloud cover. Also, we noticed the humidity today….occasionally contrasting between air conditioned places and being outside during our travels.

2. The NWS is calling for a good possibility of severe thunderstorms with strong winds and damaging hail along with “tornadogenesis” for the Friday-Friday night timeframe.

   I have to say that I have never heard of that new t-word before. Hopefully does not occur…Jimmy keep us posted on this as always! 🙂

   1. Thanks for the heads up on that. Before coming on here, I had just been on the NWS site. Sometimes, when the discussions seem extra long, I tend to skim them and totally missed that in their Friday outlook. Interesting discussion.

3. Friday looks like it could be a dangerous day. One saving grace for eastern New England may be that marine-stabilized air may cut down the risk. We’ll have to see how this one sets itself up.

   1. What about Friday Night Boston?

      1. Updating now…

4. This prolonged time in the NAO tank is really starting to irritate me, and i’m sure many others are sick of this raw and rainy weather. Forecasts are for the NAO to head a bit more towards neutral, but going positive is still questionable in the near future.
   Lets hope for a major pattern change for July.

5. Hey Philip…. I just read the discussion so will see what happens. I heard the word tornadogensis mentioned three weeks ago today from the NWS discussion out of NY but until that day I never heard that term. You could see where the warm front is located with a couple tornado warnings in NJ today. Thankfully for us no severe weather tonight so I am going with a 1 on the 1-4 thunderstorm index which is MINOR since any storms that fire will fall below severe levels. I am going to stick with that for tomorrow although far western parts of SNE could see some strong to possibly isolated severe weather. Friday will be the day to watch for the majority of us where we COULD see MODERATE to POSSIBLY SEVERE Level Activity!

6. A day of inclement weather conditions mean only one thing…the WBZ trolls are out once again in full force. Probably expect more of the same over there again tomorrow until we break out of the unsettled pattern. I am so glad that we have TK’s site over here to express our weather opinions. 🙂

7. There out in full force today. I reported one of the comments since it was disgusting. Its a shame what happened on that blog but I am glad to come over to this one where I don’t have to read trash.
   Philip I googled tornadogenisis and it is defined as the process in which a tornado forms. As I mentioned earlier I never heard that until 3 weeks ago reading the discussion from the NWS office out of NY. Unfortunatley tornadoes did happen that day up here.

8. I read the NWS write up as well. Should be an interesting day to say the least.

   The trolls are out of control on BZ blog.

9. Jimmy, I am curious if “tornadogenesis” is a relatively new term. I wouldn’t be surprised. With all the tv mets that have been employed here in Boston and are still, I can recall only Barry ever using the term “bombogenesis” in his forecasts over the years. Maybe Todd Gross formerly of Ch. 7 as well but not totally sure about that.

10. Philip I am wondering the same thing because I have never heard a meteorologist here locally or even on The Weather Channel use that word. Bombogensis I have heard of and a good example of that was back in December of 2005 where parts of the Cape had hurricane wind gusts.

11. Looks like the atmosphere is reloading in NY State and northeast Pennsylvania with more showers and thunderstorms. I have relatives camping in the North Conway, NH area, who thankfully were able to sneak in one more summery day up there yesterday (they reported sun til early afternoon, temps got to 75F to 80F and the rain didnt start until early evening.) Looks like their luck runs out today though……….When is this very blocky flow at higher latitudes going to break down? It stopped for several weeks in February and early March, and other than that, I think its been a consistent feature for the better part of a year. If this continues for the rest of the summer and into early autumn, then I’m thinking another winter of well above snowfall amounts………. I’d be happy to see the weakened summer version of the polar vortex around Hudson Bay, to create the westerlies that should be moving across southern Canada. I’m not a big believer in excessive global warming, however, when the flow is so anomolous, it starts me wondering…………….Have a good day everyone.

12. Good morning everyone. Does anyone have a timeframe for the severe storms tomorrow? I have some morning obligations so am hoping if they are bad it will be afternoon so I can be off the road.

    Thanks

    1. Hi Vicki.

       I’m guessing mid to late afternoon, if it happens, as it would probably require the sun’s heating to get things rolling. Which brings up the question of how much sun will the region see tomorrow ? Once the easterly flow, low clouds, drizzle, etc set in, it sure can be difficult to get the sun out.

       1. Hi Tom – thanks – I was hoping it would be afternoon.

13. Could someone please tell me where the information re: severe weather for Fri. is? I looked at the NWS site and the only thing I saw was a chance of severe weather in Western New England on Fri. if the warm front comes through. I looked and could not find the word “tornadogenesis” anywhere. I am looking at the NOAA site and at the discussion site for MA. Is that the right site or is there another? Thanks.

14. This was an updated discussion from the one they put out last evening. The thinking last night when the disscussion was issued was the warm front was going to push north of us now the models are backing off on that. Its like a Potential Noreaster in the winter time where one run of the models says its going to be a blizzard and the next run comes out and its only a glancing blow. The warm front is a key here. Yesterday you could tell where the warm front was because south of it in New Jersey they had a coupe of tornado warnings. I think the SPC has to much of SNE in the slight risk today. I think any part of SNE is going to strong to possibly severe weather it would be far western parts of SNE.

15. JimmyJames – thanks. I had to go way down in the discussion to see that. I guess we will have to see what happens and hope that we don’t get any real severe weather.

    Some mets. are saying that there could be some strong storms in the CT area this aft. if the warm front gets that far north. My guess (and I could be wrong) is that if the warm front gets far enough into CT today that it could move further north into Western and possibly Central MA. by tomorrow. Here is where I am rooting for the cool, damp and dreary weather to hold out until the cold front comes through on Sat.!

16. Already a severe thunderstorm warning in Northern NJ where that warm front is and the particular storm is showing some weak rotation with it. Its the only warning in that area but it goes to show just how unstable the air is in the warm sector.

17. The trolls are out in full force as expected over on the WBZ site. Some are already giving up on summer….probably the same ones who gave up on winter back in late December, and we all know what happened right after that (Boston 81″ of snow).

    Maybe I am being too opitimistic here, but I still believe that this summer is going to end up being a great one weatherwise overall. We will see. 🙂

18. I always say the weather tries to balance itself out and lets see where we stand with the summer of 2011 at the end of July. The severe weather once again close to where that warm front is and a couple of severe thunderstorm warnings have popped up across NJ and the latest one just north of NYC. For us it looks more in the way of downpours with maybe some embedded thunder.

19. It’s so bizarre, in the south were they have tons and tons of land they build tall beautiful skyscrapers and here were we don’t have room they decide on stumpy boxy buildings. Am I missing something, the city just had a full fledge celebration over a completed 393ft tower on the water front, they build these all the time in every city and in major cities these size skyscrapers r built in the suburbs. Crazy!! Why do people hold back this city. Thank u, it’s just so aggravating to watch people poo poo another skyscraper, let Boston be the biggest best’s tallest shortest city ever, and that’s not the people we have, they want Boston to have a slow death why?

20. Looking at the satellite picture, the thicker clouds have gone. I’m thinking optimistically that just away from the shore, splashes of sun are going to peak through later today. Here’s hoping and happy Friday.

21. Any sunshine would be great at this point.
    I don’t agree with the SPC slight risk for parts of SNE today. I think it should be trimmed back to the boarder between CT and MA. I don’t see severe weather unless the clouds break and the warm front is still south of New England.

22. We’ve been the the soup all day in Framingham – not a hint of brightening and no storms on the radar

23. Sorry for the delay… BLOG ALL UPDATED! 🙂

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