7:31AM
DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 8-12)…
Today, I’m making it a short discussion to basically say I’m not making any significant changes, because confidence drops off rather quickly with time in this forecast, but the overall idea remains the same: Nice today, coolest coast. Warmest Wednesday. Cold front drops through Thursday, wave of low pressure brings some wet weather. Much cooler Friday, milder again Saturday.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs middle 50s to lower 60s interior, 40s coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s, may rise toward dawn. Wind variable becoming SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs around 70 except cooler coastal areas especially Cape Cod (50s there). Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows around 50. Highs around 60 except cooler South Coast, but falling to the 40s in the afternoon especially coastal areas and north of Boston.
FRIDAY: Chance of rain/mix early then clearing. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 13-17)…
Unsettled weather is likely at times from later March 13 into March 15 followed by fair weather later in the period. Temperatures variable, averaging near to above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 18-22)…
Up and down temps with mostly fair weather to start the period then risk of storminess and colder weather goes up later in the period.
REPOST
Longshot says:
March 8, 2016 at 5:52 AM
Todayβs AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.
The coldest temperature ever recorded in Boston is
A. -16
B. -18
C. -20
D. -22
Answer later today.
B
February, 1934
ha – you used facts….I went by the best number π
May be facts, But I did not look it up.
It is firmly implanted in my memory banks. π
Thank you TK
No idea on quiz but no way I can say anything but B -18.
Thank you tk π
When springing ahead this weekend, don’t forget to change fire alarm/carbon monoxide batteries. Good day!!
Great advice, Charlie.
Thanks TK.
B
Thank you TK.
Good morning and thank you TK.
It sure is beautiful out there this morning.
I know it is destined to be cool here in the City, but it is really nice starting out.
As I walked from the parking lot I was thinking….The ocean is about 1 month ahead
of schedule for warming up. I can remember many early Aprils where the ocean
temp was still 39 Degrees.
Boston buoy is sitting at 39.7 Degrees currently.
Thanks, TK.
Thanks TK
B
Out of the gate, the first run of the new ECMWF monthlies show a warm spring and hot summer 2016. Surprised? If you are you haven’t been paying attention. π
Medium range: We still put high pressure in Canada and linger a couple last snow/mix threats March 15 to April 1 (about) then the pattern likely goes warm to stay the majority of the time onward toward summer.
I fear for my seasonal allergies coming soon.
Sounds good to me TK !!
Warm summer= ughhhh. Will get the Central A/C serviced early spring just to be sure we have maximum cooling power!
Thanks TK !
Gotten back to work, and trying to get back into the swing of things.
Of course I’d get healthier the day before it’s going to be 70F.
Glad you are feeling better, Tom. However, if you feel a tad warm tomorrow and the next day, I am certain they will appreciate your remaining home (or on the beach to dry out the bug) rather than spread it π
LOL ….. I should have fought through it Friday and Monday and taken Wednesday π π
It’s good to be back though !!!!!
NOAA 6-10 day temp outlook for next week:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
Alot of folks make the mistake of interpreting that map as the darkest reds mean the warmest temps, when in fact it merely means the higher percentage chance of warmer than average temps.
freakin allergies all ready starting up… Only had about 2 months of it not effecting me. typical for el-nino,
Beyond 10 days however, all major teleconnections become much more favorable for colder shots and perhaps some snow chances….
ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png
That may be the last time they all line up like that for a while.
And not surprisingly with the indices above, the 12z GFS does not have a very Spring time look to it the first week of Spring….
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016030812&fh=324&xpos=0&ypos=0
Warm spring and hot summer. I’m sweating already.
Just back from the Copley Square area. BEAUTIFUL out. It is not chilly at all
here, not at all. Sun is warm and when the wind kicks up from the East, one is
reminded of the Sea breeze, but other than that very very very comfortable out.
Awfully close to a 10 in my opinion. π
A 7 in my book, a little more sun, and add 15 degrees you got a 10. π
Also a 7 in my book, but with the same amount of sun, subtract 20 degrees and add a 10 inch snow-pack you got a 10.
You 2 are extremely FUSSY.
You’re right, JP Dave.
ditto. I figure any day I am here to enjoy is a 10 but when you have people who do not like winter and they get this….well, enough said!
Lol just keep it above 50 degrees with sun, and I’d be happy, just keep old man winter away. π
Hi Tk
3 alarm fire in Woburn Center
I had to go around the area to get to my son’s dentist appointment.
Reached 62 degrees, down to 59 currently
64 in Hartford, a bit warmer than forecast.
If the brand new and improved 12z Euro is correct, 75 at BDL tomorrow (would break the old record of 72) and then 72 again tomorrow! Boston low 70’s tomorrow and 60’s Thursday.
Per another met on the American Weather forum:
Euro ensembles are still advertising some pretty big changes around and after the 20th. That is really cold stuff in Canada….it filters some of it down to us after the 20th…how much remains to be seen and if any associated storminess comes with it. The mean trough is centered barely to our west around that time which would be more conducive to a coastal storm.
“Only” made it to 52F here in Plymouth, NH today. No complaints though, it felt great. Looking forward to tomorrow!
Per NOAA, for the Lower 48, winter 2015-2016 (DJF) was warmest on record. New England led the charge, with all six states warmest on record. Global stats for February (and all of winter I think) should be out in the next 7-10 days. February 2016 was shockingly warm worldwide, we know this already from satellite data, but the NOAA report will provide better detail on just how incredible a month it was.
I was just about to post the same thing…..the Statewide Average Temperature Ranks for meteorological winter 2015-2016:
https://twitter.com/NOAANCEIclimate/status/707240738971623424?cn=ZmxleGlibGVfcmVjcw%3D%3D&refsrc=email
46 States had above average temps this winter in addition to the record warmth in all of New England.
Quite a turnaround from last winter, for most of the US at least.
Seems we continue with the trend that each year is warmer than the last and all but maybe a couple (maybe) this century have been warmest on record.
I wish they had a way to restore all the surface observation sites in Russia (and some other parts of the world) that were taken out of commission. I think we need more than just satellite info for large parts of the world. Surface observations are the best data we can get and at this time it’s most important we get as many samples as possible.
What happened to those Russian observation sites TK?
Good question
Sometime after the USSR collapsed, most of them were shut down.
TK, are u implying with more sampling of actual surface temps the data would paint a much less dramatic picture of rising global temps? If so, I agree.
May be and maybe not. I don’t trust any of them. We do have visuals of the poles. And as I’ve said many times. Truly doesn’t matter. It is absolute fact that we are polluting every corner of this earth. We need to continue to Take steps to stop that and keep it stopped
I’m kind of in the maybe / maybe not category. Just think more ground obs would be so helpful. Knowing what happens in remote areas is just as important as what goes on elsewhere.
I agree and like Ace I have no doubt that both sides skew their info
Mosquitoes out in full force
Already Vicki???? I could understand maybe mid-April if it is unusually warm.
We were truly amazed. Even chased the kids inside and getting them to come in is near impossible
Skeeters survived the fairly mild Winter and largely unfrozen ground. I remember March mosquitoes a few times in the past too. 2012 was the last time.
I remember them then also. Not going to be a good summer for mosquito born disease
Answer to Todayβs AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.
The coldest temperature ever recorded in Boston is
A. -16
B. -18
C. -20
D. -22
The correct answer is B.
Thank you for the fun mid week bonus quiz
TK, fire up your way in Woburn?
Yes. 3 alarm fire just north of Woburn center in an indoor soccer place. Considerable damage to the front and roof of building but not destroyed. Those buildings have fire walls in them which largely prevent spread to neighboring connected businesses.
This is a photo taken of the fire in Woburn today…
https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xtf1/v/t1.0-9/12813976_1269416103074128_3413770380809531456_n.jpg?oh=e80e6844034b04cf934a973f2b1ee5d7&oe=5798984A
WOW!
Bad. Saw coverage online. I hope everyone is all right
No injuries. It looks like the soccer place will be out of commission for a while but overall it could have been worse if the fire had spread to the entire block.
So glad no one hurt. Sure would have been far worse without the firewalls.
Sorry to see this TK.
Tough hockey game against Tampa, 0-0 after 1st.
There was no way this was going to be the goal-fest of last night’s game. π
Surprised about the mosquitoes on March 8th, particularly since this month has not been especially warm thus far, and although the harsh cold in January and February was short-lived it was definitely cold enough to kill off any lingerers from last season. Of course there are a few that hibernate, and there are always eggs that survive winter and can hatch in early spring. It should be noted that insects tend not to come out if there is still the threat of hard frost. If we all begin to see mosquitoes and bees this week then I’d put my money on there not being any more hard frost (say, below 25F at night) this winter and early spring.
As far as global temperatures are concerned, it’s undeniable that we’re in a warm cycle, and this winter has been relatively warm almost everywhere. But, the key word here is “almost.” The warmth was not uniformly spread across the globe. There were persistent cold spots (far fewer than warm spots, but still). If I was a scientist (and I’m only a social scientist) I’d first want to understand the existence of cold spots before making sweeping statements about global warming and its underlying causes.
Well some scientists have stated that the phenomenon of “global warming”, probably much more accurately termed “climate change” would result in some areas actually being colder. Could this be a kind of proof of what they theorized? Possibly, but FAR from enough evidence to prove anything.
As Vicki and I agree, regardless of the stance on the entire issue, the smart route is to just take care of your world. If we’re impacting it more than some think, that will at least step us in a better direction. If it’s natural, there ain’t much we can do about it, but at least we’ll live in a cleaner world. π
TK, I definitely agree with you and Vicki on the importance of being prudent stewards of this earth. We’ve certainly done our share of damage. It’s important we limit future damage.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=vis&inv=0&t=cur®ion=sp
Tall cloud tops in Texas.
This hockey game is something else!
The B’s!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
For sure!
2 of the best hockey games of the season on 2 consecutive nights in Florida.
Completely different from each other in many ways, including 9 goals last night and only 1 tonight, but both end the same, with a Bruins victory in overtime. π
Just unreal. Tied for 1st.
Eric already believes that March will be above normal and will have above normal temps for the next two weeks. It might be premature especially on the former given that this month isn’t even ten days old IMO.
Of course he may end up being correct on both accounts. We will see.
He tends to get brave on the longer range, but that’s fine. It’s his style. The teleconnections say “not so fast”.
No Accuweather Quizzes this weekend. Off to Fort Myers to see the Sox.
Enjoy !!
Nice launching pad temp wise …… Also, Mt Washington at 36F.
Updating…
Updated!