2:48AM
DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 23-27)…
A front will hang around the area through Friday. This front, stretching west to east across the region, separates mild air to the south from cold air to the north. The mild side will win out today over southeastern New England as the front is north of the region. The front will then drop to the south tonight and Thursday, allowing the colder air to take over. After a few isolated rain showers in the mild air today, the approach of the front will generate some rain especially in northern MA and southern NH this evening and tonight, which will turn to ice pellets and snow in some locations as colder air moves in. The moisture should lift away during Thursday as the upper support moves to the north, even though the surface front settles to the south. A north to northeast air flow will just result in patchy drizzle during Thursday. A wave of low pressure will pass northwest of the region by later Friday, and this will at last drag a stronger front from the west across the region. This will result in a push of milder air and a period of wet weather Friday, then a return to drier weather by Friday night/Saturday as high pressure builds in. This high will then settle to the south and allow for a mild Easter Sunday.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain northern MA and southern NH, mixing with then changing to sleet and snow mainly far northern MA northward with some minor accumulation of sleet/snow possible by dawn. Lows in the 30s. Wind shifting to N then NE 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Lingering very light sleet and/or snow southern NH and far northern MA, a possible very light mix of rain/sleet/snow east central MA early, then just patchy light drizzle Highs from the middle and upper 30s southern NH and northeastern MA to 40s elsewhere. Wind N to NE 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy with rain showers likely through midday then partial clearing west to east later. Lows middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs middle 50s to near 60.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs middle 40s to lower 50s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Increasing clouds afternoon. Lows upper 30s to middle 40s. Highs middle 50s to lower 60s.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 28-APRIL 1)…
Progressive pattern with a chance of rain March 28, fair/windy/colder March 29 then milder March 30-31. Risk of rain showers April 1 as the next system arrives.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 2-6)…
Trending colder. A couple passing systems may bring some rain/mix/snow.
Thanks TK!
TK thank you. First week of April not sounding spring-like.
Thank you TK
Moving day yes.
Moving day yes π π
Hope it goes smoothly !
Thanks Tom. How are you feeling this morning?
Good. A good nights sleep. Now, one day at a time.
Welcome back Tom .
Thanks my friend !
π
good luck with the move.
Vicki, Happy moving day!
Thanks TK !
Denver is the new New England. 73 yesterday and blizzard warning today. Although Denver has swings if I recall
Denver’s swings are common in Autumn and Spring and are even more pronounced than New England’s. π
I thought they were. Thanks TK. One of the places I would like to visit some day.
I spent a month in Denver in early fall 1980, and remember waking up to a 6″ snowfall and then temps rebounded into the low 70’s! and you thought New England weather was crazy π
I do enjoy your header graphic, TK. Brings peace and serenity.
Thanks tk. Heading back this afternoon. I see it’s already 51 degrees.
Right where it was expected to be. 60-64 tops today. Take 15 to 20 degrees off tomorrow.
Weekends looks nice partly cloudy 50-55 sat 55-60 Sunday?
45-50 along the coast Saturday though, probably quite chilly there.
Lower 50s is correct for your area Sat. Much cooler coast as Philip stated. But I like lower 60s Sunday for your location.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Let the Fun begin. π
Thanks TK and good luck to you Vicki. I’m sure it’s bittersweet.
Some sneaky moderate showers the last 10 minutes.
Thank you TK!
Vicki – best of luck today with the move. Time to make memories in your new home.
Tom – so glad you are home and on the road to recovery. Make sure you take it slow.
Have this shift offshore and I notice a High in Canada trying to build in to try to send in some colder air and things could get interesting.
Oz EURO
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016032300&fh=144&xpos=0&ypos=255
Don’t think we have a shot. This time the cold is not so easily accessible and we’ll have a very progressive upper low. Have to wait for early April for final opportunity (1 or 2).
Thanks TK
Best of luck with the move Vicki!
63 here in JP. π
Drove back from Vermont. Couple of observations:
1. Snow from Monday still around in spots in Northern Mass. and Southern NH.
2. Almost no mud in Vermont. This is virtually unheard of in late March. I ran for several miles in the woods, scared a few deer, a grouse, and a woodchuck. Ground was soft but not muddy. With very little snow this season, and little rain, too, there is practically no mud.
On Brussels: Authorities have been warning of an attack in Brussels and also other European cities for the past 15 years. I was visiting my children in Holland a lot in the early 2000s, and news regarding terrorist threats was rather grim and realistic. Of course, Madrid, London, Paris, and now Brussels have happened. The possibility of more attacks is real. However, terrorism in Europe (and war, too) is not new. I lived in the UK for a period in the 1980s, close to the scene of a massive IRA attack. Also, shopped at Harrod’s 2 weeks prior to an attack there. Paris was subject to numerous small-scale terrorist attacks (several dead each time), usually involving the Metro. In Bologna the central train station was bombed by a neo-fascist group killing more than 85 people. The Basque separatists killed many, as did the RAF Brigades in Germany and Italy. I say this to put things into perspective. The 1990s saw spates of attacks, too, along with Balkan wars which were essentially forms of state-sponsored terrorism. Hundreds of thousands of civilians died, in Europe, at the hands of butchers – mostly Serb, but also Croat and Muslim.
The new threat is real and more insidious perhaps than previous threats with respect to its randomness and the shock tactics used in the instantaneous information age. This said, we must not give in to our fears for this is what the low-life terrorists want. They offer nothing but rage and a nihilist view of the world – a death cult. I feel strongly that this particular ISIS terrorist act in Brussels is one of desperation. Their man from the Paris attacks was captured, and another killed in a shoot-out last week. The ringleaders and henchmen got worried that Saleh would talk to authorities and reveal networks and names (which he’s already done, I believe), and so they had to move up their plans to attack. Because of this attack, more networks will be uncovered and if they get the bomb-maker it will deal a crippling blow to an organization that is already under extreme duress. The caliphate is falling apart (it never had a long-term viable chance to begin with), in part due to internal strife and a vicious regime, but also because of constant bombardment. Recruits are much harder to come by. Mosul will likely fall by late spring, Raqqa may soon follow.
Vigilance is important, but fear-mongering and scapegoating is not helpful.
Thank you and great comment.
1. That snow will be gone soon but there may be a touch of new snow in some of those areas tomorrow morning.
2. Very dry winter up there in “mudville” hence little or no mud. We also never froze the ground up where it was so mild so we didn’t hold any moisture in the soil. It was able to drain or evaporate away more readily during the heart of winter, versus being unable to do so the last couple years.
Thank you for sharing your experiences about Europe. The weather-related ones and the non-weather-related ones are equally educational and very well written. Your last line is very true and I completely agree.
Thanks for sharing Joshua. I went to France in 1986 with my high school French club. Ironically we changed our itinerary to land in Brussels as opposed to Paris due to recent attacks in that area. I remember being a 17 year old naΓ―ve kid who was shocked to see police with automatic weapons patrolling the airport when we arrived in Belgium. It certainly wasn’t anything I had seen in the U.S.
I heard trump talk about this a month ago, not a republican. It’s scary that he knew something was happening
Joshua excellent comment. As you know mac and family lived abroad always
Your comment mirrors my FIL who was faced with this in the 70s. Paris and Belgium had an isolated approach to the Muslim population. Paris longer. Belgium with commune type communities. Disenfranchised folks are easy to convert. So much more to it but this has been coming. Sadly. Horrifically
Back door in progress: Still 60+ Plymouth and southern suburbs, Boston 47. I’m down to 45 and dropping…
Counting on a few flakes in Franconia and heading for a day of spring skiing tomorrow at Cannon at half price.
It was neat seeing it come through with the wind shift and gusty NE winds.
TK – Any chance Boston “snizzles” tomorrow? π
Courtesy of Dr. Fred (Ward) π
I remember him. He was pleasant, but his PhD did not improve his forecasts.
Probably not. Northern suburbs may see a flake or ice pellet. Most of the precip will be to the north.
Dropped nearly 20 degrees at my house.
63 to 46.
Jfk is very efficient for its size. Wow!! I guess you have to be.
Laguardia is where I usually land
Oddly Flight attendants do not like JFK.
I’m not sure why. It’s very lively. And everything is open past 9pm. We were thinking of grabbing a quick bite and everything, and I mean everything was closed. Why??? We talked to so many that said the exact same thing. I’m not being rude or negative towards city, but why? Why is everything closed at 9pm?
Do they not like jfk bc everything’s open?
Thank you everyone for the well wishes. Long day but we are moved. Boxes everywhere but that is fine. TK you conjured up a glorious day. Thank you!
I do wish a good and safe move
Hmmmm …..
Are both the GFS and the EURO offering a rain to snow scenario around the middle of next week ?
The “snow” part of that is likely exaggerated. We’ll keep an eye on it. Still not feeling that scenario being the most likely.
Thanks TK !
Updating…
Caribou, ME is currently 8F.
They are under a winter storm warning for 4-8 inches of snow followed by freezing rain.
Some cold air up there!
Blog updated! No big changes at this time…