Saturday Forecast

50 Comments

8:48AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 26-30)…
A quick entry to start off this “beautiful” Easter Weekend and with a reminder of how the weather can often be immune to prediction. What a couple days ago looked like about as good a weekend as you can get in March, is not going to turn out quite that way. Don’t fear, we’re not about to have a wash-out of a weekend, but we’ll have to pay the price for part of it with low cloudiness due to a poorly-forecast, or not-forecast-at all low level inversion that’s enabling a blanket of stratus clouds to dominate this morning, and then a high pressure centered a little further east and north than originally anticipated, allowing more of an ocean air flow to dominate even into Sunday. This changes the game for the coast, which because of the chilly ocean will not be nearly as warm as it may have been with a land breeze. Perhaps Mother Nature is saying “you’ve had it too good so I’m taking one away”. After a fairly “easy” Winter and a very mild stretch for much of the last few months, save for brief interruptions, can we really expect the weather in New England to be perfect? It doesn’t matter what it has been like, or what you want, it’s going to do what it does. But that said, though there is a price to pay for living next to the giant salt water puddle otherwise known as the Atlantic Ocean, this weekend won’t be all that bad. Once we get beyond it, we’ll have the classic “rainy Monday” as low pressure traverses the region. But this progressive nature of the pattern will allow this system to fly right along and be out of here by Tuesday, which will be windy and chilly. This will be followed by a quick warm-up and fair weather on Wednesday as high pressure sinks to the southeast of the region.
TODAY: Cloudy to partly sunny through midday. Partly cloudy this afternoon. Highs in the 40s, coolest coast. Wind light N to E.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind light E.
SUNDAY – EASTER: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 40s coast, 50s inland. Wind light E to SE.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows around 40. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Overcast with periods of rain. Highs around 50. Wind SE 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to W late.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and windy. Lows in the 20s. Highs around 40.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and breezy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 31-APRIL 4)…
Looks like a relatively warm ending to March for the final day of the month, exception likely being Cape Cod and the South Coast. Watching an approaching front from the west that may bring a rain shower threat. More likely that a system brings mild and showery weather for the first day of April. Transition to colder during the April 2-3 weekend. The passage of a trough and cold front may bring a few periods of clouds and perhaps a rain shower on April 2 and even snow shower on April 3 during this transition. Look for dry but possibly mostly cloudy weather and below normal temperatures for April 4.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 5-9)…
Below normal temperatures with a mid period risk of some precipitation – odds favor wet over white, but cannot rule out late season snowflakes in some areas based on the expected pattern.

50 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

  4. Thank you, TK.

    “After a fairly ‘easy’ Winter and a very mild stretch for much of the last few months, save for brief interruptions, can we really expect the weather in New England to be perfect? ”

    Wise, wise words.

  5. 38 here with a raw but very much early spring breeze.

    Does anyone know how to reset your home location on wunderground. I have tried everything and have no idea why it will not hold. Thank you.

    1. I figured it out. I had a link on my toolbar. I just needed to delete it because it was set to Framingham and set another link to the closest station to me now.

      All is right with the world!

  6. Happy Easter weekend, everybody.

    Thanks for your forecast, TK.

    Well, we’re in the middle of what is a de facto 5-day cut-off low period. I do realize it’s not an actual cut-off low that’s causing us to be mired in the 40s with clouds, but for all intents and purposes it feels and looks like a cut-off low period in early spring.

    2. It’s about as cloudy a stretch as you can have in Spring with with such a progressive pattern! Yesterday, to prove how complex the atmosphere is, things were going on in the lowest couple hundred feet that were totally different than everything else.

      1. You’re welcome Vicki. Being not far from Worcester you’ll probably see a bit more snow annually. 😀

        1. Older Daughter lives about 8 minutes from here and it does vary. I think of late they have had about as much as we did in framingham. But it has been a different pattern.

  9. Off to finish my underground bunker…Accuweather says the polar vortex will invade the east early April. Wonder if they will name it? Polar Vortex Eileen or something? Keep the powder dry everyone.

    1. I can tell it’s spring – not by the weather – but by the racket the robins, blackbirds, and sparrows are making outside my window. Nests are being built, Casanova’s are showing off their plumage, and birds of all sorts are getting hoarse as they constantly chirp, sing, flirt, and just make noise.

      TK, great point on this being a period of progressive systems but you wouldn’t know it by the stretch we’re in of clouds, 40s, and general nothingness.

      1. I have my bird feeder pole set up…thanks to my son in law…and got feed today. All I have to do is find energy to fill the feeders 🙂

    1. You may have to wait a while. But, no matter what there is a long summer ahead of us, as well as fall. We’ll get plenty of warm (hot) sunshine and blue skies.

  13. I hope the 90s wait till after Finals then let it be hot, and humid all it wants. got a new skimboard and everything. Ski season was not that great this year

  14. First construction job of the 5 planned between now and the fall underway . Today’s job is installing a patio around the swim spa. Very cool down here and no sun at all .

  16. This post is being made just a few feet away from Plymouth Rock… as in the actual rock. 😉

    1. is it a heated pool, if not you are freaking crazy, I do not open our pool till first week of May and even then, temperature of the water does not crack 65 to 70 till mid or late May with solar cover

  18. Home in Wrentham for Easter weekend; all clouds so far but looking at visible satellite we may get some breaks before the day is out. As TK predicted, a great day to watch the visible loop.

    A very interesting report was put out by NOAA yesterday, talking about the CFSv2 model, which is the flagship of the US climate modeling division. The CFS was one of the first and most accurate models in predicting the formation and extreme strength of the current El Nino event. It’s been raising eyebrows lately because while most climate models show La Nina developing into the summer and fall, the CFS has shown a re-intensification of El Nino, which seemed very suspect. Now, NOAA is announcing that an upgrade to the model, designed to stop an initialization error that has plagued it for months, has caused it to fall in line with other models in predicting a La Nina as well. The new version should be implemented Monday. La Nina will be neither delayed nor denied. It’s well on its way. The first link should open up a PowerPoint, talking more about the problem being fixed on the CFS and how it’s changing the ENSO forecast. The second shows sub-surface water temperature anomalies in the equatorial Pacific. Beneath the surface, La Nina has already formed.

    http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/changes/downloads/CFSv2_Atlantic_cold_bias_problem.pptx

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ocean/anim/wkxzteq_anm.gif

  21. My wife and I are thinking about getting an RV for camping. We figured we could travel to a different place each year and be able to experience more. Does anyone here have any experience with an RV? Was wondering for any information as to what to look for or stay away from. TIA!

    1. It is an amazing way to travel, especially with kids. We always rented. Tom would be a great resource and very likely others here.

    2. make sure the inside does not have full out ruggs, Make sure it has a solid floor. Put mats in it after wards. Make sure any Beds are decent quality and Not made of plastic.

  23. I spoke too soon about a gloomy day. After 2pm it’s turned out sunny and a nice 46F. I haven’t experienced much of it as I’m hopelessly busy with work. Let’s hope tomorrow is roughly the same.

    1. Of course, I mean let’s hope tomorrow’s weather is roughly the same as this afternoon, not my work load. Although I’m afraid it’ll only get busier tomorrow work-wise.

  24. Tk pavers to be laid down on Monday for my patio does the rain hold off till afternoon. Thanks happy Easter . Actually when it does start is it a heavy or light rain .

    1. Same to you, though I am doing Chemistry. chemistry Ta’s gave us a long lab report due tonight Midnight, followed by a short lab report 8am Monday. and lab prep due monday before lab. Also studying for a chem test on Friday. basically no easter for me :(… #collegelife

      1. Ugh. Well that is lousy. Oddly Easter is not considered a holiday. I hope you enjoy some family time.

  26. TK – Any chance we can get rid of the low clouds earlier tomorrow? Ideally I would love to see the sunrise with deep blue skies, but I suspect that would be asking too much, huh? 😉

    I was pleasantly surprised to see the sun come out with very few, if any clouds at times today. I was really expecting just a few sunbreaks at most. 🙂

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