Tuesday Forecast

105 Comments

7:19AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 26-30)…
A frontal boundary sinking southward will provide an avenue for a wave of low pressure moving east southeastward across southern New England today. This system will produce wet weather, enhanced by a contrast between cold air sinking down from the north up against a much warmer air mass to the south. High pressure brings fair and cool weather Wednesday, and this high should be strong enough to shunt the next approaching low pressure area to the south Thursday and Friday, keeping southern New England dry not only those days, but also Saturday.
TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Periods of rain through mid afternoon which may include some mix with snow/sleet in southern NH and far northern MA, and embedded heavier showers with a slight risk of thunder especially MA/RI. Highs mostly in the 40s, some upper 30s southern NH and some lower 50s South Coast. Wind variable eventually NE averaging 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with patchy light rain/drizzle early, then slow clearing. Lows in the 30s. Wind N 10-20 MPH and gusty.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 55-65.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 60s except cooler South Coast.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 1-5)…
Fair weather May 1. Episodes of unsettled weather May 2-5. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 6-10)…
Episodes of unsettled weather. Temperatures below normal.

105 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK !

    Is it me or is there something off with the Boston radar. For instance, the echoes along the south coast this morning look dark, fuzzy green or like heavy snow.

    But viewed from the NYC radar, you can see the convective yellows, etc.

  3. Thank you, TK. Tom, I’d look but it always looks fuzzy to me 😉

    Well, I did look and yep and see dark green to our southeast with areas of blue. But that was the radar I use and I always thought blue meant snow. Probably wrong and I’m also not totally awake.

  5. Thanks TK. We’ve had some light mixed precip this morning here in Plymouth, NH. Judging by radar and short range models we should get a heavy burst of accumulating snow late morning and early afternoon. I don’t think I’ve ever seen snow so late in the year, though it’s hardly unheard of for this region.

  6. Thank you TK. Heading to Manchester, NH later so I might get to see some flakes. 🙂 Treating my boys to WWE Smackdown tonight….lucky me. 🙂

    1. Send flake pictures please 🙂 Have fun at WWE. You sure do some fun and different things with your boys!

      1. Vicki…Sam is a HUGE wrestling fan. Kevin enjoys it also but he is more excited about staying in the hotel and swimming in the pool. I am just happy to have a day and a half away from work.

        1. Funny how I am not surprised by either of your boy’s interests. Sounds as if you will all have a perfect time!! I wish I had half your energy!

  7. Good morning and thank you TK.

    note: typo in the longer range period:

    DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 6-10)…
    Episodes of unsettled weather. Temperatures below normal.

  8. Moderate to heavy cold, wind driven rain. I almost thought it had a frozen aspect but don’t think it does.

    Temp 42

    I did order a Oregon Scientific weather station with rain gauge that got good ratings. Didn’t break the bank so hopefully it will be accurate.

    1. When I first read this I saw “Moderate to Heavy Cold” and wondered what
      was going on???? 😀 😀 😀

      btw, My thermometer is Oregon Scientific and it has been pretty good.

      best of luck.

      1. Good to know re Oregen. Thanks.

        Occasionally, I do place punctuation where it belongs. See how confusing it can get when I do 🙂

  9. Stuck on the cool side of the front with warm temps as close by as NYC area.
    South of that front some severe storms possible. At least we wont deal with that today.

  10. Up here in Portsmouth NH temp is 36 and a light sleet falling has been falling steadily. Small accumulation on the ground next to the wall of the building. Not sticking anywhere else.

    1. When it’s generally too warm you can still get that small pile up next to walls as the pellets are “focused” to that spot by the wall.

  12. Very true TK and exactly what is happening. Driving around noticing that its also sticking to mulch beds but not anywhere else. Guessing the mulch is insulating between the warmer ground and the colder air so the pellets aren’t melting as fast as anywhere else. Very cool…

    1. Exact same on picture I received from Tilton. Any white is on the mulched area and not on the grass. Very interesting but makes perfect sense.

    1. I didn’t know any Sue’s and I always thought it was a foolish song. There were a lot of Sue songs back then though, weren’t there?

    2. Absolutely loved that song and still do.
      However, I can understand why you wouldn’t like it. 😀

  14. TK, any latest thoughts on the severe weather outbreak that could possibly unfold in the central Oklahoma area? I have a coworker in Oklahoma City on business. There was a severe cell just northeast of the city about an hour ago that dissipated.

      1. I hope he stays safe along with everyone else that lives around there. Looks like a wild afternoon for sure!

  15. Love this weather myself…cool, rainy…all I need now is some thunder and a way to stop some damn robin from pecking at my windows.

  19. During this past 91 days of meteorological winter (Dec 1 through Feb 29), Logan airport’s daily high temps were warmer than the current 41F temp on …….. 54 out of 91 days !!!!!!!

    This is what drives me nuts about New England spring. You go from the dark of winter to the chill of spring. It just never ends, until the atmosphere unlocks and then you zoom straight to warm/hot weather for 4 days in July. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

    2. Hot weather 4 days in July. Pretty funny Tom. I guess you are a little
      miserable today. 😀

      Although that is a bit of an exaggeration, I do understand what you mean.

      Last night even Eric said when we have an easy go of it in the Winter, we often
      pay in the Spring.

      At least we aren’t dealing with this type of weather for a week at a time which is often the case in Spring. 😀

      We can deal with one rainy day. Now sunny and 55 will feel like a heat wave
      tomorrow.

  20. I put the guesses on the contest page arranced ascending by Boston, Worcester, Providence and Hartford.

    I apologize that I have not kept track of what the final totals were but I’m willing to bet someone here knows them….or someones 🙂

      1. You’re welcome. Sue was kind enough to keep track last fall when I couldn’t and I would like to say thank you to her 🙂

  21. Not sure of the exact number, but it looked like about an inch and a half of snow here in Plymouth, NH. Still a few flakes falling but much more melting now than accumulation. Snowfall rates were quite impressive from 11:00-12:00 or so.

  22. Thanks, TK.

    Yes, this is one of those damp, raw, miserable spring days. But, in all fairness to mother nature, we have had plenty of sunshine this month. Not much in terms of warmth, but certainly a number of real beauties for April.

    I liked TK’s Freudian slip in the extended forecast (April 6-10 instead of May 6-10).

    Tom, you beat me to it, Kimmirut’s having a `beach’ day (44F) while we’re dipping into the 30s. If I had to hazard a guess, on average Kimmirut is warmer than Boston about 2 times a year, and both times it occurs in spring.

    On the TB situation, in addition to being baffled at the judges’ decision I can’t get over how convoluted our court system is. I’m a detail guy, and I have a PhD, so I’m supposed to not mind complicated stuff. Well, the legaleze I’m hearing regarding the deflategate process is both mind-numbing and incredibly complex. The legal proceedings make it seem like this is rocket science. It’s not. It’s a simple case, really. Is there evidence that proves TB orchestrated the deflation of footballs? Accusations, hearsay, circumstantial evidence, are all irrelevant, one would think. Oh well.

  26. Unless something pops up, other than some left over drizzle or very light rain, this baby is done. 😀

          1. No, yours was good. It’s what I remember my host family telling me when I first lived in Holland at the age of 15 and occasionally complained about the weather.

      1. Happens every Spring out that way. I don’t know how people
        deal with it. I would not be comfortable without having
        a certified EF-5 rated storm shelter, otherwise I’d get the hell
        out of there!

        I was there 2 years ago when that Moore, OK tornado struck.
        We landed in Dallas hours after the tornado. We were staying
        in Ft. Worth and there was another watch the next day and we were in the middle of it. Thankfully, nothing but a garden variety T-storm came through, even less than the ones we get here. Not complaining one bit. Very thankful

        Oh, btw, the hotel management said if there was a warning, to come out into the hallway with pillows and huddle up next to
        the interior wall. Yeah sure! That would be great in an EF-5 NOT!!! I had a tablet with me and was on the look out constantly. We would have hopped in the care and drove away from it.

        1. I could not live there even with a shelter. No thanks. I do keep the folks in my prayers

          I do remember you being there. Details fuzzy tho. With Mrs OS? To visit your ?

              1. It was not an enjoyable trip. Very stressful to begin with because of the nature of it and then the tornado threat on top of that.

                2. And it’s the fasted growinh state in America. They keep moving there. A half a million new residents have moved there in the last year.

        2. They leave many states to move there in droves. Every decade Texas gains over 6 million residents. By 2030 35% of Americas population will be in Texas and California, with close to 100 Million people. In other words the 3 month severe season doesn’t scare them.

          1. Cool….with the political atmosphere in TX when Mother Nature separates it from the rest of the country that will be a plus 🙂

            2. Between California and Texas they will have around 110 by 2030, gaining 15-18 electoral votes. I might add the 6 state region aka New England losing 3 electoral votes by 2030. Not being negative. I hate it!!

  29. Ok, more runs will help to see if it has legs, and I cant see the Euro past day 10, and its clown range, anything can happen, and the CMC isn’t on board at all, all the caveats.
    BUT, maybe, just maybe by the end of next week into Mothers Day, I’m seeing signs. Don’t know if it will last, but it looks promising at least right now. It’ll probably fall apart, but I’m hopeful.

      1. I remember weather not this cold but darn close well into June…was it 2011. Three weeks of May ain’t nothin’

        1. To be fair, I can only see the euro out to 10 days, and it’s not the greatest. If you go by the GFS rushes warmth, 10 more days may be about right. Hopefully there will be a few decent days in there somewhere.

  31. Not a lot of rain today at Logan = 0.27″. It seemed like it rained a couple hours at most.

    Much of NNE received a widespread 2 – 4″ snow today…no more, no less. It will be interesting if they receive similar amounts again early next week.

  33. 18z GFS has a whopping 0.05 inch of total precipitation for Boston through May 6. 😉

      1. Representative of your area, Providence is at normal for the month, but since March 1 the deficit is about 2 1/4 inches. They are also in the negative for the year-to-date, so it continues to be abnormally dry in the long term.

    1. Tough season up north….again. Thanks for the picture. I’ll share with Macs cousin who has a place in Stowe.

  38. Looks more of a squall line than individual super cell storms in Oklahoma at the moment. I have not seen a tornado warning so hopefully the tornado threat there won’t materialize. With that said those severe storms producing strong wind gusts and hail.

    1. The best shear was arriving tonight. Though the outbreak of tornadoes won’t be huge, the best chance of them was after dark. My friend was on a few storms from southwest of OKC back into the city area and witnessed some hail up to 1 inch. He noted that the lightning (at least up until the time he got back to the city early in the evening) was not that prolific.

  40. Boston is deficient in precipitation by 0.37 inch for April, 1.53 inch since March 1, and 0.70 since the beginning of 2016.

    Added to a long-term deficit, and the long term dryness is still there, despite the fact there are people that don’t agree. 1) Numbers don’t lie. 2) You can’t look at a puddle on the ground and automatically assume we have sufficient moisture for the long term. We do not, and it’s going to get worse before it gets better.

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