Sunday Forecast

76 Comments

8:04AM

Happy Mother’s Day!

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 8-12)…
Changing weather today as a cold front pushes across the region and changes the conditions from clouds and intervals of sun early to overcast with many showers from mid morning through early afternoon from west to east, then clears it all out by the end of the day. Low pressure to the east and high pressure to the west brings a gusty breeze and an upper disturbance allows for some clouds and isolated showers Monday before high pressure dominates with fair weather Tuesday and Wednesday. The next system may return clouds and a risk of wet weather sometime on Thursday, which is faster than most models currently show.
TODAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Mostly cloudy morning through early afternoon – showers likely west to east during mid morning through early afternoon, lastly Cape Cod. Clearing west to east during the mid to late afternoon. Highs upper 50s to middle 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH early, then SW 10-20 MPH for a while before shifting to W with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 13-17)…
Unsettled weather continues May 13 with showers. Fair weather returns later May 14 through May 15 but it may turn unsettled again later in the period with another threat of rain. Temperatures near normal overall.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 18-22)…
Fair and cooler May 18-19. Fair and warmer May 20-22.

76 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    You know, the warmer weather keeps getting delayed and delayed and delayed.
    Will it be delayed until after Summer is over?? Hmmmm

  3. Thanks TK. Glad we’re kicking out this ugly pattern. Happy Mother’s Day to all the moms!

    If you haven’t seen it, here’s some pretty incredible footage of a strong tornado near Wray, Colorado yesterday. You won’t believe the motion at the base of it. Really gets going around 2:30 in.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjb7QtMEBUg

  4. Thanks TK and Happy Mother’s Day to all! 😀

    TK – Will the Canadian wildfires end up changing our climate in the coming months down the road and will we here in NE eventually see their smoke overhead via the jet stream?

    1. Smoke depends on jet stream and does not last all that long (only as long as the fires).

      It won’t have much of an impact on anything climate-wise. It’s a regional impact in and close to the fire location.

  6. Thanks, TK. Definite improvement in the weather this morning. While not bright, it’s brighter. And, you can tell atmospheric change is in the offing. I’ll take 60s over 40s, and some sunshine.

    Charlie, I do understand your point on regionalization of baseball, and the diminished interest nationally. But, don’t underestimate how global the sport has become, with Japan, Taiwan, Korea, Dominican R, Venezuela, leading the pack. The popularity has also grown in several European countries like the Netherlands (eg, Xander Bogaerts is a Dutch national from the Antilles) and Italy.

    But, for all intents and purposes there is only one truly global sport: soccer. A World Cup quarter (!) final draws more global viewers than the Superbowl; semi’s twice the number, and finals up to 5 times. You can halve those numbers for the European cup and Champion’s League finals, but still the viewership is impressive. From La Paz, Bolivia, to Nuuk, Greenland, to Novosibirsk, Russia, to Rangoon, Burma, everybody knows a team like Manchester United or FC Barcelona, and a player like Lionel Messi or Neymar. The U.S. is a genuine outlier in its relative lack of interest in soccer, and I believe it’s because we already have some great sports like football, baseball, basketball, and hockey. We’re quite insular in this regard, and I’m fine with that because I prefer watching football, baseball, and hockey over soccer.

  8. Cloud cover on vis satellite extends out into eastern PA and central NY. The rain is just coming thru now with the backside near Springfield. It’s moving along at a pretty good clip. Wondering how long it takes to move the cloud cover thru. Vis satellite shows it moving fairly fast, but it’s a little hard to tell since there’s not many hours worth of loop since sunrise. I’m hoping we can salvage a little of the day at least out here.

    1. Some of that is lower cloudiness that will dry up. It’s the mid and high level cloud cover that will create the longest shadowing as it moves through here. Most of the area will see sun later this afternoon.

  9. Just got caught out in the rain! Damn rain. Yes, forecadt, but crap. 8 straight days it has rained!##

    1. Could be 9 straight tomorrow. Enjoy Tuesday through Thursday. I do believe the next disturbance holds off until Friday and then it’s back to FRIGGN RAIN Friday through next weekend,

      1. I’m not sure isolated showers really count. That’s stretching it a bit. 😀

        Even today doesn’t really count. A couple hours to get the shower ribbon through. Nice on either side.

        1. For me it counts because while it may not be raining all the time, dark, dank, damp weather with limited sunshine blows.

          1. I guess I’m just an optimist and I like that spin. 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀

            Not to mention, I don’t have a weather type I don’t like, so count me as the lucky one.

            I’m enjoying watching the process of the frontal passage today.

            1. I like all weather types but not the same weather type day after day after day after day after day after day…get my point? 😀

              1. Ah, so you were probably pretty tired of the 9-day mostly sunny stretch we had in April during the other blocking pattern. 😀

                Yes I get your point!

  10. Back edge of cloud deck about to enter western most MA. Could take until 3-4 pm to see sunshine in the east. Only cirrus clouds behind the deck before sunshine finally takes over.

  11. It is my opinion that all guidance including the ECMWF is making an error in the overall pattern during the next 10 days. It becomes apparent to me in the mishandling of 2 troughs. The first of these will be more prominent than forecast, and the second will be slower than forecast. More later…

  12. To be honest, today’s not really bad. A couple hours of rain AT MOST in any given location. Any rain we can get is good not only for supply but for pollen reduction at least temporarily for allergy sufferers. A warming southwest wind ahead of the front. Sun returning by the end of the day with a fresh land breeze.

    And as I said last year and previously, the rain drops that do fall represent all the tears that mothers cry for their children.

    Today is not anything like the previous stretch. And don’t forget a large portion of the area had bonus sunshine on Friday (I know not everyone saw it but many did).

  13. Lower clouds behind the front are drying up, as expected.

    So as stated previously, many times, we’ll see the sun before the afternoon is done, of course lastly on Cape Cod because of their relative geographical location, but whatever. That’s the way it goes.

    Southwest wind gusting over 20 MPH here now. Wind-driven sprinkles. 😉

  14. The way I have seen nothing but complaints all over social media about a week of dank weather while other parts of the country are getting blasted by severe weather makes me chuckle. It just does and I’m not sorry for it. I’m not going to change that opinion. I think pretty soon it’ll become bad enough that people will complain about 15-second shadows caused by isolated cumulus clouds on a mostly sunny and dry day in the 80s. Everyone wants perfection. Well I have news. The atmosphere is full of weather for a reason, and it’s a good thing it is, or we’d all be dead.

    Maybe instead of a wall, Donald Trump can convince Mexico to pay for a caravan of buses to carry everyone interested to San Diego where it’s sunnier much more often. I could do with a little less traffic anyway (there I complained about something – happy?).

    Harsh? Too bad. 😀

    Happy Mother’s Day! 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀
    With a full baker’s dozen big smiles.

    1. You do realize you’re in the minority? Most people don’t like this stuff for 8 straight days. I also don’t think people are looking for perfection. Long stretches of wet, cool to cold gloomy stretches in May don’t do much for the mental well being of a lot of people.
      As far as San Diego, I’d be there yesterday if I had a job offer there I liked. 🙂

        1. Except for me. It’s just as uplifting as sunshine. 😀 It’s all part of a cycle. You wouldn’t have lawns to care for if it were not for spells of wet weather. 😀

      2. I realize this. And it’s fine. I still think everyone else is nuts. Maybe I’M nuts. I’m perfectly ok with that too. I’m happy that I’m happy with everything. For whatever reason it just does not impact me the way it does most people. Vicki can understand this.

        Perhaps the job offer will appear eventually. 😀

    2. I figured I’d give reading a rest here other than TKs great forecasts and comment updates as the complaining (which everyone is certainly entitled to) is far more depressing than the weather. I figure we can control what we think and do but cannot control weather.

      TK you know I agree. And blackstone may be right about being in the minority…..but we are happy. And it was certainly not harsh TK

      Repeating….I am not criticizing anyone for complaining.

      1. I’m probably not in the best of moods either. I’ve been on a diet for 2 weeks that started a little before this weather disaster. I’m hungry most of the time and it pisses me off 🙁
        My cholesterol came back high on the yearly and. I need to drop 20-25 pounds.

  16. Thanks tk
    Happy Mother’s Day!!
    Another crappy weather day!!! Geez this weather just sucks!!!!!!! The crazy thing we will be in a drought alert in2 weeks 🙂

    1. If I had said one negative thing was that for as long as the unsettled stretch went on, the rain was not as beneficial as it could have been. SOME help, yes. Significant help – it fell short of.

  17. Step 1 will be very subtle but the 12z GFS will show a little more progression and then another system southwest of the region around May 16. This is the very beginning of what I think is a correction by the models.

    If I’m WRONG about this, then we’ll be stuck under high pressure from Tuesday through Thursday, instead of losing part of Thursday to a warm front.

  18. I’m just getting a bad feeling about the warm season. Maybe it’s my natural pasinistic nature taking over, but I just don’t buy all this warmth that’s supposedly coming. Oh climo at some point will at least get the highs out of the 50’s, but all this above normal tamp talk and hit dry summer doesn’t seem to be in the cards. And yes I realize it’s 6 weeks till the solstice. So a long way to go.

    I’ll also note, at least outside 495, it’s about the barest I’ve seen a lot of the trees in years. The sugar maples have barely broken buds, the oaks are basically stillin stick season, and the Kentucky Blue grass lawns are still slightly brown. We need a week of sun and some 60’s to bring everything along.

  19. TK and Vicki, I love your attitude. Wish I could be as contented. I feel it’s been a miserable stretch of weather. But, as TK pointed out, nothing disastrous happened. It was not extreme weather, just depressing to many.

    I jumped the gun earlier today thinking the weather had really changed for the better. Pretty much as soon as I said it the rain started. Makes me want to … quack.

  20. Back edge of the garbage moving through quickly. Some could see the yellow Frisbee in the sky within the next couple of hours! If you do, throw some sunshine my way!

  22. The actual front is firing a line of showers and possible thunder in south central MA that may reach Providence in the next couple hours. It’s a thin line and won’t hang around anywhere it passes.

  23. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) A vertical column of light within a few minutes above a rising or setting sun is called

    A. Sun Pillar
    B. Sun Dog
    C. Sun Shaft
    D. Solar Halo

    2. Mother’s Day 2006 featured…
    A. Severe Flooding
    B. Total Solar Eclipse
    C. The latest snowfall ever
    D. A moderate earthquake

    Answers later today.

  24. So nice to see breaks of sunshine this afternoon. I saw a few on Friday.
    Hard to believe but ten years ago on Mother’s Day 2006 parts of SNE were dealing with flooding.

    2. I remember it well. My wife went out of town for the weekend and I had visions of playing golf all weekend. Nope! Stayed in all weekend and cleaned the house because I was bored and it was pouring.

  25. Ensembles now showing a solid pattern change evolving starting right around May 20.

    1. Yep. And it’s bringing in the heat! My daughter’s birthday is May 20th. I believe you said yours is too. How fitting:)

      1. I believe TK said about 3-4 weeks ago May 20, or there a outs was his target date.

        1. Oooh, 49. Wait till you hit the zero birthday in another year. I turned the big 5-0 18 months ago and didn’t feel any different than 49 😉

          1. My “milestone” birthdays never feel any different. What I do like is that my 50th will fall on the same day of the week I was born. 🙂

  26. I realized I blew that as soon as my comment was posted and Longshot posted the quiz.
    I was graduating from Curry that Mother’s Day back in 2006. It was quite a rainy week and what a raw day to with temps in the low 40s and gusty winds on Mother’s Day with the rain come down.

  28. About to head out to Hopkinton for Mother’s Day Cookout.

    Looks like it will be AOK.

  29. The clear out is underway but there is just enough instability around and even just behind the front for a couple pop ups. Most places will NOT see these. In general the trend is for more sun as we continue toward sunset.

  30. ECMWF has also started to make its correction in the pattern (see above).

    1. What does it look like beyond day 10? I can only see the euro and EPS out to 10 days. No Weatherbell subscription. The GFS/GEFS and euro out to 10 days look better. 500, 850’s and surface look much better.

      1. Less blocking, more movement. Eventually we start to flat ridge in the northern Plains and adjacent Canada and this is a preview of the pattern going into June. That overall setup with ridge break-offs going eastward, and corresponding disturbances moving along very quickly. Overall warmer pattern, brief cool downs, brief precipitation episodes, largely dry.

  34. I hope everyone had a great Mother’s Day. I enjoyed the rain, the sun, and the wind. I guess I am in Camp TK and Vicki. 🙂

    1. I am not only not surprised but love being in such great company. Happy Mother’s Day!!

  35. Happy Mother’s Day blessings to all the WHW Moms!
    I hope everyone is doing great and had a wonderful Mother’s Day!

  36. NAO heads back to neutral territory later in the month, which will help the block let loose and things to move again. Interestingly, a blocking pattern this week may allow fair weather to last 2 days longer than it would have in a progressive pattern.

  37. We have a company gathering at the Clarendon this weekend. Many local folks will be attending. Hoping for good weather?

  38. 3 more days of classes, then 13 more days till this battle of a semester is over.. I hope the summer weather comes in like a battering ram memorial day weekend …. 80s hopefully!!

  39. A new post will be waiting for you first thing in the morning (it’s already posted as of 1:55AM).

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