Wednesday Forecast

75 Comments

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 8-12)…
Sun starts the day but clouds will arrive and others will develop during the day as a disturbance approaches from the west northwest. The main thrust of this disturbance will be across CT, RI, and southern MA, where the most widespread shower and thunderstorm activity is expected, but scattered showers/storms will form elsewhere due to very cold air aloft making it unstable. Though severe storms are not expected, the cold air aloft will make it possible for small hail to occur in some showers/storms. Things quiet down tonight but then we’re set up for a couple fair but very cool days Thursday and Friday. This weekend, a disturbance will dive out of the Great Lakes, likely passing just southwest of New England but close enough for the risk of some unsettled weather by later Saturday and especially Sunday.
TODAY: Sunshine dominates into mid morning then clouds take over. Showers and thunderstorms likely in southern areas with scattered showers and storms developing to the north. Small hail possible in some of these. Highs in the upper 60s to middle 70s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy early with any showers ending. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows in the 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs in the middle to upper 60s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the 60s.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Risk of showers at night. Lows in the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 13-17)…
Risk of rain or showers at times as we’ll be in a boundary zone between cool air hanging on over New England and the Canadian Maritimes and building heat in the Midwest.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 18-22)…
The trend will be for a more westerly flow, a disturbance or two with a shower and thunderstorm threat, but mostly fair weather and warming temperatures.

75 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

    1. I believe this to be likely but since MCS’s often play a part in these, timing is difficult to nail down.

  5. Good morning and thank you for the update TK.

    65 when I left the house at 8AM. Not too bad at all.
    Beautiful morning. Let’s see how long it stays that way. 😀

  7. FWIW, this morning’s runs of the HRRR show pretty robust convection with lightning
    up to and including the immediate Boston area. It cuts off not too far North of Boston.
    However, it doesn’t show it arriving here until later, like 20-22Z OR in the 4-6 PM
    time frame. We shall see and monitor.

    1. Futurecast radars the TV mets are showing similar cells as well and including much of the North Shore as well. Could this be the same model?

    3. Always funny how often the least dangerous part of a storm looks the most threatening.

      1. I sure as hell wasn’t threatened. 😀 😀 😀

        I just thought it looked pretty cool and was worthy of a photo.
        Truth be known, I was desperately trying to capture a bolt
        of ligthning. I guess it is pretty tough to do with a smart phone
        camera, but not impossible. I was NOT successful, else there
        would have been a nice lightning photo posted.

        That storm moved in quickly and soon there were rain drops the size of quarters OR so it seemed. 😀 AND Oh what a lightning show! It was truly awesome!!

      1. So then it’s and SSSS. 😀 😀 😀

        Never heard of that one.

        I figured it was something like that, mainly due to the lack of lightning. A true MSC would be loaded with lightning.

        BUT, it is pretty impressive looking none-the-less.

  10. Very little weather action in Providence yesterday. But, on my drive up to Boston I noticed numerous flashes in the sky and several downpours. Was stuck in traffic for about 45 minutes on 93 in Quincy as an underpass flooded (must have been a downpour in Quincy). Somehow my car, which is low to the ground, got through the water and I was able to get back home. By the way, the water smelled brackish and fishy. Could there have been some spillover from a nearby marsh?

    1. What time was it? Big T-Storm in Quincy was “approximately” around 9 PMish
      give or take. Which underpass? In Milton near Adams Street?
      I wouldn’t say it was spill over, not from wind for sure. I am not sure
      of the tide situation at that time, but the Neponset River empties into
      the Harbor near the above mentioned under pass, so there is salt water
      nearby. Could just be the salt smell was in there air due to your location
      at the time.

      Just my thoughts, I certainly don’t claim to know the exact answer.

    2. Business associate traveled back to Wellesley from Hingham around that time and said traffic crawled twice (two different systems) on the way back 3/93/95N

  11. Clouds have begun to build and here we are at mid-morning, as promised!!

    It is a beauty of a day!

  13. I see that time of warming temperatures, but then on the models look like it wants to bring a trough back on down.

  14. JP Dave, Sorry for the delayed response. I was at a work meeting. I drove back last night between 9 and 10pm. I think the underpass may indeed have been in Milton (Adams Street), but I’m not sure. Traffic crawled for a long time, and there was a lot of water under the bridge. Probably a foot deep in places. Police cruisers on both sides of 93, and an officer directing traffic on foot (without an orange vest! – he was really hard to see).

  15. TK do you see us getting into any of that heat at all next week or will we be stuck in the cool?

    1. Not until the latter portion of the week after. I think once that ridge the is building over the central US makes it easy, it will be here to stay for the remainder of the summer.

  17. Showers getting close.
    I have noticed a good deal of sunshine around here in the last hour or so.

    Not sure if that will contribute or not.

      1. I usually don’t care on rain, but I’d like to see another thunderstorm. Something popped near the office, but I can’t see it from my window. 😀

    1. ROTFLMAO!!!

      Love it. Obviously, whoever prepared that graphic did not have time
      to QA it. 😀 😀 😀

      1. Thank you!! They pale in comparison to yours and your sons, however. My son is the photographer. Mac was also. I never get the picture I hope to.

  22. Getting pretty ripe in SE CT.

    https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ma/boston/box/

    Convection seems to have split into 2 segments. The larger, more potent segment
    is in CT, destine for RI and SE MA and staying pretty much along and to the South
    of the MA border. The other segment is in the Northern 1/2 of MA and Southern NH.
    Neither appears destined for the Boston area.

    Right now, Boston looks to remain DRY. Let’s see if that holds true.

  23. Nothing more than a brief down pour outside my window a few hours ago. It is noticeably cooler compared to yesterday.

  24. Hmmm, now the Northern segment “seems” to be making a push SouthEastward
    and gaining some strength. Fascinating to watch this unfold.

    1. A pop up cell out around 128 near Woburn and also another popping up
      out around Springfield.

      1. That “pop up” gave me about 1 minute of huge rain drops and 2 more minutes of small ones but was not enough to even dampen the ground.

        We did have one shower earlier (around 2PM) that briefly wet the ground but not enough for puddles.

  27. That area into S RI looks interesting. I believe that is what you were referring to JJ??

  30. I was in perfect spot yesterday to get very little rain. It did rain but it was just enough to make pollen mud. The current radar is given me a good feeling, I will probably have to turn the sprinklers on.

  31. Best action is just South of the City.

    Some action headed towards the City, but WEAKENING.

    I can see what’s coming, and I ain’t impressed, that’s for sure. 😀

    1. he he he. It’s going to dry up before it reaches my house.
      The lawn got a good drink last night, so I don’t need the rain.
      😀

      1. Maybe something will still happen. I see the SW end getting
        more active again. Heading out. We shall see. 😀

  32. Heavy rain shower with pea sized hail went right over south shore hospital while I was there rehabbing. Had some wind, it was pretty cool.

  33. Neat little bowling ball of energy skirting along the south coast. Wonder what we would have seen if that had been 50 to 75 miles further north ?

  34. I left my house to head to work around 4:00pm. Around 4:30, I get a text from my fiancee with a picture showing 1/2″ hail covering our deck in Brockton. Forecast verified.

  35. The next system, around the 11th and 12th, seems to be trending northward some. A few days ago, it looked like the disturbance and associated surface low we’re going to track SW of New England. Now, it might be over or just to our north. Maybe this increases convective chances with this system.

  37. The cluster of storms that went across Philly today looked more impressive south of New England than either “Bonnie” or “Colin” ever did.

    Things get quiet here for a few days, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see some snow on top of Mt Washington over the next few days.

    The weekend doesn’t look nearly as bad now, but the upper low may hang around into early next week. The heat across the Plains probably won’t get here until the latter half of next week at the earliest. That was the subject of my blog post tonight for those interested.

    2. And it’s snowing on the mountain already:

      KMWN 090355Z 29055G62KT 0SM -PL -SN FZFG VV000 M02/M02 PLB05SNB20 VRY LGT GICG

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