9:23AM
I’m speeding up the timing of things just a touch today, and for this reason, I think most areas north and west of Boston will be OK for fireworks displays tonight, as I think the main threat for storms will be done by around 6PM. This may not be the case in areas to the southeast, however there is still a shot at less activity there as well.
The cold front responsible for the storm threat today is already weakening, and though there is some nice upper air support with a disturbance for storms, the weakening of this front is a negative factor, as is some somewhat stabilized air over southeastern New England, put in place by an onshore flow yesterday. Further, a fairly solid line of storms already moving into western New England will have a stabilizing effect on the air out there, and a fair amount of cloudiness will limit sun over much of the region.
To me, all of this points to earlier showers and storms, less threat of severe weather (though it cannot be ruled out), and not much activity as we move into evening and tonight, except a continued threat over southeastern MA including Cape Cod and the Islands.
What’s left of this front will hang up just south of New England Monday and await a disturbance moving along it early in the morning which may send some showers and storms across southern MA, CT, & RI, and also provide focus for a few showers and storms to pop up during the day, again as mentioned before, the main threat being along and south of the Mass Pike for this activity. The vast majority of the region will be rain-free Monday.
Looking into next week a bit further, high pressure will build along the East Coast Tuesday & Wednesday, with warm to hot July weather, though no excessive heat will occur. A cold front moving through the region on Thursday will trigger showers and thunderstorms. High pressure should return at the end of the week with drier air and great weather for Friday and at least the start of the weekend…
Updated Boston area forecast…
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers after 10AM. Scattered showers and thunderstorms from noon to around 6PM from Boston north and west, mostly after 2PM in areas to the southeast, with a couple of organized storm lines possible. Any storms may produce gusty winds, small hail, and frequent lightning. Isolated severe storms are possible. Anybody with outside plans should be very alert to the sky and look for approaching storms from the west at any time. Warm and humid. High near 80. Wind S to SW 5 to 15 mph, but variable and gusty near some storms.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until around 9 or 10PM south of the Mass Pike and especially over far southeastern MA, Cape Cod, & the Islands. Mild and muggy. Low 64 to 69. Wind light W.
MONDAY – INDEPENDENCE DAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers or thunderstorms are possible mainly along and south of the Mass Pike first thing in the morning and again during the afternoon and early evening. Most locations will be rain-free. Warm and humid. High 82 to 87. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 65. High 85.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 66. High 86.
THURSDAY: Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 68. High 84.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 61. High 81.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 83.
Thank’s TK- I am keeping my fingers crossed as I await my guests. Heavy cloud cover
here in Pembroke, you can feel the air getting more humid. Have a nice day everyone.
TK, you have been very busy posting on this holiday weekend. Thank you for taking the time to help us all make our plans!
John, enjoy your party! Framingham keeps moving from clouds to blue and filtered blue sky. Humidity is heavy here too!
You’re welcome. I hope everyone’s plans go as well as possible!
TK – I agree with Vicki – thanks for taking the time from your busy wknd. to post.
The sun is bright here in Sudbury now and has been for awhile. Do you think this could fuel any severe storms later?
Some fuel perhaps, but I think heavier cloudcover from the storms in VT, western MA, and NY may limit this.
We are in the general risk for thunderstorms according to storm prediction center. As I said yesterday this did not have the makings of a widespread severe weather outbreak but don’t be surprised to see isolated severe weather across parts of SNE.
Tomorrow another chance at a pop shower or storm but don’t cancel plans.
This is starting to take on that look of “let’s trend south and spare the Boston area!” … We have to watch for one more line of batch of scattered storms behind that more solid area that seems to want to pass southwest of the Boston area. But as time goes by this afternoon and especially toward evening, I feel that the threat from Boston north and west will be dropping.
You are getting a taste of what’s to come, regarding the blog. Not long from now, full time on this and other home-based weather adventures. 🙂
There is nothing like home-based work. I’ve been doing it for 30 years now and love it. I am looking forward to the new additions to the blog
TK- I want to thank you as well for all your hard work you do here. I have trust in you and Harvey. Now go have some fun and enjoy your vacation. Good to be chatting
here It’s been awhile. Again everybody have a great day.
One hundred years ago this week (July 3-6, 1911) there was a string of 100+ degree temps throughout SNE. Boston had highs of 102F on 7/3, 104F on 7/4, and 101F on 7/6. The only exception was a weak seabreeze on 7/5 which naturally held off the heat for a day in Boston but the suburbs easily continued into the 100’s. It also hit 100F a week later on 7/11/1911.
I was glad to see the harsh comments toward Barry and Todd removed from the WBZ blog his morning. There were a few of the usual trolls complaining about yesterday’s weather. I mentioned this last evening in the previous blog over here that I found it quite puzzling as to what the problem was with yesterday’s overall delightful weather. If anything, I found it as a “top 10” day in spite of the moderate humidity. I just don’t understand those trolls at all sometimes.
Cool looking cloud show just went by, snapped some cool looking photos. If only i could share them on here…
Hoping to provide a place for photos in the not-too-distant future.
The coastline seems to be where the most action is today. Just got a very brief downpour.
Made out great in Pembroke today- cloudy day but no rain.
TK – Excellent forecast for yesterday (Sunday the 3rd). The storms never really got going and also, as you predicted, there was little rain to speak of by evening.