Tuesday Forecast

10 Comments

3:45PM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 21-25)…
Drier air has been moving in today behind a front that woke some of you up with its thunderstorms in the early morning hours. But it has been quite warm during the day today with the core of cooler air hanging back and set to pass through tonight and early Wednesday. However this will come along with another disturbance that may trigger a few instability showers/thunderstorms and even possible small hail in any of these from late morning to mid afternoon Wednesday, with the best chance of such activity in northern MA into NH. A disturbance will make a run at southern New England from the west on Thursday, but at this time I’m leaning toward a more strung out system with most of the heavier rain staying to the south, though some of it may impact parts of the region. Will try to fine-tune this on the next update. Behind that system, high pressure will move in with fair and pleasant weather for Friday and Saturday, though Saturday will begin a warm-up.
REMAINDER OF TODAY: Sunshine and a few clouds. Temperatures upper 70s South Coast, 80s elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy through mid afternoon with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, some with possible small hail, from late morning to mid afternoon, favoring northern MA into NH. More sunshine later in the day. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Increasing clouds overnight. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Risk of rain southern NH and northern MA, rain likely southern MA, CT, and RI. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s. Wind E 5-15 MPH becoming N late.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 26-30)…
Fair and very warm to hot including more humidity June 26-27 as high pressure settles to the south of New England. A front moves in around June 28 and hangs around but slowly dissipates through June 30 with a daily risk of scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms including warmth and humidity.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 1-5)…
Look for mainly dry and warm to hot weather during this period as a high pressure ridge builds in the region.

10 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  2. 12Z Euro dives the Thursday system mostly South of us. Gives Boston
    .12 inch of qpf. Whoopie.

    CMC keeps it totally South.

  5. Thanks TK. IMO, tomorrow will actually be the more interesting weather day than Thursday. I agree with TK and an increasing consensus of models that the Thursday event will be a dud for us. However, a lot of the hi-res guidance is showing some of those showers and storms potentially rotating pretty far south into our region, and some of the stronger storms could briefly drop sizable hail.

  7. According to Harvey on his 11:00 newscast Thursday now looks mostly a miss, maybe South Coast at best for any shower activity. If the same setup were in winter, I would be bummed out to say the least.

  8. 00z models cut way back on precip for most of Southern New England on Thursday, and in tandem now have highs in the upper 70s/low 80s instead of low 70s.

    While we may have a few t-storms around here this afternoon, looking more and more like a derecho is going to cross the Midwest later today. Storms are already starting to explode across southern Minnesota and Iowa at 1am, and I don’t see any reason why that won’t continue through the night.

  9. 11 hours and 55 minutes after this update, a new one is now available!

    Good day all!

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