Friday Forecast

229 Comments

8:10AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 12-16)…
Complex forecast as a frontal boundary gets involved in the forecast during the next several days. Its position will make a big difference in local weather. It looks like today the entire southern New England region will still be in the heat, like yesterday, as the front will be to the north, but a little wave of low pressure moving along it, and off the coast of Maine by evening, combined with a little nose of high pressure extending southeastward from eastern Canada, will push this front south southwestward across southern NH and into eastern MA tonight into Saturday. It will come to a stop somewhere in a line from southern MA or northern RI back across east central MA to southwestern NH most likely, hanging there for a good part of Saturday before returning back northeastward across the region by early Sunday. So areas that end up on the other side of the front after it passes will be cooler Saturday, while areas that are not reached by the front will stay rather hot, and then the heat will be in general control over most of the region again by Sunday as the front moves back the other way. But another wave of low pressure moving along the boundary sometimes between Sunday night and the middle of Monday will pull the front southward again, but this time being more orientated in a “traditional” way so that it comes through from northwest to southeast. End result? We should get into a slice of drier air by late Monday or certainly Tuesday. As for showers/thunderstorms during this period, that is a complex puzzle as well. I think the area as a whole will fall short of getting greatly beneficial rain, but some areas will see at least one round of decent showers and thunderstorms. Details will have to be worked out on a day-by-day basis, so I can say that today’s activity will be isolated to scattered, can occur any time, but will favor the afternoon to early evening, when any storms that occur can be strong to severe, so keep an eye out for changing conditions. Saturday’s greatest storm risk will be closer to the South Coast and back through central MA and southwestern NH where the hot/muggy air is, with more cloudiness but less rain risk further north and east. Sunday will carry a risk of isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms as the region gets back into the hot/muggy air. We’ll have to see if a more organized area of showers/storms occurs at some point Sunday night and/or Monday, depending on the timing of the front as it makes its second southward push. A bubble of high pressure should bring a break in the action by Tuesday, based on current timing. Again please check for updates as timing of location of the front, and resultant showers/storms is hard to pin point. Lastly, for late tonight and early Saturday, which is the second peak period for the Perseid Meteor Shower, we will have to keep an eye on cloudiness that may still be around from afternoon / evening thunderstorms. I think most of it should exit, but then there will be the issue of possible low cloudiness coming down from the north and northeast with the passage of the front during the late evening and overnight hours. So no area is a lock for clear sky, but some areas may end up ok for several hours. Updates will be posted in the comments section as well as on the WHW Facebook page.
TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy with very isolated showers and a slight risk of thunderstorms through midday. Partly sunny during the afternoon with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Any storms may be locally strong to severe. Very humid. Highs 75-82 Nantucket, 82-90 South Coast, 90-97 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a risk of showers/thunderstorms early evening. Partly cloudy to mostly clear late evening. Overnight, possible deck of low clouds at least coastal NH and eastern MA but may spread inland somewhat by dawn. Patchy fog. Very humid. Lows 62-70 in areas that saw rain late-day and evening as well as coastal NH and northeastern MA, 70-77 urban areas and any areas in southern MA, RI, and interior NH that did not see late-day rain.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy southeastern NH through northeastern and east central MA with a risk of a few showers. Elsewhere variably cloudy with scattered showers/thunderstorms, some of which may be strong. Humid. Highs 75-82 coastal NH and eastern MA, 83-92 elsewhere. Wind NE 5-15 MPH over southeastern NH and eastern MA, S to SW 5-15 MPH in areas further west and southwest.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of a few showers. Isolated heavier thunderstorms possible central MA to southwestern NH. Humid. Lows 62-72, warmest far west and southwest of Boston. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SE to S in most areas overnight.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 75-80 Nantucket, 80-88 South Coast, 88-95 elsewhere. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring the morning. Humid. Lows 64-74. Highs 77-85.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Less humid. Lows 60-70, warmest urban areas. Highs 78-86.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 17-21)…
More humid with showers possible August 17. Next shower risk late August 19 to early August 20. Drier at the end of the period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 22-26)…
Still looking for another build of heat/humidity with few chances for showers/storms.

229 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK !

    Excellent discussion !

    Looking forward to tomorrow and the back door front, one of my favorite summer weather occurrences. True roller coaster temps Fri – Sat – Sun in eastern Mass.

  4. Thank you very much, TK. I sent your update to friends who will be heading back to Maine this weekend. Looks cooler up there. Not so sure about whether it will reach here but then it is what it is!

      1. I was thinking that too. It will be fun to see how close it gets. Can I be a test case 😉

        Oh dear, I have a feeling you rolled your eyes and said to yourself that I’ve always been a “test case.”

  5. Thanks TK.
    SPC has us in the marginal risk for severe weather both today or tomorrow. As parts of CT saw yesterday and on Wednesday with the EF 0 tornado you could get a locally severe storm even if the SPC just has a general thunderstorm risk.
    Cool shots I posted yesterday with the storms in CT.

  6. Memories…..prompted by TK 😉

    I checked my weather station this am and the temp still read 77 which is what it was reading when I went to sleep. My first thought was it was broken.

    Last night also reminds me of summer nights when younger. We’d play outside until late because often it was cooler outside than in the house. We’d have a popsicle before bed. There was no AC then. The big selling point on a home was if it had cross ventilation. Now, homes are built with fewer windows for conservation and the term cross ventilation doesn’t enter into it.

    We’d always switch our rooms around from summer to winter and move beds closer/further from windows. On nights like last night, we’d pull sheets off the bed, lightly powder the sheets and sleep with our head at the foot of the bed to be closer to the window.

    And never do I recall anyone wishing the weather was anything but what it was because it became an adventure.

    So, thank you, TK, for bringing that memory back.

    1. Vicki I remember stuff like you mentioned growing up in Marshfield. Even as close to the beach as we were I remember a hot bedroom growing up practically sleeping with my head out the window lol . It just seems the summers were always hot and winters cold and snowy or at least that’s what I think I remember it being . The summers in Marshfield growing up were some of the best times ever as a kid .

    2. Society in general is spoiled. I do realize that in the age of social media we have much easier access to people wishing the weather was anything different than what it is. So many folks put energy into lamenting about something they can’t change instead of trying to make themselves as comfortable as possible. But absolutely far more complaints reach my ears without the aid of social media these days versus “back then”. I’m familiar with the cross-ventilation. We used to set things up in the house to make it a little cooler, like a series of fans that started at the top of the basement stairs and directed air down the hallway and into various rooms. It was fun to do! You dealt with whatever the weather gave you!

      I saw a little piece on the Olympics about the people in a certain village in Fiji that was devastated by a category 5 tropical cyclone last year. Over 10% of the island’s population was left homeless. That may not seem like a lot to some, but it’s a lot. That does not include the 90% of other living spaces that were damaged. Yes, they know storms happen, and they deal with it. The people there have pulled together to help each other. Even when life is normal there it’s not always easy. There was one place in which the children, in order to get to school, have to wade/swim across a river while holding their school uniforms above their heads to keep them dry. And some people think life around here is so hard. Ok. We have our own share of issues, but even with that we should appreciate the fact we don’t have certain issues to deal with.

      2. There is a huge sense of accomplishment when you manage to arrange the fans, etc. just right or if you can find a spot in the bed that feels cool. Instant gratification seems to replace much of those “little things” that we look back on with very fond memories.

        TK, I watched Matt Lauer this morning as he toured the favelas which surround Rio. There are something like seven million people living in them. They are crime ridden. There is garbage and graffiti and drug everywhere. Police wear full body suits. But there are pockets of people who are trying to make it positive by putting up a store front or repairing a home, etc. The police officer Lauer spoke to explained they are like family with the police being close to the people. Lauer pointed out he wear full body armor but the officer just smiled and said every family will have its arguments.

        I felt so very humbled watching. Yes, we have our own share of issues but, like you, I believe we need to appreciate the fact we don’t “have certain issues to deal with.”

  7. Thanks TK. Great discussion!

    Insane amounts of rainfall in large parts of Louisiana last night and into this morning, with much more coming over the next couple days. Final rainfall totals will be measured in feet in some areas.

  8. Temperature is rising at a faster pace today than yesterday. We shall see what that
    translates to in terms of high temperatures and heat index.

  9. FWIW, Logan’s DP has dropped to 70. Yes, I know, 70 is still high, but it is better
    than 75 or 76. 😀

  10. Well, the models think it will rain, at least the 4KM NAM, the latest HRRR and the latest
    RAP all support decent convection in SNE this afternoon.

    Will monitor radars for verification. 😀

  11. 6z GFS aggressive with the instability especially over CT today more so than 6z NAM. 6z NAM aggressive with instability night time hours for my area tomorrow. I am going just sit back and watch what happens. I was not expecting any severe storms yesterday.
    For anyone who did not see those phots of the storms that affected parts of CT here is the link
    http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/multimedia/Dramatic-Thunderstorm-Photos-for-Aug-11-389911311.html?_osource=SocialFlowTwt_CTBrand

    1. JJ I saw those. Truly spectacular.
      Without seeing a video or seeing in person, On several photos
      I’d swear on a stack of bibles that it was a Tornado.
      Can’t see evidence of rotation or not on a still photo.

  13. 9am …..

    Caribou, ME : 58F with moderate rain, NE wind at 7.

    Portland, ME : 85F, sunny, SW wind at 8, Hx : 91F.

    1. I’d sat that was a fairly robust BDF!

      Of course, by the time it got to Boston, it would not be sporting
      58 Degree readings. Perhaps 78.

      1. Well, Caribou is in a different world. Bangor to Portland is more representative of what a front like that may have in store.

        I figure Boston’s daytime temp Saturday will be upper 70s and dew point upper 60s to lower 70s. So the heat comes down, but the humidity hangs around.

  14. The GFS is messed up run after run in the short term. It keeps generating precipitation in the exact same locations, particularly just along and off the southeastern New England coast. I’m not using the model right now.

    Make no mistake, it’s still very muggy, but the dew point is down 3 to 5 degrees in most areas this morning over the late night hours. And this morning there is a notable breeze here, when there was very little breeze yesterday. It does not feel as bad at this time today, but of course it’s all relative. It’d probably different if you’re outside in the sun right now. 😉

    1. Dew Point is 72. Yesterday at this time it was 74-76.

      Just going out the door to my car this morning, it felt a “little” bit better, but
      as the day wears on, I’m sure it will end up feeling every bit as bad as yesterday.

  15. Current Logan Conditions:

    Air Temperature = 86
    Dew Point Temperature = 72
    Heat Index = 92 F
    WSW 13 mph

  16. We are at 81.5 with a wunder DP of 72. I checked surrounding DPs and they ran from 73-75. While we did have wind yesterday (daytime and not so much in the evening), it is stronger today from the NE in the high single numbers.

    I think my granddaughter will be getting my weather station. I really would like one with a DP reading as well as temp and rain.

  17. I thought that this type of weather called for strawberry shortcake for breakfast – minus the cream!!

    1. NO. Replace whipped cream with ICE CREAM and now you have an
      appropriate breakfast for this kind of weather.

      PS: regarding weather station.

      The AcuRite one I purchased has ALL that you desire. List price is
      $199, but Amazon had it for $179 and I got it directly from AcuRite for
      $144.97.

      Here is info:

      Item Sku Qty
      Weather Environment System with PRO+ 5-in-1 Sensor & Display 01057-bundle 1

      Display for 5-in-1 Weather Sensors
      1 x Color Display for 5-in-1 Weather Sensor $46.39 06016RM
      Internet Bridge
      1 x AcuLink Internet Bridge with Remote Monitoring $46.39 09150RM
      PRO 5-in-1 Weather Sensor
      1 x PRO+ 5-in-1 Weather Sensor: Temperature, Humidity, Rainfall, Wind Speed, Wind Direction $52.19 06014M

      1. Thank you, JPD. And I hadn’t thought of ice cream!!

        I saw that you had some trouble setting up the internet bridge. That worries me a bit at this price but I may just go for it!

        I copied and saved the information this time.

        Thanks again!

        1. Setting up the bridge was a piece of cake.

          It just took a while to sync up and that was my concern.

          FYI: It comes with a cool PC link, so you go to a website,
          set up your information, and you get a page
          of dials for all of your sensors.

          Looks like this:

          http://imgur.com/a/S8kXN

          Then they have a mobile app as well. It’s not working with my phone, so I link to the PC version and it works fine. They have a new improved mobile app coming by the end of Sept.

  18. JPD – I apologize as I know you have answered this question several times but I cannot locate the response.

    What is the make of the weather station you got? Thank you.

  20. 13Z HRRR pretty robust with convection in Boston Area around 22-23Z or 6-7PM.

    When the run completes, I’ll post a reflectivity loop.

  23. JPD, once I have time to review all of this, do you mind if I email you with questions rather than taking up the space here? I’ll wait until I have all of my questions together so I also do not inundate you with emails. And if you are busy, please feel free to say not to email you right now.

    1. No Problem at all.

      I will say one thing, for the money, this weather station is absolutely
      fantastic!!

  25. At this point today compared to yesterday, it feels worse to me today. Sure, there’s a breeze, but its a flamethrower

  26. 12z NAM is need of a doctor. Really aggressive with severe parameters for parts of CT and MA between 0z (8pm) to 12z (8am)
    I was just running the loop on Cod site and saw that.

    1. Even within that fairly solid line/cluster, there are only individual heavier cells, so to take that verbatim would leave some areas largely unscathed.

      1. I never take the HRRR at face value. Right now, I am just hopeful it can even come close to verifying. Time will tell.

        12Z 4KM NAM, not so promising at all.

  28. Weather aside for a minute, but is it crap all over Jimmy G day? After going to last night’s game I expected to hear high praise for him today. Hearing some of the sports talk this morning u would think he only completed 25% of his passes, fumbled, and threw 3 interceptions. Did the so-called experts even watch the game?? Sure, he’s not Brady. No one is Brady, once in a lifetime player. He was shaky the first 2 possessions, but after that, he was balls. He passed the eye test for me. His presence and command was Brady-like and he thread passes into tight spaces with confidence and velocity. He had everything going at the end of the first half. I have no doubt he builds on that and improves with each game. I firmly believe we are watching the next great Pats QB, the Steve Young to Joe Montana.

    2. I did not have a problem with Jimmie G’s performance.
      IF I want to be critical at all, it would be that he did “force” the ball
      a couple of times. AND that can get him and the team in trouble.
      So hopefully, he will learn from that and get even better.

      I think the team will go 3-1 or worse case 2-2 with 10 at the helm
      On another note: I think Brisset looked pretty good. He is young and raw, but
      with time he could be a really fine NFL quarter back. He needs to learn
      some finesse as everything he threw was a canon shot. He certainly has a strong arm and seems to possess the necessary poise back there.

      What will the Pats do?

      Here is my guess. They hope they get reasonably decent performances from
      10 over the first 4 games. Then during the off-season, assuming Brisset continues to improve, they will unload Jimmie G for hopefully a 1st round
      draft choice. Just my gut feeling.

    3. The nicest thing I can say about 90% of sports radio hosts in general is that they are a great combination of bully and moron who would crumble under the pressure that someone like Jimmy G. is under.

      He wasn’t terrible. And if he’s going to make some mistakes, now’s the time, so coaching can catch it, flag it, work on it, and get him ready for the games that count!

      It’s a mixture of frustrating and amusing how much weight these sports talk folks give to pre-season games.

  29. Nice line of storms depicted. Hopefully they will move and not sit in one area for a long period of time since the atmosphere is loaded with moisture.
    Clicking on some of the sounds on the 12z NAM for the overnight Saturday into Sunday they are indicating tornado. I am not buying that model and will see what other 12z guidance says.

    1. Those sounding always depict a possible threat even when it is actually only
      remotely possible. In short, I think those threats are OVER DONE.
      I am sure they are computer generated.

      Something like:
      Cape >= 1,500
      LI 1
      Shear > 25 knots

      Then tornado risk
      or some such mechanical garbage. It is not that mechanical.

      I would NOT be using those threats on the soundings.

      Look at all of the parameters and make your own judgement.

      I stand up and take notice when I see the significant tornado ingredients
      present on the SREF and they ARE NOT.

  30. Ace, Agree with your statement above. Sports radio should save the negativity for a team and front office that deserves it: Red Sox. By contrast, the Patriots are a well-managed machine. Everyone in the Patriots organization knows his role and is held accountable. With the Sox it is a totally different story.

    1. Don’t get me going on the Sox.
      Can anyone please tell me WHY OH WHY OH WHY is that dumb-ass manger
      still in charge of the team??????????????

      It’s beyond me. I can tell you right now WITHOUT a managerial change
      immediately, if not sooner, the Red Sox will NOT NOT NOT NOT even make
      the play offs.

        1. well they made it in 2013, so it would be 2014, 2015 and 2016 to go along with 2012, so how about 4 out 5 years.

  31. Latest from Logan Airport:

    Air Temperature = 91
    Dew Point Temperature = 74
    Heat Index = 101 F

    Dew Point 74 !!!! More like yesterday all over again!

    1. The GFS has been messed up 3 or 4 runs in a row. I will NOT use it. It keeps generating precipitation in the first 6 hours over a large area near the coast when there is NOTHING.

      MAJOR red flag.

        1. After a little analysis, I detect the error at least twice between initialization and 00z Sunday. The problem is still there. As a forecaster, that’s enough warning to throw the entire run into doubt.

  34. On Jimmy G
    He wasnt bad. He had some great throws that were dropped or broken up by some good defensive plays. And it wasn’t like he was throwing to Gronkowski, Amendola, Edelman, Hogan, etc. He needs to get rid of the ball and not take the sacks, but by in large I thought he did ok. Everybody is spoiled as hell watching Brady for the last 15 years. Good god, Jimmy G could start for half the teams in the NFL.
    I’m sure Felger and that toad Mazz will dump all over him at 2 pm.

  36. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016081212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_samer_1.png

    I’m not big on the GFS anywhere in the world today, but I am using it for an example of the tiny little area of rain that dampened things at the Olympics this morning in Rio. Doesn’t look like much on this 6-hour forecast from the 12z run (see the tiny green area on the south-facing coast of middle Brazil), as most if it will be moving out. That high pressure area just to the west will build in and the weather should be fabulous there over the weekend. The first half of next week looks warm and a little humid with a few showers possible. No real surprise though, because even though these “summer games” are taking place in the winter down there (August in the southern hemisphere is essentially the same as February in the northern hemisphere), but Rio is basically the equivalent of Cuba when it comes to distance from the Equator.

  37. I stopped by the farmer’s market for some peaches. Now is the time of year, but I was told that there would not be any this year. It is not due to drought like one would think, but due to a freeze back in February. That is what the vendor told me. 🙁

    Who would have thought of major crop issues during an El Niño winter, but yet after the snowiest of winters (2014-15) there were the largest, sweetest, etc. peaches one can eat. Last summer’s was definitely the best peaches ever! I guess I will have to root for a cold, snowy winter in order to have big, sweet, juicy peaches for August. 😉

    2. It was actually the freeze we had in April that did it. Or more to the point, the warm weather we had in March that caused everything to start blooming early. The peach trees budded and bloomed, but the freeze in early April killed the blooms. That’s also why the forsythia failed.
      So in a round about way, it wasn’t the cold that did it, but the warm weather that caused a pre-mature bloom.
      And remember all the magnolia blooms that got burned?

    3. I was told the same thing when I went to Ward’s farm this past weekend. They usually have such amazing peach crops. Not this year, not anywhere in the Northeast for that matter. I was told it was due to that really cold snap and snow in April. The trees were budding and about to flower when the cold hit. Same thing that caused many other flowering trees and bushes to not flower this year. I hope the apple crop isn’t affected this fall.

  38. That upper low in southern LA had a thunderstorm complex intensify last night and it’s continued to rain itself out this morning. Flash flood warnings galore over a large area. I think it’s been a multiple inch rain event.

  40. Back door front just passed Augusta, ME with a gusty N wind.

    Bangor is down to 66F.

    Portland, ME with a gusty W wind is 97F.

    I think the breezy west and southwest flow (down sloping) might be good for 2 or 3F higher temps at the coast this afternoon compared to yesterday. Unless some of those showers make it in prior to 4 or 5pm to “cool” things off.

      1. Depends upon how cloudiness there is. More sun, then I agree!
        After all it already hit 97, what’s another degree or 2.

  42. Hoping for a professional opinion about storms in the Kingston area today between 5:00 and 7:00. Football starts today and we need to determine if we make it a red flag day. If we do, parents are required to stay at the field during the duration of practice. They get pretty snippy if they stay and there is no storm. We obviously take safety serious but don’t want to declare a red flag say if not necessary.

    1. I could give you an opinion, but it would NOT be professional and I would
      not want you to base a decision on what I had to say.

    2. I was just talking to a friend, whose excited for her son’s Marshfield football practice to start tonight.

      Re : storms ….. How late can the decision be made ? Obviously the later the better to use some nowcasting on the radar …..

      I wonder if the heat/humidity factor might be worth staying to support any of the players who become dehydrated, etc …. ??????

      1. Good point Tom, however, those of that age group typically fare pretty well in this weather. Now, if it were me, I’d be dead.

      1. Thank you JPD, Tom, and TK. I passed this onto our league president. We are damned if we do and damned if we don’t but it is nice to have input from the best of the best. And JPD, I totally would have taken your opinion as professional. This is my first year on the Board of Directors for the league so our president was thrilled that I was able to provide him with a recommendation with some intelligence behind it.

  43. A little bit ago, Logan was up to 97 with dp 74!!!

    Air Temperature: 97
    Dew Point Temperature = 74

    Heat Index = 109 F

    109!&*^@#&%^!@&*#&*%!@^#%!^@#%

  44. I was about to post what Tom already did. Some cells popping out to our West.

    I also noticed driving back into the office that there is considerable cumulus out there.
    It “looks” like it wants to do something, but who knows.

  45. Initial and most impressive thrust of storms may end up along and south of the Mass Pike through CT and RI this afternoon. Isolated storms possible elsewhere.

    Front should arrive at Boston between midnight and 2AM based on current obs and short range guidance.

    1. Of course, why would the axis of storm be ANYWHERE near Boston.

      Here’s hoping something develops.

      btw, the HRRR starting hinting at that starting with about the 14Z run.
      AND the 12Z 4KM NAM did as well. 😀

  46. Hmmm, we’re getting more action.

    A cell literally just blew up North of Springfield. I mean it wasn’t there and wham,
    there it was. Instantaneous storm.

  48. Hopefully these storms move today and not sit over one area with the atmosphere loaded with so much moisture.

    1. Judging by the motion of these storms and IF they hold together or the
      lift responsible for their formation remains strong enough, then I think
      Boston may get into the Northern edge of this cluster or a future cluster and/or
      cell or 2.

  51. Dave that storm you mentioned near Springfield now has special weather statement with it moving east at 20mph. According to the statement this storm may intensify.
    We saw this yesterday with the storms in parts CT nothing there then the thunderstorm would grow and in some cases reach warning criteria

  52. I continue to be impressed with the projections of the warm surge Sunday, after tomorrow’s back door front moves back through as a warm front Sat night.

    Big +20c bullseye over SE New England Sunday morning at 7am. And the 18C contour still all the way west of Albany.

    Wave of low pressure across northern New England, I’d think all the warm front rains are going to miss well to our north.

    1. Which just validates your comment about keeping parents at practice tonight. I also shared that with our president. That was a very good point.

    2. Just checked the two of the three reporting stations near me in Hingham (the third one in Conservatory Park seems to be offline). One on South Street is showing a temp of 95, dewpoint of 80 and a heat index of 113. The other one which is just NW of me and W of the South Street station is showing an air temp of 105 (gotta be off a little right?), a dewpoint of 79 and a heat index of 122. Heading home shortly to check on the dog and then go out to the pool.

  56. Heat index was 108 at Harford 104 Bradley as well as Meriden and Williamatic at 2pm. No surprise an upgrade to excessive heat warning happened.

  57. “Excessive heat warning” sounds so much more menacing than “heat advisory”. 😉

  58. I was just in an meeting for an hour and I see no activity here. Hope all is well.

    TOM is a Soothsayer!

    I see that Logan reached 99 degrees a couple of different times with heat index
    of 109!!!

    99 was my high temperature at home.

  60. Two severe thunderstorm warnings now. The one near Worcester moving east the other one moving southeast in the part of CT that saw the storms yesterday.

    1. The one by Worcester appears to have pulsed as it weakened and then
      became stronger again. It looks rather menacing right now.
      Watching for rotation. I am getting suspicious of that one.

  61. Saw wording with both the severe thunderstorm warnings that intense lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage although a tornado does not immediately likely.

  62. New cell popped long the NH/MA border. SO does this offer hope that there
    will be some action across the state

  64. I “think” I see the first signs of rotation on the storm SW of Worcester
    that is currently between I84 and I395 heading ESE towards about Oxford and/or Dudley. So far it is quite weak, but I think it is there.

  65. Far northern Windham county in CT is under that severe thunderstorm warning.
    As well as parts of Northern RI.

    2. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
      WEBSTER…SOUTHBRIDGE…AUBURN…BURRILLVILLE…NORTHBRIDGE…
      OXFORD…UXBRIDGE…MILLBURY…CHARLTON…NORTH SMITHFIELD…
      DUDLEY…LEICESTER…GLOCESTER…PUTNAM…THOMPSON…STURBRIDGE…
      BLACKSTONE…SUTTON…DOUGLAS AND WOODSTOCK.

      PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

      INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
      WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
      IMMEDIATELY LIKELY…IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
      LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY
      AND SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

      TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS…AND MAY LEAD TO
      FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

  67. Vicki,

    The rotation is NOT strong and “appears” to have diminished.
    Additionally, that portion of the storm will pass South of your area, probably
    over Dudley and Douglas.

    1. We are close to both. I was trying to find your email to send our location but of. Purse cannot. I’ll keep looking

      Thunder is absolutely intense

      2. I know where Sutton is, and from what I can see
        that portion of the storm WILL pass South of you, however,
        you will still likely get into the meat of the storm re: rain, lightning and thunder.

  68. Cell South of Gardner getting quite strong. Wouldn’t surprise me to see that
    one warned shortly.

  69. I am getting the feeling that Boston will end up in Never Never land between
    to different clusters of Storms, one along the MA/RI border and one to the North
    South of or along the MA/NH Border.

    Here’s hoping we spring some action in between the 2 of them.

  70. Wow! That storm near I395 is really intense. At least any signs of rotation are
    now gone. At least for now.

    2. Oh boy, there are 2 more right behind it. One moderate and the trailing one
      equally strong as the lead one.

      TRAINING is about to commence. Need water? Hold on for a bit and you’ll
      have plenty!

  71. I don’t know what effect it might have on these storms, but the usual boundary exists just south of Boston.

    W surface wind in Boston and SW surface wind on the south shore with slightly (if it’s possible) higher dewpoints.

    1. Thanks Dave. Truly appreciate. And glad this one will go south of us. Not interested in anything with rotation

  75. Literally just south of us Dave. Great call. They are getting pounded. Thunder does not stop not does lightening. Not seeing any win here at all. Just rain. That has stopped for now. Was going straight down. Got 0.12″

  78. Warnings lifted here. We have had two house shakers but most is a show about 1-2 miles to the south. Would be beautiful if nighttime.

  79. 97 with a dewpoint of 74 and heat index of 109 at Hartford/Brainard as of 4PM.
    It felt refreshing in Bermuda last week compared to this!

    Seeing some lightning off to the northeast with the storm complex near Stafford, CT

  81. We actually just got a splattering of rain, probably NOT enough to trip my rain
    gauage. Nope, didn’t trip it yet. 😀

  84. Will there be more later tonight? OR will these die out. My understanding is there
    will be plenty of instability overnight, so perhaps just perhaps there will be more
    action later?

    1. Storm relative mean radial velocity 0.5 Degree elevation, 124 nmi range.

      With radarscope on my mobile device, i use
      one of the velocity products, “Storm Relative Velocity” Tilt 1

  90. I have been watching lightning strike after lightening strike in same location for over an hour. I know it is as storm passes but someone directly south of me is getting walloped. There cannot be more than 8-10 seconds between cloud to ground bolts for a good amount of time. Then flashes and then more bolts

  91. I did get a video of some lightening before I decided to get out of doorway. On the video there is some cracking noise. Is that electricity in the air. I’ve not heard it before

    1. probably some of the power lines being affected, not sure exactly, but last time I had alot of lightning around a crackling sound came from the power line boxes

  92. Is the end of those cells intensifying just to west of pomfret ctr CT. I suddenly see much more lightening over that area. Visually…not on a map

  94. watching the patriots last night. I was impressed with Jimmy G. I was impressed with Malcome ( the reciever) sucks he got hurt. Patriots O-line looked good. What really caught my attention was that defense. If the defense is not just playing with us game one of preseason. Patriots may really have a chance of having a good record for when brady comes back. Realistically 2-2 but I think 3 or even 4 wins could happen with the defense, again if its not just a tease.

  96. Dewpoint @ Logan = 78 F(record for this date)

    I seem to remember an 81 or 82 dp back in the Don Kent days. I would be curious as to the all time record dp for Logan.

  97. Ace/Blackstone…Thanks for your responses above! 😀

    The vendor that told me February was obviously misinformed or whatever. April makes much more sense. I can understand that she was just getting started setting up, but she wasn’t the most pleasant. It probably does hurt their sales to some extent. Oh well, wait til next year.

    Who would have thought El Niño can destroy crops? 🙁

  98. Vicki, its now raining and thundering here in Manchester CT along with some gusty winds. Nothing severe though and nothing like what we experienced yesterday.

    1. I just saw the Tstorm and flood warning just to,your east. CT certainly has had its share.

      Thank you, Mark

  99. Good call on our Red Flag day. Got about 20 minutes of practice in before the first clap of thunder. Thanks for the input all!

  101. If anybody was wondering why the storms went nuts in RI then backed up into CT, the answer is: Strong South Coast seabreeze boundary. This was visible on satellite for quite a while before the storms got there.

  102. No out to dinner tonight.
    Sitting here trying to decide whether to water the lawn or not.
    IF I water, it will rain. IF I do not water it won’t rain.
    I was watching the cells moving Eastward, but they seem to be falling apart
    now that they have lost the sun’s heating. I was hoping for enough instability to
    keep them going. I guess I have to water.

    1. I dunno, It looks like it might be getting new life. I’ll wait a bit.
      Meanwhile I’ll check the HRRR.

  103. 4KM NAM says NO Rain in Boston until overnight Sunday. That seems to fall in line
    with TK’s thinking. Will watch radar for a bit more before heading out to water.

      1. You trying to tell me what to do? Or providing some friend advice?

        😀

        OH screw it, Going to water. Mark my words, we’ll get 1/2 inch
        of rain!

    1. The remains to be seen. I’m cautiously optimistic. But it may be only partial clearing.

  105. I’m in Norwich, Vermont. No storms yet, but I could see some impressive cells forming on my drive up. Just no action while I was driving, which is fine with me.

    Unbelievable that Boston has not gotten a storm out of this. With the heat index being so high and all that energy in the sky (or so it seemed). TK is amazing. He predicted that this would be a hit-or-miss situation with Boston likely swinging and missing a lot like Mark Belhorn or Justin Upton.

    I can verify that the drought is not as severe where I am in Vermont. Vegetation looks contented, actually. There is a lot of brown grass, but also quite a bit of green. Very different near and in Boston as we know.

  106. Looks like the back door front is passing through coastal NH right now…Wind shifts to the East at Portsmouth and NE at Isle of Shoals.

  107. Drove by the big CT/RI storm this evening as I made my way back to Wrentham. The clouds were very impressive. Saw quite a bit of lightning from 495 but nowhere near the full extent, these were prolific lightning producers.

    Philip, if 78 was indeed the max dew point in Boston today, according to the NWS dew point climatology page, that would put it in a tie for third place all time since records begin in 1936, behind a couple of 79F readings. Very impressive.

          2. Geesh, we got soaked at least three times with heavy rain Wednesday afternoon in Hamilton. Just downpours lasting 30-45 minutes and in the end leaving the golf course with standing water in many places. Lighter rain for much of the day at other times.

      1. And yet everything is parched. I think because most came in huge bursts and just ran off or evaporated. Even the pavement was dry very quickly after the 0.16 we got today

  109. So how many 90+ degree days have we had so far and what’s the average? Seems like we have had a lot but haven’t kept track…thanks!

  110. At 2:30am, it was 81 at Logan Airport with a NW wind at 5mph.
    At 2:40am, it was 73 at Logan Airport with an ENE wind at 5mph.

    There’s your backdoor front.

    1. Not an April / May front, but certainly notable. 🙂

      The one-day break along the eastern shore is underway.

Comments are closed.